{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_uk","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"UK","name":"United Kingdom"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.872133,-1.508874,-1.252615,-1.049609,-0.876632,-0.843687,-0.78279,-0.702887,-0.610611,-0.527237,-0.459123,-0.40393,-0.359783,-0.325593,-0.29968,-0.278729,-0.261816,-0.242092,-0.225255,-0.210749]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.884658,-2.370478,-1.898714,-1.508047,-1.193443,-1.000729,-0.845868,-0.712668,-0.593836,-0.493885,-0.413621,-0.35005,-0.300211,-0.261798,-0.232603,-0.209847,-0.19201,-0.174943,-0.160407,-0.148109]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.103825,-0.122469,-0.11035,-0.089206,-0.067417,-0.054313,-0.044285,-0.035213,-0.026579,-0.019177,-0.013499,-0.009519,-0.00702,-0.005746,-0.005421,-0.005721,-0.006411,-0.006986,-0.007535,-0.008058]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.022288,-0.047726,-0.069595,-0.086097,-0.097296,-0.105258,-0.110762,-0.114103,-0.115456,-0.11516,-0.113646,-0.111325,-0.108546,-0.105588,-0.102662,-0.099903,-0.097387,-0.095081,-0.092974,-0.091051]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.116851,-0.146505,-0.137263,-0.111456,-0.079426,-0.052881,-0.027779,-0.002716,0.022147,0.045505,0.066484,0.084729,0.100193,0.112989,0.123344,0.131564,0.137958,0.143182,0.147306,0.150471]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.203313,-0.356288,-0.47327,-0.562007,-0.627299,-0.685627,-0.734334,-0.771871,-0.797486,-0.812775,-0.819935,-0.820792,-0.816868,-0.809485,-0.799714,-0.788208,-0.775485,-0.761295,-0.74602,-0.729965]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.156016,0.334084,0.487167,0.602677,0.681075,0.736806,0.775331,0.798721,0.808193,0.806119,0.795523,0.779277,0.759819,0.739113,0.718635,0.699318,0.681707,0.66557,0.650816,0.637359]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.667162,-3.750338,-3.104204,-2.593499,-2.159544,-2.076119,-1.923342,-1.723608,-1.493464,-1.28594,-1.116772,-0.979991,-0.870816,-0.786461,-0.722684,-0.671182,-0.629637,-0.580977,-0.539448,-0.503673]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.081641,-0.093287,-0.101716,-0.107222,-0.110376,-0.111782,-0.111823,-0.110811,-0.109036,-0.106777,-0.104267,-0.101683,-0.099149,-0.096743,-0.094505,-0.092447,-0.09056,-0.088821,-0.087211,-0.085707]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.095095,-0.098446,-0.100444,-0.101274,-0.101209,-0.100518,-0.099365,-0.097874,-0.096154,-0.094304,-0.092405,-0.090519,-0.088685,-0.086924,-0.085245,-0.083645,-0.082115,-0.080644,-0.07922,-0.077833]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.085785,-0.086792,-0.087129,-0.086886,-0.086198,-0.085198,-0.083966,-0.082566,-0.081052,-0.079474,-0.077873,-0.07628,-0.074717,-0.073196,-0.07172,-0.070291,-0.068903,-0.067553,-0.066235,-0.064944]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.535776,-0.835211,-0.985891,-1.039098,-1.027186,-1.006225,-0.970904,-0.919622,-0.852964,-0.777394,-0.699617,-0.62405,-0.553496,-0.489756,-0.433704,-0.385037,-0.343244,-0.305958,-0.272988,-0.244019]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.011072,-0.043378,-0.09542,-0.162049,-0.237596,-0.317706,-0.399456,-0.480541,-0.558979,-0.633134,-0.701831,-0.764354,-0.820387,-0.869934,-0.91324,-0.950701,-0.982803,-1.010031,-1.032837,-1.051647]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.40003,-8.035367,-6.6212,-5.45087,-4.464037,-4.077237,-3.524664,-2.99398,-2.489763,-2.076272,-1.748061,-1.483005,-1.270673,-1.104205,-0.974568,-0.867858,-0.781475,-0.688542,-0.616015,-0.554857]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.026,-0.04489,-0.060568,-0.073553,-0.084191,-0.095012,-0.104804,-0.113363,-0.120562,-0.126646,-0.131867,-0.136401,-0.140396,-0.143986,-0.147278,-0.150323,-0.15317,-0.155745,-0.158115,-0.160307]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.640021,-2.644577,-2.194875,-1.817935,-1.489268,-1.514985,-1.370918,-1.198173,-1.007931,-0.851703,-0.731022,-0.63478,-0.559258,-0.502587,-0.460849,-0.426276,-0.398658,-0.360501,-0.331752,-0.30697]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.385501,0.310387,0.257532,0.215739,0.180169,0.173451,0.16096,0.144551,0.125592,0.108465,0.094478,0.083145,0.074081,0.067061,0.061739,0.057433,0.053954,0.049892,0.046422,0.043431]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.046727,-0.072635,-0.085636,-0.090307,-0.089493,-0.088067,-0.085483,-0.081558,-0.076319,-0.070319,-0.064129,-0.058119,-0.052518,-0.047472,-0.043047,-0.03921,-0.035914,-0.032953,-0.030314,-0.027975]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.173953,0.177201,0.164474,0.145638,0.125133,0.115594,0.105325,0.093791,0.081323,0.069746,0.059854,0.051702,0.045221,0.040305,0.036766,0.034285,0.03267,0.031202,0.030179,0.02952]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.072678,-0.085728,-0.077245,-0.062444,-0.047192,-0.038019,-0.030999,-0.024649,-0.018605,-0.013424,-0.009449,-0.006664,-0.004914,-0.004022,-0.003795,-0.004005,-0.004488,-0.00489,-0.005275,-0.005641]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.121456,-0.902945,-0.749185,-0.627606,-0.524128,-0.504584,-0.468248,-0.420512,-0.365359,-0.315535,-0.274844,-0.241877,-0.215509,-0.195086,-0.179604,-0.167078,-0.156956,-0.145139,-0.135046,-0.126345]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.290181,0.46602,0.566971,0.616266,0.628891,0.633884,0.62844,0.611699,0.584004,0.548925,0.510304,0.470852,0.432448,0.396425,0.363591,0.334076,0.307842,0.283798,0.261953,0.242228]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.105423,-0.18109,-0.235601,-0.273863,-0.299066,-0.315355,-0.324035,-0.326186,-0.322845,-0.315248,-0.304608,-0.291895,-0.27789,-0.263242,-0.248447,-0.23379,-0.219476,-0.20559,-0.192243,-0.179505]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001376,0.002364,0.003076,0.003576,0.003905,0.004117,0.004231,0.004259,0.004215,0.004116,0.003977,0.003811,0.003628,0.003437,0.003244,0.003052,0.002865,0.002684,0.00251,0.002344]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.482729,-1.195028,-0.992071,-0.831291,-0.694293,-0.6682,-0.61997,-0.556686,-0.483604,-0.417571,-0.363625,-0.319913,-0.284948,-0.25787,-0.237346,-0.220753,-0.207358,-0.191737,-0.178402,-0.166913]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.240143,-0.156609,-0.116023,-0.094817,-0.082489,-0.090167,-0.092105,-0.090868,-0.087582,-0.085071,-0.08387,-0.083369,-0.083219,-0.083304,-0.083473,-0.083346,-0.082947,-0.081527,-0.080081,-0.078588]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.005572,-0.011932,-0.017399,-0.021524,-0.024324,-0.026315,-0.02769,-0.028526,-0.028864,-0.02879,-0.028412,-0.027831,-0.027136,-0.026397,-0.025666,-0.024976,-0.024347,-0.02377,-0.023243,-0.022763]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.132543,-0.227676,-0.29621,-0.344316,-0.376002,-0.396481,-0.407394,-0.410099,-0.405898,-0.396347,-0.382969,-0.366986,-0.349378,-0.330961,-0.312361,-0.293933,-0.275937,-0.258479,-0.241699,-0.225683]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.022288,-0.047726,-0.069595,-0.086097,-0.097296,-0.105258,-0.110762,-0.114103,-0.115456,-0.11516,-0.113646,-0.111325,-0.108546,-0.105588,-0.102662,-0.099903,-0.097387,-0.095081,-0.092974,-0.091051]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.047338,-0.047221,-0.046891,-0.046376,-0.045723,-0.044974,-0.044157,-0.043293,-0.042399,-0.041493,-0.040587,-0.039693,-0.038816,-0.037962,-0.03713,-0.036322,-0.035535,-0.034768,-0.034019,-0.033286]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.005572,0.011932,0.017399,0.021524,0.024324,0.026315,0.02769,0.028526,0.028864,0.02879,0.028412,0.027831,0.027136,0.026397,0.025666,0.024976,0.024347,0.02377,0.023243,0.022763]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.155117,0.177245,0.19326,0.203722,0.209714,0.212386,0.212464,0.21054,0.207168,0.202876,0.198108,0.193198,0.188383,0.183811,0.17956,0.17565,0.172064,0.16876,0.1657,0.162842]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.427928,0.443005,0.451997,0.455732,0.455442,0.452332,0.447143,0.440434,0.432692,0.424366,0.415824,0.407337,0.399081,0.391157,0.3836,0.376401,0.369519,0.362898,0.356489,0.35025]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.703438,0.71169,0.714454,0.712463,0.706822,0.69862,0.688525,0.677045,0.664627,0.651683,0.638556,0.625499,0.612682,0.600204,0.588105,0.576382,0.565008,0.553934,0.543123,0.532539]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.852077,0.849981,0.844035,0.834777,0.823011,0.809534,0.794833,0.779277,0.76319,0.746873,0.730573,0.714474,0.698696,0.683311,0.668344,0.653793,0.639632,0.625826,0.612344,0.599156]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.185846,0.259126,0.292225,0.307904,0.314909,0.326746,0.335528,0.338649,0.335952,0.329266,0.319946,0.308977,0.297053,0.284758,0.272511,0.260423,0.248688,0.236923,0.225457,0.214442]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.078507,-0.082946,-0.199426,-0.293237,-0.372039,-0.430526,-0.485128,-0.531541,-0.568108,-0.593872,-0.608903,-0.615758,-0.615965,-0.610809,-0.601468,-0.589047,-0.574313,-0.558316,-0.540966,-0.522784]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8721,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.6959,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.6672,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_us","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"US","name":"United States"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.823906,-1.468341,-1.197595,-0.970929,-0.769872,-0.692095,-0.589704,-0.470934,-0.345573,-0.237725,-0.149885,-0.080401,-0.027846,0.009528,0.033796,0.047241,0.051899,0.055055,0.052871,0.046875]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.890274,-2.37749,-1.899342,-1.498303,-1.169312,-0.952807,-0.771629,-0.610982,-0.466242,-0.344592,-0.245724,-0.167034,-0.105982,-0.060139,-0.027171,-0.004831,0.00885,0.018402,0.023027,0.023748]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.111932,-0.126885,-0.11074,-0.085756,-0.060534,-0.044647,-0.031978,-0.020491,-0.009798,-0.000903,0.005763,0.010322,0.013034,0.014207,0.014163,0.013227,0.011668,0.010052,0.008327,0.006546]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.311999,-0.547632,-0.692349,-0.757332,-0.760134,-0.735839,-0.691077,-0.629541,-0.554715,-0.472997,-0.390299,-0.311123,-0.238658,-0.174944,-0.121039,-0.07719,-0.043073,-0.017041,0.001803,0.014395]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.195358,-0.063559,0.062164,0.181781,0.292613,0.377645,0.457349,0.528825,0.590255,0.639377,0.675387,0.700487,0.716158,0.723799,0.724811,0.720611,0.712271,0.701498,0.688272,0.673256]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.185854,-0.320074,-0.416106,-0.482152,-0.523676,-0.555442,-0.575751,-0.583786,-0.579732,-0.56618,-0.54573,-0.52059,-0.492639,-0.463439,-0.434234,-0.405961,-0.379301,-0.354168,-0.330903,-0.309687]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[2.052628,3.602842,4.554927,4.982448,5.00088,4.841049,4.546561,4.141718,3.649442,3.11182,2.567758,2.046861,1.57012,1.150948,0.796308,0.507827,0.283376,0.112111,-0.011863,-0.094707]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-5.730245,-4.516141,-3.604515,-2.85996,-2.217183,-1.976961,-1.66427,-1.304433,-0.927681,-0.609066,-0.354671,-0.157777,-0.012819,0.086427,0.146918,0.176025,0.180138,0.182011,0.169085,0.145951]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.640738,-0.671077,-0.661748,-0.623992,-0.568216,-0.503031,-0.432919,-0.361665,-0.292621,-0.228665,-0.171671,-0.122658,-0.081968,-0.049423,-0.024471,-0.006312,0.005989,0.013419,0.01684,0.017064]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.375539,-0.358854,-0.330239,-0.29441,-0.255482,-0.216657,-0.179349,-0.144615,-0.113308,-0.086087,-0.063285,-0.044926,-0.030807,-0.020563,-0.013724,-0.009771,-0.00817,-0.008408,-0.010056,-0.012734]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.195823,-0.189375,-0.177053,-0.161124,-0.143575,-0.125957,-0.108942,-0.093038,-0.078662,-0.066143,-0.055652,-0.047211,-0.04073,-0.036039,-0.03292,-0.031125,-0.030403,-0.03051,-0.031242,-0.032419]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.621529,-0.937269,-1.064944,-1.07445,-1.009196,-0.933303,-0.842063,-0.7348,-0.61427,-0.490576,-0.371722,-0.262815,-0.166973,-0.085795,-0.019688,0.031861,0.069932,0.097795,0.116495,0.127309]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.014258,-0.053997,-0.116736,-0.196016,-0.284766,-0.377409,-0.46996,-0.559162,-0.64224,-0.717001,-0.781954,-0.836292,-0.879805,-0.912761,-0.9358,-0.949819,-0.955878,-0.955074,-0.948478,-0.937123]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-9.831278,-7.180921,-5.519655,-4.201043,-3.1436,-2.662819,-2.07271,-1.533053,-1.056147,-0.70478,-0.44778,-0.263358,-0.137845,-0.058783,-0.01503,0.003185,0.003107,0.009748,0.001455,-0.012278]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.023156,-0.037774,-0.047944,-0.05468,-0.058716,-0.062465,-0.064997,-0.066251,-0.066282,-0.065509,-0.064229,-0.062665,-0.060995,-0.059358,-0.057852,-0.056542,-0.055466,-0.05455,-0.053832,-0.053312]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.241894,-2.046465,-1.423793,-0.943056,-0.564963,-0.524892,-0.35455,-0.175524,-0.0044,0.108342,0.179174,0.218973,0.233722,0.229208,0.210828,0.183454,0.150549,0.128302,0.100477,0.072835]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.350717,0.280951,0.228421,0.184782,0.146247,0.131494,0.111953,0.089255,0.065293,0.044709,0.027969,0.014744,0.004756,-0.002334,-0.006925,-0.009453,-0.010308,-0.010888,-0.010447,-0.00928]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.136588,-0.199314,-0.220016,-0.216557,-0.199248,-0.182124,-0.163281,-0.142088,-0.118861,-0.095607,-0.073825,-0.05437,-0.037699,-0.023981,-0.013175,-0.005084,0.000571,0.004515,0.00694,0.008081]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.021095,0.007064,0.004028,0.005898,0.009728,0.015161,0.019345,0.022727,0.025494,0.028025,0.030151,0.031842,0.0331,0.033951,0.034435,0.034611,0.034528,0.034185,0.033723,0.033156]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.078352,-0.088819,-0.077518,-0.060029,-0.042374,-0.031253,-0.022384,-0.014344,-0.006859,-0.000632,0.004034,0.007226,0.009124,0.009945,0.009914,0.009259,0.008167,0.007036,0.005829,0.004582]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.092702,-0.878864,-0.716414,-0.580617,-0.460261,-0.413796,-0.352543,-0.281468,-0.206443,-0.141915,-0.08937,-0.047813,-0.016387,0.005954,0.020455,0.028482,0.031252,0.033129,0.031809,0.028209]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.282706,0.453757,0.548633,0.589401,0.590851,0.579955,0.555368,0.517289,0.467395,0.410764,0.351843,0.293937,0.239465,0.190095,0.146838,0.110148,0.080074,0.055526,0.036226,0.021715]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.085643,-0.147177,-0.191062,-0.221363,-0.240915,-0.252964,-0.258871,-0.259713,-0.256434,-0.250007,-0.241348,-0.231173,-0.22005,-0.208428,-0.19665,-0.184958,-0.173529,-0.162442,-0.15179,-0.141631]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001285,0.002208,0.002866,0.00332,0.003614,0.003794,0.003883,0.003896,0.003847,0.00375,0.00362,0.003468,0.003301,0.003126,0.00295,0.002774,0.002603,0.002437,0.002277,0.002124]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.404408,-1.130623,-0.922148,-0.747616,-0.592801,-0.532913,-0.454072,-0.362619,-0.266091,-0.183048,-0.115412,-0.061909,-0.021441,0.007337,0.026023,0.036376,0.039963,0.042392,0.04071,0.036094]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.224099,-0.185995,-0.175195,-0.17617,-0.181137,-0.198276,-0.208796,-0.213972,-0.215069,-0.215321,-0.214639,-0.21327,-0.211387,-0.209131,-0.206621,-0.203966,-0.201216,-0.197804,-0.19442,-0.191019]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.078,-0.136908,-0.173087,-0.189333,-0.190033,-0.18396,-0.172769,-0.157385,-0.138679,-0.118249,-0.097575,-0.077781,-0.059665,-0.043736,-0.03026,-0.019297,-0.010768,-0.00426,0.000451,0.003599]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.107054,-0.183972,-0.238827,-0.276703,-0.301144,-0.316205,-0.323589,-0.324641,-0.320543,-0.312509,-0.301685,-0.288966,-0.275063,-0.260536,-0.245813,-0.231197,-0.216911,-0.203053,-0.189738,-0.177039]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.311999,-0.547632,-0.692349,-0.757332,-0.760134,-0.735839,-0.691077,-0.629541,-0.554715,-0.472997,-0.390299,-0.311123,-0.238658,-0.174944,-0.121039,-0.07719,-0.043073,-0.017041,0.001803,0.014395]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.084391,-0.081851,-0.077346,-0.071633,-0.065377,-0.059096,-0.053015,-0.047306,-0.042109,-0.037533,-0.033637,-0.030429,-0.027879,-0.025931,-0.024514,-0.023544,-0.022938,-0.022616,-0.02251,-0.022559]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.078,0.136908,0.173087,0.189333,0.190033,0.18396,0.172769,0.157385,0.138679,0.118249,0.097575,0.077781,0.059665,0.043736,0.03026,0.019297,0.010768,0.00426,-0.000451,-0.003599]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.217402,1.275047,1.257321,1.185585,1.07961,0.955759,0.822547,0.687163,0.555979,0.434464,0.326175,0.23305,0.15574,0.093904,0.046494,0.011992,-0.01138,-0.025497,-0.031995,-0.032421]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.689926,1.614844,1.486074,1.324843,1.14967,0.974957,0.807071,0.650769,0.509884,0.387393,0.28478,0.202165,0.138632,0.092533,0.061759,0.043968,0.036764,0.037836,0.045254,0.057301]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.60575,1.552874,1.451834,1.321215,1.177316,1.032845,0.893321,0.762911,0.645029,0.542376,0.456349,0.387129,0.333984,0.295523,0.269945,0.255229,0.249307,0.250178,0.256181,0.265839]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.519042,1.473327,1.392234,1.2894,1.176788,1.063726,0.954278,0.851516,0.757957,0.675595,0.605465,0.547715,0.501816,0.466764,0.441246,0.423791,0.412893,0.407091,0.405173,0.406063]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.54149,0.525843,0.442371,0.334223,0.221271,0.146713,0.074612,0.00325,-0.065864,-0.12719,-0.177523,-0.217748,-0.248487,-0.270454,-0.284663,-0.292705,-0.29558,-0.295981,-0.293431,-0.288476]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.54149,0.525843,0.442371,0.334223,0.221271,0.146713,0.074612,0.00325,-0.065864,-0.12719,-0.177523,-0.217748,-0.248487,-0.270454,-0.284663,-0.292705,-0.29558,-0.295981,-0.293431,-0.288476]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8239,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.5876,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-5.7302,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_de","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"DE","name":"Germany"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.01619,-1.608782,-1.324742,-1.102245,-0.914524,-0.894393,-0.83958,-0.761676,-0.668755,-0.580197,-0.507479,-0.448459,-0.401311,-0.364534,-0.336362,-0.314341,-0.297292,-0.276356,-0.258926,-0.244252]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.852161,-2.32108,-1.851519,-1.467455,-1.159844,-0.978311,-0.832225,-0.70642,-0.593953,-0.497408,-0.419167,-0.356698,-0.307384,-0.268965,-0.239361,-0.216418,-0.1987,-0.18156,-0.167184,-0.155229]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.05778,-0.097571,-0.092527,-0.072431,-0.05005,-0.033906,-0.023543,-0.015643,-0.008978,-0.003516,0.000368,0.002589,0.003396,0.003145,0.002152,0.000611,-0.001185,-0.002813,-0.004204,-0.005391]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.000958,-0.086075,-0.094015,-0.067778,-0.028767,0.014064,0.049253,0.080195,0.107635,0.131675,0.151789,0.167335,0.178439,0.185705,0.189771,0.190801,0.189507,0.186535,0.182651,0.178153]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.238389,-0.41513,-0.548436,-0.648234,-0.72068,-0.787242,-0.84419,-0.889333,-0.921529,-0.941967,-0.953118,-0.95705,-0.955497,-0.949918,-0.941487,-0.931028,-0.919186,-0.905531,-0.890543,-0.874589]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.402118,0.855715,1.193808,1.380803,1.433011,1.407107,1.334079,1.229321,1.102521,0.963795,0.823394,0.68995,0.56963,0.46616,0.381223,0.314977,0.266319,0.231981,0.209284,0.195925]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.011693,-3.181739,-2.604614,-2.155855,-1.780705,-1.742349,-1.635774,-1.483888,-1.302588,-1.130268,-0.989543,-0.875877,-0.785447,-0.715156,-0.661444,-0.619417,-0.58677,-0.545916,-0.511721,-0.482746]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.164928,-0.177435,-0.179365,-0.172751,-0.160414,-0.144996,-0.128194,-0.111178,-0.094851,-0.079919,-0.066851,-0.055884,-0.047062,-0.04028,-0.035333,-0.031955,-0.029855,-0.028737,-0.02835,-0.028477]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.110365,-0.108849,-0.104087,-0.096932,-0.088479,-0.079698,-0.07115,-0.063166,-0.055967,-0.049701,-0.044443,-0.040195,-0.036898,-0.034449,-0.032719,-0.03157,-0.030862,-0.030467,-0.030277,-0.03021]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.070281,-0.069516,-0.06711,-0.063477,-0.059155,-0.054627,-0.050172,-0.04596,-0.042104,-0.038684,-0.035743,-0.033288,-0.031295,-0.029716,-0.028493,-0.02756,-0.026851,-0.026303,-0.025865,-0.025497]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.399672,-0.646057,-0.79106,-0.865042,-0.887635,-0.901302,-0.900948,-0.884627,-0.852293,-0.807718,-0.756268,-0.701931,-0.647626,-0.595454,-0.546791,-0.50228,-0.462212,-0.425068,-0.391052,-0.360182]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.014923,-0.049038,-0.103561,-0.17424,-0.255431,-0.342839,-0.433117,-0.523727,-0.61252,-0.697701,-0.777899,-0.852182,-0.920021,-0.981227,-1.035863,-1.084167,-1.126505,-1.16325,-1.19478,-1.221464]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.745282,-8.151654,-6.63704,-5.406036,-4.389285,-4.08398,-3.566181,-3.065076,-2.586227,-2.183525,-1.871298,-1.62181,-1.42383,-1.2685,-1.146846,-1.048493,-0.969385,-0.875926,-0.804092,-0.74287]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.027726,-0.047198,-0.062955,-0.075716,-0.08598,-0.096835,-0.106834,-0.115748,-0.12343,-0.13005,-0.135888,-0.141116,-0.145876,-0.150288,-0.154441,-0.158389,-0.162176,-0.165688,-0.168998,-0.172131]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.881697,-2.725978,-2.205963,-1.786551,-1.436942,-1.519705,-1.39998,-1.24794,-1.075456,-0.92678,-0.817288,-0.731944,-0.666468,-0.617594,-0.581443,-0.55272,-0.530195,-0.49167,-0.463406,-0.438579]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.452527,0.360524,0.296616,0.246695,0.204647,0.200254,0.188045,0.170642,0.149864,0.130059,0.113805,0.100615,0.090079,0.08186,0.075561,0.070634,0.066814,0.062115,0.058199,0.054899]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.033521,0.058774,0.078194,0.093066,0.104176,0.114478,0.12343,0.130708,0.136137,0.139871,0.142245,0.143546,0.144017,0.143864,0.143256,0.142312,0.141128,0.139649,0.137945,0.13607]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.414307,0.406573,0.372012,0.328089,0.282426,0.265631,0.245697,0.22197,0.195406,0.169952,0.147971,0.129541,0.114533,0.102746,0.093827,0.087145,0.082333,0.077594,0.073897,0.07108]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.040446,-0.0683,-0.064769,-0.050701,-0.035035,-0.023734,-0.01648,-0.01095,-0.006284,-0.002461,0.000257,0.001812,0.002377,0.002201,0.001506,0.000428,-0.00083,-0.001969,-0.002943,-0.003773]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.206739,-0.961398,-0.790977,-0.657852,-0.545727,-0.534012,-0.501452,-0.455045,-0.399636,-0.346825,-0.30348,-0.268307,-0.240211,-0.218293,-0.201497,-0.188356,-0.178171,-0.165639,-0.155198,-0.146398]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.312509,0.499369,0.60483,0.654712,0.665521,0.671047,0.666973,0.651638,0.624967,0.589905,0.550583,0.509977,0.470185,0.432651,0.398257,0.367328,0.339943,0.31479,0.291965,0.271431]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.127991,-0.219103,-0.284304,-0.329819,-0.35967,-0.379412,-0.390407,-0.393808,-0.390747,-0.382646,-0.370893,-0.356608,-0.340696,-0.323889,-0.306749,-0.289644,-0.272846,-0.256441,-0.240585,-0.225382]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001481,0.002535,0.003289,0.003816,0.004161,0.00439,0.004517,0.004556,0.004521,0.004427,0.004291,0.004126,0.003942,0.003747,0.003549,0.003351,0.003157,0.002967,0.002784,0.002608]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.375042,-1.097189,-0.903474,-0.751731,-0.623705,-0.609976,-0.572593,-0.519463,-0.456091,-0.395695,-0.346101,-0.305849,-0.273694,-0.248612,-0.229399,-0.21438,-0.202753,-0.188475,-0.176588,-0.16658]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.476263,-0.31969,-0.240943,-0.197576,-0.170456,-0.186313,-0.18963,-0.185546,-0.176538,-0.167232,-0.160121,-0.154262,-0.149176,-0.144696,-0.140641,-0.136542,-0.132437,-0.126474,-0.120887,-0.115613]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.014361,-0.030561,-0.042636,-0.049314,-0.051179,-0.050254,-0.047646,-0.043904,-0.039376,-0.034421,-0.029407,-0.024641,-0.020344,-0.016649,-0.013615,-0.011249,-0.009511,-0.008285,-0.007474,-0.006997]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.158667,-0.271615,-0.352443,-0.408867,-0.445872,-0.470345,-0.483975,-0.488192,-0.484398,-0.474355,-0.459784,-0.442076,-0.422351,-0.401516,-0.380268,-0.359063,-0.338239,-0.317902,-0.298245,-0.279399]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.030195,-0.029737,-0.028739,-0.027338,-0.025713,-0.024026,-0.022369,-0.020799,-0.019353,-0.018057,-0.016926,-0.015961,-0.015156,-0.014492,-0.013952,-0.013512,-0.013151,-0.012847,-0.012584,-0.012348]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.014361,0.030561,0.042636,0.049314,0.051179,0.050254,0.047646,0.043904,0.039376,0.034421,0.029407,0.024641,0.020344,0.016649,0.013615,0.011249,0.009511,0.008285,0.007474,0.006997]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.313363,0.337127,0.340794,0.328226,0.304786,0.275493,0.243568,0.211239,0.180217,0.151846,0.127016,0.10618,0.089419,0.076532,0.067132,0.060714,0.056724,0.054601,0.053866,0.054106]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.496643,0.489819,0.468392,0.436194,0.398155,0.358643,0.320174,0.284247,0.251851,0.223653,0.199994,0.180879,0.166041,0.155019,0.147235,0.142064,0.13888,0.137099,0.136249,0.135944]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.5763,0.570031,0.550306,0.520509,0.485069,0.447939,0.411411,0.376871,0.345254,0.317211,0.293096,0.272964,0.256616,0.243673,0.233645,0.225994,0.220177,0.215682,0.212092,0.209072]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.543508,0.535271,0.517303,0.49208,0.462839,0.432471,0.402647,0.37438,0.348348,0.325025,0.304665,0.287307,0.272799,0.260863,0.251135,0.243221,0.236719,0.231253,0.226515,0.222258]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.011063,0.12417,0.169561,0.185107,0.187504,0.183002,0.181804,0.180071,0.176822,0.171957,0.166188,0.160551,0.155468,0.150953,0.146983,0.14391,0.141538,0.139671,0.137877,0.136127]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.196317,-0.022516,-0.156178,-0.24956,-0.32138,-0.363581,-0.408096,-0.44863,-0.48262,-0.507702,-0.523598,-0.533152,-0.537719,-0.538094,-0.53504,-0.52981,-0.522764,-0.514962,-0.505622,-0.495103]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.0162,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.453,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.0117,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_fr","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"FR","name":"France"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.982098,-1.587544,-1.304474,-1.080956,-0.893495,-0.865238,-0.807099,-0.728732,-0.637128,-0.552254,-0.483146,-0.427081,-0.382255,-0.347199,-0.320258,-0.29922,-0.282969,-0.263247,-0.246844,-0.233043]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.81865,-2.281917,-1.810848,-1.427922,-1.123284,-0.940122,-0.793484,-0.668516,-0.558135,-0.465077,-0.390489,-0.331302,-0.284758,-0.248566,-0.220696,-0.199136,-0.182528,-0.166603,-0.153324,-0.142333]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.065484,-0.093163,-0.085608,-0.066272,-0.045409,-0.03102,-0.02119,-0.013414,-0.006793,-0.001489,0.002227,0.00432,0.005052,0.004756,0.003738,0.002218,0.000454,-0.001133,-0.002533,-0.003756]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.011585,-0.051591,-0.053012,-0.027896,0.00676,0.044063,0.0747,0.101261,0.124421,0.14441,0.161021,0.173526,0.182115,0.187369,0.189887,0.189858,0.187919,0.184651,0.180662,0.176208]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.227473,-0.396634,-0.5237,-0.618118,-0.686075,-0.747484,-0.799349,-0.8399,-0.868235,-0.885775,-0.89488,-0.897453,-0.895078,-0.889077,-0.880514,-0.870142,-0.858551,-0.845361,-0.831001,-0.815803]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.402118,0.855715,1.193808,1.380803,1.433011,1.407107,1.334079,1.229321,1.102521,0.963795,0.823394,0.68995,0.56963,0.46616,0.381223,0.314977,0.266319,0.231981,0.209284,0.195925]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.539147,-3.615033,-2.953091,-2.433824,-2.002133,-1.938801,-1.808178,-1.632069,-1.426244,-1.236236,-1.082457,-0.958346,-0.859555,-0.782589,-0.723598,-0.677503,-0.641785,-0.597591,-0.560626,-0.52932]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.164928,-0.177435,-0.179365,-0.172751,-0.160414,-0.144996,-0.128194,-0.111178,-0.094851,-0.079919,-0.066851,-0.055884,-0.047062,-0.04028,-0.035333,-0.031955,-0.029855,-0.028737,-0.02835,-0.028477]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.110365,-0.108849,-0.104087,-0.096932,-0.088479,-0.079698,-0.07115,-0.063166,-0.055967,-0.049701,-0.044443,-0.040195,-0.036898,-0.034449,-0.032719,-0.03157,-0.030862,-0.030467,-0.030277,-0.03021]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.070281,-0.069516,-0.06711,-0.063477,-0.059155,-0.054627,-0.050172,-0.04596,-0.042104,-0.038684,-0.035743,-0.033288,-0.031295,-0.029716,-0.028493,-0.02756,-0.026851,-0.026303,-0.025865,-0.025497]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.330599,-0.545792,-0.681092,-0.758186,-0.791674,-0.814567,-0.823643,-0.817692,-0.796795,-0.764316,-0.724624,-0.680999,-0.635944,-0.591349,-0.548555,-0.508332,-0.471153,-0.436037,-0.40327,-0.372973]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.010014,-0.035595,-0.07722,-0.131284,-0.193245,-0.259581,-0.327755,-0.395902,-0.462489,-0.526276,-0.586365,-0.642188,-0.693481,-0.740215,-0.782535,-0.820691,-0.855005,-0.885787,-0.913324,-0.937875]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.655485,-8.112976,-6.588555,-5.351726,-4.335928,-3.998893,-3.475986,-2.975815,-2.501785,-2.111172,-1.808473,-1.566184,-1.373741,-1.22238,-1.103505,-1.007542,-0.930409,-0.840715,-0.771539,-0.712602]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.027277,-0.046555,-0.06207,-0.074559,-0.084556,-0.094986,-0.104535,-0.113002,-0.120262,-0.12652,-0.132044,-0.136994,-0.141504,-0.145685,-0.149621,-0.153364,-0.156957,-0.160292,-0.16344,-0.166421]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.818839,-2.698904,-2.172023,-1.748534,-1.399592,-1.460144,-1.336843,-1.185458,-1.016346,-0.876132,-0.773311,-0.693005,-0.631405,-0.58531,-0.551105,-0.524054,-0.502912,-0.467022,-0.440619,-0.417392]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.470051,0.376132,0.308901,0.255902,0.211498,0.204873,0.191142,0.172609,0.150935,0.130854,0.114508,0.10125,0.090649,0.082358,0.075985,0.071005,0.067155,0.062478,0.058585,0.055308]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.148437,0.261975,0.350242,0.418622,0.470545,0.518536,0.560501,0.595145,0.621744,0.641091,0.654625,0.663526,0.668793,0.671282,0.671691,0.670529,0.668203,0.664491,0.659684,0.654015]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.266494,0.24277,0.214497,0.186228,0.159677,0.152742,0.143257,0.131287,0.117458,0.104379,0.093332,0.084114,0.076581,0.070602,0.065984,0.062377,0.059616,0.056629,0.054147,0.052097]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.045839,-0.065214,-0.059925,-0.04639,-0.031786,-0.021714,-0.014833,-0.00939,-0.004755,-0.001042,0.001559,0.003024,0.003536,0.003329,0.002616,0.001552,0.000318,-0.000793,-0.001773,-0.002629]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.187497,-0.950227,-0.780382,-0.646489,-0.534312,-0.517573,-0.482885,-0.436065,-0.381308,-0.330578,-0.289284,-0.255789,-0.229008,-0.208062,-0.191961,-0.179381,-0.169655,-0.157838,-0.148005,-0.139726]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.307225,0.491849,0.595673,0.644087,0.653761,0.657121,0.650797,0.633591,0.605628,0.570102,0.530969,0.490973,0.452028,0.415438,0.38199,0.351971,0.325437,0.301153,0.279183,0.259468]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.129162,-0.221314,-0.287007,-0.332526,-0.362077,-0.381076,-0.391135,-0.393596,-0.389713,-0.38095,-0.368704,-0.354067,-0.337911,-0.320939,-0.303689,-0.286516,-0.269682,-0.253282,-0.23746,-0.222313]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001533,0.002627,0.003407,0.003948,0.004299,0.004524,0.004644,0.004673,0.004627,0.004523,0.004377,0.004204,0.004012,0.00381,0.003605,0.003402,0.003202,0.003007,0.002819,0.002639]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.526216,-1.222409,-1.004445,-0.832336,-0.687992,-0.666233,-0.621466,-0.561124,-0.490589,-0.425236,-0.372023,-0.328852,-0.294336,-0.267343,-0.246598,-0.2304,-0.217886,-0.2027,-0.19007,-0.179443]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.314656,-0.211042,-0.15988,-0.133072,-0.117634,-0.129367,-0.133133,-0.132107,-0.127799,-0.123446,-0.120316,-0.117584,-0.114967,-0.112413,-0.109874,-0.107103,-0.104187,-0.100045,-0.096085,-0.09229]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.014361,-0.030561,-0.042636,-0.049314,-0.051179,-0.050254,-0.047646,-0.043904,-0.039376,-0.034421,-0.029407,-0.024641,-0.020344,-0.016649,-0.013615,-0.011249,-0.009511,-0.008285,-0.007474,-0.006997]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.162189,-0.277905,-0.360398,-0.417556,-0.454663,-0.47852,-0.491152,-0.494242,-0.489366,-0.478362,-0.462985,-0.444605,-0.424318,-0.403006,-0.381344,-0.35978,-0.338642,-0.318048,-0.29818,-0.27916]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.030195,-0.029737,-0.028739,-0.027338,-0.025713,-0.024026,-0.022369,-0.020799,-0.019353,-0.018057,-0.016926,-0.015961,-0.015156,-0.014492,-0.013952,-0.013512,-0.013151,-0.012847,-0.012584,-0.012348]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.014361,0.030561,0.042636,0.049314,0.051179,0.050254,0.047646,0.043904,0.039376,0.034421,0.029407,0.024641,0.020344,0.016649,0.013615,0.011249,0.009511,0.008285,0.007474,0.006997]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.313363,0.337127,0.340794,0.328226,0.304786,0.275493,0.243568,0.211239,0.180217,0.151846,0.127016,0.10618,0.089419,0.076532,0.067132,0.060714,0.056724,0.054601,0.053866,0.054106]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.496643,0.489819,0.468392,0.436194,0.398155,0.358643,0.320174,0.284247,0.251851,0.223653,0.199994,0.180879,0.166041,0.155019,0.147235,0.142064,0.13888,0.137099,0.136249,0.135944]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.5763,0.570031,0.550306,0.520509,0.485069,0.447939,0.411411,0.376871,0.345254,0.317211,0.293096,0.272964,0.256616,0.243673,0.233645,0.225994,0.220177,0.215682,0.212092,0.209072]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.543508,0.535271,0.517303,0.49208,0.462839,0.432471,0.402647,0.37438,0.348348,0.325025,0.304665,0.287307,0.272799,0.260863,0.251135,0.243221,0.236719,0.231253,0.226515,0.222258]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.015647,0.044679,0.074035,0.089542,0.098591,0.102662,0.108057,0.112796,0.116199,0.117946,0.118225,0.117876,0.117173,0.116181,0.114954,0.113763,0.112566,0.111356,0.109959,0.108407]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.206943,0.011969,-0.115175,-0.209678,-0.285854,-0.333582,-0.382649,-0.427564,-0.465834,-0.494967,-0.514365,-0.526961,-0.534043,-0.53643,-0.534924,-0.530753,-0.524352,-0.516846,-0.507611,-0.497047]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9821,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.4233,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.5391,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_it","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"IT","name":"Italy"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.884932,-1.480084,-1.18287,-0.952784,-0.768064,-0.724928,-0.659261,-0.578988,-0.494475,-0.424241,-0.367545,-0.322123,-0.286131,-0.258073,-0.236519,-0.219914,-0.207277,-0.192252,-0.17996,-0.169775]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.741525,-2.195814,-1.723139,-1.341691,-1.041667,-0.852974,-0.702825,-0.577276,-0.47093,-0.385865,-0.318874,-0.266424,-0.225555,-0.193913,-0.169567,-0.150833,-0.136488,-0.123255,-0.11243,-0.103624]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.079719,-0.098244,-0.085735,-0.063602,-0.041123,-0.026325,-0.015733,-0.00718,-2.3e-05,0.005379,0.008915,0.010735,0.011144,0.010486,0.009082,0.007206,0.005103,0.003201,0.001487,-3.9e-05]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.13251,-0.196388,-0.185373,-0.143002,-0.089934,-0.043154,-0.002513,0.034985,0.069573,0.099979,0.125234,0.144908,0.159232,0.168801,0.174331,0.17641,0.175811,0.173653,0.170396,0.166365]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.21218,-0.366271,-0.477905,-0.55735,-0.611793,-0.658763,-0.696212,-0.723054,-0.739407,-0.747449,-0.749128,-0.746014,-0.739369,-0.730209,-0.719337,-0.707336,-0.694655,-0.681011,-0.666726,-0.65204]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.398927,0.848924,1.184333,1.369844,1.421638,1.39594,1.323491,1.219564,1.093771,0.956146,0.816859,0.684474,0.565109,0.46246,0.378197,0.312477,0.264206,0.23014,0.207624,0.19437]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.369801,-2.622243,-2.075185,-1.655443,-1.322568,-1.246915,-1.132283,-0.992514,-0.845927,-0.725411,-0.629212,-0.552922,-0.492997,-0.44662,-0.411169,-0.383856,-0.362973,-0.337239,-0.315969,-0.298125]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.164928,-0.177435,-0.179365,-0.172751,-0.160414,-0.144996,-0.128194,-0.111178,-0.094851,-0.079919,-0.066851,-0.055884,-0.047062,-0.04028,-0.035333,-0.031955,-0.029855,-0.028737,-0.02835,-0.028477]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.110365,-0.108849,-0.104087,-0.096932,-0.088479,-0.079698,-0.07115,-0.063166,-0.055967,-0.049701,-0.044443,-0.040195,-0.036898,-0.034449,-0.032719,-0.03157,-0.030862,-0.030467,-0.030277,-0.03021]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.070281,-0.069516,-0.06711,-0.063477,-0.059155,-0.054627,-0.050172,-0.04596,-0.042104,-0.038684,-0.035743,-0.033288,-0.031295,-0.029716,-0.028493,-0.02756,-0.026851,-0.026303,-0.025865,-0.025497]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.353927,-0.573755,-0.701091,-0.763329,-0.779439,-0.783454,-0.773329,-0.748764,-0.711393,-0.666037,-0.616602,-0.565949,-0.516131,-0.46859,-0.424266,-0.383652,-0.346971,-0.313211,-0.282471,-0.254709]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.007852,-0.030933,-0.068745,-0.117344,-0.172194,-0.229748,-0.287648,-0.344207,-0.398117,-0.448417,-0.494498,-0.536078,-0.57314,-0.605869,-0.634579,-0.659665,-0.681552,-0.700642,-0.717289,-0.731799]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.378084,-7.794306,-6.227025,-4.980298,-3.982482,-3.586724,-3.050647,-2.551357,-2.106791,-1.765282,-1.495591,-1.28173,-1.112521,-0.979153,-0.873917,-0.789517,-0.721748,-0.646334,-0.588104,-0.538801]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.02589,-0.043575,-0.057282,-0.067914,-0.076144,-0.084513,-0.091935,-0.09828,-0.103565,-0.108093,-0.112053,-0.115581,-0.118784,-0.121749,-0.124538,-0.127191,-0.12974,-0.132104,-0.134334,-0.136446]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.624659,-2.475834,-1.918952,-1.488534,-1.15218,-1.171626,-1.039106,-0.888337,-0.73985,-0.63401,-0.554293,-0.493888,-0.448551,-0.415051,-0.390394,-0.371437,-0.356849,-0.330955,-0.312215,-0.295731]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.41127,0.322389,0.257374,0.207175,0.166948,0.157642,0.143394,0.125954,0.107589,0.092341,0.080041,0.07019,0.062385,0.0563,0.051623,0.048016,0.045267,0.041991,0.039307,0.037081]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.094005,0.121133,0.119949,0.107869,0.092578,0.082738,0.074519,0.066389,0.058092,0.050423,0.043744,0.038123,0.033504,0.029782,0.026836,0.024524,0.022729,0.021074,0.019625,0.018385]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.298682,0.306423,0.283247,0.24938,0.213383,0.196058,0.178107,0.158239,0.137218,0.117901,0.101134,0.087075,0.075658,0.066712,0.059974,0.055057,0.051656,0.048592,0.046325,0.044731]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.055803,-0.068771,-0.060015,-0.044521,-0.028786,-0.018427,-0.011013,-0.005026,-1.6e-05,0.003765,0.00624,0.007514,0.007801,0.00734,0.006357,0.005044,0.003572,0.002241,0.001041,-2.7e-05]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.128054,-0.884268,-0.70594,-0.568252,-0.457916,-0.43239,-0.39331,-0.345473,-0.295101,-0.253277,-0.21954,-0.192521,-0.171114,-0.154423,-0.141595,-0.131702,-0.124161,-0.115175,-0.107815,-0.101707]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.190793,0.296953,0.348741,0.36539,0.359532,0.350648,0.33715,0.318615,0.295767,0.271037,0.246227,0.222495,0.200551,0.180787,0.163363,0.148245,0.135307,0.123809,0.113697,0.104868]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.103578,-0.176211,-0.226524,-0.260142,-0.281003,-0.293185,-0.29842,-0.298114,-0.293449,-0.285546,-0.275381,-0.263715,-0.251137,-0.238107,-0.224972,-0.211968,-0.199267,-0.186936,-0.175071,-0.163731]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001596,0.002716,0.003491,0.004009,0.004331,0.004518,0.004599,0.004594,0.004522,0.004401,0.004244,0.004064,0.00387,0.003669,0.003467,0.003267,0.003071,0.002881,0.002698,0.002523]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.36846,-1.074541,-0.858764,-0.691721,-0.557615,-0.526298,-0.478623,-0.420345,-0.358989,-0.307999,-0.266838,-0.233862,-0.207731,-0.187361,-0.171713,-0.159658,-0.150483,-0.139575,-0.130651,-0.123257]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.319202,-0.194299,-0.132482,-0.101774,-0.086721,-0.098144,-0.10205,-0.101886,-0.100065,-0.099759,-0.10015,-0.10047,-0.100363,-0.099725,-0.098541,-0.096765,-0.094527,-0.091048,-0.087599,-0.08418]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.014361,-0.030561,-0.042636,-0.049314,-0.051179,-0.050254,-0.047646,-0.043904,-0.039376,-0.034421,-0.029407,-0.024641,-0.020344,-0.016649,-0.013615,-0.011249,-0.009511,-0.008285,-0.007474,-0.006997]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.124152,-0.211212,-0.271519,-0.311814,-0.336819,-0.351421,-0.357695,-0.357328,-0.351737,-0.342264,-0.33008,-0.316096,-0.30102,-0.285402,-0.269658,-0.254071,-0.238847,-0.224067,-0.209845,-0.196252]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.030195,-0.029737,-0.028739,-0.027338,-0.025713,-0.024026,-0.022369,-0.020799,-0.019353,-0.018057,-0.016926,-0.015961,-0.015156,-0.014492,-0.013952,-0.013512,-0.013151,-0.012847,-0.012584,-0.012348]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.014361,0.030561,0.042636,0.049314,0.051179,0.050254,0.047646,0.043904,0.039376,0.034421,0.029407,0.024641,0.020344,0.016649,0.013615,0.011249,0.009511,0.008285,0.007474,0.006997]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.313363,0.337127,0.340794,0.328226,0.304786,0.275493,0.243568,0.211239,0.180217,0.151846,0.127016,0.10618,0.089419,0.076532,0.067132,0.060714,0.056724,0.054601,0.053866,0.054106]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.496643,0.489819,0.468392,0.436194,0.398155,0.358643,0.320174,0.284247,0.251851,0.223653,0.199994,0.180879,0.166041,0.155019,0.147235,0.142064,0.13888,0.137099,0.136249,0.135944]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.5763,0.570031,0.550306,0.520509,0.485069,0.447939,0.411411,0.376871,0.345254,0.317211,0.293096,0.272964,0.256616,0.243673,0.233645,0.225994,0.220177,0.215682,0.212092,0.209072]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.543508,0.535271,0.517303,0.49208,0.462839,0.432471,0.402647,0.37438,0.348348,0.325025,0.304665,0.287307,0.272799,0.260863,0.251135,0.243221,0.236719,0.231253,0.226515,0.222258]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.159818,0.226035,0.242843,0.23878,0.226219,0.219109,0.212634,0.204186,0.193592,0.182364,0.171644,0.162008,0.153721,0.146848,0.141323,0.136971,0.133595,0.130531,0.127776,0.125284]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.062849,-0.132828,-0.247537,-0.324784,-0.382547,-0.420799,-0.459862,-0.49384,-0.520682,-0.539398,-0.550153,-0.555579,-0.556926,-0.554997,-0.55048,-0.544201,-0.53646,-0.527845,-0.517877,-0.50689]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8849,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.3927,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.3698,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_jp","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"JP","name":"Japan"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.779571,-1.406253,-1.143662,-0.941804,-0.777188,-0.734878,-0.6692,-0.588957,-0.506343,-0.437498,-0.381642,-0.336704,-0.30082,-0.272798,-0.25118,-0.233525,-0.219076,-0.202677,-0.188546,-0.176233]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.910141,-2.376259,-1.881967,-1.477646,-1.157905,-0.958534,-0.798236,-0.661097,-0.543485,-0.448802,-0.374135,-0.315772,-0.270387,-0.235458,-0.208772,-0.187889,-0.171416,-0.155892,-0.142664,-0.131435]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.113571,-0.102025,-0.079116,-0.054709,-0.032746,-0.021101,-0.011306,-0.002578,0.004989,0.010493,0.013898,0.015545,0.015782,0.014861,0.013111,0.011078,0.008879,0.006949,0.00516,0.00353]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.012736,-0.025504,-0.035435,-0.041986,-0.045451,-0.047114,-0.047406,-0.046547,-0.044723,-0.04221,-0.039292,-0.036211,-0.033159,-0.030288,-0.027699,-0.025438,-0.023523,-0.021916,-0.020588,-0.019511]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.621486,-0.659489,-0.611445,-0.530225,-0.439344,-0.385873,-0.3327,-0.276526,-0.218688,-0.165685,-0.120336,-0.082981,-0.053401,-0.03173,-0.017435,-0.007789,-0.00207,0.002084,0.00438,0.005156]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.193047,-0.335218,-0.441376,-0.520108,-0.576959,-0.626377,-0.666219,-0.69541,-0.714254,-0.724785,-0.728838,-0.727922,-0.723265,-0.715895,-0.706631,-0.695984,-0.684357,-0.671575,-0.657933,-0.643662]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.089151,0.178525,0.248044,0.2939,0.318155,0.329795,0.331844,0.325827,0.313062,0.295473,0.275044,0.253474,0.232115,0.212013,0.193894,0.178069,0.164664,0.153409,0.144113,0.136574]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.966407,-3.914841,-3.17812,-2.613761,-2.15479,-2.03785,-1.855508,-1.63259,-1.403215,-1.212404,-1.057832,-0.933633,-0.834549,-0.757232,-0.697609,-0.648862,-0.608905,-0.56337,-0.524082,-0.489789]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.037772,-0.041771,-0.043859,-0.044341,-0.043619,-0.042083,-0.039979,-0.037516,-0.034878,-0.032228,-0.029691,-0.027353,-0.025265,-0.023452,-0.021914,-0.020635,-0.01959,-0.018746,-0.018075,-0.017548]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.033337,-0.033633,-0.033257,-0.032358,-0.031113,-0.029679,-0.028151,-0.026599,-0.025082,-0.023649,-0.022335,-0.021159,-0.020129,-0.019242,-0.01849,-0.017857,-0.017326,-0.016879,-0.0165,-0.016175]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.024614,-0.024635,-0.024329,-0.023769,-0.023039,-0.022215,-0.021343,-0.020457,-0.019586,-0.018754,-0.017978,-0.01727,-0.016632,-0.016064,-0.015562,-0.015119,-0.014727,-0.014377,-0.014061,-0.013773]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.444434,-0.694776,-0.822108,-0.869153,-0.86324,-0.846847,-0.81669,-0.77237,-0.716581,-0.655427,-0.593445,-0.533637,-0.477864,-0.427267,-0.382361,-0.34293,-0.308607,-0.277814,-0.250367,-0.226004]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.002009,-0.017814,-0.044106,-0.076793,-0.112185,-0.147483,-0.181359,-0.212849,-0.241229,-0.266011,-0.287007,-0.304295,-0.318138,-0.328928,-0.337132,-0.343248,-0.347739,-0.351021,-0.353426,-0.355227]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.149213,-7.762936,-6.353365,-5.209695,-4.26621,-3.845544,-3.292614,-2.772397,-2.310683,-1.946693,-1.65317,-1.416404,-1.225967,-1.0748,-0.954995,-0.855882,-0.774739,-0.690977,-0.62427,-0.567473]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.024746,-0.042274,-0.056612,-0.068392,-0.07804,-0.087703,-0.096335,-0.103785,-0.11009,-0.115525,-0.120272,-0.124474,-0.128245,-0.131688,-0.134881,-0.137866,-0.14068,-0.143267,-0.145678,-0.147934]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.464449,-2.453875,-2.00739,-1.649112,-1.35079,-1.3528,-1.208483,-1.043065,-0.882575,-0.760997,-0.664599,-0.588159,-0.527963,-0.482004,-0.447148,-0.417893,-0.393943,-0.362205,-0.337531,-0.315801]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.35488,0.279905,0.227388,0.187147,0.154401,0.146065,0.133044,0.117112,0.100709,0.087053,0.07598,0.067076,0.059966,0.054413,0.050126,0.04662,0.043745,0.040476,0.037655,0.035194]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.04436,-0.078946,-0.106652,-0.129074,-0.147198,-0.164114,-0.179248,-0.192253,-0.20309,-0.212122,-0.21969,-0.226077,-0.23152,-0.23622,-0.240343,-0.243993,-0.24725,-0.250071,-0.252514,-0.254629]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.277597,0.325862,0.315845,0.282455,0.241249,0.214709,0.189672,0.163578,0.136858,0.112034,0.090314,0.072147,0.057537,0.046233,0.037858,0.032036,0.028314,0.025451,0.023617,0.022641]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.0795,-0.071418,-0.055381,-0.038297,-0.022922,-0.01477,-0.007914,-0.001805,0.003492,0.007345,0.009729,0.010881,0.011047,0.010403,0.009178,0.007754,0.006215,0.004865,0.003612,0.002471]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.064639,-0.839714,-0.682165,-0.561441,-0.463202,-0.438196,-0.399133,-0.351337,-0.302126,-0.261158,-0.227941,-0.201228,-0.179898,-0.163238,-0.150378,-0.13986,-0.131236,-0.121427,-0.112965,-0.105582]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.275833,0.438636,0.528176,0.568521,0.575281,0.574131,0.563031,0.541713,0.511853,0.477295,0.44099,0.404981,0.370612,0.338773,0.309952,0.284158,0.261283,0.240441,0.221578,0.204578]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.111504,-0.189706,-0.244498,-0.281773,-0.305434,-0.319521,-0.325767,-0.325602,-0.320302,-0.31118,-0.299385,-0.285834,-0.271246,-0.256198,-0.241128,-0.226285,-0.21185,-0.197909,-0.184553,-0.171836]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.000728,0.001238,0.001595,0.001839,0.001993,0.002085,0.002126,0.002124,0.00209,0.00203,0.001953,0.001865,0.00177,0.001672,0.001573,0.001476,0.001382,0.001291,0.001204,0.001121]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.233242,-0.974533,-0.792557,-0.65267,-0.538591,-0.509271,-0.463756,-0.408147,-0.350895,-0.303186,-0.264478,-0.233336,-0.208468,-0.189049,-0.174068,-0.161833,-0.15182,-0.140455,-0.130663,-0.122129]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.225643,-0.092983,-0.036823,-0.015523,-0.010202,-0.023263,-0.029042,-0.031896,-0.03479,-0.039495,-0.044508,-0.048993,-0.052492,-0.054697,-0.05548,-0.055145,-0.053845,-0.051245,-0.048404,-0.045349]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.003184,-0.006376,-0.008859,-0.010496,-0.011363,-0.011778,-0.011852,-0.011637,-0.011181,-0.010553,-0.009823,-0.009053,-0.00829,-0.007572,-0.006925,-0.00636,-0.005881,-0.005479,-0.005147,-0.004878]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.142346,-0.242178,-0.312125,-0.359711,-0.389916,-0.407899,-0.415873,-0.415663,-0.408896,-0.397251,-0.382194,-0.364895,-0.346271,-0.327061,-0.307823,-0.288875,-0.270447,-0.25265,-0.235599,-0.219365]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.012736,-0.025504,-0.035435,-0.041986,-0.045451,-0.047114,-0.047406,-0.046547,-0.044723,-0.04221,-0.039292,-0.036211,-0.033159,-0.030288,-0.027699,-0.025438,-0.023523,-0.021916,-0.020588,-0.019511]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.01226,-0.012168,-0.01197,-0.011688,-0.011351,-0.010985,-0.010605,-0.010222,-0.009846,-0.009484,-0.009144,-0.008827,-0.008536,-0.00827,-0.008027,-0.007806,-0.007603,-0.007416,-0.007243,-0.00708]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.003184,0.006376,0.008859,0.010496,0.011363,0.011778,0.011852,0.011637,0.011181,0.010553,0.009823,0.009053,0.00829,0.007572,0.006925,0.00636,0.005881,0.005479,0.005147,0.004878]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.071767,0.079364,0.083332,0.084248,0.082876,0.079957,0.075961,0.071281,0.066267,0.061232,0.056412,0.05197,0.048004,0.044559,0.041637,0.039207,0.037221,0.035618,0.034343,0.03334]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.150015,0.151347,0.149655,0.145613,0.140008,0.133556,0.126679,0.119694,0.112868,0.10642,0.100505,0.095214,0.090579,0.086591,0.083206,0.080357,0.077967,0.075956,0.074251,0.072788]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.201834,0.202004,0.199502,0.194909,0.188918,0.182162,0.175011,0.167745,0.160603,0.153782,0.147423,0.141612,0.136381,0.131726,0.127611,0.123977,0.12076,0.117888,0.115299,0.112937]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.220684,0.21903,0.215455,0.210382,0.204321,0.197733,0.190889,0.183995,0.177224,0.170721,0.164589,0.158889,0.153646,0.148855,0.14449,0.140508,0.136861,0.133496,0.130368,0.127434]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.819562,0.954451,0.960917,0.916887,0.854832,0.83469,0.811529,0.778502,0.736434,0.693372,0.653266,0.617456,0.586469,0.561136,0.541498,0.525115,0.511641,0.498529,0.486513,0.475561]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.426128,-0.59593,-0.673608,-0.712006,-0.731957,-0.763517,-0.790049,-0.805351,-0.808943,-0.805062,-0.795723,-0.783468,-0.769559,-0.755529,-0.742246,-0.7284,-0.714341,-0.699414,-0.683892,-0.668099]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.7796,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.3722,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.9664,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_ca","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"CA","name":"Canada"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.173729,-1.778676,-1.456967,-1.185047,-0.949303,-0.894538,-0.814994,-0.715919,-0.603391,-0.49233,-0.401412,-0.329152,-0.273768,-0.233626,-0.206584,-0.189481,-0.180462,-0.168488,-0.161525,-0.158274]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.051252,-2.545828,-2.04937,-1.624792,-1.275298,-1.066909,-0.899175,-0.752653,-0.619352,-0.50063,-0.403076,-0.325128,-0.264391,-0.218563,-0.185308,-0.161948,-0.146539,-0.132697,-0.122966,-0.116711]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.061099,-0.063225,-0.045895,-0.025305,-0.007358,0.002171,0.007808,0.011581,0.014231,0.015692,0.015811,0.014774,0.012865,0.010367,0.007534,0.004598,0.001724,-0.000735,-0.002877,-0.004729]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.280078,-0.482351,-0.600587,-0.648291,-0.643247,-0.621087,-0.587043,-0.543508,-0.492215,-0.43616,-0.379796,-0.326491,-0.278533,-0.237321,-0.203488,-0.176966,-0.157304,-0.142648,-0.1323,-0.125578]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.222634,1.641197,1.713711,1.643264,1.517934,1.445541,1.380041,1.303047,1.212742,1.120207,1.033656,0.95694,0.891497,0.837521,0.794353,0.760569,0.734715,0.711596,0.691778,0.674958]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.247669,-0.433004,-0.569338,-0.666295,-0.731075,-0.786687,-0.830926,-0.862267,-0.879937,-0.884878,-0.880078,-0.868135,-0.851266,-0.831362,-0.809956,-0.788139,-0.76674,-0.745298,-0.724315,-0.704132]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.667128,2.871137,3.574921,3.858875,3.82885,3.696947,3.494303,3.235168,2.929852,2.596188,2.260688,1.943396,1.657935,1.412623,1.211238,1.053371,0.936331,0.849098,0.787498,0.747488]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-5.576511,-4.497217,-3.631187,-2.912891,-2.302088,-2.165869,-1.968141,-1.72202,-1.442876,-1.168707,-0.946918,-0.772794,-0.64113,-0.547326,-0.485664,-0.447956,-0.429498,-0.40208,-0.386588,-0.379823]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.550774,-0.577291,-0.571517,-0.543918,-0.503693,-0.458104,-0.410133,-0.362189,-0.316371,-0.274507,-0.237818,-0.206881,-0.181767,-0.162177,-0.147557,-0.137199,-0.130338,-0.126206,-0.124223,-0.123857]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.374749,-0.366836,-0.348737,-0.324739,-0.298428,-0.272478,-0.247763,-0.224879,-0.204293,-0.186375,-0.171343,-0.159185,-0.149723,-0.142665,-0.137649,-0.134282,-0.132181,-0.130984,-0.130427,-0.130282]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.252554,-0.248667,-0.239659,-0.227629,-0.214338,-0.201103,-0.188353,-0.176384,-0.165435,-0.155698,-0.147294,-0.140232,-0.134435,-0.129772,-0.126075,-0.12316,-0.120846,-0.118963,-0.117387,-0.116011]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.637971,-0.99717,-1.168877,-1.214763,-1.177161,-1.130361,-1.06991,-0.993885,-0.902532,-0.800339,-0.696118,-0.59604,-0.504197,-0.423171,-0.354255,-0.297476,-0.252294,-0.215048,-0.1853,-0.162329]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.018716,-0.061598,-0.12512,-0.203003,-0.288801,-0.378192,-0.468123,-0.556146,-0.640155,-0.718387,-0.78959,-0.853021,-0.908394,-0.955792,-0.995589,-1.028356,-1.05479,-1.075569,-1.091359,-1.102805]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.860763,-8.11123,-6.33527,-4.921203,-3.788584,-3.42651,-2.88391,-2.369005,-1.88563,-1.47051,-1.165337,-0.934486,-0.764119,-0.643523,-0.561819,-0.506448,-0.471905,-0.419029,-0.388625,-0.367562]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.028304,-0.047573,-0.061821,-0.072158,-0.079418,-0.086986,-0.093574,-0.099008,-0.103187,-0.106242,-0.10855,-0.110341,-0.111803,-0.11309,-0.114318,-0.115555,-0.116855,-0.118082,-0.119315,-0.120571]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.962534,-2.697681,-1.994724,-1.447168,-1.016451,-1.059476,-0.92239,-0.760691,-0.585038,-0.427669,-0.323116,-0.250816,-0.20467,-0.18011,-0.171925,-0.173289,-0.181959,-0.171842,-0.172579,-0.175864]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.378588,0.282464,0.218041,0.170627,0.133025,0.12894,0.119251,0.105795,0.089815,0.073763,0.061011,0.051113,0.04369,0.038456,0.035063,0.032996,0.031998,0.030144,0.029035,0.028455]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.054294,-0.095459,-0.1261,-0.148098,-0.162893,-0.175446,-0.185278,-0.19207,-0.195674,-0.196319,-0.194686,-0.191373,-0.186898,-0.181705,-0.17616,-0.170527,-0.165009,-0.159523,-0.154189,-0.14909]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.002047,-0.098964,-0.118546,-0.104344,-0.076628,-0.042587,-0.014894,0.009865,0.0323,0.051765,0.068734,0.082612,0.093299,0.100975,0.105944,0.108534,0.109178,0.10804,0.10606,0.103379]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.04277,-0.044258,-0.032126,-0.017714,-0.005151,0.00152,0.005465,0.008107,0.009962,0.010984,0.011068,0.010342,0.009006,0.007257,0.005274,0.003219,0.001207,-0.000515,-0.002014,-0.003311]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.303046,-1.065647,-0.872615,-0.709607,-0.568361,-0.535648,-0.488054,-0.428745,-0.361368,-0.294865,-0.240431,-0.197173,-0.164022,-0.139998,-0.123816,-0.113584,-0.10819,-0.101018,-0.096845,-0.094896]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.336928,0.545237,0.66202,0.713298,0.71778,0.712878,0.696626,0.668268,0.62814,0.578823,0.525278,0.471241,0.419427,0.371753,0.329423,0.292908,0.262298,0.235954,0.2138,0.195572]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.102362,-0.177213,-0.230685,-0.267257,-0.290354,-0.304326,-0.310776,-0.310978,-0.306066,-0.297286,-0.285751,-0.27238,-0.257915,-0.242962,-0.227993,-0.213312,-0.199142,-0.185563,-0.172678,-0.160546]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001269,0.002198,0.002861,0.003314,0.003601,0.003774,0.003854,0.003857,0.003796,0.003687,0.003544,0.003378,0.003199,0.003013,0.002827,0.002645,0.00247,0.002301,0.002141,0.001991]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.506394,-1.232623,-1.009678,-0.821237,-0.657867,-0.619915,-0.564791,-0.496132,-0.41815,-0.341185,-0.278178,-0.228102,-0.189721,-0.161903,-0.143162,-0.13131,-0.12506,-0.116762,-0.111937,-0.109684]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.712464,-0.753282,-0.717346,-0.653156,-0.581031,-0.555084,-0.526156,-0.490336,-0.448222,-0.405399,-0.367394,-0.334981,-0.308255,-0.287016,-0.270752,-0.258564,-0.249775,-0.241072,-0.234062,-0.228456]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.070019,-0.120588,-0.150147,-0.162073,-0.160812,-0.155272,-0.146761,-0.135877,-0.123054,-0.10904,-0.094949,-0.081623,-0.069633,-0.05933,-0.050872,-0.044242,-0.039326,-0.035662,-0.033075,-0.031394]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.128961,-0.22326,-0.290626,-0.336702,-0.3658,-0.383403,-0.391529,-0.391784,-0.385595,-0.374533,-0.360002,-0.343156,-0.324932,-0.306094,-0.287235,-0.268739,-0.250888,-0.23378,-0.217547,-0.202263]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.280078,-0.482351,-0.600587,-0.648291,-0.643247,-0.621087,-0.587043,-0.543508,-0.492215,-0.43616,-0.379796,-0.326491,-0.278533,-0.237321,-0.203488,-0.176966,-0.157304,-0.142648,-0.1323,-0.125578]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.117501,-0.115261,-0.111333,-0.106416,-0.1011,-0.095822,-0.090727,-0.085913,-0.08146,-0.077431,-0.073868,-0.070771,-0.068118,-0.065861,-0.063946,-0.062312,-0.060896,-0.059642,-0.058509,-0.05746]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.070019,0.120588,0.150147,0.162073,0.160812,0.155272,0.146761,0.135877,0.123054,0.10904,0.094949,0.081623,0.069633,0.05933,0.050872,0.044242,0.039326,0.035662,0.033075,0.031394]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.04647,1.096853,1.085883,1.033445,0.957017,0.870398,0.779253,0.688159,0.601105,0.521564,0.451855,0.393074,0.345358,0.308137,0.280359,0.260679,0.247642,0.239791,0.236023,0.235328]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.686373,1.650763,1.569315,1.461324,1.342925,1.226151,1.114932,1.011956,0.919318,0.838689,0.771041,0.716332,0.673756,0.641994,0.619419,0.604271,0.594815,0.58943,0.586922,0.586269]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[2.070939,2.039071,1.965207,1.866558,1.75757,1.649048,1.544497,1.446353,1.356563,1.276722,1.20781,1.149899,1.102369,1.064132,1.033814,1.009913,0.99094,0.975499,0.962574,0.951294]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[2.115026,2.074706,2.003994,1.915496,1.819794,1.724802,1.633088,1.546436,1.466271,1.393759,1.329615,1.273886,1.226116,1.185502,1.151034,1.121607,1.096125,1.07356,1.053161,1.034285]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.28143,-1.605035,-1.589876,-1.436905,-1.23556,-1.100858,-0.978105,-0.851171,-0.719308,-0.594386,-0.484699,-0.39257,-0.318308,-0.261009,-0.218961,-0.189832,-0.171378,-0.157413,-0.148333,-0.143362]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.417993,1.704757,1.651547,1.461483,1.225321,1.067896,0.922692,0.774221,0.622487,0.48083,0.358269,0.256453,0.175339,0.113722,0.069542,0.039958,0.022444,0.010099,0.003506,0.001703]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.1737,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.1208,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-5.5765,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_cn","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"CN","name":"China"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.788239,-1.40991,-1.12732,-0.902582,-0.715646,-0.647518,-0.557985,-0.454524,-0.352631,-0.265987,-0.193949,-0.135182,-0.088321,-0.052217,-0.025494,-0.006212,0.006769,0.018937,0.026621,0.030741]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.028896,-2.487568,-1.962078,-1.526561,-1.178958,-0.957806,-0.775942,-0.616136,-0.477554,-0.363751,-0.271954,-0.198783,-0.14119,-0.096701,-0.063121,-0.038199,-0.020329,-0.005517,0.005031,0.011948]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.142263,-0.165686,-0.144393,-0.110278,-0.075956,-0.053648,-0.036302,-0.021036,-0.007514,0.003376,0.011369,0.016654,0.019613,0.020679,0.020285,0.018859,0.016754,0.014646,0.012493,0.01034]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.211701,-0.383366,-0.505422,-0.581318,-0.618516,-0.636053,-0.636442,-0.621191,-0.592757,-0.554893,-0.511064,-0.464204,-0.416673,-0.370303,-0.326433,-0.285911,-0.249243,-0.216123,-0.186593,-0.160594]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.043814,0.077243,0.12332,0.176418,0.232166,0.288951,0.342852,0.392584,0.437307,0.476742,0.510693,0.539174,0.562395,0.58075,0.594683,0.604525,0.610754,0.613777,0.614057,0.611974]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.266826,-0.452737,-0.57948,-0.661272,-0.708024,-0.740769,-0.757638,-0.758007,-0.7436,-0.718007,-0.684378,-0.645364,-0.603161,-0.559596,-0.516121,-0.473773,-0.433332,-0.394697,-0.358332,-0.324532]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.058505,1.916831,2.527111,2.90659,3.092581,3.180266,3.182212,3.105956,2.963786,2.774463,2.555318,2.321022,2.083366,1.851515,1.632167,1.429557,1.246215,1.080617,0.932967,0.802971]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.704621,-2.874656,-2.258371,-1.773587,-1.375925,-1.230915,-1.04404,-0.830874,-0.623495,-0.449832,-0.307818,-0.19407,-0.10528,-0.038701,0.008797,0.041419,0.061638,0.080863,0.091396,0.095147]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.524251,-0.571883,-0.593324,-0.594029,-0.57939,-0.55416,-0.520941,-0.48219,-0.44028,-0.397341,-0.354994,-0.314436,-0.276484,-0.241647,-0.210174,-0.182115,-0.157376,-0.135766,-0.117095,-0.101132]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.42644,-0.422754,-0.409511,-0.389338,-0.364673,-0.337565,-0.3091,-0.280222,-0.251789,-0.224523,-0.19895,-0.175413,-0.1541,-0.135076,-0.118309,-0.103694,-0.091081,-0.080291,-0.071158,-0.063511]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.24181,-0.237378,-0.228666,-0.216916,-0.203283,-0.188735,-0.173763,-0.158795,-0.144222,-0.130372,-0.11748,-0.105693,-0.095086,-0.085674,-0.077427,-0.070281,-0.06415,-0.058937,-0.054551,-0.050901]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.233752,-0.388563,-0.486711,-0.542752,-0.566819,-0.578382,-0.576283,-0.560439,-0.532777,-0.496759,-0.455341,-0.410948,-0.36553,-0.320655,-0.27752,-0.236924,-0.199421,-0.16478,-0.133271,-0.105012]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.031364,-0.101577,-0.203744,-0.326842,-0.459918,-0.595189,-0.726835,-0.850091,-0.961089,-1.056994,-1.136021,-1.197339,-1.240929,-1.26742,-1.277931,-1.273922,-1.257061,-1.229049,-1.191574,-1.146291]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-9.874868,-7.231174,-5.582476,-4.267883,-3.211891,-2.691639,-2.073757,-1.510777,-1.038952,-0.679638,-0.403799,-0.196332,-0.044741,0.0609,0.130094,0.172875,0.194676,0.216543,0.220672,0.215384]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.023374,-0.038243,-0.048727,-0.055798,-0.060174,-0.064068,-0.066606,-0.067748,-0.067693,-0.066794,-0.065294,-0.063395,-0.06126,-0.059024,-0.056793,-0.054634,-0.052601,-0.05065,-0.048837,-0.047178]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.272408,-2.081642,-1.467768,-0.989843,-0.612766,-0.545066,-0.355283,-0.159931,0.007637,0.125941,0.209961,0.265891,0.298894,0.312986,0.312414,0.302237,0.284647,0.273059,0.253929,0.232199]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.310544,0.243631,0.194198,0.155181,0.122879,0.111251,0.095848,0.078011,0.060452,0.045545,0.033162,0.023065,0.015016,0.008815,0.004224,0.00091,-0.001324,-0.003425,-0.004753,-0.005465]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.208017,-0.368914,-0.494567,-0.592254,-0.666818,-0.732432,-0.786743,-0.828318,-0.857549,-0.876411,-0.886761,-0.890264,-0.888398,-0.882478,-0.873638,-0.862771,-0.85062,-0.837287,-0.823296,-0.809062]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.209643,0.22597,0.215499,0.194918,0.171417,0.159535,0.147441,0.13391,0.119631,0.106366,0.09481,0.085202,0.077549,0.071751,0.067617,0.064841,0.063177,0.061802,0.060934,0.060465]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.099584,-0.11598,-0.101075,-0.077195,-0.053169,-0.037553,-0.025412,-0.014725,-0.00526,0.002363,0.007959,0.011658,0.013729,0.014476,0.0142,0.013201,0.011727,0.010252,0.008745,0.007238]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.069804,-0.841868,-0.672325,-0.537881,-0.426256,-0.385764,-0.332392,-0.270671,-0.209896,-0.15825,-0.115326,-0.080317,-0.052402,-0.030895,-0.014974,-0.003483,0.004258,0.011526,0.016117,0.018582]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.120036,0.180586,0.204971,0.207345,0.196497,0.184156,0.169311,0.151736,0.132314,0.112591,0.093634,0.076116,0.060428,0.046771,0.035199,0.02562,0.017889,0.011538,0.006474,0.002572]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.072266,-0.123029,-0.158203,-0.181682,-0.196209,-0.204375,-0.207522,-0.206724,-0.202872,-0.196794,-0.189173,-0.180551,-0.171345,-0.161883,-0.152413,-0.14309,-0.134027,-0.125279,-0.116904,-0.108936]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.00058,0.000987,0.00127,0.001458,0.001575,0.00164,0.001665,0.001659,0.001628,0.001579,0.001518,0.001449,0.001375,0.001299,0.001223,0.001148,0.001076,0.001005,0.000938,0.000874]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.042543,-0.821978,-0.657228,-0.526205,-0.417222,-0.377503,-0.325305,-0.264988,-0.205584,-0.15507,-0.113072,-0.078811,-0.051491,-0.030443,-0.014863,-0.003622,0.003947,0.01104,0.01552,0.017922]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.519669,-0.379839,-0.300805,-0.25337,-0.222903,-0.227775,-0.22364,-0.213788,-0.203174,-0.195447,-0.189791,-0.185557,-0.182331,-0.179919,-0.17813,-0.176599,-0.175267,-0.17287,-0.170765,-0.168827]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.052925,-0.095842,-0.126356,-0.14533,-0.154629,-0.159013,-0.159111,-0.155298,-0.148189,-0.138723,-0.127766,-0.116051,-0.104168,-0.092576,-0.081608,-0.071478,-0.062311,-0.054031,-0.046648,-0.040149]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.093678,-0.159481,-0.205078,-0.235513,-0.254345,-0.264931,-0.26901,-0.267975,-0.262982,-0.255103,-0.245225,-0.234047,-0.222113,-0.209849,-0.197572,-0.185487,-0.173738,-0.162399,-0.151543,-0.141214]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.211701,-0.383366,-0.505422,-0.581318,-0.618516,-0.636053,-0.636442,-0.621191,-0.592757,-0.554893,-0.511064,-0.464204,-0.416673,-0.370303,-0.326433,-0.285911,-0.249243,-0.216123,-0.186593,-0.160594]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.09931,-0.097628,-0.094514,-0.09038,-0.085611,-0.08053,-0.075301,-0.070066,-0.064957,-0.060082,-0.055521,-0.051323,-0.047514,-0.044099,-0.041069,-0.038402,-0.036072,-0.034046,-0.032294,-0.030787]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.052925,0.095842,0.126356,0.14533,0.154629,0.159013,0.159111,0.155298,0.148189,0.138723,0.127766,0.116051,0.104168,0.092576,0.081608,0.071478,0.062311,0.054031,0.046648,0.040149]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.996078,1.086578,1.127316,1.128656,1.100841,1.052903,0.989788,0.916161,0.836532,0.754947,0.674489,0.597428,0.52532,0.45913,0.399331,0.346018,0.299015,0.257956,0.22248,0.19215]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.918981,1.902392,1.842802,1.752022,1.641027,1.519042,1.390949,1.261,1.133051,1.010355,0.895276,0.789357,0.693449,0.607842,0.532389,0.466622,0.409864,0.361311,0.320212,0.2858]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.982843,1.946496,1.875059,1.778712,1.666924,1.54763,1.424859,1.302123,1.182622,1.06905,0.963332,0.86668,0.779703,0.702528,0.634903,0.576304,0.526032,0.483283,0.447319,0.41739]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.787571,1.757307,1.701248,1.626838,1.541001,1.449544,1.355416,1.261192,1.169217,1.081472,0.999371,0.92381,0.855245,0.793777,0.739233,0.691239,0.649294,0.612821,0.581288,0.554157]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.155004,0.223523,0.228502,0.204811,0.167796,0.133101,0.097867,0.059841,0.019625,-0.020706,-0.059529,-0.09569,-0.128528,-0.157733,-0.183186,-0.204802,-0.222744,-0.237714,-0.249811,-0.25919]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.239173,0.140803,0.061156,-0.005363,-0.060447,-0.088694,-0.114496,-0.136242,-0.152948,-0.162635,-0.164694,-0.161313,-0.153763,-0.143049,-0.130128,-0.116086,-0.101516,-0.08772,-0.074216,-0.061281]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.7882,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.7257,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.7046,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_in","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"IN","name":"India"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.81238,-1.411711,-1.102173,-0.846001,-0.623281,-0.517449,-0.389043,-0.249481,-0.122745,-0.02132,0.054499,0.106119,0.135898,0.14675,0.1421,0.125771,0.101128,0.075741,0.047619,0.01901]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.791335,-2.251026,-1.766557,-1.365597,-1.038672,-0.813502,-0.622167,-0.453544,-0.310467,-0.195123,-0.105506,-0.038909,0.007572,0.036862,0.051924,0.055773,0.051111,0.042449,0.03014,0.015785]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.189229,-0.220878,-0.188673,-0.138199,-0.087894,-0.054584,-0.028989,-0.006934,0.011915,0.026473,0.036393,0.041971,0.043819,0.042665,0.039244,0.034249,0.028313,0.022483,0.016817,0.011453]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.290647,-0.556278,-0.708637,-0.748226,-0.702554,-0.61788,-0.51474,-0.402658,-0.288538,-0.179388,-0.081081,0.00237,0.068841,0.117811,0.150005,0.167054,0.171148,0.165544,0.152792,0.135048]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.038218,-0.031387,0.028538,0.107278,0.186363,0.253496,0.306869,0.348113,0.378005,0.397037,0.405973,0.4061,0.399036,0.386572,0.370357,0.35155,0.331414,0.311158,0.291382,0.272493]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.273763,-0.459329,-0.580046,-0.651615,-0.684813,-0.701416,-0.699527,-0.678928,-0.642974,-0.596546,-0.54408,-0.48938,-0.435568,-0.38508,-0.339668,-0.30041,-0.267841,-0.241366,-0.220803,-0.205688]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.453234,2.781391,3.543187,3.74113,3.512768,3.089402,2.573699,2.013292,1.442692,0.896942,0.405405,-0.011848,-0.344203,-0.589057,-0.750025,-0.835272,-0.85574,-0.82772,-0.763961,-0.675238]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.790271,-3.621735,-2.738387,-2.035904,-1.450941,-1.19317,-0.880069,-0.539672,-0.234574,0.00382,0.176627,0.288931,0.347767,0.361157,0.338101,0.28839,0.220399,0.153484,0.081476,0.009759]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.567703,-0.567439,-0.520328,-0.441883,-0.348059,-0.251635,-0.159673,-0.07658,-0.005366,0.052095,0.095212,0.124446,0.14103,0.146697,0.143441,0.133333,0.118366,0.10036,0.080789,0.060847]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.198001,-0.17776,-0.145358,-0.106469,-0.066691,-0.030209,0.001134,0.026534,0.04567,0.058565,0.065585,0.067379,0.064786,0.058735,0.050168,0.039977,0.028961,0.017797,0.006991,-0.003086]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.105089,-0.098942,-0.086104,-0.06941,-0.051681,-0.035052,-0.0205,-0.008491,0.000748,0.007165,0.010881,0.012164,0.011385,0.008967,0.005346,0.00094,-0.003873,-0.00877,-0.013508,-0.017911]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.211514,-0.352739,-0.441717,-0.490186,-0.506324,-0.507172,-0.491848,-0.460819,-0.417256,-0.365449,-0.309294,-0.252135,-0.196714,-0.145162,-0.099001,-0.059157,-0.026067,0.000765,0.021562,0.036798]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.031688,-0.107137,-0.218577,-0.351973,-0.493229,-0.632041,-0.761137,-0.874999,-0.969603,-1.042442,-1.092511,-1.120138,-1.126742,-1.114553,-1.086341,-1.045165,-0.994159,-0.936286,-0.874233,-0.810372]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-9.825909,-6.957084,-5.182636,-3.829673,-2.793101,-2.318481,-1.745678,-1.229423,-0.827616,-0.543718,-0.349849,-0.228077,-0.162553,-0.1396,-0.146797,-0.172704,-0.209367,-0.234472,-0.265407,-0.293629]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.02313,-0.036628,-0.045113,-0.049992,-0.052275,-0.054303,-0.0552,-0.054936,-0.053824,-0.052245,-0.050476,-0.048735,-0.047189,-0.045956,-0.045109,-0.044678,-0.044665,-0.04497,-0.045586,-0.046473]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.238137,-1.889779,-1.18788,-0.683097,-0.319613,-0.283856,-0.125628,0.037017,0.155572,0.221086,0.247726,0.243669,0.216426,0.172636,0.118591,0.060332,0.001817,-0.042652,-0.086327,-0.124111]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.30244,0.233736,0.181436,0.138581,0.101545,0.084092,0.062802,0.039647,0.018669,0.001943,-0.010504,-0.01892,-0.023705,-0.02535,-0.024429,-0.021579,-0.017361,-0.013037,-0.008269,-0.003433]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.271172,-0.476237,-0.630304,-0.742614,-0.819263,-0.878626,-0.917752,-0.935446,-0.934103,-0.917904,-0.890955,-0.857049,-0.81954,-0.781281,-0.74456,-0.711058,-0.681926,-0.657168,-0.637097,-0.621683]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.22876,0.236299,0.221178,0.197703,0.171674,0.157961,0.142857,0.125604,0.107694,0.091047,0.076498,0.064369,0.054706,0.047411,0.042255,0.038871,0.036939,0.035514,0.03479,0.034585]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.13246,-0.154615,-0.132071,-0.096739,-0.061525,-0.038209,-0.020292,-0.004854,0.00834,0.018531,0.025475,0.02938,0.030673,0.029865,0.027471,0.023975,0.019819,0.015738,0.011772,0.008017]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.084689,-0.84346,-0.657741,-0.504383,-0.37122,-0.308057,-0.231317,-0.14789,-0.072165,-0.011609,0.03362,0.064372,0.082062,0.088438,0.085551,0.075688,0.060863,0.045604,0.028716,0.011547]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.051653,0.071639,0.074968,0.069692,0.060136,0.05131,0.042284,0.032819,0.023452,0.014867,0.007486,0.001527,-0.003875,-0.008409,-0.011636,-0.013443,-0.013875,-0.013246,-0.01172,-0.009503]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.073497,-0.124792,-0.159889,-0.182906,-0.196807,-0.204262,-0.206722,-0.205343,-0.201068,-0.194711,-0.186933,-0.178245,-0.169038,-0.159613,-0.150195,-0.140935,-0.131944,-0.123275,-0.114984,-0.107104]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001998,0.003393,0.004347,0.004973,0.005351,0.005553,0.00562,0.005583,0.005467,0.005294,0.005082,0.004846,0.004596,0.00434,0.004083,0.003832,0.003587,0.003352,0.003126,0.002912]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.996809,-0.776441,-0.606195,-0.4653,-0.342805,-0.284597,-0.213973,-0.137215,-0.06751,-0.011726,0.029975,0.058366,0.074744,0.080713,0.078155,0.069174,0.055621,0.041657,0.02619,0.010455]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.378301,-0.261235,-0.20213,-0.16989,-0.148919,-0.150418,-0.141328,-0.12591,-0.110462,-0.09766,-0.087394,-0.079539,-0.073968,-0.070544,-0.069,-0.068864,-0.069805,-0.070614,-0.071974,-0.073495]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.072662,-0.13907,-0.177159,-0.187056,-0.175638,-0.15447,-0.128685,-0.100665,-0.072135,-0.044847,-0.02027,0.000592,0.01721,0.029453,0.037501,0.041764,0.042787,0.041386,0.038198,0.033762]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.083735,-0.142176,-0.182163,-0.208386,-0.224223,-0.232717,-0.23552,-0.233949,-0.229078,-0.221836,-0.212974,-0.203076,-0.192586,-0.181848,-0.171118,-0.160568,-0.150325,-0.140448,-0.131002,-0.122024]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.290647,-0.556278,-0.708637,-0.748226,-0.702554,-0.61788,-0.51474,-0.402658,-0.288538,-0.179388,-0.081081,0.00237,0.068841,0.117811,0.150005,0.167054,0.171148,0.165544,0.152792,0.135048]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.045366,-0.042972,-0.038363,-0.032484,-0.026275,-0.020445,-0.01532,-0.011053,-0.00772,-0.005338,-0.003864,-0.003208,-0.003248,-0.003841,-0.004841,-0.006109,-0.007519,-0.008962,-0.010358,-0.011647]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.072662,0.13907,0.177159,0.187056,0.175638,0.15447,0.128685,0.100665,0.072135,0.044847,0.02027,-0.000592,-0.01721,-0.029453,-0.037501,-0.041764,-0.042787,-0.041386,-0.038198,-0.033762]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.078635,1.078134,0.988623,0.839578,0.661312,0.478106,0.303379,0.145502,0.010195,-0.09898,-0.180902,-0.236447,-0.267958,-0.278725,-0.272539,-0.253332,-0.224896,-0.190684,-0.153499,-0.11561]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.891003,0.799919,0.654109,0.47911,0.300111,0.13594,-0.005103,-0.119403,-0.205515,-0.263541,-0.295131,-0.303207,-0.291539,-0.264309,-0.225758,-0.179898,-0.130324,-0.080086,-0.031461,0.013885]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.861728,0.811323,0.706056,0.569163,0.423785,0.287424,0.168101,0.069629,-0.006135,-0.058752,-0.089221,-0.099747,-0.093361,-0.073532,-0.043837,-0.007708,0.031758,0.071911,0.110768,0.146868]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.816581,0.77349,0.690538,0.584717,0.472942,0.368004,0.275753,0.19896,0.138966,0.096076,0.069548,0.057753,0.058464,0.069135,0.087141,0.109965,0.135337,0.161312,0.186438,0.209642]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.20506,0.283602,0.272783,0.227956,0.175004,0.137095,0.109639,0.087979,0.070911,0.059329,0.053589,0.053308,0.057611,0.065348,0.075412,0.087031,0.099302,0.110847,0.121439,0.130933]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.15714,0.032173,-0.033626,-0.074503,-0.10625,-0.124149,-0.15048,-0.180713,-0.21225,-0.24234,-0.269414,-0.294387,-0.317123,-0.337226,-0.354455,-0.369061,-0.380856,-0.390339,-0.396891,-0.400762]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8124,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.7986,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.7903,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_br","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"BR","name":"Brazil"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.874123,-1.508374,-1.202029,-0.932355,-0.687049,-0.564132,-0.422222,-0.269887,-0.121877,-0.002473,0.087268,0.148611,0.18415,0.197273,0.192039,0.173044,0.144289,0.114802,0.082219,0.04906]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.758479,-2.226452,-1.755368,-1.363735,-1.04018,-0.814669,-0.622711,-0.453553,-0.305744,-0.18552,-0.091616,-0.021668,0.027118,0.057693,0.073149,0.076714,0.071273,0.061749,0.048421,0.032969]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.118889,-0.147225,-0.130684,-0.099868,-0.067567,-0.045185,-0.027822,-0.01263,0.000961,0.011996,0.020045,0.025149,0.027619,0.027905,0.026473,0.023726,0.020121,0.016408,0.012672,0.009033]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.301746,-0.575025,-0.726043,-0.758081,-0.702653,-0.609879,-0.501749,-0.387571,-0.272902,-0.16426,-0.067291,0.014152,0.078123,0.124313,0.153653,0.167899,0.169366,0.161523,0.146992,0.127936]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.609547,0.778724,0.840086,0.852229,0.838292,0.842098,0.834663,0.810964,0.772592,0.726783,0.678308,0.630016,0.583873,0.541604,0.504156,0.470848,0.441792,0.415271,0.391899,0.371588]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.272709,-0.464537,-0.593254,-0.671816,-0.709602,-0.728715,-0.727998,-0.707431,-0.669065,-0.618276,-0.560078,-0.498848,-0.438216,-0.381045,-0.329414,-0.284611,-0.247296,-0.216817,-0.192991,-0.175321]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.257277,2.395936,3.02518,3.15867,2.927721,2.541162,2.090621,1.614881,1.137093,0.684415,0.280381,-0.058967,-0.325513,-0.517972,-0.640222,-0.699578,-0.705692,-0.673011,-0.612468,-0.533066]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.628985,-2.793155,-2.123829,-1.573224,-1.104434,-0.894139,-0.651545,-0.390385,-0.138077,0.05932,0.201849,0.293497,0.340188,0.348807,0.327116,0.283635,0.225484,0.16939,0.109641,0.05046]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.570343,-0.566738,-0.515392,-0.433048,-0.336519,-0.238922,-0.147148,-0.065223,0.004211,0.059494,0.100217,0.127003,0.141226,0.144734,0.139608,0.127969,0.111841,0.093045,0.073029,0.05294]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.196162,-0.175765,-0.142849,-0.103519,-0.063672,-0.027589,0.002975,0.027376,0.04544,0.057264,0.063266,0.064131,0.060726,0.053999,0.044901,0.034323,0.023056,0.011767,0.000938,-0.009085]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.107116,-0.100822,-0.087654,-0.070669,-0.052844,-0.036368,-0.022177,-0.010657,-0.001963,0.003893,0.007059,0.007825,0.006579,0.003756,-0.000199,-0.004866,-0.009868,-0.014886,-0.019688,-0.024106]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.315743,-0.521718,-0.644038,-0.701159,-0.706759,-0.689023,-0.64838,-0.586557,-0.507464,-0.418511,-0.326234,-0.236029,-0.152091,-0.077452,-0.014027,0.03732,0.076529,0.105083,0.123874,0.134105]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.028477,-0.093611,-0.190318,-0.308056,-0.435601,-0.564484,-0.68823,-0.801627,-0.900465,-0.981765,-1.043834,-1.08619,-1.109399,-1.114858,-1.104571,-1.080927,-1.046516,-1.003874,-0.955398,-0.903276]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-9.986376,-7.240493,-5.444785,-4.047911,-2.952843,-2.447592,-1.847597,-1.298973,-0.829436,-0.497285,-0.266099,-0.117984,-0.0363,-0.006129,-0.013406,-0.044574,-0.090219,-0.123397,-0.164502,-0.203585]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.023932,-0.038847,-0.048643,-0.054613,-0.057695,-0.060368,-0.061775,-0.061858,-0.060756,-0.058945,-0.056757,-0.054466,-0.052289,-0.050388,-0.048874,-0.047803,-0.047194,-0.046943,-0.047055,-0.047491]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.350463,-2.088165,-1.371385,-0.835863,-0.431433,-0.374234,-0.196971,-0.011668,0.154298,0.253589,0.306351,0.320735,0.304803,0.266066,0.211965,0.150023,0.085221,0.035101,-0.015693,-0.06108]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.353299,0.261339,0.195585,0.14339,0.098604,0.077883,0.052729,0.02555,-0.00054,-0.020821,-0.035365,-0.044568,-0.049013,-0.049395,-0.046519,-0.041271,-0.034411,-0.027634,-0.020425,-0.013281]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.046777,-0.083033,-0.11055,-0.130519,-0.1438,-0.153662,-0.159739,-0.161888,-0.160331,-0.155885,-0.149364,-0.141527,-0.133044,-0.124484,-0.116299,-0.108817,-0.102258,-0.096613,-0.091932,-0.088203]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.155113,-0.246186,-0.258773,-0.237806,-0.203926,-0.175619,-0.151334,-0.127461,-0.103387,-0.080294,-0.059627,-0.042023,-0.027634,-0.016343,-0.00789,-0.001964,0.001829,0.004362,0.005857,0.006439]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.083223,-0.103057,-0.091479,-0.069907,-0.047297,-0.031629,-0.019476,-0.008841,0.000673,0.008397,0.014032,0.017604,0.019333,0.019534,0.018531,0.016608,0.014085,0.011486,0.008871,0.006323]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.122642,-0.902637,-0.718828,-0.557251,-0.410379,-0.336853,-0.25191,-0.160717,-0.072125,-0.000683,0.052985,0.089641,0.110845,0.118627,0.115421,0.103979,0.086699,0.068988,0.049429,0.029531]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.123692,0.186632,0.210723,0.209884,0.193104,0.173178,0.149784,0.12326,0.094819,0.066916,0.041349,0.019301,0.001434,-0.013648,-0.024639,-0.031458,-0.034415,-0.034421,-0.031982,-0.027666]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.073041,-0.1259,-0.163137,-0.188209,-0.203794,-0.212587,-0.216061,-0.215358,-0.211417,-0.205087,-0.197081,-0.18797,-0.178206,-0.168145,-0.15806,-0.148138,-0.138517,-0.129263,-0.120439,-0.112084]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.003002,0.005174,0.006704,0.007735,0.008375,0.008736,0.008879,0.00885,0.008688,0.008428,0.008099,0.007725,0.007324,0.00691,0.006496,0.006088,0.005692,0.005312,0.00495,0.004606]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.236921,-0.995527,-0.793339,-0.615354,-0.453452,-0.372327,-0.278667,-0.178125,-0.080439,-0.001632,0.057597,0.098083,0.121539,0.1302,0.126746,0.114209,0.095231,0.075769,0.054265,0.03238]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.507025,-0.469471,-0.426852,-0.383105,-0.338649,-0.321461,-0.296449,-0.264552,-0.229252,-0.197105,-0.16942,-0.146673,-0.128918,-0.116034,-0.107573,-0.102519,-0.10021,-0.098582,-0.098298,-0.098864]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.075437,-0.143756,-0.181511,-0.18952,-0.175663,-0.15247,-0.125437,-0.096893,-0.068226,-0.041065,-0.016823,0.003538,0.019531,0.031078,0.038413,0.041975,0.042341,0.040381,0.036748,0.031984]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.087549,-0.150908,-0.195541,-0.225593,-0.244274,-0.254813,-0.258977,-0.258134,-0.253411,-0.245823,-0.236227,-0.225306,-0.213603,-0.201543,-0.189455,-0.177563,-0.16603,-0.154938,-0.144362,-0.134348]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.301746,-0.575025,-0.726043,-0.758081,-0.702653,-0.609879,-0.501749,-0.387571,-0.272902,-0.16426,-0.067291,0.014152,0.078123,0.124313,0.153653,0.167899,0.169366,0.161523,0.146992,0.127936]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.048705,-0.046229,-0.041474,-0.035459,-0.029176,-0.023354,-0.018304,-0.014154,-0.010955,-0.00871,-0.00737,-0.006837,-0.006982,-0.007659,-0.00872,-0.010025,-0.011448,-0.012883,-0.014251,-0.015497]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.075437,0.143756,0.181511,0.18952,0.175663,0.15247,0.125437,0.096893,0.068226,0.041065,0.016823,-0.003538,-0.019531,-0.031078,-0.038413,-0.041975,-0.042341,-0.040381,-0.036748,-0.031984]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.083652,1.076802,0.979245,0.822792,0.639386,0.453952,0.279581,0.123923,-0.008001,-0.113039,-0.190413,-0.241305,-0.268329,-0.274995,-0.265256,-0.243142,-0.212497,-0.176786,-0.138756,-0.100587]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.88273,0.790944,0.642819,0.465838,0.286524,0.124152,-0.013385,-0.123192,-0.204479,-0.257689,-0.284696,-0.288589,-0.273265,-0.242994,-0.202053,-0.154452,-0.103752,-0.05295,-0.004221,0.040881]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.878347,0.826742,0.718762,0.579485,0.43332,0.298216,0.181851,0.087391,0.016095,-0.031922,-0.057881,-0.064165,-0.053947,-0.030802,0.001631,0.039902,0.08092,0.122069,0.161442,0.197672]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.876696,0.832117,0.746525,0.63826,0.525169,0.420373,0.329475,0.254779,0.197192,0.156788,0.132664,0.12307,0.125677,0.137864,0.156966,0.180455,0.206067,0.231886,0.256515,0.278953]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.540874,-0.639645,-0.643241,-0.603878,-0.543747,-0.504376,-0.458298,-0.4024,-0.338745,-0.274054,-0.212474,-0.155999,-0.10581,-0.06285,-0.02737,0.001817,0.02511,0.044537,0.059803,0.071317]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.804906,0.842284,0.777922,0.670448,0.545679,0.464453,0.377315,0.282139,0.182338,0.087406,0.002921,-0.070472,-0.132285,-0.182195,-0.220656,-0.249763,-0.270479,-0.286227,-0.296373,-0.301667]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8741,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.5917,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.629,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_ru","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"RU","name":"Russia"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.027068,-1.715431,-1.416153,-1.139864,-0.887722,-0.785033,-0.67231,-0.547511,-0.414273,-0.290604,-0.19141,-0.115646,-0.061633,-0.027047,-0.00907,-0.004525,-0.010501,-0.016217,-0.027042,-0.041069]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.834352,-2.344258,-1.882933,-1.486381,-1.154925,-0.934538,-0.755589,-0.601463,-0.464194,-0.345689,-0.24967,-0.174391,-0.117618,-0.076946,-0.049916,-0.034052,-0.027111,-0.023528,-0.024304,-0.028287]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.127091,-0.156273,-0.141249,-0.112258,-0.081653,-0.061693,-0.046677,-0.03351,-0.021195,-0.010378,-0.001932,0.003987,0.007605,0.009265,0.009345,0.008221,0.006256,0.004216,0.002052,-0.000161]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.197267,-0.38687,-0.506803,-0.553782,-0.543227,-0.505364,-0.453833,-0.394565,-0.330705,-0.265718,-0.203529,-0.147296,-0.099082,-0.059934,-0.030073,-0.009077,0.00391,0.010711,0.01263,0.010761]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.555007,0.719943,0.751034,0.726763,0.680153,0.65682,0.632859,0.601131,0.561575,0.519767,0.479493,0.442325,0.409225,0.380657,0.356655,0.336759,0.320642,0.306168,0.293636,0.283003]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.307944,-0.542537,-0.712289,-0.826745,-0.894631,-0.942735,-0.971156,-0.979565,-0.968153,-0.939801,-0.899403,-0.85129,-0.799189,-0.74619,-0.694726,-0.646582,-0.602986,-0.563459,-0.528405,-0.497929]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.616458,1.208967,1.583759,1.73057,1.697586,1.579262,1.418229,1.233016,1.033453,0.830369,0.636028,0.460301,0.309631,0.187294,0.093977,0.028366,-0.012218,-0.033473,-0.039468,-0.033628]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.557829,-2.91253,-2.321348,-1.804038,-1.355576,-1.187864,-1.008017,-0.80983,-0.598476,-0.404811,-0.253915,-0.142516,-0.066688,-0.021791,-0.002664,-0.003781,-0.020288,-0.033597,-0.053946,-0.078383]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.442714,-0.459394,-0.44425,-0.406341,-0.35553,-0.300012,-0.244333,-0.191363,-0.143177,-0.10135,-0.066796,-0.039776,-0.020019,-0.006873,0.000554,0.003276,0.002337,-0.001262,-0.006698,-0.013274]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.232456,-0.222288,-0.20297,-0.178045,-0.151185,-0.125268,-0.101639,-0.080946,-0.063534,-0.049585,-0.039104,-0.031905,-0.027644,-0.02588,-0.026124,-0.027882,-0.030685,-0.034113,-0.037842,-0.041615]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.138845,-0.135421,-0.127223,-0.115991,-0.103548,-0.091334,-0.08003,-0.069981,-0.061379,-0.05434,-0.048894,-0.044971,-0.042423,-0.04105,-0.040626,-0.040919,-0.041709,-0.042796,-0.044026,-0.045277]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.364413,-0.612936,-0.766381,-0.844073,-0.862451,-0.857865,-0.832415,-0.787433,-0.724634,-0.648655,-0.566067,-0.482227,-0.401354,-0.326589,-0.260074,-0.203043,-0.156006,-0.117448,-0.087038,-0.064145]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.035861,-0.116681,-0.236307,-0.38282,-0.54354,-0.709233,-0.872862,-1.028618,-1.171493,-1.297438,-1.403655,-1.488621,-1.551963,-1.594278,-1.616917,-1.621787,-1.611154,-1.587335,-1.552642,-1.509323]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.572751,-8.15857,-6.382068,-4.930332,-3.74833,-3.244268,-2.649906,-2.094207,-1.57689,-1.148131,-0.832996,-0.601611,-0.440432,-0.336549,-0.27783,-0.252853,-0.252741,-0.24032,-0.247188,-0.261106]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.026864,-0.04637,-0.060852,-0.071234,-0.078293,-0.08495,-0.090368,-0.094428,-0.097063,-0.098506,-0.099152,-0.099279,-0.099123,-0.098874,-0.098682,-0.098652,-0.098856,-0.09919,-0.099716,-0.100439]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.760926,-2.730819,-2.027483,-1.453558,-0.988273,-0.931906,-0.758587,-0.568332,-0.36892,-0.202004,-0.090477,-0.017804,0.021911,0.034771,0.026867,0.004228,-0.028544,-0.046746,-0.073573,-0.101345]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.191246,0.082239,0.028986,0.001732,-0.013439,-0.010323,-0.011291,-0.014172,-0.018147,-0.02159,-0.02292,-0.022756,-0.021451,-0.019284,-0.016496,-0.013292,-0.009844,-0.007223,-0.00444,-0.001716]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.101226,-0.182684,-0.245786,-0.292457,-0.324618,-0.350361,-0.369465,-0.381612,-0.386675,-0.385425,-0.379339,-0.369775,-0.357949,-0.344911,-0.331528,-0.318474,-0.306255,-0.294816,-0.284377,-0.275056]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.420218,-0.600593,-0.612144,-0.553799,-0.470082,-0.404899,-0.34806,-0.29178,-0.235305,-0.182551,-0.136051,-0.097173,-0.066089,-0.042406,-0.02538,-0.013991,-0.007232,-0.002972,-0.000806,-0.000424]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.088964,-0.109391,-0.098874,-0.078581,-0.057157,-0.043185,-0.032674,-0.023457,-0.014837,-0.007265,-0.001353,0.002791,0.005324,0.006486,0.006541,0.005755,0.004379,0.002952,0.001436,-0.000113]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.214711,-1.027262,-0.847691,-0.682106,-0.531079,-0.469654,-0.40219,-0.327484,-0.24772,-0.173687,-0.11432,-0.068986,-0.036679,-0.016004,-0.005274,-0.002584,-0.006193,-0.009637,-0.01614,-0.024558]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.200072,0.319767,0.380239,0.398444,0.387248,0.368693,0.343614,0.312437,0.275842,0.236116,0.196451,0.159145,0.12576,0.097241,0.074021,0.05611,0.043231,0.034111,0.02832,0.02535]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.072005,-0.127033,-0.167264,-0.195154,-0.212997,-0.223616,-0.228536,-0.228879,-0.225571,-0.219493,-0.211417,-0.20198,-0.191699,-0.180994,-0.170189,-0.159528,-0.149189,-0.139258,-0.129808,-0.120887]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.002349,0.004145,0.005457,0.006367,0.006949,0.007296,0.007456,0.007467,0.007359,0.007161,0.006898,0.00659,0.006254,0.005905,0.005553,0.005205,0.004867,0.004543,0.004235,0.003944]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.114888,-0.943487,-0.778884,-0.626925,-0.488247,-0.431768,-0.369771,-0.301131,-0.22785,-0.159832,-0.105275,-0.063605,-0.033898,-0.014876,-0.004988,-0.002488,-0.005776,-0.008919,-0.014873,-0.022588]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.521252,-0.493248,-0.442961,-0.386967,-0.331342,-0.310058,-0.285925,-0.257126,-0.224426,-0.192626,-0.165512,-0.143217,-0.12568,-0.112614,-0.103545,-0.097806,-0.094823,-0.092055,-0.090671,-0.090314]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.049317,-0.096717,-0.126701,-0.138446,-0.135807,-0.126341,-0.113458,-0.098641,-0.082676,-0.066429,-0.050882,-0.036824,-0.02477,-0.014984,-0.007518,-0.002269,0.000977,0.002678,0.003157,0.00269]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.082036,-0.144729,-0.190565,-0.22234,-0.242669,-0.254767,-0.260373,-0.260764,-0.256995,-0.250069,-0.240869,-0.230117,-0.218404,-0.206207,-0.193898,-0.181751,-0.169972,-0.158657,-0.147891,-0.137727]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.197267,-0.38687,-0.506803,-0.553782,-0.543227,-0.505364,-0.453833,-0.394565,-0.330705,-0.265718,-0.203529,-0.147296,-0.099082,-0.059934,-0.030073,-0.009077,0.00391,0.010711,0.01263,0.010761]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.062512,-0.060915,-0.057737,-0.053558,-0.048986,-0.044501,-0.040331,-0.036588,-0.033338,-0.030619,-0.028441,-0.026779,-0.025586,-0.024793,-0.024325,-0.024105,-0.024059,-0.024121,-0.024238,-0.02437]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.049317,0.096717,0.126701,0.138446,0.135807,0.126341,0.113458,0.098641,0.082676,0.066429,0.050882,0.036824,0.02477,0.014984,0.007518,0.002269,-0.000977,-0.002678,-0.003157,-0.00269]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.841156,0.872848,0.844075,0.772047,0.675507,0.570022,0.464232,0.363589,0.272036,0.192565,0.126913,0.075575,0.038037,0.013059,-0.001052,-0.006224,-0.00444,0.002398,0.012726,0.025221]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.046051,1.000296,0.913367,0.801203,0.680335,0.563707,0.457374,0.364258,0.285904,0.223131,0.17597,0.143573,0.124399,0.116461,0.117559,0.125469,0.138083,0.15351,0.170289,0.187267]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.138529,1.110455,1.043228,0.951123,0.849094,0.748935,0.656249,0.573842,0.503307,0.445592,0.400933,0.368764,0.347868,0.336609,0.333132,0.33554,0.342018,0.35093,0.361012,0.371268]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.125211,1.096472,1.039267,0.964047,0.881756,0.801024,0.72595,0.658582,0.600084,0.551143,0.511931,0.482028,0.46054,0.446266,0.437847,0.433889,0.433065,0.434171,0.436283,0.438667]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.552098,-0.707152,-0.697139,-0.6187,-0.514763,-0.436735,-0.363826,-0.288642,-0.211303,-0.137563,-0.071281,-0.013862,0.034192,0.073076,0.103429,0.126203,0.142356,0.154643,0.163238,0.168528]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.750365,0.783502,0.68887,0.544982,0.387539,0.279176,0.17551,0.072306,-0.02868,-0.11961,-0.195894,-0.258162,-0.306933,-0.343141,-0.368157,-0.383852,-0.391628,-0.395329,-0.394637,-0.390252]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.0271,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.7899,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.5578,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_au","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"AU","name":"Australia"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.93919,-1.556405,-1.25553,-1.010916,-0.806981,-0.746866,-0.667323,-0.573527,-0.470321,-0.38276,-0.310872,-0.253008,-0.207548,-0.173014,-0.147836,-0.130194,-0.118778,-0.10625,-0.097835,-0.092594]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.934216,-2.418317,-1.926306,-1.513174,-1.179779,-0.97061,-0.802863,-0.659008,-0.530937,-0.425227,-0.339969,-0.272156,-0.218945,-0.177915,-0.146942,-0.124041,-0.107668,-0.093412,-0.08279,-0.075253]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.075598,-0.085094,-0.070583,-0.049974,-0.030314,-0.018457,-0.010109,-0.003399,0.002301,0.006511,0.009132,0.010331,0.010371,0.009528,0.00806,0.00621,0.004166,0.002315,0.000601,-0.000974]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.219474,-0.388323,-0.496947,-0.5522,-0.56549,-0.560932,-0.54279,-0.513382,-0.474519,-0.430145,-0.383761,-0.338097,-0.295129,-0.25618,-0.22202,-0.192938,-0.1689,-0.148952,-0.132721,-0.11981]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.596711,2.103398,2.147781,2.008051,1.804616,1.675662,1.560904,1.436811,1.303246,1.174174,1.058012,0.958039,0.874889,0.807971,0.755845,0.716209,0.686939,0.661608,0.640808,0.624099]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.211565,-0.367346,-0.480243,-0.559511,-0.612014,-0.655321,-0.687946,-0.709017,-0.718215,-0.717956,-0.71048,-0.69769,-0.681181,-0.662286,-0.642084,-0.621394,-0.600851,-0.580259,-0.560017,-0.540408]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.371714,2.427016,3.105918,3.45125,3.534314,3.505827,3.392437,3.208637,2.965745,2.688407,2.398505,2.113106,1.844555,1.601125,1.387623,1.20586,1.055625,0.93095,0.829505,0.748812]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.787349,-3.786408,-3.007043,-2.382398,-1.870209,-1.721766,-1.528085,-1.301603,-1.053977,-0.846805,-0.679244,-0.546475,-0.443946,-0.367638,-0.313444,-0.276749,-0.254302,-0.228025,-0.211074,-0.201206]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.479942,-0.511823,-0.517051,-0.502902,-0.47614,-0.442344,-0.40425,-0.364154,-0.324099,-0.285896,-0.250747,-0.219367,-0.192081,-0.168915,-0.149673,-0.134013,-0.121505,-0.111679,-0.104143,-0.09852]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.350135,-0.344652,-0.330348,-0.310337,-0.287371,-0.263611,-0.239998,-0.217245,-0.19594,-0.17657,-0.159417,-0.144584,-0.132034,-0.121626,-0.113156,-0.106375,-0.101024,-0.096843,-0.093621,-0.091166]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.219721,-0.216272,-0.208572,-0.198126,-0.186265,-0.174037,-0.161888,-0.150156,-0.139122,-0.129023,-0.119995,-0.112088,-0.105284,-0.099517,-0.094684,-0.090667,-0.087339,-0.084574,-0.08227,-0.080334]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.552245,-0.858004,-1.000612,-1.035955,-1.00196,-0.95674,-0.897956,-0.825206,-0.739484,-0.648617,-0.558519,-0.473185,-0.395157,-0.325925,-0.266153,-0.215808,-0.174479,-0.139748,-0.111251,-0.088436]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.018972,-0.063588,-0.130625,-0.213636,-0.305805,-0.40218,-0.499104,-0.593596,-0.683094,-0.7656,-0.839724,-0.904654,-0.960071,-1.006062,-1.04302,-1.071559,-1.092435,-1.106425,-1.114306,-1.116843]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.294072,-7.640932,-5.946394,-4.60409,-3.537699,-3.09718,-2.536175,-2.020241,-1.548467,-1.195892,-0.924646,-0.718076,-0.563587,-0.45102,-0.371313,-0.315882,-0.279341,-0.234702,-0.208163,-0.190273]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.02547,-0.042388,-0.054692,-0.063443,-0.069449,-0.07537,-0.08022,-0.08391,-0.086403,-0.088084,-0.089189,-0.089898,-0.090357,-0.090681,-0.090957,-0.091242,-0.091579,-0.091885,-0.092215,-0.092585]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.56585,-2.368473,-1.722511,-1.225188,-0.840832,-0.828945,-0.678975,-0.516555,-0.349023,-0.235436,-0.154632,-0.09933,-0.064297,-0.045358,-0.03857,-0.039892,-0.047164,-0.042813,-0.046256,-0.051761]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.334294,0.247773,0.189653,0.147516,0.115038,0.108442,0.097606,0.084105,0.06886,0.056341,0.046325,0.038406,0.032262,0.02764,0.024292,0.021947,0.020428,0.018505,0.017192,0.016333]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.112985,-0.197276,-0.259244,-0.303438,-0.333257,-0.357907,-0.376558,-0.38873,-0.394249,-0.394409,-0.390426,-0.383346,-0.374059,-0.363319,-0.351744,-0.339811,-0.327897,-0.31593,-0.304148,-0.292723]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.042297,-0.113854,-0.12623,-0.113087,-0.089872,-0.065764,-0.045488,-0.026465,-0.008583,0.008189,0.022936,0.035258,0.045096,0.052565,0.05788,0.061342,0.063258,0.063996,0.06397,0.063282]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.052919,-0.059566,-0.049408,-0.034981,-0.02122,-0.01292,-0.007076,-0.00238,0.001611,0.004558,0.006393,0.007232,0.00726,0.00667,0.005642,0.004347,0.002916,0.001621,0.000421,-0.000682]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.162132,-0.932037,-0.751507,-0.604908,-0.48278,-0.44688,-0.399308,-0.343188,-0.281426,-0.229042,-0.186044,-0.15144,-0.124255,-0.103604,-0.088548,-0.077996,-0.071166,-0.063663,-0.058621,-0.055478]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.300574,0.481702,0.579969,0.620667,0.621616,0.613057,0.593881,0.564001,0.524101,0.478608,0.431072,0.384074,0.339429,0.29836,0.261603,0.229462,0.20198,0.178053,0.157607,0.140438]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.099107,-0.170059,-0.219713,-0.253012,-0.273661,-0.285496,-0.290349,-0.289666,-0.284659,-0.276459,-0.266017,-0.254087,-0.241265,-0.228019,-0.214704,-0.201569,-0.188794,-0.176462,-0.164661,-0.153449]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001519,0.002606,0.003367,0.003877,0.004193,0.004375,0.004449,0.004438,0.004362,0.004236,0.004076,0.003893,0.003697,0.003494,0.00329,0.003089,0.002893,0.002704,0.002523,0.002351]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.386521,-1.112829,-0.897704,-0.722805,-0.576991,-0.534009,-0.477136,-0.410072,-0.33628,-0.273673,-0.222273,-0.180901,-0.148397,-0.123705,-0.105703,-0.093089,-0.084926,-0.075969,-0.069952,-0.066205]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.731894,-0.815114,-0.783479,-0.709777,-0.624746,-0.581733,-0.539574,-0.492536,-0.441346,-0.393597,-0.351571,-0.315906,-0.286538,-0.263099,-0.24498,-0.231297,-0.221296,-0.212141,-0.204797,-0.199019]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.054869,-0.097081,-0.124237,-0.13805,-0.141373,-0.140233,-0.135697,-0.128345,-0.11863,-0.107536,-0.09594,-0.084524,-0.073782,-0.064045,-0.055505,-0.048234,-0.042225,-0.037238,-0.03318,-0.029952]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.124328,-0.213336,-0.275626,-0.317399,-0.343302,-0.358149,-0.364237,-0.36338,-0.3571,-0.346813,-0.333713,-0.318747,-0.302663,-0.286045,-0.269342,-0.252865,-0.236839,-0.221368,-0.206564,-0.192499]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.219474,-0.388323,-0.496947,-0.5522,-0.56549,-0.560932,-0.54279,-0.513382,-0.474519,-0.430145,-0.383761,-0.338097,-0.295129,-0.25618,-0.22202,-0.192938,-0.1689,-0.148952,-0.132721,-0.11981]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.096861,-0.0951,-0.09193,-0.087853,-0.083313,-0.078661,-0.074045,-0.069578,-0.065355,-0.061454,-0.057921,-0.054772,-0.052003,-0.049591,-0.047501,-0.045695,-0.04413,-0.042763,-0.041562,-0.040495]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.054869,0.097081,0.124237,0.13805,0.141373,0.140233,0.135697,0.128345,0.11863,0.107536,0.09594,0.084524,0.073782,0.064045,0.055505,0.048234,0.042225,0.037238,0.03318,0.029952]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.91189,0.972463,0.982396,0.955515,0.904665,0.840454,0.768076,0.691893,0.615787,0.543203,0.476419,0.416797,0.364954,0.320938,0.284379,0.254625,0.23086,0.212189,0.197872,0.187189]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.57561,1.550932,1.486565,1.396519,1.29317,1.18625,1.07999,0.977604,0.881731,0.794564,0.717376,0.650628,0.594151,0.547319,0.509201,0.47869,0.45461,0.435795,0.421296,0.410248]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.801713,1.773432,1.710294,1.62463,1.527369,1.427102,1.327479,1.231279,1.140803,1.057987,0.983956,0.919121,0.863332,0.816036,0.776408,0.743469,0.716179,0.693505,0.674612,0.65874]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.743493,1.711801,1.654743,1.581355,1.499643,1.415902,1.332812,1.252411,1.176389,1.106167,1.042571,0.985903,0.936058,0.892631,0.85502,0.822508,0.794334,0.769742,0.748119,0.728909]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.61476,-2.08599,-2.080025,-1.88423,-1.624904,-1.44578,-1.28558,-1.121437,-0.953718,-0.796804,-0.659145,-0.543478,-0.449802,-0.376821,-0.322368,-0.283461,-0.257348,-0.236936,-0.222468,-0.213144]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.79207,2.166958,2.085617,1.82627,1.512002,1.298017,1.103555,0.907986,0.712991,0.534797,0.382625,0.257552,0.158731,0.084173,0.031034,-0.004402,-0.025332,-0.039889,-0.047464,-0.049156]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9392,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.3153,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.7873,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_kr","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"KR","name":"South Korea"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.98436,-1.544627,-1.21829,-0.961628,-0.751112,-0.693596,-0.609007,-0.508071,-0.402808,-0.316334,-0.24763,-0.194822,-0.155881,-0.128944,-0.112017,-0.102784,-0.099621,-0.094766,-0.093437,-0.094474]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.913168,-2.373145,-1.87437,-1.461176,-1.129564,-0.922971,-0.754002,-0.607448,-0.478949,-0.374369,-0.291317,-0.226689,-0.177497,-0.141156,-0.115338,-0.097799,-0.086797,-0.077804,-0.072166,-0.069162]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.081153,-0.091443,-0.071751,-0.045553,-0.021733,-0.007944,0.000859,0.007309,0.012254,0.015362,0.016632,0.016338,0.014854,0.012562,0.009787,0.006764,0.00373,0.001117,-0.001168,-0.003146]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.224188,-0.390064,-0.481382,-0.508984,-0.490279,-0.455139,-0.41034,-0.359169,-0.304222,-0.249571,-0.198508,-0.15329,-0.115195,-0.08471,-0.061719,-0.045666,-0.035724,-0.030217,-0.02821,-0.028886]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.283213,-0.348286,-0.292769,-0.189477,-0.073142,0.022313,0.104847,0.179021,0.245235,0.301034,0.344987,0.377162,0.398488,0.410384,0.414404,0.411911,0.404434,0.394268,0.381962,0.368152]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.231899,-0.397031,-0.513618,-0.593478,-0.644705,-0.687169,-0.71823,-0.736619,-0.742514,-0.738767,-0.72791,-0.712085,-0.693068,-0.672315,-0.650975,-0.629876,-0.609623,-0.5899,-0.571041,-0.553239]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.12094,1.950318,2.40691,2.544921,2.451393,2.275696,2.051699,1.795844,1.521112,1.247855,0.992542,0.766449,0.575973,0.423549,0.308595,0.228331,0.178621,0.151086,0.141048,0.144428]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.876829,-3.721453,-2.877109,-2.2286,-1.710551,-1.57946,-1.383536,-1.148766,-0.904397,-0.706811,-0.552349,-0.435584,-0.351037,-0.293912,-0.259281,-0.241556,-0.236961,-0.226687,-0.224071,-0.226478]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.414943,-0.424947,-0.407386,-0.372027,-0.327565,-0.280679,-0.234376,-0.190798,-0.15161,-0.118048,-0.090629,-0.069341,-0.053791,-0.043331,-0.037175,-0.034481,-0.03442,-0.036224,-0.039297,-0.043139]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.232773,-0.22314,-0.205409,-0.183349,-0.160159,-0.138152,-0.118135,-0.100566,-0.085732,-0.07379,-0.064691,-0.058222,-0.054062,-0.051828,-0.051115,-0.051529,-0.052707,-0.05433,-0.056166,-0.058034]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.146283,-0.142241,-0.134012,-0.123459,-0.112176,-0.101321,-0.091305,-0.082369,-0.074675,-0.068317,-0.06329,-0.059503,-0.056812,-0.05504,-0.053996,-0.053496,-0.053365,-0.053453,-0.053648,-0.053864]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.386392,-0.617534,-0.742979,-0.794997,-0.795592,-0.783707,-0.756475,-0.713569,-0.657014,-0.592957,-0.526263,-0.460574,-0.398496,-0.341813,-0.291603,-0.248299,-0.211937,-0.181028,-0.15535,-0.134485]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.023123,-0.074342,-0.149219,-0.240011,-0.338951,-0.440811,-0.541781,-0.638806,-0.729343,-0.811494,-0.884026,-0.946321,-0.998271,-1.040178,-1.07264,-1.096455,-1.112546,-1.121814,-1.125137,-1.123353]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.404232,-7.535438,-5.828114,-4.508567,-3.47895,-3.101729,-2.55991,-2.055574,-1.608315,-1.278309,-1.025922,-0.835388,-0.69384,-0.591328,-0.518904,-0.467823,-0.433196,-0.387883,-0.359305,-0.337813]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.026021,-0.042411,-0.054124,-0.062397,-0.06811,-0.074053,-0.079022,-0.082888,-0.08568,-0.087774,-0.089385,-0.090681,-0.091792,-0.092817,-0.093831,-0.094875,-0.095981,-0.097053,-0.098139,-0.099247]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.642963,-2.294626,-1.639715,-1.158323,-0.799708,-0.832129,-0.69559,-0.541289,-0.390917,-0.293129,-0.225525,-0.181448,-0.155475,-0.143574,-0.141884,-0.146251,-0.154863,-0.150039,-0.152055,-0.155039]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.358649,0.278643,0.219497,0.173105,0.135123,0.124823,0.109603,0.091423,0.072461,0.056898,0.044543,0.035053,0.02806,0.023228,0.020196,0.018547,0.017989,0.017119,0.016884,0.017074]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.131917,-0.228513,-0.298986,-0.349211,-0.383223,-0.411952,-0.433841,-0.448119,-0.454848,-0.455615,-0.451862,-0.444836,-0.435589,-0.425005,-0.413795,-0.402487,-0.391479,-0.380639,-0.370189,-0.360265]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.485789,0.517596,0.490171,0.440782,0.385187,0.358322,0.329703,0.296985,0.26145,0.228201,0.198821,0.173876,0.153411,0.137244,0.124982,0.115971,0.109689,0.104138,0.099982,0.096981]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.056807,-0.06401,-0.050226,-0.031887,-0.015213,-0.005561,0.000602,0.005116,0.008578,0.010754,0.011642,0.011437,0.010398,0.008793,0.006851,0.004735,0.002611,0.000782,-0.000817,-0.002202]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.187253,-0.922403,-0.72661,-0.573038,-0.447303,-0.413206,-0.362824,-0.302641,-0.239872,-0.188352,-0.147452,-0.116037,-0.092888,-0.076892,-0.066856,-0.061398,-0.05955,-0.056671,-0.055893,-0.056521]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.198982,0.306909,0.356643,0.368902,0.357159,0.34242,0.322677,0.297472,0.26766,0.236213,0.205298,0.176383,0.150388,0.127826,0.108892,0.0935,0.081423,0.07171,0.064156,0.058489]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.091141,-0.154349,-0.197479,-0.225729,-0.242752,-0.252227,-0.255679,-0.254367,-0.249376,-0.241719,-0.232229,-0.221562,-0.210221,-0.198596,-0.186982,-0.175572,-0.164508,-0.153838,-0.143635,-0.133943]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001249,0.002114,0.002705,0.003092,0.003325,0.003455,0.003502,0.003484,0.003416,0.003311,0.003181,0.003035,0.00288,0.00272,0.002561,0.002405,0.002254,0.002107,0.001968,0.001835]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.200538,-0.934499,-0.737066,-0.581785,-0.454423,-0.419626,-0.368449,-0.307383,-0.243699,-0.191382,-0.149816,-0.117868,-0.094308,-0.078011,-0.06777,-0.062184,-0.060271,-0.057333,-0.05653,-0.057157]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.48628,-0.296636,-0.205999,-0.163087,-0.143015,-0.16299,-0.169076,-0.16739,-0.162111,-0.159349,-0.157794,-0.156635,-0.155454,-0.154129,-0.152599,-0.150684,-0.14848,-0.144539,-0.140756,-0.137002]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.056047,-0.097516,-0.120346,-0.127246,-0.12257,-0.113785,-0.102585,-0.089792,-0.076056,-0.062393,-0.049627,-0.038322,-0.028799,-0.021177,-0.01543,-0.011417,-0.008931,-0.007554,-0.007052,-0.007221]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.114447,-0.193818,-0.247976,-0.283449,-0.304826,-0.316723,-0.321058,-0.319411,-0.313144,-0.303528,-0.291612,-0.278217,-0.263976,-0.249379,-0.234795,-0.220467,-0.206574,-0.193176,-0.180364,-0.168194]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.224188,-0.390064,-0.481382,-0.508984,-0.490279,-0.455139,-0.41034,-0.359169,-0.304222,-0.249571,-0.198508,-0.15329,-0.115195,-0.08471,-0.061719,-0.045666,-0.035724,-0.030217,-0.02821,-0.028886]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.064608,-0.062782,-0.059572,-0.055599,-0.051396,-0.047347,-0.04359,-0.040205,-0.037245,-0.034742,-0.032694,-0.03107,-0.029822,-0.028891,-0.028212,-0.027725,-0.02737,-0.027097,-0.02687,-0.026658]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.056047,0.097516,0.120346,0.127246,0.12257,0.113785,0.102585,0.089792,0.076056,0.062393,0.049627,0.038322,0.028799,0.021177,0.01543,0.011417,0.008931,0.007554,0.007052,0.007221]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.788392,0.8074,0.774033,0.70685,0.622373,0.533291,0.445314,0.362516,0.288059,0.224291,0.172194,0.131748,0.102202,0.082329,0.070632,0.065514,0.065399,0.068825,0.074663,0.081965]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.047479,1.004128,0.924342,0.825069,0.720713,0.621685,0.531608,0.452546,0.385795,0.332054,0.291107,0.261999,0.24328,0.233226,0.230018,0.231881,0.237181,0.244484,0.252748,0.261152]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.19952,1.166375,1.098897,1.012367,0.919847,0.830833,0.748698,0.675428,0.612336,0.560203,0.518975,0.487923,0.465858,0.451325,0.442771,0.438666,0.437595,0.438312,0.439913,0.441687]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.162947,1.130071,1.072291,1.000789,0.925125,0.852246,0.784616,0.723686,0.670412,0.625362,0.58849,0.55926,0.536796,0.52003,0.50782,0.499044,0.49266,0.487752,0.483657,0.479849]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.383631,0.53102,0.529776,0.46903,0.388846,0.329042,0.279332,0.232353,0.187038,0.146433,0.112632,0.086433,0.067591,0.055293,0.048554,0.046553,0.048171,0.051226,0.05551,0.060693]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.087855,-0.284727,-0.354933,-0.371259,-0.365755,-0.355332,-0.352502,-0.349804,-0.34502,-0.338343,-0.330399,-0.323325,-0.31767,-0.313414,-0.310407,-0.3087,-0.307836,-0.307229,-0.306311,-0.305103]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9844,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.2508,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.8768,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_mx","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"MX","name":"Mexico"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.176601,-1.739829,-1.393014,-1.106285,-0.862009,-0.799796,-0.710399,-0.602339,-0.483428,-0.377155,-0.293604,-0.230845,-0.186628,-0.1586,-0.144063,-0.139815,-0.143406,-0.143862,-0.148211,-0.154819]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.952113,-2.431867,-1.943733,-1.530712,-1.191378,-0.982782,-0.811879,-0.662617,-0.528277,-0.413871,-0.321972,-0.25047,-0.196782,-0.158362,-0.132665,-0.117005,-0.109203,-0.10333,-0.10111,-0.101585]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.075042,-0.115517,-0.101537,-0.072809,-0.044551,-0.026466,-0.015944,-0.008402,-0.002195,0.002692,0.005769,0.007052,0.006849,0.005677,0.003863,0.001294,-0.001553,-0.004022,-0.006166,-0.008019]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.176704,-0.358235,-0.465713,-0.495103,-0.46606,-0.412373,-0.350654,-0.287238,-0.224826,-0.16612,-0.113989,-0.070481,-0.036572,-0.012189,0.003383,0.010939,0.011758,0.008013,0.001213,-0.007501]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.85998,1.077186,1.111918,1.070406,0.996934,0.959676,0.918361,0.863714,0.79625,0.725086,0.6561,0.59223,0.535059,0.485961,0.445306,0.411106,0.382924,0.357863,0.33652,0.318708]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.358258,-0.614527,-0.792706,-0.910054,-0.97921,-1.034402,-1.07225,-1.090897,-1.089859,-1.072535,-1.043699,-1.007423,-0.967098,-0.925487,-0.884727,-0.846291,-0.811169,-0.778504,-0.748701,-0.721895]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.736266,1.492646,1.940473,2.06293,1.941917,1.718219,1.461057,1.196827,0.936773,0.692167,0.474955,0.293672,0.152383,0.050789,-0.014098,-0.045581,-0.048992,-0.033387,-0.005054,0.031255]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.857612,-3.013156,-2.355292,-1.830618,-1.400855,-1.306266,-1.165201,-0.991083,-0.797138,-0.624748,-0.491137,-0.39218,-0.323516,-0.280939,-0.259821,-0.254659,-0.261454,-0.261153,-0.266882,-0.27606]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.37651,-0.382525,-0.358511,-0.314545,-0.261468,-0.207782,-0.157759,-0.113504,-0.076232,-0.046659,-0.024892,-0.010492,-0.002619,-0.0002,-0.002075,-0.007106,-0.014195,-0.022366,-0.030886,-0.039211]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.180423,-0.172448,-0.155896,-0.134453,-0.111987,-0.091365,-0.073753,-0.05949,-0.048597,-0.040966,-0.036357,-0.034396,-0.034611,-0.036488,-0.039526,-0.043264,-0.047287,-0.051248,-0.054915,-0.058131]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.120612,-0.117663,-0.110123,-0.099846,-0.088786,-0.078406,-0.069324,-0.061744,-0.055709,-0.051198,-0.048117,-0.046306,-0.045549,-0.045607,-0.046245,-0.047242,-0.048399,-0.049549,-0.050578,-0.051411]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.388022,-0.637318,-0.784994,-0.857237,-0.873145,-0.873825,-0.857074,-0.822436,-0.770844,-0.707226,-0.63755,-0.566548,-0.497842,-0.434089,-0.377064,-0.327701,-0.286349,-0.25134,-0.222489,-0.199338]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.032015,-0.097545,-0.1931,-0.308716,-0.433881,-0.56181,-0.68745,-0.80702,-0.917405,-1.016228,-1.101962,-1.1739,-1.232048,-1.276982,-1.309673,-1.331355,-1.34345,-1.347314,-1.344243,-1.335443]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-11.021571,-8.143695,-6.330449,-4.913087,-3.799285,-3.464973,-2.934135,-2.42502,-1.943323,-1.556994,-1.268883,-1.052245,-0.893866,-0.782993,-0.709373,-0.661942,-0.634224,-0.588386,-0.562826,-0.544762]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.029108,-0.048539,-0.062763,-0.07306,-0.080373,-0.088133,-0.094973,-0.100687,-0.105154,-0.108641,-0.111467,-0.113847,-0.115958,-0.117942,-0.119908,-0.121923,-0.124034,-0.126108,-0.128212,-0.130354]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.0751,-2.720406,-1.991349,-1.441486,-1.023942,-1.0864,-0.957548,-0.799901,-0.625423,-0.488208,-0.395597,-0.333248,-0.295493,-0.277739,-0.275213,-0.282134,-0.295582,-0.290392,-0.29452,-0.299904]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.341486,0.259984,0.201491,0.156356,0.119543,0.112206,0.099977,0.084656,0.067572,0.052448,0.040821,0.032303,0.026505,0.023049,0.021517,0.021423,0.022404,0.022737,0.023611,0.024768]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.344184,-0.60156,-0.790762,-0.924881,-1.013594,-1.088108,-1.144882,-1.18189,-1.19843,-1.197532,-1.183649,-1.160693,-1.132015,-1.100427,-1.068177,-1.036897,-1.007758,-0.980141,-0.95458,-0.931322]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.182026,0.104267,0.07174,0.060208,0.057739,0.071734,0.079083,0.082247,0.082363,0.081687,0.081014,0.080105,0.078924,0.077637,0.076348,0.074792,0.073071,0.070531,0.068115,0.065771]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.052529,-0.080862,-0.071076,-0.050966,-0.031186,-0.018526,-0.011161,-0.005881,-0.001536,0.001884,0.004038,0.004936,0.004795,0.003974,0.002704,0.000905,-0.001087,-0.002815,-0.004316,-0.005614]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.304277,-1.041701,-0.833609,-0.661779,-0.515499,-0.478378,-0.424927,-0.360282,-0.289132,-0.225554,-0.175586,-0.138068,-0.111648,-0.094916,-0.086255,-0.083747,-0.085927,-0.086216,-0.088834,-0.092801]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.068155,0.100006,0.110423,0.108403,0.099405,0.091446,0.08333,0.074525,0.06492,0.055176,0.046051,0.037991,0.031222,0.025822,0.02176,0.018914,0.017125,0.015944,0.015291,0.015062]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.097637,-0.167718,-0.216811,-0.24967,-0.269875,-0.281618,-0.286474,-0.285715,-0.280461,-0.271874,-0.260949,-0.248488,-0.235131,-0.221388,-0.207652,-0.194193,-0.181206,-0.168758,-0.156943,-0.145815]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.005691,0.009776,0.012638,0.014553,0.015731,0.016416,0.016699,0.016654,0.016348,0.015848,0.015211,0.014484,0.013706,0.012905,0.012104,0.01132,0.010563,0.009837,0.009148,0.0085]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.316844,-1.052597,-0.842773,-0.669302,-0.521515,-0.483876,-0.429791,-0.364415,-0.292474,-0.228179,-0.17763,-0.139661,-0.11291,-0.095953,-0.087158,-0.084588,-0.086761,-0.087037,-0.089668,-0.093666]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.738815,-0.675837,-0.599854,-0.5239,-0.451772,-0.432859,-0.405115,-0.368805,-0.326106,-0.285033,-0.249458,-0.219619,-0.195407,-0.176698,-0.163025,-0.153128,-0.146391,-0.139526,-0.134473,-0.130817]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.044176,-0.089559,-0.116428,-0.123776,-0.116515,-0.103093,-0.087663,-0.07181,-0.056206,-0.04153,-0.028497,-0.01762,-0.009143,-0.003047,0.000846,0.002735,0.00294,0.002003,0.000303,-0.001875]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.101178,-0.173801,-0.224674,-0.258726,-0.279663,-0.291832,-0.296864,-0.296077,-0.290634,-0.281735,-0.270414,-0.257501,-0.243659,-0.229418,-0.215184,-0.201236,-0.187778,-0.174879,-0.162635,-0.151103]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.176704,-0.358235,-0.465713,-0.495103,-0.46606,-0.412373,-0.350654,-0.287238,-0.224826,-0.16612,-0.113989,-0.070481,-0.036572,-0.012189,0.003383,0.010939,0.011758,0.008013,0.001213,-0.007501]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.054149,-0.052712,-0.049762,-0.045915,-0.041822,-0.037971,-0.034565,-0.031673,-0.029308,-0.027463,-0.026106,-0.025182,-0.024621,-0.024341,-0.024263,-0.024314,-0.024428,-0.024548,-0.024636,-0.024666]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.044176,0.089559,0.116428,0.123776,0.116515,0.103093,0.087663,0.07181,0.056206,0.04153,0.028497,0.01762,0.009143,0.003047,-0.000846,-0.002735,-0.00294,-0.002003,-0.000303,0.001875]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.715369,0.726798,0.681171,0.597636,0.496788,0.394785,0.299741,0.215658,0.14484,0.088652,0.047295,0.019935,0.004977,0.00038,0.003943,0.013501,0.02697,0.042496,0.058684,0.074501]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.811902,0.776017,0.701533,0.60504,0.503941,0.411141,0.33189,0.267705,0.218687,0.184346,0.163608,0.154783,0.155749,0.164198,0.177868,0.194689,0.212792,0.230618,0.247116,0.261588]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.989017,0.964836,0.90301,0.818738,0.728045,0.642928,0.568459,0.506301,0.456818,0.41982,0.394561,0.379706,0.373498,0.373979,0.379207,0.387383,0.396871,0.406299,0.414737,0.421566]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.974676,0.948824,0.895721,0.826477,0.752805,0.683471,0.622172,0.570113,0.52755,0.494332,0.469905,0.453281,0.443169,0.438129,0.436733,0.437659,0.439705,0.441861,0.443444,0.443994]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.927944,-1.062839,-1.014963,-0.892443,-0.742605,-0.641919,-0.542045,-0.435596,-0.324146,-0.217774,-0.122556,-0.040162,0.028824,0.084014,0.126022,0.157783,0.180513,0.198102,0.210163,0.217355]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.055338,1.140745,1.049755,0.888625,0.704321,0.582031,0.461012,0.334888,0.205995,0.085709,-0.019287,-0.108257,-0.181099,-0.237837,-0.279506,-0.309505,-0.329347,-0.343634,-0.351753,-0.354548]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.1766,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.447,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.8576,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_id","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"ID","name":"Indonesia"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.87286,-1.477098,-1.168171,-0.916655,-0.705083,-0.624532,-0.523896,-0.410574,-0.299359,-0.208126,-0.136251,-0.082299,-0.044477,-0.020794,-0.00903,-0.006763,-0.011849,-0.01706,-0.025967,-0.037023]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.819682,-2.293787,-1.812987,-1.412371,-1.087973,-0.873462,-0.69714,-0.544739,-0.413531,-0.306871,-0.222256,-0.156817,-0.107806,-0.072704,-0.049171,-0.034982,-0.028193,-0.024647,-0.024857,-0.027778]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.156414,-0.188715,-0.164825,-0.124189,-0.083055,-0.056018,-0.035785,-0.018576,-0.003627,0.008108,0.016317,0.021226,0.023314,0.023147,0.021281,0.018225,0.01445,0.010789,0.007236,0.003864]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.182335,-0.361905,-0.478793,-0.527226,-0.520059,-0.484145,-0.432218,-0.370555,-0.30351,-0.235787,-0.171537,-0.113853,-0.064694,-0.025009,0.005063,0.026006,0.038734,0.044943,0.045982,0.043028]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.249428,0.315221,0.353694,0.380515,0.400038,0.42668,0.446336,0.456581,0.457688,0.452224,0.441938,0.428115,0.411872,0.394285,0.376211,0.358035,0.340343,0.322831,0.306091,0.290369]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.286773,-0.488076,-0.624835,-0.71198,-0.760373,-0.793667,-0.81013,-0.80917,-0.792451,-0.76419,-0.728127,-0.687447,-0.644796,-0.602302,-0.5616,-0.523843,-0.489793,-0.45907,-0.431906,-0.4083]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.75973,1.507939,1.99497,2.196773,2.166912,2.01727,1.80091,1.543977,1.264626,0.982445,0.714737,0.474389,0.269557,0.104205,-0.021094,-0.108357,-0.161392,-0.187264,-0.191594,-0.179283]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.694263,-2.856055,-2.208969,-1.694554,-1.274198,-1.122795,-0.935157,-0.724595,-0.519611,-0.354723,-0.227606,-0.134603,-0.071633,-0.03448,-0.01868,-0.019523,-0.032961,-0.044991,-0.063093,-0.084471]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.419654,-0.434801,-0.419037,-0.38063,-0.328958,-0.272037,-0.214645,-0.159985,-0.110415,-0.067635,-0.032543,-0.005354,0.014257,0.026986,0.033768,0.035661,0.033743,0.029049,0.022456,0.014707]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.203393,-0.19242,-0.172862,-0.147912,-0.121018,-0.094956,-0.071138,-0.050328,-0.032963,-0.01926,-0.009197,-0.002549,0.001063,0.002109,0.001102,-0.001445,-0.005048,-0.009275,-0.013782,-0.018298]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.113004,-0.1095,-0.101476,-0.090499,-0.07828,-0.066209,-0.055006,-0.045072,-0.036652,-0.029881,-0.024777,-0.021255,-0.019151,-0.018254,-0.018326,-0.019129,-0.020436,-0.02204,-0.02378,-0.025527]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.25244,-0.419572,-0.523413,-0.579378,-0.598686,-0.60348,-0.593033,-0.567616,-0.529404,-0.482694,-0.431188,-0.377956,-0.325467,-0.275631,-0.229831,-0.188962,-0.15352,-0.122963,-0.097282,-0.076254]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.034194,-0.111207,-0.223543,-0.358076,-0.501665,-0.645051,-0.781593,-0.906187,-1.014905,-1.105117,-1.175471,-1.225761,-1.256725,-1.269821,-1.267009,-1.250554,-1.222857,-1.186226,-1.142819,-1.094612]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.162283,-7.443028,-5.718677,-4.368733,-3.311246,-2.847928,-2.27807,-1.75761,-1.317408,-0.994102,-0.753535,-0.579976,-0.459991,-0.382198,-0.336528,-0.313936,-0.307781,-0.293451,-0.292215,-0.295127]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.024811,-0.04074,-0.051905,-0.059479,-0.064353,-0.069028,-0.072587,-0.074963,-0.076301,-0.076974,-0.077223,-0.077242,-0.077183,-0.077163,-0.077265,-0.07754,-0.078019,-0.078618,-0.079369,-0.080263]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.473598,-2.22994,-1.563109,-1.060439,-0.682315,-0.654469,-0.498302,-0.332714,-0.187282,-0.094183,-0.034854,-0.00266,0.00822,0.002817,-0.014221,-0.03853,-0.067072,-0.083937,-0.105092,-0.125159]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.296897,0.230236,0.179933,0.13991,0.106742,0.094545,0.079019,0.061464,0.044278,0.030292,0.019359,0.011225,0.005593,0.002145,0.000529,0.000366,0.001322,0.00226,0.00376,0.005578]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.358402,-0.614935,-0.79358,-0.911057,-0.979576,-1.027845,-1.053526,-1.055857,-1.036947,-1.002148,-0.956288,-0.903555,-0.84749,-0.791,-0.736359,-0.685226,-0.638735,-0.596564,-0.559102,-0.526418]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.120251,0.091221,0.07416,0.063622,0.056552,0.057766,0.056729,0.054021,0.050579,0.047555,0.044908,0.042597,0.0406,0.038913,0.037516,0.036348,0.03539,0.034274,0.033315,0.032465]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.10949,-0.132101,-0.115378,-0.086932,-0.058139,-0.039213,-0.025049,-0.013003,-0.002539,0.005676,0.011422,0.014858,0.01632,0.016203,0.014897,0.012758,0.010115,0.007552,0.005066,0.002704]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.121954,-0.883959,-0.6986,-0.547908,-0.421264,-0.373149,-0.312964,-0.24517,-0.178647,-0.124101,-0.081147,-0.04892,-0.026342,-0.01222,-0.005224,-0.003907,-0.006983,-0.010126,-0.015479,-0.022114]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.05759,0.0832,0.090501,0.087555,0.079118,0.071106,0.062755,0.053792,0.044493,0.035587,0.027535,0.020594,0.014877,0.010399,0.007099,0.004865,0.003556,0.002857,0.002673,0.002892]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.077251,-0.13191,-0.169669,-0.194614,-0.209781,-0.21806,-0.220974,-0.219729,-0.215322,-0.208627,-0.200355,-0.191062,-0.181178,-0.171035,-0.160883,-0.1509,-0.141214,-0.131884,-0.122973,-0.114518]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.003702,0.006321,0.008131,0.009326,0.010053,0.01045,0.010589,0.01053,0.010318,0.009998,0.009601,0.009156,0.008682,0.008196,0.00771,0.007231,0.006767,0.00632,0.005893,0.005488]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.927066,-0.731163,-0.578245,-0.453744,-0.349016,-0.309143,-0.259329,-0.203234,-0.148183,-0.103022,-0.067444,-0.040738,-0.022016,-0.010293,-0.00447,-0.003348,-0.005865,-0.008445,-0.012854,-0.018326]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.479714,-0.381564,-0.316176,-0.269525,-0.233472,-0.229144,-0.216882,-0.198724,-0.17852,-0.160917,-0.145871,-0.133248,-0.122913,-0.114744,-0.108539,-0.103943,-0.100728,-0.097316,-0.094784,-0.092866]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.045584,-0.090476,-0.119698,-0.131806,-0.130015,-0.121036,-0.108055,-0.092639,-0.075878,-0.058947,-0.042884,-0.028463,-0.016173,-0.006252,0.001266,0.006501,0.009684,0.011236,0.011496,0.010757]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.076216,-0.130143,-0.167398,-0.192008,-0.206972,-0.215141,-0.218015,-0.216787,-0.212439,-0.205834,-0.197673,-0.188504,-0.178752,-0.168745,-0.158729,-0.14888,-0.139323,-0.130118,-0.121327,-0.112984]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.182335,-0.361905,-0.478793,-0.527226,-0.520059,-0.484145,-0.432218,-0.370555,-0.30351,-0.235787,-0.171537,-0.113853,-0.064694,-0.025009,0.005063,0.026006,0.038734,0.044943,0.045982,0.043028]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.048053,-0.046561,-0.043572,-0.039608,-0.03524,-0.03093,-0.026919,-0.02334,-0.020274,-0.017766,-0.015822,-0.014413,-0.013483,-0.012963,-0.012773,-0.012833,-0.013067,-0.013406,-0.013797,-0.014195]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.045584,0.090476,0.119698,0.131806,0.130015,0.121036,0.108055,0.092639,0.075878,0.058947,0.042884,0.028463,0.016173,0.006252,-0.001266,-0.006501,-0.009684,-0.011236,-0.011496,-0.010757]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.797343,0.826123,0.796169,0.723196,0.62502,0.516871,0.407826,0.303972,0.209789,0.128506,0.061833,0.010172,-0.027088,-0.051272,-0.06416,-0.067755,-0.064111,-0.055194,-0.042667,-0.027943]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.915271,0.865889,0.777878,0.665605,0.544581,0.4273,0.320123,0.226476,0.148334,0.086668,0.041386,0.011469,-0.004784,-0.00949,-0.004957,0.006505,0.022718,0.041736,0.062017,0.08234]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.926634,0.8979,0.832105,0.742092,0.641894,0.542914,0.451049,0.369591,0.300546,0.245024,0.203174,0.174293,0.157042,0.149682,0.150277,0.156862,0.167571,0.180727,0.194996,0.209324]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.864954,0.838101,0.784296,0.712944,0.634312,0.556741,0.484543,0.420121,0.364935,0.319794,0.284799,0.25943,0.242702,0.233337,0.229914,0.230992,0.235201,0.24131,0.248341,0.255518]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.177526,-0.182196,-0.169993,-0.150726,-0.128015,-0.113847,-0.096657,-0.075858,-0.052185,-0.027793,-0.003898,0.018894,0.040124,0.059352,0.07633,0.091255,0.104022,0.115184,0.124529,0.13212]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.444786,0.37878,0.29153,0.198734,0.107425,0.049035,-0.011012,-0.072245,-0.132567,-0.187153,-0.233449,-0.272372,-0.304286,-0.329514,-0.3486,-0.362576,-0.371927,-0.378666,-0.382182,-0.382887]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8729,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.7856,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.6943,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_tr","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"TR","name":"Turkey"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.874842,-1.455206,-1.127805,-0.850919,-0.605115,-0.487302,-0.346839,-0.198142,-0.065636,0.035228,0.10479,0.146132,0.163316,0.160867,0.143529,0.116043,0.082408,0.051122,0.019525,-0.010319]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.78705,-2.242311,-1.759561,-1.356836,-1.022742,-0.790316,-0.591116,-0.416591,-0.270032,-0.154803,-0.068721,-0.008273,0.0304,0.051184,0.057891,0.05418,0.043211,0.02996,0.014654,-0.001176]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.123587,-0.157581,-0.135365,-0.098255,-0.061713,-0.037384,-0.019892,-0.005067,0.007608,0.017418,0.024036,0.027555,0.028395,0.027127,0.024299,0.020336,0.015755,0.011323,0.00715,0.003303]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.292594,-0.523626,-0.613407,-0.589157,-0.496515,-0.389085,-0.284775,-0.187392,-0.098878,-0.022393,0.039465,0.085484,0.115897,0.132066,0.13604,0.130146,0.116862,0.099404,0.079851,0.059665]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.066857,0.060482,0.115359,0.187997,0.256985,0.316986,0.35831,0.385193,0.400224,0.405867,0.403921,0.395811,0.383117,0.367555,0.350498,0.332408,0.314176,0.29636,0.279594,0.263996]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.292698,-0.49309,-0.625394,-0.704815,-0.741419,-0.758899,-0.754907,-0.729495,-0.686569,-0.632159,-0.571762,-0.509972,-0.450419,-0.395782,-0.347839,-0.307536,-0.275165,-0.249707,-0.230684,-0.21735]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.914355,1.636331,1.916895,1.841116,1.551609,1.215889,0.889922,0.585601,0.308994,0.069977,-0.123328,-0.267137,-0.362177,-0.412705,-0.425125,-0.406708,-0.365193,-0.310639,-0.249535,-0.186453]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.052418,-2.235901,-1.640043,-1.180801,-0.804626,-0.65218,-0.459782,-0.250372,-0.064626,0.072636,0.163174,0.212772,0.228239,0.216665,0.185209,0.140898,0.089432,0.043819,-0.001376,-0.043288]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.422069,-0.397854,-0.3352,-0.253591,-0.169261,-0.09271,-0.027566,0.025036,0.064728,0.091696,0.10692,0.111969,0.108741,0.099248,0.085429,0.069044,0.051602,0.034328,0.018042,0.003288]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.125147,-0.10852,-0.081263,-0.050345,-0.021356,0.002403,0.020313,0.032643,0.039842,0.042441,0.041119,0.036668,0.029927,0.021712,0.01276,0.003697,-0.004976,-0.012886,-0.019826,-0.025695]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.077807,-0.071348,-0.059076,-0.044527,-0.030555,-0.018872,-0.009852,-0.003418,0.000601,0.002426,0.002357,0.000757,-0.001977,-0.005456,-0.009324,-0.013276,-0.017066,-0.02051,-0.023503,-0.025993]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.307903,-0.501635,-0.612283,-0.659785,-0.658111,-0.635198,-0.590545,-0.525996,-0.447092,-0.361143,-0.274414,-0.191824,-0.116959,-0.05218,0.001259,0.043059,0.073634,0.094754,0.107536,0.113306]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.037696,-0.118039,-0.233494,-0.37009,-0.513749,-0.654569,-0.785102,-0.899647,-0.994018,-1.065684,-1.113717,-1.138608,-1.142005,-1.126406,-1.094854,-1.050654,-0.997157,-0.937468,-0.874367,-0.810262]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-9.99946,-7.111093,-5.381416,-4.06309,-3.029667,-2.566572,-1.961522,-1.400382,-0.947197,-0.622038,-0.39657,-0.251336,-0.169216,-0.134944,-0.134675,-0.155846,-0.189439,-0.21017,-0.238203,-0.263979]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.023997,-0.038266,-0.047745,-0.053791,-0.057257,-0.060525,-0.062501,-0.063092,-0.062578,-0.061391,-0.059855,-0.058231,-0.056718,-0.055462,-0.054554,-0.054039,-0.053926,-0.054109,-0.05459,-0.055328]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.359622,-1.997585,-1.327026,-0.846488,-0.485209,-0.457519,-0.276719,-0.082654,0.071866,0.166261,0.215022,0.227388,0.211762,0.175895,0.127076,0.072133,0.015767,-0.02564,-0.067284,-0.103355]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.327397,0.253749,0.196454,0.148087,0.105191,0.084659,0.060156,0.034213,0.011106,-0.006469,-0.018575,-0.025753,-0.028715,-0.028252,-0.025192,-0.020366,-0.014469,-0.008988,-0.003455,0.001769]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.187084,-0.326693,-0.429468,-0.501646,-0.547337,-0.580129,-0.598138,-0.600959,-0.59063,-0.570658,-0.544407,-0.514837,-0.484419,-0.455114,-0.428357,-0.40508,-0.38579,-0.370141,-0.358062,-0.349279]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.342313,0.358718,0.338166,0.302547,0.261281,0.238186,0.212777,0.184344,0.155164,0.128516,0.105741,0.087212,0.072861,0.062409,0.055387,0.051094,0.048962,0.047479,0.04694,0.04706]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.086511,-0.110307,-0.094756,-0.068779,-0.043199,-0.026168,-0.013925,-0.003547,0.005325,0.012193,0.016825,0.019288,0.019877,0.018989,0.017009,0.014235,0.011028,0.007926,0.005005,0.002312]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.122504,-0.869996,-0.673556,-0.507726,-0.360653,-0.29026,-0.206249,-0.117302,-0.038077,0.022179,0.063685,0.088296,0.098451,0.096862,0.086374,0.069825,0.049609,0.030815,0.011844,-0.006065]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.127958,0.192471,0.217092,0.216118,0.198633,0.177863,0.153156,0.125021,0.095495,0.067116,0.041708,0.02039,0.003698,-0.009107,-0.017595,-0.021899,-0.022605,-0.020788,-0.017055,-0.012018]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.067258,-0.114127,-0.146188,-0.167226,-0.179948,-0.186936,-0.189432,-0.18844,-0.184782,-0.179191,-0.172274,-0.1645,-0.156231,-0.147743,-0.139241,-0.130869,-0.12273,-0.114867,-0.107333,-0.100163]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.005852,0.009929,0.012719,0.014549,0.015656,0.016264,0.016481,0.016395,0.016076,0.01559,0.014988,0.014312,0.013592,0.012854,0.012114,0.011386,0.010678,0.009994,0.009338,0.008714]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.13428,-0.8804,-0.682322,-0.514806,-0.366095,-0.294818,-0.209838,-0.119876,-0.03971,0.021313,0.063398,0.08841,0.098806,0.097324,0.086835,0.070206,0.049857,0.030929,0.011813,-0.006243]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.474084,-0.333453,-0.258581,-0.212008,-0.17618,-0.169948,-0.150856,-0.125236,-0.100784,-0.081901,-0.068569,-0.060174,-0.056026,-0.055434,-0.057589,-0.061454,-0.066321,-0.070339,-0.074452,-0.078168]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.073148,-0.130907,-0.153352,-0.147289,-0.124129,-0.097271,-0.071194,-0.046848,-0.02472,-0.005598,0.009866,0.021371,0.028974,0.033016,0.03401,0.032537,0.029215,0.024851,0.019963,0.014916]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.076628,-0.130026,-0.166552,-0.190521,-0.205016,-0.212977,-0.215821,-0.21469,-0.210523,-0.204153,-0.196272,-0.187416,-0.177995,-0.168324,-0.158638,-0.1491,-0.139827,-0.130869,-0.122286,-0.114116]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.292594,-0.523626,-0.613407,-0.589157,-0.496515,-0.389085,-0.284775,-0.187392,-0.098878,-0.022393,0.039465,0.085484,0.115897,0.132066,0.13604,0.130146,0.116862,0.099404,0.079851,0.059665]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.034485,-0.03207,-0.02773,-0.02264,-0.017752,-0.013636,-0.010413,-0.00806,-0.006517,-0.005712,-0.005543,-0.005889,-0.006618,-0.0076,-0.008716,-0.009865,-0.010964,-0.011952,-0.012795,-0.013473]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.073148,0.130907,0.153352,0.147289,0.124129,0.097271,0.071194,0.046848,0.02472,0.005598,-0.009866,-0.021371,-0.028974,-0.033016,-0.03401,-0.032537,-0.029215,-0.024851,-0.019963,-0.014916]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.801931,0.755923,0.63688,0.481823,0.321596,0.176148,0.052375,-0.047568,-0.122984,-0.174222,-0.203149,-0.212741,-0.206609,-0.18857,-0.162316,-0.131183,-0.098045,-0.065222,-0.034279,-0.006248]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.563162,0.48834,0.365683,0.226551,0.096102,-0.010813,-0.091408,-0.146893,-0.179287,-0.190986,-0.185037,-0.165005,-0.13467,-0.097703,-0.057419,-0.016635,0.022392,0.057986,0.089215,0.115626]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.638021,0.58505,0.484421,0.365119,0.250548,0.154753,0.080787,0.028027,-0.004932,-0.019897,-0.019325,-0.006209,0.016211,0.044738,0.076455,0.108865,0.139945,0.168183,0.192724,0.213141]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.620731,0.577268,0.499137,0.407527,0.319541,0.245439,0.187441,0.145077,0.117309,0.102809,0.09977,0.106,0.119123,0.136799,0.156891,0.177571,0.197358,0.215143,0.230303,0.242521]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.01449,0.030883,0.015668,-0.017247,-0.048426,-0.071869,-0.080761,-0.08041,-0.073695,-0.0627,-0.048803,-0.032953,-0.016128,0.000577,0.016383,0.031334,0.045028,0.057186,0.067514,0.076171]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.262216,0.124042,0.053195,0.006216,-0.035628,-0.060659,-0.099038,-0.143633,-0.190031,-0.23351,-0.271466,-0.304676,-0.333042,-0.356244,-0.374313,-0.388203,-0.398095,-0.405137,-0.408678,-0.409259]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8748,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.5622,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.0524,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_sa","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"SA","name":"Saudi Arabia"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.260395,-1.981835,-1.679438,-1.391635,-1.131218,-1.064548,-0.995716,-0.913476,-0.817309,-0.713886,-0.617317,-0.539497,-0.478755,-0.43329,-0.400977,-0.379158,-0.365861,-0.347115,-0.333297,-0.323303]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.020839,-2.595362,-2.1459,-1.738255,-1.389446,-1.176361,-1.014591,-0.87995,-0.760081,-0.650334,-0.553308,-0.473324,-0.409276,-0.359403,-0.321702,-0.293962,-0.274354,-0.255393,-0.240301,-0.228669]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.095322,-0.112169,-0.098605,-0.076008,-0.053271,-0.040005,-0.031137,-0.024192,-0.018268,-0.013393,-0.00984,-0.007813,-0.007138,-0.007538,-0.008716,-0.010376,-0.012287,-0.013838,-0.01518,-0.016337]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.311988,-0.547612,-0.692323,-0.757302,-0.760101,-0.735801,-0.691032,-0.629487,-0.554655,-0.472932,-0.390234,-0.311059,-0.238597,-0.174887,-0.120986,-0.077141,-0.043029,-0.017001,0.001839,0.014428]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.028218,0.076551,0.135924,0.198656,0.258982,0.314553,0.363718,0.405233,0.438218,0.462414,0.478105,0.485969,0.486946,0.482119,0.472621,0.459561,0.443969,0.426684,0.408427,0.389806]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.34953,-0.625964,-0.832556,-0.978111,-1.072459,-1.15022,-1.212618,-1.258947,-1.288404,-1.30116,-1.29948,-1.287253,-1.267768,-1.243762,-1.217425,-1.19037,-1.163793,-1.136642,-1.10959,-1.083106]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.559941,2.738061,3.461615,3.78651,3.800507,3.679007,3.455159,3.147436,2.773273,2.364662,1.951172,1.555296,1.192987,0.874436,0.604931,0.385707,0.215145,0.085004,-0.009197,-0.072141]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-8.975138,-7.81427,-6.577509,-5.415072,-4.374216,-4.113064,-3.847012,-3.530502,-3.160799,-2.763311,-2.393324,-2.097546,-1.86869,-1.699182,-1.58033,-1.50147,-1.454796,-1.38477,-1.33307,-1.295464]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.640706,-0.671039,-0.661704,-0.623943,-0.568163,-0.502975,-0.432861,-0.361605,-0.292562,-0.228608,-0.171617,-0.122608,-0.081922,-0.049381,-0.024432,-0.006276,0.006021,0.013448,0.016866,0.017088]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.375495,-0.358809,-0.330193,-0.294364,-0.255437,-0.216613,-0.179306,-0.144573,-0.113267,-0.086049,-0.063249,-0.044893,-0.030777,-0.020535,-0.013698,-0.009747,-0.008147,-0.008387,-0.010037,-0.012715]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.195793,-0.189344,-0.177023,-0.161094,-0.143546,-0.125928,-0.108913,-0.09301,-0.078636,-0.066118,-0.055629,-0.047189,-0.040709,-0.03602,-0.032902,-0.031108,-0.030387,-0.030494,-0.031227,-0.032405]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.520337,-0.871456,-1.081523,-1.181882,-1.200616,-1.198575,-1.1797,-1.144506,-1.093217,-1.027493,-0.951873,-0.872728,-0.794787,-0.721432,-0.654886,-0.596315,-0.546197,-0.501687,-0.46287,-0.429554]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.016353,-0.056124,-0.118191,-0.198272,-0.291222,-0.393221,-0.501385,-0.613235,-0.726471,-0.838942,-0.948758,-1.054403,-1.154754,-1.249051,-1.336843,-1.417938,-1.492342,-1.560124,-1.62142,-1.676427]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-11.055563,-8.698673,-6.839896,-5.32025,-4.09799,-3.718562,-3.244658,-2.810033,-2.407304,-2.043343,-1.748564,-1.541041,-1.392625,-1.29091,-1.224604,-1.182564,-1.158158,-1.100884,-1.063942,-1.03291]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.029278,-0.051484,-0.068255,-0.080587,-0.089395,-0.098423,-0.106815,-0.114454,-0.121241,-0.12716,-0.132384,-0.137208,-0.141813,-0.146336,-0.150878,-0.155496,-0.160227,-0.164864,-0.169473,-0.174056]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.098894,-3.108891,-2.347962,-1.726501,-1.233036,-1.263912,-1.174913,-1.06941,-0.950209,-0.828652,-0.731374,-0.675405,-0.644624,-0.633281,-0.635874,-0.64657,-0.662336,-0.64914,-0.645301,-0.641607]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.106806,-0.040274,-0.095467,-0.108479,-0.10233,-0.075698,-0.053562,-0.033444,-0.015093,-0.00022,0.011753,0.022249,0.030853,0.037484,0.042232,0.045271,0.046885,0.046067,0.044795,0.043096]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.338761,-0.630542,-0.872337,-1.067124,-1.219854,-1.360312,-1.488447,-1.602533,-1.700786,-1.782424,-1.848759,-1.902839,-1.947388,-1.984807,-2.017128,-2.045951,-2.072559,-2.096125,-2.117395,-2.136942]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.552994,-0.783265,-0.793092,-0.71148,-0.596557,-0.504658,-0.423498,-0.343426,-0.263657,-0.190454,-0.127446,-0.075467,-0.034722,-0.004591,0.016045,0.028681,0.034798,0.037151,0.036663,0.03385]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.066725,-0.078518,-0.069023,-0.053206,-0.03729,-0.028004,-0.021796,-0.016934,-0.012788,-0.009375,-0.006888,-0.005469,-0.004997,-0.005277,-0.006101,-0.007263,-0.008601,-0.009687,-0.010626,-0.011436]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.355045,-1.187542,-1.006098,-0.83356,-0.67751,-0.637654,-0.596487,-0.54728,-0.489719,-0.427798,-0.369974,-0.32338,-0.287014,-0.259796,-0.240452,-0.22739,-0.21943,-0.208194,-0.199909,-0.193914]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.226661,0.371898,0.452535,0.485283,0.484189,0.476668,0.46402,0.44611,0.422784,0.394592,0.363369,0.331712,0.301435,0.273745,0.249349,0.228523,0.211278,0.196223,0.183336,0.172488]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.088792,-0.159158,-0.211912,-0.249241,-0.273611,-0.288829,-0.296696,-0.298485,-0.295252,-0.288096,-0.278041,-0.265976,-0.252644,-0.238658,-0.224504,-0.210534,-0.197007,-0.184035,-0.171723,-0.160139]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001857,0.003329,0.004433,0.005214,0.005724,0.006042,0.006206,0.006244,0.006176,0.006027,0.005816,0.005564,0.005285,0.004992,0.004696,0.004404,0.004121,0.00385,0.003592,0.00335]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.994574,-0.872007,-0.738953,-0.612319,-0.497736,-0.468401,-0.438115,-0.40193,-0.359616,-0.31411,-0.27162,-0.237379,-0.210652,-0.190648,-0.17643,-0.166829,-0.160979,-0.152731,-0.146651,-0.142253]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.309527,-0.270875,-0.243508,-0.224066,-0.209691,-0.221052,-0.229677,-0.234055,-0.233886,-0.229738,-0.223565,-0.217258,-0.210836,-0.204385,-0.197984,-0.191647,-0.185467,-0.177793,-0.170402,-0.163337]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.077997,-0.136903,-0.173081,-0.189325,-0.190025,-0.18395,-0.172758,-0.157372,-0.138664,-0.118233,-0.097559,-0.077765,-0.059649,-0.043722,-0.030247,-0.019285,-0.010757,-0.00425,0.00046,0.003607]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.104984,-0.188181,-0.250556,-0.294692,-0.323505,-0.341498,-0.3508,-0.352915,-0.349093,-0.340631,-0.328743,-0.314479,-0.298715,-0.282179,-0.265443,-0.248926,-0.232933,-0.217595,-0.203037,-0.189341]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.311988,-0.547612,-0.692323,-0.757302,-0.760101,-0.735801,-0.691032,-0.629487,-0.554655,-0.472932,-0.390234,-0.311059,-0.238597,-0.174887,-0.120986,-0.077141,-0.043029,-0.017001,0.001839,0.014428]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.084378,-0.081838,-0.077333,-0.07162,-0.065364,-0.059083,-0.053003,-0.047294,-0.042097,-0.037522,-0.033626,-0.030419,-0.027869,-0.025922,-0.024505,-0.023536,-0.022931,-0.022609,-0.022503,-0.022552]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.077997,0.136903,0.173081,0.189325,0.190025,0.18395,0.172758,0.157372,0.138664,0.118233,0.097559,0.077765,0.059649,0.043722,0.030247,0.019285,0.010757,0.00425,-0.00046,-0.003607]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.217341,1.274974,1.257238,1.185492,1.079509,0.955652,0.822435,0.687049,0.555867,0.434356,0.326072,0.232955,0.155651,0.093823,0.046421,0.011925,-0.01144,-0.025552,-0.032045,-0.032467]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.689728,1.614641,1.48587,1.324639,1.149468,0.974757,0.806876,0.65058,0.509703,0.387222,0.284621,0.202017,0.138494,0.092406,0.061642,0.043859,0.036663,0.037742,0.045167,0.057219]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.605499,1.552623,1.451585,1.320969,1.177074,1.032607,0.893088,0.762686,0.644813,0.542171,0.456154,0.386946,0.333812,0.295362,0.269793,0.255086,0.249172,0.250051,0.256061,0.265725]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.518796,1.473082,1.391992,1.289162,1.176554,1.063497,0.954054,0.851299,0.757748,0.675395,0.605275,0.547534,0.501645,0.466601,0.441091,0.423645,0.412753,0.406958,0.405046,0.405941]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.042565,-0.048566,-0.054777,-0.060644,-0.065443,-0.071867,-0.076835,-0.079898,-0.080626,-0.079057,-0.075398,-0.069672,-0.062103,-0.053019,-0.042797,-0.031825,-0.020503,-0.009026,0.002204,0.012927]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.223577,0.140111,0.07376,0.016875,-0.033631,-0.063092,-0.09363,-0.123593,-0.152036,-0.176963,-0.197282,-0.214518,-0.229212,-0.24168,-0.25219,-0.26105,-0.268302,-0.274814,-0.279845,-0.283449]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.2604,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.58,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-8.9751,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_ar","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"AR","name":"Argentina"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.837542,-1.453285,-1.104005,-0.760623,-0.417008,-0.177354,0.078009,0.330348,0.543562,0.700928,0.802094,0.852014,0.857736,0.82765,0.770623,0.69535,0.609419,0.523887,0.439064,0.358663]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.655058,-2.114298,-1.649306,-1.248599,-0.896152,-0.620416,-0.373954,-0.154667,0.028781,0.172225,0.276972,0.346532,0.385337,0.398423,0.391071,0.368503,0.335446,0.297795,0.257439,0.216942]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.19051,-0.226748,-0.199224,-0.150361,-0.096305,-0.053765,-0.0154,0.021131,0.053925,0.080572,0.100083,0.112314,0.117944,0.11797,0.113512,0.105694,0.095621,0.084784,0.073635,0.062642]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.470139,-0.790578,-0.885536,-0.815359,-0.648865,-0.461739,-0.273812,-0.089984,0.082532,0.234231,0.357937,0.449982,0.510126,0.540634,0.545373,0.52907,0.496742,0.454507,0.406523,0.356018]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.255615,0.365974,0.440429,0.489586,0.517885,0.54166,0.552291,0.549956,0.536993,0.517509,0.495246,0.471132,0.446696,0.423217,0.401494,0.381498,0.363442,0.346819,0.331768,0.318216]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.264432,-0.444411,-0.556856,-0.611549,-0.614919,-0.586699,-0.526753,-0.437655,-0.327054,-0.204337,-0.078109,0.044469,0.157802,0.257893,0.342262,0.409794,0.460467,0.49577,0.51703,0.525961]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.175347,1.976446,2.213841,2.038397,1.622163,1.154348,0.684529,0.224959,-0.206329,-0.585578,-0.894842,-1.124955,-1.275315,-1.351586,-1.363434,-1.322676,-1.241854,-1.136267,-1.016308,-0.890045]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.700806,-1.924494,-1.318154,-0.804348,-0.33852,-0.049149,0.265,0.576353,0.830747,1.006221,1.105825,1.139332,1.11814,1.054537,0.960773,0.848387,0.727,0.611228,0.499482,0.396089]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.554502,-0.485418,-0.357317,-0.201882,-0.043715,0.101159,0.226456,0.328854,0.406236,0.458012,0.485546,0.49162,0.479874,0.454305,0.418872,0.377232,0.332564,0.287477,0.243832,0.202953]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.026383,0.065169,0.117556,0.172446,0.2218,0.261045,0.2894,0.307065,0.314471,0.312385,0.302025,0.28494,0.262838,0.237412,0.210223,0.18262,0.155699,0.130292,0.106918,0.085879]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.046847,0.058192,0.077527,0.099214,0.119127,0.134859,0.145895,0.152217,0.153929,0.151314,0.144896,0.135377,0.123549,0.110213,0.096112,0.081891,0.068078,0.055076,0.043134,0.032397]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.31212,-0.511386,-0.619845,-0.651416,-0.616922,-0.543281,-0.4335,-0.293254,-0.133522,0.033355,0.196615,0.34776,0.480612,0.591243,0.67776,0.740014,0.779186,0.798206,0.7997,0.786606]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.059311,-0.193619,-0.380528,-0.588045,-0.786425,-0.954994,-1.080203,-1.153163,-1.169392,-1.128892,-1.035714,-0.897063,-0.722293,-0.521865,-0.306429,-0.086091,0.130122,0.334764,0.522076,0.687922]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-9.632574,-6.746096,-4.889686,-3.408771,-2.180208,-1.471064,-0.676257,0.034595,0.565271,0.912014,1.108651,1.186122,1.171733,1.091103,0.96716,0.819779,0.663855,0.526484,0.393097,0.273914]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.022163,-0.034606,-0.041626,-0.044401,-0.04362,-0.04141,-0.03696,-0.030376,-0.0223,-0.013442,-0.00438,0.004431,0.012648,0.020035,0.026452,0.031845,0.036224,0.039724,0.0424,0.044352]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.102802,-1.742087,-0.982815,-0.388465,0.109412,0.309336,0.622967,0.921829,1.130593,1.240098,1.268676,1.233609,1.150427,1.034128,0.898361,0.755071,0.613073,0.490018,0.374626,0.273169]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.326753,0.242687,0.174225,0.110753,0.048808,0.005844,-0.04036,-0.085813,-0.123545,-0.150611,-0.167149,-0.174214,-0.173198,-0.165717,-0.153454,-0.138036,-0.120871,-0.103955,-0.087334,-0.071699]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.122328,-0.219967,-0.295052,-0.347902,-0.37844,-0.393455,-0.391783,-0.373472,-0.34095,-0.297754,-0.247465,-0.193371,-0.138334,-0.084702,-0.034271,0.011713,0.052485,0.088006,0.118257,0.143465]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.101498,-0.177468,-0.19325,-0.183895,-0.165153,-0.150084,-0.138037,-0.12566,-0.111326,-0.096039,-0.080935,-0.066824,-0.054103,-0.04299,-0.033576,-0.025854,-0.01973,-0.014708,-0.010705,-0.007693]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.133357,-0.158724,-0.139456,-0.105253,-0.067414,-0.037636,-0.01078,0.014792,0.037747,0.0564,0.070058,0.07862,0.082561,0.082579,0.079459,0.073986,0.066935,0.059349,0.051544,0.043849]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.100953,-0.869919,-0.660346,-0.45451,-0.248607,-0.105007,0.048035,0.19926,0.327005,0.421251,0.481798,0.511621,0.514951,0.49682,0.462547,0.417346,0.365764,0.31443,0.263529,0.215287]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.119211,0.176776,0.193951,0.18356,0.154077,0.118127,0.076683,0.031633,-0.015461,-0.064165,-0.108281,-0.145112,-0.173164,-0.191947,-0.201757,-0.203469,-0.198308,-0.188023,-0.173947,-0.15736]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.130654,-0.224487,-0.289928,-0.333451,-0.360069,-0.37446,-0.379414,-0.377106,-0.369293,-0.357495,-0.342974,-0.326694,-0.309404,-0.291689,-0.273992,-0.256626,-0.239818,-0.223686,-0.20833,-0.193811]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.038055,0.065384,0.084445,0.097122,0.104874,0.109066,0.110509,0.109837,0.107561,0.104125,0.099895,0.095153,0.090118,0.084958,0.079803,0.074746,0.06985,0.065151,0.060679,0.05645]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.051074,-0.831279,-0.631491,-0.435076,-0.238528,-0.101446,0.044621,0.188959,0.310917,0.400931,0.458798,0.487352,0.490625,0.473416,0.440796,0.39774,0.348587,0.299663,0.251145,0.205155]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.39353,-0.334628,-0.28735,-0.239966,-0.188519,-0.153974,-0.111691,-0.066202,-0.025485,0.006358,0.028463,0.041673,0.046953,0.045557,0.038942,0.028747,0.016321,0.003771,-0.008889,-0.020932]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.117535,-0.197645,-0.221384,-0.20384,-0.162216,-0.115435,-0.068453,-0.022496,0.020633,0.058558,0.089484,0.112496,0.127531,0.135159,0.136343,0.132268,0.124185,0.113627,0.101631,0.089005]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.063424,-0.108974,-0.140742,-0.16187,-0.174791,-0.181777,-0.184182,-0.183061,-0.179269,-0.173541,-0.166492,-0.158589,-0.150196,-0.141597,-0.133006,-0.124576,-0.116416,-0.108585,-0.101131,-0.094083]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.470139,-0.790578,-0.885536,-0.815359,-0.648865,-0.461739,-0.273812,-0.089984,0.082532,0.234231,0.357937,0.449982,0.510126,0.540634,0.545373,0.52907,0.496742,0.454507,0.406523,0.356018]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.005995,0.009875,0.016426,0.02377,0.030531,0.035905,0.03972,0.04197,0.04269,0.041972,0.039992,0.036981,0.033204,0.028927,0.024397,0.019827,0.015394,0.011232,0.007422,0.004012]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.117535,0.197645,0.221384,0.20384,0.162216,0.115435,0.068453,0.022496,-0.020633,-0.058558,-0.089484,-0.112496,-0.127531,-0.135159,-0.136343,-0.132268,-0.124185,-0.113627,-0.101631,-0.089005]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.053553,0.922294,0.678901,0.383577,0.083058,-0.192202,-0.430266,-0.624822,-0.771848,-0.870223,-0.922538,-0.934077,-0.911761,-0.863179,-0.795856,-0.716742,-0.631871,-0.546205,-0.463281,-0.385611]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.118724,-0.293258,-0.529002,-0.776006,-0.998099,-1.174704,-1.302299,-1.381792,-1.415118,-1.405732,-1.359112,-1.28223,-1.182769,-1.068354,-0.946005,-0.82179,-0.700643,-0.586314,-0.481131,-0.386455]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.384144,-0.477177,-0.635719,-0.813555,-0.976843,-1.105845,-1.196342,-1.248181,-1.262215,-1.240777,-1.18815,-1.11009,-1.013104,-0.903749,-0.788116,-0.671504,-0.558241,-0.451625,-0.353699,-0.265651]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.107904,-0.177747,-0.295675,-0.427868,-0.549552,-0.646281,-0.714959,-0.755466,-0.768415,-0.755504,-0.719853,-0.665662,-0.59768,-0.52069,-0.439138,-0.356889,-0.277099,-0.202172,-0.133592,-0.072221]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.075689,-0.101551,-0.119564,-0.125323,-0.118821,-0.106046,-0.08627,-0.062091,-0.035871,-0.009831,0.013691,0.035036,0.0537,0.069409,0.082144,0.092167,0.099728,0.105258,0.10904,0.111388]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.450974,0.429533,0.378266,0.307804,0.225272,0.164016,0.094942,0.021131,-0.053262,-0.121868,-0.180141,-0.229355,-0.269462,-0.300582,-0.323318,-0.339113,-0.348829,-0.354679,-0.356505,-0.355039]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.8375,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.5643,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-2.7008,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_za","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"ZA","name":"South Africa"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.917081,-1.515437,-1.20266,-0.949314,-0.737895,-0.666636,-0.575356,-0.471454,-0.366277,-0.281076,-0.214963,-0.166035,-0.132141,-0.11108,-0.100516,-0.097961,-0.101355,-0.103158,-0.10769,-0.113632]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.822193,-2.289896,-1.807642,-1.40848,-1.087027,-0.878743,-0.709051,-0.563698,-0.438319,-0.337331,-0.258135,-0.197604,-0.152746,-0.120879,-0.099557,-0.086491,-0.079765,-0.075143,-0.073453,-0.073818]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.087001,-0.112378,-0.097361,-0.070892,-0.044717,-0.027743,-0.016307,-0.007319,0.000156,0.005772,0.009379,0.011122,0.011327,0.010387,0.008648,0.006346,0.003784,0.001459,-0.00063,-0.002488]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.14654,-0.286835,-0.368433,-0.390105,-0.366888,-0.324066,-0.27361,-0.22064,-0.167962,-0.118506,-0.074726,-0.038225,-0.009721,0.010825,0.023979,0.03062,0.031848,0.029289,0.024137,0.017318]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.570617,0.715457,0.741904,0.719845,0.677691,0.65834,0.6348,0.601133,0.558412,0.512631,0.467294,0.424172,0.384335,0.348638,0.317461,0.290259,0.266924,0.245736,0.227304,0.211579]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.301984,-0.515221,-0.661654,-0.756941,-0.812452,-0.853789,-0.878925,-0.887042,-0.879123,-0.859396,-0.831595,-0.798844,-0.76369,-0.728151,-0.693746,-0.661512,-0.632113,-0.605002,-0.580391,-0.558288]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.610583,1.195147,1.535138,1.625437,1.528701,1.350273,1.140042,0.919335,0.699842,0.493774,0.311357,0.159273,0.040503,-0.045103,-0.099914,-0.127584,-0.1327,-0.122039,-0.100572,-0.072159]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-7.610785,-5.956783,-4.680151,-3.661448,-2.825024,-2.554808,-2.20676,-1.80904,-1.406163,-1.082106,-0.832478,-0.64913,-0.52323,-0.445991,-0.408267,-0.400405,-0.414532,-0.421056,-0.43763,-0.459275]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.29714,-0.299817,-0.278776,-0.242063,-0.198078,-0.153432,-0.111571,-0.074372,-0.042964,-0.017988,0.000486,0.012844,0.019787,0.0222,0.021039,0.01725,0.011713,0.005203,-0.001688,-0.008511]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.130912,-0.123106,-0.108687,-0.090582,-0.071761,-0.054428,-0.039516,-0.027358,-0.018029,-0.011467,-0.007468,-0.005709,-0.005794,-0.007296,-0.009797,-0.012911,-0.0163,-0.019688,-0.022879,-0.025743]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.079555,-0.076651,-0.070208,-0.061694,-0.05261,-0.044078,-0.036592,-0.030343,-0.025396,-0.021746,-0.019312,-0.017954,-0.017491,-0.017725,-0.018455,-0.0195,-0.020695,-0.021908,-0.023042,-0.024034]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.416326,-0.666322,-0.799776,-0.851056,-0.84449,-0.821315,-0.780641,-0.723244,-0.652137,-0.574356,-0.495453,-0.41955,-0.349542,-0.287312,-0.233878,-0.189524,-0.154016,-0.125512,-0.103418,-0.086949]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.029615,-0.094196,-0.188351,-0.301253,-0.422008,-0.54323,-0.659733,-0.767728,-0.864341,-0.947696,-1.016863,-1.07175,-1.112934,-1.141494,-1.158826,-1.166505,-1.166169,-1.15933,-1.147363,-1.131486]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.339795,-7.657101,-5.976932,-4.66403,-3.633032,-3.21523,-2.669425,-2.162369,-1.71414,-1.380315,-1.124908,-0.932902,-0.791838,-0.691371,-0.622264,-0.575924,-0.546377,-0.507638,-0.483896,-0.465953]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.025699,-0.042697,-0.055154,-0.064205,-0.070687,-0.077199,-0.082715,-0.087115,-0.090437,-0.09304,-0.095146,-0.09693,-0.09853,-0.100056,-0.101586,-0.103171,-0.104844,-0.106514,-0.108223,-0.109971]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.597857,-2.37979,-1.743888,-1.267147,-0.907565,-0.91158,-0.77225,-0.616045,-0.464995,-0.364533,-0.294815,-0.249708,-0.224073,-0.213604,-0.214236,-0.221922,-0.234089,-0.233868,-0.239269,-0.244738]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.316453,0.240611,0.186084,0.144259,0.110545,0.100411,0.086534,0.070479,0.054225,0.041319,0.031506,0.024416,0.019674,0.01691,0.015743,0.015775,0.016681,0.017226,0.018167,0.019283]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.159512,-0.280388,-0.371283,-0.438157,-0.485328,-0.525128,-0.55614,-0.577606,-0.589731,-0.594472,-0.593643,-0.588837,-0.581415,-0.572512,-0.563033,-0.553652,-0.544851,-0.536473,-0.528727,-0.521709]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.118457,0.069771,0.048951,0.04087,0.038212,0.044479,0.046978,0.04721,0.046122,0.045253,0.044465,0.043679,0.042888,0.042133,0.041435,0.040737,0.040054,0.039022,0.038075,0.037158]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.060901,-0.078664,-0.068153,-0.049625,-0.031302,-0.01942,-0.011415,-0.005123,0.000109,0.004041,0.006565,0.007786,0.007929,0.007271,0.006053,0.004442,0.002649,0.001021,-0.000441,-0.001741]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.148487,-0.906963,-0.719293,-0.567503,-0.440951,-0.398412,-0.343839,-0.281699,-0.218798,-0.167871,-0.128374,-0.099161,-0.07894,-0.066391,-0.060116,-0.058625,-0.060687,-0.061785,-0.064513,-0.068079]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.130841,0.198681,0.226721,0.229844,0.217688,0.203974,0.187761,0.168867,0.147934,0.126879,0.107039,0.089256,0.073997,0.061451,0.051597,0.044248,0.03913,0.035527,0.033214,0.031935]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.08579,-0.146551,-0.188586,-0.216407,-0.233366,-0.242769,-0.246248,-0.245098,-0.240394,-0.233103,-0.224021,-0.213775,-0.202851,-0.191627,-0.180386,-0.169329,-0.158598,-0.148255,-0.138372,-0.12899]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.0032,0.005467,0.007035,0.008073,0.008706,0.009057,0.009187,0.009144,0.008968,0.008696,0.008357,0.007975,0.007568,0.007149,0.00673,0.006317,0.005917,0.005531,0.005162,0.004812]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.223098,-0.966849,-0.767297,-0.605662,-0.470777,-0.425314,-0.367077,-0.300788,-0.233685,-0.179326,-0.137146,-0.10593,-0.084306,-0.070869,-0.064129,-0.062499,-0.064665,-0.065815,-0.068706,-0.072497]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.470663,-0.428177,-0.380028,-0.333699,-0.290905,-0.277902,-0.259449,-0.235758,-0.209243,-0.1851,-0.163925,-0.14579,-0.130613,-0.118293,-0.108592,-0.100997,-0.095198,-0.089554,-0.08503,-0.081407]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.036635,-0.071709,-0.092108,-0.097526,-0.091722,-0.081016,-0.068403,-0.05516,-0.041991,-0.029626,-0.018681,-0.009556,-0.00243,0.002706,0.005995,0.007655,0.007962,0.007322,0.006034,0.00433]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.099755,-0.170408,-0.219286,-0.251637,-0.271356,-0.28229,-0.286335,-0.284997,-0.279528,-0.27105,-0.260489,-0.248575,-0.235873,-0.222822,-0.209752,-0.196894,-0.184416,-0.17239,-0.160897,-0.149988]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.14654,-0.286835,-0.368433,-0.390105,-0.366888,-0.324066,-0.27361,-0.22064,-0.167962,-0.118506,-0.074726,-0.038225,-0.009721,0.010825,0.023979,0.03062,0.031848,0.029289,0.024137,0.017318]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.033276,-0.032071,-0.029697,-0.026642,-0.023406,-0.020363,-0.017676,-0.015409,-0.013584,-0.012197,-0.011221,-0.01061,-0.010303,-0.010233,-0.010334,-0.010544,-0.010809,-0.011085,-0.011338,-0.011548]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.036635,0.071709,0.092108,0.097526,0.091722,0.081016,0.068403,0.05516,0.041991,0.029626,0.018681,0.009556,0.00243,-0.002706,-0.005995,-0.007655,-0.007962,-0.007322,-0.006034,-0.00433]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.564565,0.569653,0.529675,0.459919,0.376348,0.291521,0.211984,0.141307,0.081632,0.034178,-0.000924,-0.024404,-0.037595,-0.04218,-0.039974,-0.032775,-0.022255,-0.009887,0.003206,0.016171]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.589104,0.553977,0.489092,0.40762,0.322923,0.244925,0.177824,0.123113,0.081132,0.051603,0.033605,0.025689,0.026071,0.032832,0.044086,0.058098,0.073351,0.088594,0.102956,0.115845]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.652348,0.628541,0.575708,0.505894,0.431399,0.361441,0.300052,0.248813,0.20825,0.178315,0.158358,0.147225,0.14343,0.145342,0.151334,0.159898,0.169702,0.179642,0.188944,0.197081]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.598968,0.577281,0.534541,0.479552,0.421303,0.366528,0.318168,0.277368,0.244506,0.219538,0.201982,0.190985,0.185457,0.184198,0.186014,0.189797,0.19457,0.199522,0.204084,0.207868]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.539641,-0.654711,-0.637925,-0.567374,-0.477006,-0.411996,-0.34817,-0.280133,-0.209184,-0.141152,-0.079288,-0.024874,0.02166,0.060208,0.091113,0.115472,0.134001,0.148912,0.160031,0.167734]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.765975,0.779017,0.67974,0.538064,0.385078,0.280696,0.177452,0.072308,-0.031843,-0.126746,-0.208093,-0.276315,-0.331823,-0.375161,-0.40735,-0.430352,-0.445347,-0.455762,-0.460968,-0.461676]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9171,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.4373,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-7.6108,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_nl","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"NL","name":"Netherlands"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.260748,-1.824472,-1.493479,-1.227721,-1.006374,-0.989791,-0.941555,-0.870093,-0.782376,-0.688551,-0.611219,-0.548666,-0.498864,-0.460123,-0.430605,-0.407974,-0.390909,-0.367682,-0.348266,-0.331831]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.006644,-2.481434,-1.987531,-1.574301,-1.241119,-1.055364,-0.909805,-0.785471,-0.674061,-0.573791,-0.491652,-0.42589,-0.37399,-0.333625,-0.302641,-0.278877,-0.260805,-0.242242,-0.226456,-0.213208]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.055707,-0.084728,-0.074136,-0.052461,-0.030915,-0.016829,-0.008479,-0.002575,0.002034,0.005547,0.007605,0.008234,0.007705,0.00638,0.004555,0.002382,0.000126,-0.0018,-0.0034,-0.004734]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.214706,0.248592,0.257707,0.257021,0.252098,0.257797,0.261015,0.260161,0.255328,0.248575,0.241088,0.233354,0.225724,0.218591,0.212185,0.206255,0.200892,0.195524,0.190578,0.186108]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.286984,-0.502879,-0.665032,-0.784827,-0.870358,-0.949602,-1.018936,-1.075965,-1.119283,-1.148819,-1.167364,-1.177332,-1.180741,-1.179287,-1.174343,-1.166916,-1.157797,-1.146251,-1.13286,-1.118072]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.402118,0.855715,1.193808,1.380803,1.433011,1.407107,1.334079,1.229321,1.102521,0.963795,0.823394,0.68995,0.56963,0.46616,0.381223,0.314977,0.266319,0.231981,0.209284,0.195925]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-6.308948,-5.070288,-4.132623,-3.383506,-2.763451,-2.71886,-2.58706,-2.391268,-2.150694,-1.89335,-1.682131,-1.511943,-1.3769,-1.272162,-1.192539,-1.131499,-1.085396,-1.02154,-0.967946,-0.922365]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.164928,-0.177435,-0.179365,-0.172751,-0.160414,-0.144996,-0.128194,-0.111178,-0.094851,-0.079919,-0.066851,-0.055884,-0.047062,-0.04028,-0.035333,-0.031955,-0.029855,-0.028737,-0.02835,-0.028477]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.110365,-0.108849,-0.104087,-0.096932,-0.088479,-0.079698,-0.07115,-0.063166,-0.055967,-0.049701,-0.044443,-0.040195,-0.036898,-0.034449,-0.032719,-0.03157,-0.030862,-0.030467,-0.030277,-0.03021]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.070281,-0.069516,-0.06711,-0.063477,-0.059155,-0.054627,-0.050172,-0.04596,-0.042104,-0.038684,-0.035743,-0.033288,-0.031295,-0.029716,-0.028493,-0.02756,-0.026851,-0.026303,-0.025865,-0.025497]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.378567,-0.626136,-0.780115,-0.865566,-0.900287,-0.926262,-0.939678,-0.938656,-0.922727,-0.893158,-0.854794,-0.811466,-0.766094,-0.720872,-0.677359,-0.636488,-0.598828,-0.562894,-0.529088,-0.49761]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.016008,-0.05176,-0.107075,-0.177119,-0.256239,-0.340602,-0.427417,-0.514632,-0.600518,-0.683567,-0.762625,-0.836904,-0.905957,-0.969609,-1.027887,-1.080957,-1.129082,-1.172504,-1.211457,-1.246166]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-11.435705,-8.734654,-7.069844,-5.720429,-4.6181,-4.359315,-3.862367,-3.378532,-2.912365,-2.483854,-2.158852,-1.900137,-1.695268,-1.534883,-1.409902,-1.31046,-1.231828,-1.129628,-1.052508,-0.986574]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.031179,-0.053565,-0.071486,-0.085819,-0.097227,-0.109458,-0.120939,-0.13142,-0.140733,-0.148854,-0.15613,-0.16275,-0.168867,-0.174611,-0.180079,-0.185337,-0.190436,-0.195217,-0.199769,-0.20412]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.364994,-3.134078,-2.508926,-2.006626,-1.597113,-1.71244,-1.60731,-1.467359,-1.303752,-1.13701,-1.018576,-0.926772,-0.856475,-0.804062,-0.765583,-0.736097,-0.713905,-0.669261,-0.637297,-0.609172]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.471282,0.375649,0.305147,0.249689,0.204135,0.201705,0.192472,0.178345,0.160802,0.14191,0.126407,0.113903,0.103958,0.096219,0.090307,0.085743,0.082266,0.077429,0.073356,0.069878]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.056445,0.09884,0.130602,0.153961,0.170499,0.185715,0.198894,0.209571,0.217481,0.222626,0.225572,0.226807,0.226744,0.225728,0.224039,0.221885,0.219427,0.216528,0.213305,0.20985]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.314464,0.214187,0.160016,0.129129,0.110388,0.123328,0.129358,0.130955,0.129269,0.125376,0.122522,0.120203,0.11809,0.11607,0.114057,0.111834,0.109451,0.105413,0.101522,0.097761]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.038995,-0.05931,-0.051895,-0.036722,-0.021641,-0.01178,-0.005936,-0.001803,0.001424,0.003883,0.005324,0.005764,0.005393,0.004466,0.003189,0.001667,8.8e-05,-0.00126,-0.00238,-0.003314]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.354687,-1.092384,-0.893785,-0.734548,-0.602038,-0.592305,-0.563559,-0.520882,-0.468457,-0.412356,-0.366128,-0.32874,-0.298973,-0.275817,-0.25817,-0.244634,-0.234419,-0.220499,-0.208859,-0.198999]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.350416,0.563126,0.68199,0.735889,0.744699,0.749177,0.745282,0.73109,0.706141,0.671638,0.632049,0.590683,0.54987,0.511215,0.475716,0.443809,0.415638,0.389501,0.365582,0.343899]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.149257,-0.256552,-0.332676,-0.384749,-0.417863,-0.438891,-0.449721,-0.451911,-0.446892,-0.436325,-0.421769,-0.404502,-0.385548,-0.365735,-0.345697,-0.325867,-0.306558,-0.287849,-0.269905,-0.252831]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001596,0.002743,0.003557,0.004114,0.004468,0.004693,0.004808,0.004832,0.004778,0.004665,0.004509,0.004325,0.004122,0.00391,0.003696,0.003484,0.003278,0.003078,0.002886,0.002703]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.69104,-1.364705,-1.117122,-0.918335,-0.752767,-0.740364,-0.704283,-0.65083,-0.585217,-0.515036,-0.457192,-0.410402,-0.37315,-0.344172,-0.322093,-0.305165,-0.2924,-0.275026,-0.260503,-0.248209]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.42575,-0.343744,-0.287117,-0.244965,-0.211553,-0.215907,-0.213229,-0.205222,-0.193215,-0.179229,-0.167389,-0.157418,-0.14904,-0.142106,-0.136425,-0.131598,-0.127508,-0.122105,-0.117316,-0.113042]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.014361,-0.030561,-0.042636,-0.049314,-0.051179,-0.050254,-0.047646,-0.043904,-0.039376,-0.034421,-0.029407,-0.024641,-0.020344,-0.016649,-0.013615,-0.011249,-0.009511,-0.008285,-0.007474,-0.006997]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.187745,-0.322707,-0.418461,-0.483961,-0.525614,-0.552064,-0.565687,-0.568442,-0.562129,-0.548837,-0.530528,-0.508807,-0.484966,-0.460043,-0.434839,-0.409896,-0.385608,-0.362074,-0.339503,-0.318027]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.030195,-0.029737,-0.028739,-0.027338,-0.025713,-0.024026,-0.022369,-0.020799,-0.019353,-0.018057,-0.016926,-0.015961,-0.015156,-0.014492,-0.013952,-0.013512,-0.013151,-0.012847,-0.012584,-0.012348]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.014361,0.030561,0.042636,0.049314,0.051179,0.050254,0.047646,0.043904,0.039376,0.034421,0.029407,0.024641,0.020344,0.016649,0.013615,0.011249,0.009511,0.008285,0.007474,0.006997]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.313363,0.337127,0.340794,0.328226,0.304786,0.275493,0.243568,0.211239,0.180217,0.151846,0.127016,0.10618,0.089419,0.076532,0.067132,0.060714,0.056724,0.054601,0.053866,0.054106]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.496643,0.489819,0.468392,0.436194,0.398155,0.358643,0.320174,0.284247,0.251851,0.223653,0.199994,0.180879,0.166041,0.155019,0.147235,0.142064,0.13888,0.137099,0.136249,0.135944]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.5763,0.570031,0.550306,0.520509,0.485069,0.447939,0.411411,0.376871,0.345254,0.317211,0.293096,0.272964,0.256616,0.243673,0.233645,0.225994,0.220177,0.215682,0.212092,0.209072]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.543508,0.535271,0.517303,0.49208,0.462839,0.432471,0.402647,0.37438,0.348348,0.325025,0.304665,0.287307,0.272799,0.260863,0.251135,0.243221,0.236719,0.231253,0.226515,0.222258]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.13989,-0.135492,-0.105125,-0.064709,-0.021991,0.010148,0.04009,0.068408,0.094782,0.117765,0.13666,0.151557,0.162726,0.17046,0.175156,0.177443,0.177721,0.17681,0.174699,0.171617]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.410065,0.312151,0.195543,0.07524,-0.040515,-0.119848,-0.196334,-0.268664,-0.334927,-0.390802,-0.434299,-0.467133,-0.490435,-0.505207,-0.512626,-0.514356,-0.511378,-0.505973,-0.497694,-0.487147]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.2607,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.3024,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-6.3089,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_es","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"ES","name":"Spain"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.93956,-1.528101,-1.225437,-0.989637,-0.798567,-0.757537,-0.69213,-0.610795,-0.520733,-0.446026,-0.386899,-0.339751,-0.302641,-0.274022,-0.252361,-0.235875,-0.223519,-0.20831,-0.195892,-0.185602]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.824544,-2.286921,-1.80564,-1.411829,-1.099376,-0.906557,-0.752949,-0.623291,-0.51055,-0.41958,-0.348105,-0.292175,-0.248695,-0.215193,-0.189611,-0.170075,-0.155251,-0.141346,-0.129923,-0.120607]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.071788,-0.09144,-0.080808,-0.06077,-0.040253,-0.026772,-0.01728,-0.009639,-0.003146,0.001825,0.005207,0.006985,0.007456,0.006957,0.005788,0.004177,0.002356,0.000732,-0.000716,-0.001994]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.064416,-0.111599,-0.101579,-0.067636,-0.025819,0.012636,0.045495,0.074991,0.101443,0.124336,0.143642,0.15834,0.168687,0.175285,0.178775,0.17953,0.178198,0.175645,0.172267,0.168326]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.22158,-0.383415,-0.50143,-0.585964,-0.64422,-0.694962,-0.735885,-0.765735,-0.784126,-0.793424,-0.795876,-0.793178,-0.786699,-0.777552,-0.766617,-0.754522,-0.741749,-0.727962,-0.7135,-0.698615]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.402118,0.855715,1.193808,1.380803,1.433011,1.407107,1.334079,1.229321,1.102521,0.963795,0.823394,0.68995,0.56963,0.46616,0.381223,0.314977,0.266319,0.231981,0.209284,0.195925]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.858253,-3.017154,-2.399743,-1.922272,-1.539374,-1.459037,-1.331554,-1.173362,-0.998525,-0.854782,-0.742172,-0.653172,-0.583672,-0.530452,-0.490396,-0.459946,-0.437062,-0.407932,-0.383938,-0.363839]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.164928,-0.177435,-0.179365,-0.172751,-0.160414,-0.144996,-0.128194,-0.111178,-0.094851,-0.079919,-0.066851,-0.055884,-0.047062,-0.04028,-0.035333,-0.031955,-0.029855,-0.028737,-0.02835,-0.028477]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.110365,-0.108849,-0.104087,-0.096932,-0.088479,-0.079698,-0.07115,-0.063166,-0.055967,-0.049701,-0.044443,-0.040195,-0.036898,-0.034449,-0.032719,-0.03157,-0.030862,-0.030467,-0.030277,-0.03021]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.070281,-0.069516,-0.06711,-0.063477,-0.059155,-0.054627,-0.050172,-0.04596,-0.042104,-0.038684,-0.035743,-0.033288,-0.031295,-0.029716,-0.028493,-0.02756,-0.026851,-0.026303,-0.025865,-0.025497]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.368053,-0.595617,-0.726587,-0.78968,-0.804696,-0.80816,-0.797605,-0.772503,-0.733728,-0.686545,-0.635386,-0.583269,-0.53234,-0.484093,-0.439478,-0.398946,-0.362667,-0.329453,-0.299368,-0.272338]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.010135,-0.036643,-0.078919,-0.132926,-0.194005,-0.258609,-0.324262,-0.389109,-0.451635,-0.510673,-0.565434,-0.615463,-0.660604,-0.700931,-0.736676,-0.76817,-0.795801,-0.819943,-0.840937,-0.859096]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.535492,-7.928384,-6.346511,-5.082758,-4.065693,-3.683827,-3.146169,-2.642086,-2.176985,-1.823562,-1.5487,-1.330385,-1.158393,-1.023815,-0.918592,-0.834663,-0.767787,-0.691356,-0.632811,-0.583227]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.026677,-0.045032,-0.059337,-0.070481,-0.079127,-0.087981,-0.095881,-0.10268,-0.108316,-0.113136,-0.117361,-0.121132,-0.124565,-0.127753,-0.130765,-0.133644,-0.136423,-0.139012,-0.141466,-0.1438]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.734844,-2.569689,-2.002593,-1.560256,-1.210428,-1.239598,-1.105971,-0.951847,-0.788986,-0.674806,-0.59147,-0.527946,-0.480662,-0.446315,-0.421666,-0.403039,-0.389077,-0.36247,-0.34351,-0.32683]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.423567,0.333344,0.267135,0.215642,0.173967,0.165079,0.15085,0.133139,0.11352,0.097257,0.084391,0.074136,0.066064,0.059839,0.055126,0.051537,0.048844,0.045524,0.042811,0.04056]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.016136,0.028104,0.037004,0.043535,0.048181,0.052277,0.055647,0.05819,0.059873,0.060863,0.061321,0.061371,0.061114,0.060633,0.059996,0.059253,0.058442,0.057541,0.056578,0.055574]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.302806,0.299631,0.272927,0.238791,0.203895,0.188939,0.172753,0.154433,0.134549,0.116465,0.101068,0.08821,0.077788,0.069637,0.063507,0.059001,0.055844,0.05285,0.050577,0.048907]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.050252,-0.064008,-0.056566,-0.042539,-0.028177,-0.01874,-0.012096,-0.006747,-0.002202,0.001278,0.003645,0.004889,0.005219,0.00487,0.004051,0.002924,0.001649,0.000513,-0.000501,-0.001396]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.161784,-0.914314,-0.732714,-0.591476,-0.477166,-0.452787,-0.41376,-0.36518,-0.31137,-0.266761,-0.231474,-0.203344,-0.181205,-0.16413,-0.151203,-0.141359,-0.133972,-0.124865,-0.117424,-0.111251]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.203654,0.323374,0.38737,0.413808,0.414896,0.411458,0.40184,0.385605,0.363161,0.337362,0.310514,0.284085,0.259045,0.236009,0.215305,0.197011,0.181078,0.166735,0.153957,0.142653]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.094015,-0.160194,-0.206214,-0.237059,-0.256215,-0.267444,-0.272251,-0.271877,-0.267393,-0.259865,-0.250267,-0.239311,-0.227553,-0.215426,-0.203258,-0.191265,-0.179602,-0.168325,-0.157515,-0.147222]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.00136,0.002317,0.002982,0.003429,0.003706,0.003868,0.003938,0.003932,0.003867,0.003758,0.00362,0.003461,0.003291,0.003116,0.00294,0.002766,0.002598,0.002434,0.002278,0.002129]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.429456,-1.12621,-0.903147,-0.729363,-0.588544,-0.558305,-0.5101,-0.450156,-0.38378,-0.328721,-0.285144,-0.250397,-0.223046,-0.201954,-0.18599,-0.17384,-0.164733,-0.153524,-0.144373,-0.136788]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.317924,-0.206319,-0.149034,-0.118602,-0.101719,-0.111304,-0.11368,-0.111941,-0.107679,-0.105081,-0.103854,-0.102843,-0.10172,-0.100398,-0.098839,-0.096908,-0.094693,-0.091317,-0.08803,-0.084818]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.014361,-0.030561,-0.042636,-0.049314,-0.051179,-0.050254,-0.047646,-0.043904,-0.039376,-0.034421,-0.029407,-0.024641,-0.020344,-0.016649,-0.013615,-0.011249,-0.009511,-0.008285,-0.007474,-0.006997]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.116547,-0.198587,-0.255637,-0.293874,-0.317622,-0.331542,-0.337501,-0.337037,-0.331479,-0.322147,-0.310248,-0.296667,-0.28209,-0.267057,-0.251973,-0.237105,-0.222647,-0.208667,-0.195267,-0.182506]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.057445,-0.122245,-0.170544,-0.197258,-0.204716,-0.201015,-0.190583,-0.175617,-0.157503,-0.137685,-0.117628,-0.098564,-0.081376,-0.066594,-0.05446,-0.044997,-0.038046,-0.03314,-0.029898,-0.027989]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.030195,-0.029737,-0.028739,-0.027338,-0.025713,-0.024026,-0.022369,-0.020799,-0.019353,-0.018057,-0.016926,-0.015961,-0.015156,-0.014492,-0.013952,-0.013512,-0.013151,-0.012847,-0.012584,-0.012348]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.014361,0.030561,0.042636,0.049314,0.051179,0.050254,0.047646,0.043904,0.039376,0.034421,0.029407,0.024641,0.020344,0.016649,0.013615,0.011249,0.009511,0.008285,0.007474,0.006997]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.313363,0.337127,0.340794,0.328226,0.304786,0.275493,0.243568,0.211239,0.180217,0.151846,0.127016,0.10618,0.089419,0.076532,0.067132,0.060714,0.056724,0.054601,0.053866,0.054106]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.496643,0.489819,0.468392,0.436194,0.398155,0.358643,0.320174,0.284247,0.251851,0.223653,0.199994,0.180879,0.166041,0.155019,0.147235,0.142064,0.13888,0.137099,0.136249,0.135944]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.5763,0.570031,0.550306,0.520509,0.485069,0.447939,0.411411,0.376871,0.345254,0.317211,0.293096,0.272964,0.256616,0.243673,0.233645,0.225994,0.220177,0.215682,0.212092,0.209072]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.543508,0.535271,0.517303,0.49208,0.462839,0.432471,0.402647,0.37438,0.348348,0.325025,0.304665,0.287307,0.272799,0.260863,0.251135,0.243221,0.236719,0.231253,0.226515,0.222258]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.127586,0.192734,0.21476,0.218417,0.214237,0.213578,0.21294,0.209902,0.204194,0.196959,0.188635,0.180662,0.173371,0.166896,0.161258,0.15642,0.152273,0.14828,0.144501,0.140942]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.130942,-0.04804,-0.163743,-0.249418,-0.318432,-0.365009,-0.411854,-0.453834,-0.488812,-0.515041,-0.531745,-0.542148,-0.547471,-0.548514,-0.546036,-0.541081,-0.534073,-0.525853,-0.516006,-0.50493]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9396,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.3879,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.8583,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_pl","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"PL","name":"Poland"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.078952,-1.634219,-1.299264,-1.035632,-0.821491,-0.781302,-0.714269,-0.629508,-0.5335,-0.451295,-0.385826,-0.334894,-0.296386,-0.268398,-0.249054,-0.236423,-0.229025,-0.217918,-0.209953,-0.204162]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.822717,-2.276634,-1.795332,-1.402314,-1.089527,-0.899822,-0.747823,-0.618955,-0.50589,-0.413133,-0.339453,-0.281848,-0.237505,-0.204009,-0.179266,-0.161412,-0.148962,-0.137467,-0.128712,-0.122162]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.083053,-0.102768,-0.085898,-0.059973,-0.035553,-0.020995,-0.011937,-0.005223,0.000227,0.004082,0.006228,0.006827,0.006209,0.004732,0.002716,0.000411,-0.001953,-0.003936,-0.005593,-0.006975]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.111061,-0.219152,-0.285381,-0.307882,-0.29667,-0.270331,-0.237441,-0.201683,-0.165004,-0.129588,-0.097399,-0.069819,-0.047573,-0.030825,-0.019316,-0.012505,-0.009671,-0.009655,-0.01162,-0.01492]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.105658,-0.142457,-0.112537,-0.056351,0.006302,0.059994,0.104618,0.14272,0.174709,0.199866,0.217971,0.229309,0.234641,0.234962,0.231307,0.224594,0.215751,0.205894,0.195555,0.185074]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.249424,-0.430756,-0.561456,-0.653419,-0.715115,-0.769323,-0.813267,-0.845361,-0.864853,-0.87402,-0.875348,-0.870909,-0.862406,-0.851224,-0.838453,-0.824909,-0.811196,-0.796829,-0.782188,-0.767527]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.462753,0.913135,1.189087,1.28284,1.236126,1.126381,0.989336,0.840344,0.687518,0.539948,0.405829,0.290914,0.198222,0.128437,0.080484,0.052102,0.040296,0.040228,0.048415,0.062166]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.701552,-2.865471,-2.241848,-1.761006,-1.380053,-1.31666,-1.206929,-1.066198,-0.905528,-0.76927,-0.662053,-0.579469,-0.517488,-0.472635,-0.441621,-0.421153,-0.408805,-0.388872,-0.37395,-0.362499]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.2412,-0.247943,-0.236747,-0.21325,-0.183492,-0.152355,-0.122416,-0.095151,-0.071504,-0.052087,-0.037095,-0.026373,-0.019511,-0.015943,-0.015029,-0.016119,-0.018596,-0.021908,-0.025635,-0.029453]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.127375,-0.122773,-0.112991,-0.100124,-0.086346,-0.073321,-0.061778,-0.052014,-0.04414,-0.038171,-0.034016,-0.031488,-0.030332,-0.030266,-0.030997,-0.032254,-0.033793,-0.035409,-0.036958,-0.038339]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.08343,-0.081566,-0.076966,-0.070677,-0.063796,-0.057165,-0.051164,-0.045958,-0.041621,-0.038177,-0.035594,-0.033794,-0.032662,-0.032066,-0.031869,-0.03194,-0.032163,-0.03244,-0.0327,-0.032894]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.446857,-0.712925,-0.855445,-0.912811,-0.911625,-0.900329,-0.875375,-0.835743,-0.781927,-0.719664,-0.654246,-0.589505,-0.528101,-0.471784,-0.421566,-0.377849,-0.340633,-0.307986,-0.279788,-0.255728]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.023997,-0.076903,-0.154965,-0.250289,-0.354759,-0.46302,-0.571211,-0.676335,-0.77586,-0.867834,-0.950944,-1.024468,-1.088186,-1.142275,-1.187198,-1.223616,-1.252306,-1.274011,-1.28945,-1.299309]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.845367,-8.04688,-6.348679,-5.017777,-3.968881,-3.647234,-3.136245,-2.651958,-2.195536,-1.842961,-1.569699,-1.356115,-1.190184,-1.062353,-0.964366,-0.888789,-0.830724,-0.757589,-0.704052,-0.6593]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.028227,-0.047174,-0.061489,-0.072309,-0.080471,-0.089142,-0.096992,-0.103841,-0.109569,-0.114486,-0.118816,-0.122716,-0.126308,-0.129688,-0.132929,-0.136079,-0.139173,-0.142093,-0.144903,-0.147617]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.951757,-2.652636,-2.00411,-1.51477,-1.14266,-1.213983,-1.099025,-0.958758,-0.801972,-0.688385,-0.606169,-0.545957,-0.502916,-0.473291,-0.453707,-0.440927,-0.433132,-0.408833,-0.393378,-0.380081]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.41514,0.325995,0.259003,0.206358,0.16364,0.155682,0.142348,0.125469,0.106344,0.089974,0.076943,0.06681,0.059151,0.053585,0.04974,0.047229,0.045759,0.043543,0.041953,0.040796]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.365392,0.338741,0.301772,0.263852,0.228164,0.218856,0.205917,0.189206,0.169525,0.151034,0.134832,0.120988,0.109422,0.099996,0.092499,0.086619,0.082112,0.077469,0.073659,0.070543]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.058137,-0.071938,-0.060128,-0.041981,-0.024887,-0.014697,-0.008356,-0.003656,0.000159,0.002857,0.004359,0.004779,0.004346,0.003313,0.001901,0.000288,-0.001367,-0.002755,-0.003915,-0.004883]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.24542,-0.977985,-0.77701,-0.619073,-0.490921,-0.467046,-0.427043,-0.376408,-0.319031,-0.269922,-0.23083,-0.200429,-0.177452,-0.160756,-0.149219,-0.141687,-0.137276,-0.13063,-0.12586,-0.122387]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.210432,0.3277,0.384234,0.401148,0.392517,0.381792,0.366737,0.346546,0.321257,0.293434,0.265349,0.238535,0.213959,0.192172,0.173412,0.157666,0.144774,0.133707,0.124367,0.116577]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.087704,-0.149449,-0.192145,-0.220501,-0.237909,-0.248171,-0.252668,-0.252534,-0.248731,-0.242189,-0.233727,-0.223992,-0.213487,-0.202602,-0.191633,-0.180788,-0.170219,-0.159966,-0.15011,-0.140704]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.002436,0.004151,0.005337,0.006125,0.006609,0.006894,0.007019,0.007015,0.006909,0.006727,0.006492,0.006222,0.00593,0.005628,0.005323,0.005022,0.004728,0.004443,0.00417,0.003908]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.303503,-1.024655,-0.814639,-0.649341,-0.515075,-0.489876,-0.447847,-0.394701,-0.334505,-0.282962,-0.241913,-0.209978,-0.185834,-0.168285,-0.156157,-0.148237,-0.143598,-0.136635,-0.131641,-0.12801]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.479481,-0.322695,-0.238221,-0.190423,-0.16156,-0.175171,-0.177629,-0.173277,-0.164132,-0.156327,-0.150157,-0.14491,-0.1402,-0.135851,-0.131755,-0.1278,-0.123994,-0.118531,-0.113494,-0.108767]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.027765,-0.054788,-0.071345,-0.07697,-0.074168,-0.067583,-0.05936,-0.050421,-0.041251,-0.032397,-0.02435,-0.017455,-0.011893,-0.007706,-0.004829,-0.003126,-0.002418,-0.002414,-0.002905,-0.00373]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.097449,-0.166055,-0.213495,-0.245001,-0.264343,-0.275746,-0.280743,-0.280593,-0.276368,-0.269099,-0.259697,-0.24888,-0.237208,-0.225113,-0.212926,-0.200876,-0.189132,-0.17774,-0.166789,-0.156338]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.111061,-0.219152,-0.285381,-0.307882,-0.29667,-0.270331,-0.237441,-0.201683,-0.165004,-0.129588,-0.097399,-0.069819,-0.047573,-0.030825,-0.019316,-0.012505,-0.009671,-0.009655,-0.01162,-0.01492]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.0362,-0.035295,-0.033488,-0.031129,-0.028582,-0.026128,-0.023893,-0.021931,-0.020267,-0.018907,-0.017843,-0.017046,-0.016479,-0.016096,-0.015853,-0.015705,-0.015613,-0.015545,-0.015476,-0.015391]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.027765,0.054788,0.071345,0.07697,0.074168,0.067583,0.05936,0.050421,0.041251,0.032397,0.02435,0.017455,0.011893,0.007706,0.004829,0.003126,0.002418,0.002414,0.002905,0.00373]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.45828,0.471092,0.44982,0.405174,0.348635,0.289474,0.232591,0.180787,0.135857,0.098965,0.070481,0.050109,0.03707,0.030291,0.028555,0.030626,0.035332,0.041626,0.048707,0.05596]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.573186,0.552479,0.508461,0.450559,0.388557,0.329945,0.278001,0.234062,0.19863,0.171771,0.153073,0.141694,0.136496,0.136195,0.139488,0.145144,0.152069,0.15934,0.166311,0.172526]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.684128,0.66884,0.631118,0.579555,0.523125,0.468751,0.419544,0.37686,0.341295,0.31305,0.291873,0.277113,0.267831,0.262941,0.261323,0.261909,0.263741,0.266008,0.268139,0.269731]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.651593,0.635304,0.602789,0.560328,0.514481,0.470305,0.43007,0.394758,0.3648,0.340334,0.321171,0.306828,0.296614,0.289728,0.285346,0.282683,0.281034,0.279803,0.278567,0.27703]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.155987,0.193302,0.188674,0.168238,0.143799,0.129334,0.118408,0.108809,0.100197,0.093722,0.089823,0.088371,0.089064,0.09155,0.095411,0.100066,0.105141,0.109886,0.114285,0.118278]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.089701,-0.078897,-0.174701,-0.238132,-0.286312,-0.317651,-0.352731,-0.386105,-0.415546,-0.439511,-0.457416,-0.471178,-0.481517,-0.488837,-0.493504,-0.496017,-0.496519,-0.495603,-0.492717,-0.488182]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.079,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.388,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.7016,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_se","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"SE","name":"Sweden"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.012537,-1.605631,-1.298727,-1.056101,-0.858043,-0.822515,-0.763619,-0.688197,-0.601133,-0.522698,-0.458558,-0.406876,-0.365804,-0.333746,-0.309153,-0.290409,-0.27637,-0.258724,-0.244266,-0.232271]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.885178,-2.346649,-1.856683,-1.455043,-1.13647,-0.945976,-0.795728,-0.669016,-0.55769,-0.464985,-0.390797,-0.332202,-0.286339,-0.25078,-0.223469,-0.202603,-0.186809,-0.171574,-0.158987,-0.148696]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.07948,-0.088551,-0.073222,-0.052207,-0.032584,-0.021444,-0.013863,-0.007838,-0.002743,0.001022,0.003287,0.004215,0.004082,0.003175,0.001758,6.8e-05,-0.001715,-0.003192,-0.004465,-0.005554]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.077219,-0.152853,-0.203567,-0.227238,-0.228812,-0.219391,-0.203793,-0.184278,-0.162228,-0.139257,-0.11694,-0.096497,-0.078721,-0.064026,-0.052519,-0.04406,-0.038356,-0.034766,-0.03283,-0.032169]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.225233,0.307153,0.329986,0.329385,0.319731,0.318689,0.317299,0.311964,0.302535,0.290939,0.278477,0.265875,0.253572,0.241877,0.230985,0.220946,0.211794,0.202918,0.194601,0.186942]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.235041,-0.409323,-0.53809,-0.631603,-0.697198,-0.755514,-0.804254,-0.842015,-0.868015,-0.883868,-0.891746,-0.893481,-0.890582,-0.88429,-0.875602,-0.865277,-0.853906,-0.841085,-0.827236,-0.812681]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.482617,0.955333,1.272293,1.420238,1.430073,1.371192,1.273708,1.151736,1.013926,0.870353,0.730875,0.603105,0.492003,0.400162,0.328241,0.275375,0.239727,0.217287,0.205187,0.201054]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-6.010447,-4.768419,-3.835004,-3.102174,-2.508941,-2.405674,-2.233758,-2.013265,-1.758502,-1.529808,-1.343734,-1.194441,-1.076185,-0.984078,-0.913462,-0.859533,-0.818955,-0.766991,-0.724138,-0.688325]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.187144,-0.19777,-0.19607,-0.185242,-0.168899,-0.150138,-0.130717,-0.111808,-0.094281,-0.078797,-0.065736,-0.055222,-0.047181,-0.041397,-0.037566,-0.035339,-0.034358,-0.034281,-0.03483,-0.035775]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.119476,-0.117237,-0.111264,-0.10282,-0.093269,-0.083716,-0.074704,-0.066534,-0.059388,-0.053379,-0.048539,-0.044822,-0.04212,-0.040289,-0.039165,-0.038582,-0.038378,-0.038414,-0.038578,-0.038787]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.079225,-0.078166,-0.075188,-0.070916,-0.066026,-0.061071,-0.056327,-0.051948,-0.048034,-0.044649,-0.041817,-0.039521,-0.037716,-0.036336,-0.035304,-0.034541,-0.033972,-0.033528,-0.033158,-0.032819]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.343937,-0.564375,-0.697458,-0.767663,-0.79234,-0.806338,-0.807471,-0.795014,-0.769151,-0.733473,-0.691982,-0.647748,-0.603051,-0.55955,-0.518379,-0.480219,-0.44545,-0.412969,-0.382993,-0.355583]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.016554,-0.055789,-0.114763,-0.187877,-0.269417,-0.355511,-0.44346,-0.531078,-0.616443,-0.69797,-0.774491,-0.845246,-0.909826,-0.968097,-1.020139,-1.06618,-1.106542,-1.141548,-1.171516,-1.196767]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.711941,-8.106603,-6.500237,-5.219044,-4.190747,-3.845166,-3.334307,-2.852809,-2.398883,-2.032837,-1.745887,-1.517291,-1.33556,-1.191669,-1.077756,-0.986633,-0.913735,-0.827741,-0.761916,-0.706024]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.02756,-0.046806,-0.061879,-0.073705,-0.082976,-0.092637,-0.101477,-0.10933,-0.116075,-0.121941,-0.127152,-0.131858,-0.136177,-0.140204,-0.144012,-0.14765,-0.151159,-0.15443,-0.157529,-0.160478]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.858358,-2.694442,-2.110201,-1.655656,-1.297966,-1.352535,-1.237668,-1.099354,-0.944315,-0.821298,-0.729501,-0.65878,-0.604679,-0.563813,-0.53308,-0.509418,-0.49124,-0.45794,-0.433883,-0.412787]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.422168,0.334091,0.268928,0.218091,0.176951,0.170076,0.158166,0.142754,0.124876,0.108789,0.095669,0.085113,0.07673,0.070185,0.065156,0.061311,0.058417,0.054732,0.051701,0.049173]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.117245,0.201869,0.262185,0.303797,0.330736,0.353593,0.371318,0.383341,0.389416,0.390498,0.387793,0.382309,0.374869,0.36614,0.356649,0.346788,0.336856,0.326645,0.31636,0.306148]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.226718,0.191861,0.164353,0.142143,0.123743,0.122733,0.118923,0.112726,0.104523,0.096585,0.089693,0.083788,0.078775,0.074566,0.071058,0.068125,0.065682,0.062817,0.060284,0.058028]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.055636,-0.061986,-0.051256,-0.036545,-0.022809,-0.015011,-0.009704,-0.005486,-0.00192,0.000715,0.002301,0.002951,0.002858,0.002223,0.00123,4.8e-05,-0.0012,-0.002234,-0.003125,-0.003888]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.20595,-0.961326,-0.777179,-0.631797,-0.513229,-0.492104,-0.456941,-0.411867,-0.359812,-0.312924,-0.274594,-0.243713,-0.219173,-0.200017,-0.185318,-0.17411,-0.165709,-0.155136,-0.146469,-0.139273]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.311943,0.498427,0.600045,0.643731,0.647982,0.645875,0.635061,0.61472,0.584951,0.548979,0.51026,0.471274,0.433719,0.398705,0.366883,0.33852,0.313653,0.291025,0.270681,0.252547]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.11312,-0.193549,-0.249818,-0.287711,-0.311402,-0.325657,-0.332309,-0.332821,-0.328416,-0.320268,-0.309451,-0.296834,-0.2831,-0.268785,-0.254298,-0.239927,-0.225883,-0.212234,-0.199094,-0.186537]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001444,0.002471,0.00319,0.003674,0.003976,0.004158,0.004243,0.00425,0.004193,0.004089,0.003951,0.00379,0.003615,0.003432,0.003247,0.003064,0.002884,0.00271,0.002542,0.002382]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.438964,-1.148026,-0.928589,-0.755112,-0.613501,-0.588099,-0.545988,-0.492061,-0.42981,-0.373729,-0.327869,-0.290916,-0.26155,-0.238628,-0.221045,-0.207642,-0.197605,-0.184988,-0.17465,-0.166073]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.454598,-0.372982,-0.312578,-0.266219,-0.229416,-0.228166,-0.220952,-0.209006,-0.193419,-0.178708,-0.166146,-0.155405,-0.146193,-0.138296,-0.131517,-0.125635,-0.120523,-0.114452,-0.109008,-0.104102]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.019305,-0.038213,-0.050892,-0.05681,-0.057203,-0.054848,-0.050948,-0.046069,-0.040557,-0.034814,-0.029235,-0.024124,-0.01968,-0.016006,-0.01313,-0.011015,-0.009589,-0.008691,-0.008207,-0.008042]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.141907,-0.242804,-0.313392,-0.360928,-0.390648,-0.408531,-0.416875,-0.417518,-0.411992,-0.401769,-0.388201,-0.372373,-0.355144,-0.337186,-0.319012,-0.300984,-0.283366,-0.266244,-0.24976,-0.234006]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.077219,-0.152853,-0.203567,-0.227238,-0.228812,-0.219391,-0.203793,-0.184278,-0.162228,-0.139257,-0.11694,-0.096497,-0.078721,-0.064026,-0.052519,-0.04406,-0.038356,-0.034766,-0.03283,-0.032169]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.034705,-0.034082,-0.032828,-0.031151,-0.029276,-0.027387,-0.025576,-0.023894,-0.022375,-0.021039,-0.019894,-0.018934,-0.018144,-0.017502,-0.016982,-0.016557,-0.016202,-0.015895,-0.015617,-0.015355]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.019305,0.038213,0.050892,0.05681,0.057203,0.054848,0.050948,0.046069,0.040557,0.034814,0.029235,0.024124,0.01968,0.016006,0.01313,0.011015,0.009589,0.008691,0.008207,0.008042]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.355573,0.375763,0.372534,0.35196,0.320909,0.285262,0.248363,0.212435,0.179134,0.149714,0.124897,0.104921,0.089643,0.078654,0.071375,0.067144,0.06528,0.065134,0.066178,0.067973]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.537642,0.527568,0.500686,0.462692,0.419711,0.37672,0.336169,0.299402,0.267246,0.240207,0.218428,0.201699,0.18954,0.181301,0.176245,0.173617,0.172703,0.172862,0.173602,0.17454]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.649646,0.640958,0.616542,0.581511,0.541412,0.500781,0.461878,0.425975,0.393881,0.366123,0.342896,0.324071,0.30927,0.297952,0.28949,0.283237,0.27857,0.274932,0.271892,0.269116]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.624688,0.613474,0.590902,0.560712,0.526961,0.492962,0.460366,0.4301,0.402751,0.378701,0.358087,0.340811,0.326594,0.315035,0.305671,0.298027,0.291643,0.286108,0.281105,0.276385]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.073385,-0.115636,-0.110283,-0.085893,-0.055297,-0.027565,-0.003228,0.019824,0.041573,0.061408,0.078918,0.093861,0.106291,0.11644,0.124553,0.130719,0.135221,0.138507,0.140766,0.142108]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.420591,0.370713,0.267822,0.147603,0.027118,-0.058956,-0.14005,-0.216861,-0.28772,-0.348438,-0.396909,-0.434612,-0.462586,-0.481921,-0.493826,-0.499665,-0.500476,-0.49858,-0.493671,-0.486314]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.0125,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.3634,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-6.0104,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_th","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"TH","name":"Thailand"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.144577,-1.698582,-1.354705,-1.079832,-0.85422,-0.809141,-0.737467,-0.647324,-0.545927,-0.455445,-0.382313,-0.324547,-0.280168,-0.247379,-0.22436,-0.209157,-0.200276,-0.188065,-0.17985,-0.174572]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.027408,-2.512515,-2.009586,-1.581229,-1.232724,-1.025274,-0.859714,-0.71708,-0.589341,-0.481238,-0.39384,-0.324591,-0.27071,-0.229676,-0.199232,-0.177287,-0.162162,-0.148257,-0.137817,-0.130325]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.10541,-0.11858,-0.092291,-0.057376,-0.025556,-0.00706,0.004755,0.013347,0.019876,0.023987,0.025566,0.024969,0.022707,0.019303,0.015217,0.010821,0.00644,0.002665,-0.000625,-0.00346]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.184675,-0.332265,-0.4233,-0.462332,-0.461046,-0.443528,-0.415528,-0.379897,-0.338672,-0.295007,-0.252038,-0.212124,-0.17682,-0.146996,-0.122961,-0.104586,-0.091446,-0.082257,-0.076345,-0.073093]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.063699,0.103745,0.154554,0.208859,0.26138,0.311493,0.354764,0.390407,0.41828,0.438835,0.452594,0.460256,0.462659,0.460737,0.455384,0.447309,0.437274,0.42578,0.41336,0.400416]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.370498,-0.633455,-0.815739,-0.936336,-1.009136,-1.069422,-1.113651,-1.139889,-1.147558,-1.13992,-1.121058,-1.094369,-1.062628,-1.028083,-0.992499,-0.957181,-0.923089,-0.889463,-0.856892,-0.825752]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.769481,1.384436,1.763751,1.926381,1.921024,1.848033,1.731368,1.582906,1.411133,1.229194,1.050159,0.883849,0.736752,0.612484,0.512336,0.435774,0.381023,0.342738,0.318104,0.304555]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-5.30714,-4.152781,-3.270317,-2.574386,-2.012062,-1.904743,-1.733459,-1.517932,-1.275693,-1.061299,-0.889998,-0.756225,-0.654633,-0.58052,-0.529272,-0.496052,-0.477248,-0.449095,-0.430072,-0.417699]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.387821,-0.407071,-0.402414,-0.381006,-0.34973,-0.314202,-0.277135,-0.240564,-0.20615,-0.175247,-0.148653,-0.126692,-0.109313,-0.096201,-0.086864,-0.080714,-0.077124,-0.075481,-0.075295,-0.076138]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.253746,-0.248108,-0.23511,-0.217633,-0.19831,-0.179172,-0.161035,-0.144413,-0.129673,-0.117077,-0.106723,-0.098553,-0.092394,-0.087993,-0.085059,-0.083284,-0.082372,-0.08205,-0.082112,-0.082386]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.16824,-0.165578,-0.15918,-0.150458,-0.140712,-0.130951,-0.12158,-0.112863,-0.10499,-0.098103,-0.092263,-0.087454,-0.0836,-0.080587,-0.078279,-0.076532,-0.075205,-0.074169,-0.073325,-0.072593]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.504153,-0.798438,-0.949501,-1.00276,-0.989835,-0.966826,-0.929968,-0.878056,-0.811744,-0.736698,-0.658932,-0.582765,-0.511166,-0.446069,-0.388577,-0.339099,-0.297598,-0.261762,-0.231448,-0.206283]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.031622,-0.10028,-0.199091,-0.317041,-0.4434,-0.571362,-0.696183,-0.814229,-0.922528,-1.018901,-1.102051,-1.171482,-1.227354,-1.270331,-1.301425,-1.321867,-1.333002,-1.336076,-1.332263,-1.322656]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.918693,-8.056167,-6.288111,-4.898619,-3.802486,-3.460502,-2.929426,-2.429139,-1.96444,-1.598177,-1.320238,-1.106856,-0.945034,-0.824442,-0.736083,-0.67175,-0.626082,-0.563993,-0.522423,-0.489702]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.028593,-0.047587,-0.0616,-0.071824,-0.079153,-0.086891,-0.093707,-0.099441,-0.104014,-0.107707,-0.11079,-0.113443,-0.11581,-0.118001,-0.1201,-0.122164,-0.124235,-0.126187,-0.128089,-0.129956]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.003085,-2.659137,-1.961713,-1.431359,-1.026183,-1.08327,-0.954252,-0.802784,-0.640205,-0.517036,-0.431546,-0.371476,-0.33131,-0.306754,-0.293909,-0.289,-0.289883,-0.273316,-0.266238,-0.261362]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.361348,0.28592,0.22789,0.181573,0.143594,0.136055,0.124021,0.108871,0.091824,0.076616,0.064328,0.054625,0.047172,0.041666,0.037801,0.035248,0.033757,0.031702,0.030318,0.029428]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.356887,-0.619352,-0.809708,-0.94357,-1.032407,-1.108855,-1.169206,-1.211316,-1.234359,-1.241229,-1.235713,-1.221044,-1.199936,-1.17465,-1.147017,-1.118444,-1.090015,-1.06115,-1.032528,-1.004616]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.236702,0.141252,0.093836,0.072254,0.064804,0.081663,0.093244,0.101442,0.106917,0.111938,0.11677,0.120828,0.123809,0.125625,0.126297,0.125886,0.12457,0.121554,0.118171,0.114508]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.073787,-0.083006,-0.064604,-0.040163,-0.017889,-0.004942,0.003328,0.009343,0.013913,0.016791,0.017896,0.017478,0.015895,0.013512,0.010652,0.007575,0.004508,0.001865,-0.000437,-0.002422]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.284794,-1.016603,-0.810274,-0.645593,-0.510558,-0.48375,-0.440962,-0.387097,-0.326487,-0.272412,-0.228722,-0.194221,-0.167721,-0.148145,-0.134403,-0.125328,-0.120026,-0.112718,-0.107798,-0.104633]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.068358,0.100626,0.111607,0.110312,0.102241,0.095315,0.088321,0.080692,0.072272,0.063662,0.055476,0.048069,0.041617,0.036185,0.031757,0.028262,0.025602,0.023404,0.021647,0.020285]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.080658,-0.137838,-0.177475,-0.203772,-0.219834,-0.229112,-0.232916,-0.232316,-0.228256,-0.221646,-0.213254,-0.203688,-0.193428,-0.182849,-0.172237,-0.161796,-0.151673,-0.141915,-0.132598,-0.123765]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001603,0.00274,0.003528,0.004051,0.00437,0.004554,0.00463,0.004618,0.004537,0.004406,0.004239,0.004049,0.003845,0.003635,0.003424,0.003216,0.003015,0.002821,0.002636,0.00246]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.179517,-0.93422,-0.745088,-0.593907,-0.469821,-0.445028,-0.405607,-0.356028,-0.30026,-0.250495,-0.210272,-0.178501,-0.154093,-0.136059,-0.123398,-0.115036,-0.110152,-0.103436,-0.098917,-0.096015]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.586488,-0.441967,-0.354408,-0.298055,-0.259307,-0.270199,-0.270078,-0.262247,-0.248911,-0.236147,-0.225545,-0.216527,-0.208727,-0.201946,-0.196025,-0.19075,-0.18606,-0.179595,-0.173721,-0.168296]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.046169,-0.083066,-0.105825,-0.115583,-0.115261,-0.110882,-0.103882,-0.094974,-0.084668,-0.073752,-0.06301,-0.053031,-0.044205,-0.036749,-0.03074,-0.026146,-0.022861,-0.020564,-0.019086,-0.018273]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.098664,-0.168609,-0.217094,-0.249262,-0.26891,-0.280259,-0.284913,-0.284179,-0.279212,-0.271127,-0.260861,-0.249159,-0.236609,-0.223668,-0.210688,-0.197915,-0.185532,-0.173597,-0.162199,-0.151395]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.184675,-0.332265,-0.4233,-0.462332,-0.461046,-0.443528,-0.415528,-0.379897,-0.338672,-0.295007,-0.252038,-0.212124,-0.17682,-0.146996,-0.122961,-0.104586,-0.091446,-0.082257,-0.076345,-0.073093]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.076344,-0.07486,-0.072144,-0.068669,-0.064866,-0.061073,-0.057424,-0.054006,-0.050885,-0.048105,-0.045689,-0.043628,-0.0419,-0.040464,-0.039276,-0.038286,-0.037449,-0.03672,-0.036067,-0.035462]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.046169,0.083066,0.105825,0.115583,0.115261,0.110882,0.103882,0.094974,0.084668,0.073752,0.06301,0.053031,0.044205,0.036749,0.03074,0.026146,0.022861,0.020564,0.019086,0.018273]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.736861,0.773435,0.764586,0.723911,0.664487,0.596983,0.526557,0.457072,0.391686,0.33297,0.282442,0.240714,0.207695,0.182782,0.165042,0.153356,0.146536,0.143413,0.14306,0.144663]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.141856,1.116487,1.057996,0.979349,0.892394,0.806276,0.724656,0.649857,0.58353,0.526845,0.480252,0.44349,0.415774,0.39597,0.382764,0.374777,0.370674,0.369226,0.369503,0.370735]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.379566,1.357741,1.305275,1.233754,1.15384,1.073798,0.996959,0.925477,0.860922,0.804447,0.75656,0.717125,0.685523,0.660816,0.641889,0.627563,0.616684,0.608186,0.601268,0.595265]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.374185,1.347476,1.298598,1.236034,1.167587,1.099305,1.033624,0.972116,0.915927,0.865897,0.822393,0.785311,0.754194,0.728351,0.70696,0.689154,0.674085,0.660968,0.64921,0.638321]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.078165,-0.069758,-0.069114,-0.071103,-0.073116,-0.078549,-0.080705,-0.080025,-0.076991,-0.072532,-0.067125,-0.060906,-0.054114,-0.04711,-0.040158,-0.033159,-0.026336,-0.019635,-0.013291,-0.00737]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.259057,0.167304,0.09239,0.027078,-0.031234,-0.066152,-0.102584,-0.138418,-0.171975,-0.200542,-0.222792,-0.240232,-0.253499,-0.263061,-0.269427,-0.273302,-0.274996,-0.275718,-0.274912,-0.272839]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.1446,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.2938,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-5.3071,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_my","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"MY","name":"Malaysia"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.251485,-1.805043,-1.451126,-1.163963,-0.926716,-0.887782,-0.82277,-0.738084,-0.640543,-0.545826,-0.468832,-0.407533,-0.359871,-0.323992,-0.29804,-0.280046,-0.268508,-0.25229,-0.240228,-0.231313]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.186959,-2.686075,-2.163008,-1.70839,-1.335546,-1.123133,-0.956424,-0.812457,-0.682222,-0.567609,-0.474035,-0.399531,-0.34134,-0.296819,-0.263553,-0.2393,-0.22226,-0.205534,-0.192268,-0.182103]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.072099,-0.080001,-0.059545,-0.033807,-0.011085,0.001484,0.008897,0.013867,0.017335,0.019242,0.01944,0.01818,0.01584,0.012806,0.0094,0.005859,0.002411,-0.000511,-0.003023,-0.005164]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.158915,-0.279924,-0.353516,-0.385748,-0.386596,-0.376603,-0.359308,-0.336314,-0.308783,-0.278587,-0.248156,-0.219332,-0.19335,-0.170934,-0.152389,-0.137709,-0.126656,-0.118201,-0.111947,-0.107523]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.372878,0.500635,0.540318,0.543641,0.532066,0.535195,0.537391,0.533317,0.522427,0.508016,0.49246,0.477016,0.462355,0.448895,0.436799,0.42587,0.416034,0.406066,0.396369,0.387045]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.405609,-0.698621,-0.905001,-1.043982,-1.130117,-1.203427,-1.260226,-1.298224,-1.316504,-1.317019,-1.304237,-1.2819,-1.253087,-1.220304,-1.18554,-1.150286,-1.115663,-1.080713,-1.046161,-1.012509]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.662148,1.166349,1.472985,1.607285,1.610819,1.569179,1.497115,1.401308,1.286597,1.160778,1.033984,0.913882,0.805626,0.712223,0.634956,0.573786,0.527733,0.492506,0.466446,0.448011]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-6.032207,-4.794399,-3.820405,-3.037875,-2.398296,-2.296539,-2.126115,-1.904016,-1.648364,-1.400961,-1.201373,-1.043649,-0.921922,-0.831008,-0.76583,-0.721088,-0.692798,-0.651192,-0.62022,-0.597263]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.329616,-0.348349,-0.348182,-0.335012,-0.31421,-0.290054,-0.264345,-0.238481,-0.213655,-0.190889,-0.170841,-0.153815,-0.139839,-0.128741,-0.120219,-0.11389,-0.109342,-0.106162,-0.104043,-0.102709]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.240525,-0.237807,-0.228949,-0.216361,-0.20214,-0.187871,-0.174103,-0.161202,-0.149446,-0.139056,-0.130152,-0.122736,-0.116716,-0.111937,-0.108212,-0.105339,-0.103116,-0.101356,-0.099925,-0.098709]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.169069,-0.167185,-0.162226,-0.155375,-0.147667,-0.139887,-0.132307,-0.125111,-0.11844,-0.11241,-0.107088,-0.102482,-0.09855,-0.095225,-0.092417,-0.09003,-0.087969,-0.086144,-0.084492,-0.082957]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.485755,-0.782413,-0.94522,-1.013619,-1.016113,-1.007943,-0.985853,-0.948478,-0.896097,-0.832266,-0.763063,-0.692997,-0.625287,-0.562147,-0.50497,-0.454458,-0.410849,-0.371924,-0.337763,-0.308207]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.032263,-0.098364,-0.19147,-0.301936,-0.420578,-0.542042,-0.662429,-0.778595,-0.887847,-0.98801,-1.077629,-1.155925,-1.222685,-1.278141,-1.32286,-1.35763,-1.383385,-1.400986,-1.411286,-1.415115]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-11.258449,-8.434814,-6.655019,-5.238755,-4.107164,-3.78869,-3.260541,-2.755174,-2.278922,-1.872321,-1.564975,-1.32526,-1.140414,-1.000177,-0.895474,-0.817896,-0.761772,-0.686002,-0.634327,-0.593392]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.030292,-0.051179,-0.067026,-0.078951,-0.087804,-0.097183,-0.105654,-0.113019,-0.119164,-0.124228,-0.128534,-0.132279,-0.135623,-0.138692,-0.141589,-0.144384,-0.147133,-0.149695,-0.152156,-0.154542]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.240915,-2.92419,-2.218548,-1.669454,-1.239458,-1.313002,-1.186032,-1.031009,-0.860342,-0.708937,-0.602862,-0.524358,-0.468076,-0.429768,-0.405483,-0.391303,-0.384866,-0.358722,-0.34457,-0.333945]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.339603,0.258839,0.201064,0.15749,0.123306,0.120161,0.112515,0.101763,0.089018,0.076575,0.066674,0.058913,0.052941,0.048472,0.045241,0.042981,0.041503,0.039131,0.037307,0.03589]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.393551,-0.691362,-0.913885,-1.076217,-1.189856,-1.291691,-1.37771,-1.445203,-1.492774,-1.521817,-1.536258,-1.539479,-1.534347,-1.523271,-1.50823,-1.49077,-1.472107,-1.451463,-1.429642,-1.407236]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.316104,0.212243,0.159571,0.133418,0.121211,0.139666,0.150915,0.157294,0.159971,0.160834,0.161941,0.162755,0.163008,0.162627,0.161616,0.159981,0.157842,0.153847,0.149745,0.145549]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.050469,-0.056,-0.041681,-0.023665,-0.00776,0.001039,0.006228,0.009707,0.012134,0.01347,0.013608,0.012726,0.011088,0.008964,0.00658,0.004101,0.001687,-0.000358,-0.002116,-0.003615]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.349319,-1.080973,-0.868619,-0.696514,-0.554432,-0.531264,-0.492432,-0.441799,-0.383458,-0.326802,-0.280758,-0.244107,-0.215613,-0.194165,-0.178651,-0.167892,-0.160992,-0.151276,-0.144046,-0.138699]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.153664,0.235061,0.270164,0.27612,0.264264,0.252975,0.24032,0.225327,0.207755,0.188498,0.169225,0.15101,0.134496,0.120026,0.10772,0.097533,0.08933,0.082251,0.076274,0.071315]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.091776,-0.157569,-0.203475,-0.234028,-0.252679,-0.263514,-0.26801,-0.267361,-0.262626,-0.254867,-0.244988,-0.233716,-0.22163,-0.209186,-0.196733,-0.184519,-0.172726,-0.161404,-0.150638,-0.140479]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001227,0.002106,0.002719,0.003128,0.003377,0.003522,0.003582,0.003573,0.00351,0.003406,0.003274,0.003124,0.002962,0.002796,0.002629,0.002466,0.002308,0.002157,0.002013,0.001877]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.287849,-1.032484,-0.830044,-0.665787,-0.530082,-0.507812,-0.470624,-0.422184,-0.36639,-0.312213,-0.268172,-0.233109,-0.205846,-0.185323,-0.170479,-0.160187,-0.153586,-0.14431,-0.13741,-0.132311]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.671351,-0.563453,-0.476599,-0.406353,-0.348753,-0.347545,-0.337841,-0.320858,-0.298419,-0.275241,-0.255746,-0.239561,-0.22629,-0.215597,-0.207119,-0.200397,-0.195134,-0.188207,-0.182215,-0.176961]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.039729,-0.069981,-0.088379,-0.096437,-0.096649,-0.094151,-0.089827,-0.084078,-0.077196,-0.069647,-0.062039,-0.054833,-0.048338,-0.042733,-0.038097,-0.034427,-0.031664,-0.02955,-0.027987,-0.026881]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.115441,-0.1982,-0.255944,-0.294374,-0.317835,-0.331464,-0.33712,-0.336304,-0.330347,-0.320588,-0.30816,-0.293982,-0.27878,-0.263127,-0.247463,-0.2321,-0.217266,-0.203024,-0.189482,-0.176704]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.158915,-0.279924,-0.353516,-0.385748,-0.386596,-0.376603,-0.359308,-0.336314,-0.308783,-0.278587,-0.248156,-0.219332,-0.19335,-0.170934,-0.152389,-0.137709,-0.126656,-0.118201,-0.111947,-0.107523]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.078243,-0.076981,-0.074708,-0.07182,-0.068661,-0.065494,-0.062408,-0.059465,-0.056712,-0.054187,-0.051912,-0.049889,-0.048105,-0.046536,-0.045153,-0.043923,-0.042814,-0.041796,-0.040847,-0.03995]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.039729,0.069981,0.088379,0.096437,0.096649,0.094151,0.089827,0.084078,0.077196,0.069647,0.062039,0.054833,0.048338,0.042733,0.038097,0.034427,0.031664,0.02955,0.027987,0.026881]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.62627,0.661863,0.661546,0.636523,0.596999,0.551103,0.502256,0.453113,0.405944,0.362689,0.324598,0.292248,0.265693,0.244608,0.228415,0.216391,0.20775,0.201708,0.197681,0.195148]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.082361,1.070133,1.03027,0.973625,0.90963,0.845419,0.783464,0.725407,0.672509,0.625751,0.585686,0.552314,0.52522,0.503717,0.486955,0.474024,0.464021,0.456103,0.449662,0.444189]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.386365,1.370921,1.33025,1.274072,1.210868,1.147075,1.08492,1.025906,0.971208,0.921763,0.878125,0.840349,0.808113,0.780843,0.757816,0.738245,0.721346,0.706384,0.692834,0.680251]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.408382,1.385652,1.344738,1.292752,1.235899,1.178888,1.123347,1.07037,1.020815,0.975362,0.934412,0.898001,0.865889,0.83765,0.812751,0.79061,0.77065,0.752326,0.73525,0.719092]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.343302,-0.412057,-0.39677,-0.347247,-0.286049,-0.243822,-0.204891,-0.165534,-0.125727,-0.088774,-0.056769,-0.030248,-0.009178,0.006719,0.017983,0.025532,0.030013,0.033118,0.034795,0.035295]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.568237,0.564195,0.478155,0.36186,0.239452,0.15755,0.080042,0.004491,-0.067828,-0.131361,-0.182926,-0.223471,-0.253803,-0.274903,-0.288012,-0.294741,-0.296237,-0.295432,-0.291903,-0.286211]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.2515,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.1581,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-6.0322,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_cl","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"CL","name":"Chile"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.019637,-1.605331,-1.278309,-1.012358,-0.790891,-0.726177,-0.640211,-0.53957,-0.430533,-0.340645,-0.269682,-0.215489,-0.176029,-0.149288,-0.133153,-0.125358,-0.12403,-0.120759,-0.120986,-0.123455]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.930378,-2.408532,-1.914028,-1.497591,-1.159844,-0.948065,-0.77697,-0.62973,-0.49891,-0.391922,-0.306978,-0.240997,-0.19103,-0.154435,-0.128819,-0.111945,-0.101943,-0.093943,-0.089315,-0.087283]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.09439,-0.115251,-0.097935,-0.070705,-0.044511,-0.028513,-0.017809,-0.009349,-0.002123,0.003306,0.006785,0.008402,0.008518,0.007538,0.005804,0.00355,0.001063,-0.001125,-0.00308,-0.004816]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.146936,-0.290935,-0.381931,-0.416515,-0.406644,-0.37561,-0.334225,-0.287354,-0.237738,-0.188618,-0.142882,-0.102675,-0.069242,-0.043041,-0.02394,-0.01142,-0.004665,-0.002224,-0.003026,-0.006199]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.701621,0.909076,0.94217,0.905322,0.841991,0.808203,0.774159,0.730617,0.678052,0.62316,0.570205,0.520819,0.47601,0.436441,0.402287,0.372856,0.347828,0.324959,0.304837,0.28745]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.321624,-0.55087,-0.709506,-0.813549,-0.874937,-0.922315,-0.953456,-0.96725,-0.963617,-0.946849,-0.920833,-0.888795,-0.853377,-0.816707,-0.780423,-0.745698,-0.713339,-0.682774,-0.65437,-0.628286]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.612233,1.212229,1.591379,1.73548,1.694348,1.565043,1.392602,1.197307,0.990576,0.785908,0.59534,0.427811,0.288506,0.179338,0.09975,0.047585,0.019439,0.009266,0.012608,0.02583]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.592794,-3.592925,-2.812327,-2.190629,-1.685433,-1.547079,-1.363008,-1.146915,-0.912387,-0.721706,-0.57341,-0.461857,-0.381969,-0.328976,-0.298069,-0.28421,-0.283362,-0.276665,-0.27697,-0.281664]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.330019,-0.341369,-0.328579,-0.298698,-0.259468,-0.217293,-0.175722,-0.136936,-0.102444,-0.07331,-0.050011,-0.032529,-0.02047,-0.013189,-0.009906,-0.009788,-0.012014,-0.015824,-0.020609,-0.025875]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.173791,-0.166994,-0.153286,-0.135339,-0.115975,-0.0974,-0.080645,-0.066191,-0.054275,-0.044992,-0.03828,-0.033932,-0.031639,-0.031033,-0.031728,-0.033349,-0.035551,-0.038034,-0.040573,-0.043001]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.109493,-0.107033,-0.100935,-0.092524,-0.083211,-0.074109,-0.065747,-0.058386,-0.052165,-0.047152,-0.043338,-0.040638,-0.038915,-0.038002,-0.037717,-0.037884,-0.038341,-0.038942,-0.039582,-0.04018]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.46613,-0.741321,-0.883797,-0.934197,-0.921285,-0.894039,-0.850777,-0.791579,-0.717891,-0.637176,-0.555357,-0.476677,-0.404056,-0.339361,-0.283592,-0.237012,-0.199392,-0.168593,-0.144135,-0.125335]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.03074,-0.098422,-0.196743,-0.314439,-0.440398,-0.567285,-0.690024,-0.804832,-0.908687,-0.999509,-1.076171,-1.138387,-1.186567,-1.22164,-1.244879,-1.257763,-1.261862,-1.258638,-1.249439,-1.235486]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.626724,-7.890514,-6.154744,-4.788753,-3.712086,-3.311483,-2.765684,-2.256515,-1.785721,-1.437404,-1.171152,-0.969522,-0.819943,-0.711927,-0.636244,-0.584375,-0.550417,-0.504617,-0.476118,-0.454755]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.027134,-0.045299,-0.058645,-0.068319,-0.075197,-0.08219,-0.088187,-0.093058,-0.096737,-0.099627,-0.101964,-0.10393,-0.105671,-0.1073,-0.1089,-0.110528,-0.11222,-0.113875,-0.115545,-0.117237]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.798706,-2.54318,-1.868356,-1.354453,-0.962903,-0.978957,-0.839632,-0.681947,-0.515101,-0.404495,-0.327186,-0.275342,-0.243746,-0.227993,-0.224022,-0.227837,-0.236917,-0.231753,-0.233824,-0.236899]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.275153,0.179829,0.123482,0.087278,0.06203,0.060317,0.053895,0.045028,0.034791,0.027296,0.022091,0.018657,0.016637,0.015747,0.015728,0.016337,0.017389,0.017766,0.018418,0.01917]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.235297,-0.405234,-0.524703,-0.604519,-0.652802,-0.690138,-0.71486,-0.72618,-0.724093,-0.711795,-0.692211,-0.667803,-0.640613,-0.612302,-0.584168,-0.557156,-0.531928,-0.50812,-0.486036,-0.465808]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.034348,-0.045029,-0.066304,-0.062299,-0.048259,-0.028203,-0.013243,-0.000613,0.010134,0.020214,0.029003,0.036147,0.041637,0.045608,0.048248,0.049731,0.050283,0.049908,0.049171,0.048093]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.066073,-0.080676,-0.068554,-0.049494,-0.031158,-0.019959,-0.012466,-0.006544,-0.001486,0.002314,0.00475,0.005881,0.005963,0.005277,0.004063,0.002485,0.000744,-0.000787,-0.002156,-0.003371]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.210099,-0.961002,-0.764786,-0.605423,-0.472828,-0.434206,-0.382814,-0.322621,-0.257395,-0.203648,-0.161233,-0.128855,-0.105289,-0.089328,-0.079709,-0.075073,-0.074301,-0.072355,-0.0725,-0.073983]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.196157,0.301074,0.346951,0.355069,0.339566,0.321809,0.300319,0.274642,0.245051,0.214423,0.184866,0.15773,0.133817,0.113524,0.09694,0.083911,0.074141,0.066593,0.06103,0.057152]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.075832,-0.129823,-0.167221,-0.191886,-0.206735,-0.214799,-0.217485,-0.215924,-0.211093,-0.203899,-0.1951,-0.185287,-0.174924,-0.164369,-0.153894,-0.143687,-0.13388,-0.124524,-0.115674,-0.107359]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001884,0.003226,0.004155,0.004768,0.005137,0.005337,0.005404,0.005365,0.005245,0.005066,0.004848,0.004604,0.004346,0.004084,0.003824,0.00357,0.003327,0.003094,0.002874,0.002668]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.22188,-0.971225,-0.773377,-0.612477,-0.478489,-0.439337,-0.387328,-0.32644,-0.260473,-0.20609,-0.163158,-0.130371,-0.106497,-0.090319,-0.080558,-0.075841,-0.075038,-0.073059,-0.073197,-0.07469]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.528424,-0.502443,-0.453725,-0.40069,-0.349734,-0.333578,-0.312931,-0.286864,-0.256701,-0.228982,-0.204648,-0.183685,-0.166015,-0.151511,-0.139915,-0.130708,-0.123551,-0.116489,-0.110683,-0.105937]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.036734,-0.072734,-0.095483,-0.104129,-0.101661,-0.093903,-0.083556,-0.071838,-0.059435,-0.047154,-0.03572,-0.025669,-0.01731,-0.01076,-0.005985,-0.002855,-0.001166,-0.000556,-0.000756,-0.00155]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.092761,-0.158804,-0.204551,-0.234723,-0.252887,-0.262751,-0.266037,-0.264128,-0.258217,-0.249418,-0.238655,-0.226651,-0.213974,-0.201063,-0.18825,-0.175764,-0.163768,-0.152322,-0.141497,-0.131327]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.146936,-0.290935,-0.381931,-0.416515,-0.406644,-0.37561,-0.334225,-0.287354,-0.237738,-0.188618,-0.142882,-0.102675,-0.069242,-0.043041,-0.02394,-0.01142,-0.004665,-0.002224,-0.003026,-0.006199]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.048132,-0.046937,-0.044541,-0.041386,-0.037942,-0.03458,-0.031475,-0.028714,-0.026343,-0.024385,-0.022835,-0.021666,-0.020831,-0.020274,-0.019935,-0.019754,-0.019677,-0.019656,-0.019655,-0.019646]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.036734,0.072734,0.095483,0.104129,0.101661,0.093903,0.083556,0.071838,0.059435,0.047154,0.03572,0.025669,0.01731,0.01076,0.005985,0.002855,0.001166,0.000556,0.000756,0.00155]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.627035,0.648601,0.624301,0.567526,0.492989,0.412856,0.333871,0.260179,0.194644,0.13929,0.095021,0.061805,0.038892,0.025059,0.018821,0.018597,0.022826,0.030066,0.039157,0.049162]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.782059,0.751473,0.689787,0.609027,0.521887,0.4383,0.362901,0.29786,0.244236,0.202466,0.172261,0.152696,0.142376,0.139648,0.142776,0.15007,0.159979,0.171153,0.18258,0.193505]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.897843,0.877674,0.827669,0.758697,0.682331,0.607691,0.539125,0.478767,0.427751,0.386649,0.355371,0.333231,0.319105,0.311613,0.309278,0.310652,0.314394,0.319327,0.324573,0.329472]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.866376,0.844869,0.801745,0.744955,0.682962,0.622434,0.566546,0.516852,0.474174,0.438926,0.411032,0.389986,0.374959,0.364935,0.358829,0.355578,0.354194,0.353812,0.353787,0.353632]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.604594,-0.734083,-0.704659,-0.613406,-0.502515,-0.423987,-0.350943,-0.276046,-0.200025,-0.128619,-0.065179,-0.010282,0.035997,0.073911,0.104064,0.127569,0.145267,0.159649,0.17047,0.178034]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.89698,0.972635,0.880007,0.723541,0.549378,0.430558,0.316811,0.201792,0.087797,-0.016217,-0.105182,-0.179668,-0.240149,-0.287358,-0.322524,-0.347755,-0.364442,-0.376539,-0.383436,-0.385805]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.0196,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.4621,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.5928,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_co","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"CO","name":"Colombia"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.93488,-1.548561,-1.234347,-0.97157,-0.746726,-0.661902,-0.559331,-0.444842,-0.327169,-0.231494,-0.15748,-0.103239,-0.066647,-0.045328,-0.036649,-0.03777,-0.046198,-0.053712,-0.064416,-0.076685]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.844002,-2.325495,-1.846312,-1.443622,-1.114573,-0.897815,-0.719949,-0.566336,-0.431526,-0.321803,-0.235241,-0.168964,-0.12013,-0.086042,-0.064134,-0.051925,-0.047238,-0.045401,-0.047042,-0.05106]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.125345,-0.151732,-0.131756,-0.098257,-0.064725,-0.043114,-0.027449,-0.014407,-0.003024,0.00587,0.012022,0.015523,0.016787,0.0163,0.014519,0.01182,0.008593,0.005546,0.002655,-3.7e-05]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.197165,-0.382288,-0.491774,-0.524325,-0.498384,-0.446175,-0.382351,-0.313403,-0.243021,-0.175429,-0.11425,-0.062018,-0.020052,0.011363,0.032707,0.044975,0.0495,0.048377,0.043154,0.035082]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.840399,1.096849,1.141601,1.097611,1.016979,0.970235,0.922459,0.862802,0.791128,0.716073,0.644086,0.577863,0.519015,0.468434,0.426241,0.391453,0.363407,0.338852,0.318262,0.30138]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.295874,-0.506748,-0.651587,-0.744777,-0.79715,-0.833889,-0.853587,-0.8557,-0.840996,-0.814006,-0.778809,-0.738845,-0.696955,-0.655406,-0.615908,-0.579632,-0.547312,-0.518401,-0.493063,-0.471225]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.704161,1.365316,1.756337,1.872588,1.779941,1.593483,1.365538,1.119295,0.867933,0.626531,0.408035,0.221493,0.071613,-0.040581,-0.116809,-0.160624,-0.176786,-0.172776,-0.15412,-0.125292]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.416454,-2.661787,-2.061974,-1.579384,-1.183569,-1.047779,-0.883621,-0.699624,-0.510356,-0.359786,-0.246139,-0.165211,-0.112771,-0.08445,-0.075668,-0.081634,-0.098286,-0.111505,-0.129162,-0.14873]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.404483,-0.410215,-0.384358,-0.337167,-0.279379,-0.219587,-0.162395,-0.110513,-0.065716,-0.029151,-0.001175,0.018501,0.030638,0.036297,0.036683,0.033034,0.026534,0.018252,0.009031,-0.000461]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.179274,-0.168155,-0.148318,-0.123553,-0.097688,-0.073607,-0.052568,-0.035089,-0.021361,-0.011392,-0.00498,-0.001751,-0.001206,-0.002794,-0.00595,-0.010147,-0.014908,-0.019833,-0.024628,-0.029084]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.106164,-0.102302,-0.093771,-0.082465,-0.070307,-0.058762,-0.048489,-0.03978,-0.032765,-0.027481,-0.023861,-0.021745,-0.020911,-0.021103,-0.022058,-0.023526,-0.02528,-0.027128,-0.028928,-0.03058]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.369545,-0.602542,-0.735088,-0.79348,-0.797181,-0.781995,-0.747965,-0.696144,-0.629005,-0.553388,-0.474959,-0.398108,-0.326109,-0.261248,-0.204937,-0.157806,-0.119898,-0.089666,-0.066572,-0.049845]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.033545,-0.109432,-0.220031,-0.351948,-0.491943,-0.630941,-0.762724,-0.882716,-0.98742,-1.074582,-1.143178,-1.193266,-1.225785,-1.242322,-1.244886,-1.235711,-1.217099,-1.191188,-1.159912,-1.124984]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.314581,-7.623239,-5.880353,-4.516578,-3.447912,-3.005977,-2.450791,-1.938662,-1.479985,-1.145971,-0.89703,-0.716265,-0.590405,-0.507921,-0.458494,-0.432663,-0.423506,-0.403581,-0.397471,-0.395527]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.025573,-0.042402,-0.054376,-0.062689,-0.068246,-0.073711,-0.078134,-0.081416,-0.083567,-0.084999,-0.085965,-0.086666,-0.087259,-0.087867,-0.088579,-0.089448,-0.090505,-0.091656,-0.092933,-0.094329]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.580207,-2.356088,-1.676282,-1.16393,-0.777981,-0.765103,-0.619207,-0.45945,-0.301086,-0.200492,-0.135301,-0.098062,-0.08307,-0.085189,-0.099597,-0.121639,-0.14808,-0.161028,-0.178771,-0.195439]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.298985,0.225437,0.172413,0.131522,0.09829,0.087353,0.073093,0.05688,0.040213,0.02708,0.017242,0.010309,0.005909,0.003664,0.003168,0.004001,0.005799,0.007315,0.009245,0.011337]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.273737,-0.481421,-0.635952,-0.746879,-0.821483,-0.881145,-0.924005,-0.949092,-0.956695,-0.950639,-0.934524,-0.911526,-0.884388,-0.855405,-0.826409,-0.798765,-0.773431,-0.750173,-0.729352,-0.711084]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.029359,-0.025569,-0.041086,-0.039102,-0.030028,-0.017316,-0.008229,-0.000856,0.005532,0.01175,0.017234,0.021658,0.024988,0.027309,0.028749,0.029413,0.029457,0.02895,0.028239,0.027334]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.087741,-0.106212,-0.092229,-0.06878,-0.045307,-0.03018,-0.019214,-0.010085,-0.002117,0.004109,0.008415,0.010866,0.011751,0.01141,0.010163,0.008274,0.006015,0.003882,0.001859,-2.6e-05]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.159356,-0.927084,-0.738551,-0.581078,-0.446438,-0.395736,-0.334368,-0.265854,-0.195433,-0.138202,-0.093947,-0.061531,-0.039679,-0.026966,-0.021816,-0.022527,-0.027606,-0.032129,-0.038559,-0.045922]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.060586,0.088961,0.098076,0.095937,0.087468,0.079154,0.070389,0.060949,0.050958,0.041289,0.032512,0.024951,0.018754,0.013947,0.010464,0.008173,0.006906,0.006295,0.006222,0.006558]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.070167,-0.120618,-0.155841,-0.179277,-0.193594,-0.201484,-0.204351,-0.203298,-0.199228,-0.192958,-0.185168,-0.176392,-0.167049,-0.157465,-0.147889,-0.138496,-0.129416,-0.120703,-0.112417,-0.10459]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.003119,0.005361,0.006926,0.007968,0.008604,0.008955,0.009082,0.009035,0.008855,0.008576,0.00823,0.00784,0.007424,0.006998,0.006573,0.006155,0.005752,0.005365,0.004996,0.004648]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.170602,-0.936879,-0.74678,-0.5878,-0.451769,-0.400451,-0.338395,-0.26913,-0.197937,-0.140054,-0.095276,-0.062459,-0.040322,-0.027423,-0.022173,-0.022851,-0.02795,-0.032496,-0.038971,-0.046395]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.588432,-0.572946,-0.52377,-0.464563,-0.40419,-0.379456,-0.35021,-0.315094,-0.275871,-0.239696,-0.208104,-0.181397,-0.15962,-0.142604,-0.129936,-0.120864,-0.114792,-0.109359,-0.105533,-0.102951]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.049291,-0.095572,-0.122944,-0.131081,-0.124596,-0.111544,-0.095588,-0.078351,-0.060755,-0.043857,-0.028562,-0.015505,-0.005013,0.002841,0.008177,0.011244,0.012375,0.012094,0.010788,0.00877]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.077963,-0.13402,-0.173157,-0.199196,-0.215104,-0.223871,-0.227057,-0.225886,-0.221365,-0.214398,-0.205743,-0.195992,-0.18561,-0.174961,-0.164321,-0.153885,-0.143795,-0.134115,-0.124907,-0.116211]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.197165,-0.382288,-0.491774,-0.524325,-0.498384,-0.446175,-0.382351,-0.313403,-0.243021,-0.175429,-0.11425,-0.062018,-0.020052,0.011363,0.032707,0.044975,0.0495,0.048377,0.043154,0.035082]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.04538,-0.043763,-0.040603,-0.036529,-0.032183,-0.028053,-0.024357,-0.021193,-0.018602,-0.016597,-0.015155,-0.014221,-0.013723,-0.013574,-0.013686,-0.013975,-0.014366,-0.014794,-0.015213,-0.015587]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.049291,0.095572,0.122944,0.131081,0.124596,0.111544,0.095588,0.078351,0.060755,0.043857,0.028562,0.015505,0.005013,-0.002841,-0.008177,-0.011244,-0.012375,-0.012094,-0.010788,-0.00877]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.768518,0.779409,0.730279,0.640617,0.53082,0.417216,0.30855,0.209974,0.12486,0.055386,0.002232,-0.035151,-0.058212,-0.068964,-0.069698,-0.062765,-0.050415,-0.034679,-0.017158,0.000875]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.806732,0.756696,0.66743,0.555989,0.439597,0.331231,0.236555,0.157901,0.096127,0.051264,0.022412,0.007878,0.005429,0.012571,0.026777,0.04566,0.067086,0.089247,0.110827,0.130877]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.870545,0.838875,0.768925,0.67621,0.576516,0.481849,0.39761,0.326196,0.268673,0.225347,0.19566,0.178309,0.171468,0.173043,0.180877,0.192914,0.207299,0.222449,0.237213,0.250754]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.816843,0.787738,0.73085,0.657524,0.579302,0.504958,0.438432,0.381468,0.334833,0.298744,0.272783,0.255987,0.247015,0.244328,0.246343,0.25155,0.258587,0.266295,0.273825,0.280563]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.758093,-0.934455,-0.915787,-0.816595,-0.687342,-0.595367,-0.507536,-0.415189,-0.318671,-0.225887,-0.142539,-0.070173,-0.009457,0.039658,0.077858,0.106573,0.127022,0.14278,0.153701,0.160368]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.035757,1.160408,1.079438,0.91583,0.724365,0.59259,0.465111,0.333977,0.200873,0.076696,-0.031301,-0.122624,-0.197143,-0.255364,-0.29857,-0.329158,-0.348864,-0.362645,-0.370011,-0.371875]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9349,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.6264,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-3.4165,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_ng","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"NG","name":"Nigeria"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.911897,-1.554213,-1.238501,-0.952599,-0.688822,-0.552073,-0.399661,-0.238707,-0.08163,0.043481,0.135322,0.195225,0.22618,0.232258,0.218213,0.18913,0.14974,0.110216,0.068319,0.026919]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.800473,-2.29298,-1.825141,-1.42382,-1.084214,-0.843694,-0.638583,-0.457487,-0.297832,-0.167745,-0.066673,0.007435,0.057414,0.08655,0.098393,0.096597,0.08461,0.068208,0.048012,0.026046]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.205754,-0.246738,-0.21568,-0.162447,-0.107499,-0.069976,-0.040582,-0.014758,0.008375,0.026961,0.040251,0.048364,0.051875,0.051559,0.048254,0.042788,0.035939,0.028995,0.022089,0.015439]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.303494,-0.573864,-0.719437,-0.74519,-0.683665,-0.585797,-0.473596,-0.356359,-0.239519,-0.129682,-0.03258,0.047942,0.110021,0.153471,0.179392,0.189796,0.187226,0.175359,0.156975,0.134358]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.274842,0.375373,0.427672,0.456518,0.470455,0.488049,0.496915,0.494472,0.48144,0.46135,0.437052,0.410548,0.383384,0.356832,0.33179,0.308626,0.287725,0.268453,0.251197,0.235993]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.287704,-0.494399,-0.634947,-0.721131,-0.762012,-0.78107,-0.777719,-0.752317,-0.706999,-0.647933,-0.580931,-0.511114,-0.442744,-0.379155,-0.322737,-0.274974,-0.236572,-0.206699,-0.184985,-0.170692]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.758734,1.434661,1.798591,1.862974,1.709161,1.464491,1.18399,0.890898,0.598797,0.324206,0.08145,-0.119856,-0.275052,-0.383678,-0.448481,-0.47449,-0.468064,-0.438398,-0.392437,-0.335895]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.941541,-2.266727,-1.706984,-1.240334,-0.841984,-0.660336,-0.458963,-0.24582,-0.038743,0.119837,0.23001,0.295355,0.321362,0.314606,0.282279,0.231754,0.169641,0.110817,0.050658,-0.007105]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.555175,-0.547178,-0.491655,-0.405798,-0.306657,-0.207446,-0.115038,-0.033414,0.034855,0.088198,0.126328,0.150023,0.160825,0.160753,0.152049,0.136982,0.11769,0.096081,0.073656,0.05159]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.175432,-0.154785,-0.1219,-0.082985,-0.043953,-0.009052,0.020036,0.042738,0.058948,0.068825,0.072846,0.071759,0.066491,0.058042,0.047407,0.035511,0.023165,0.011041,-0.000381,-0.010767]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.097669,-0.091235,-0.077987,-0.06105,-0.043421,-0.027288,-0.013563,-0.002609,0.005447,0.01061,0.013054,0.013094,0.011144,0.007664,0.003117,-0.002058,-0.007474,-0.012807,-0.017826,-0.022368]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.247483,-0.417768,-0.525343,-0.58139,-0.594759,-0.586821,-0.558254,-0.510467,-0.446234,-0.371615,-0.292184,-0.212749,-0.137221,-0.068573,-0.008842,0.040808,0.079961,0.109573,0.130228,0.142838]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.045992,-0.154934,-0.312786,-0.496164,-0.682648,-0.856837,-1.008984,-1.132619,-1.223528,-1.279909,-1.302288,-1.293168,-1.256543,-1.197367,-1.121071,-1.033143,-0.938793,-0.842567,-0.748247,-0.65886]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.091624,-7.381583,-5.550141,-4.11003,-2.969753,-2.437827,-1.817644,-1.25112,-0.75876,-0.415564,-0.182121,-0.040043,0.028623,0.040807,0.012286,-0.042603,-0.112487,-0.167115,-0.227787,-0.283529]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.024458,-0.040079,-0.050401,-0.056682,-0.059849,-0.062473,-0.06373,-0.063574,-0.062119,-0.059899,-0.057291,-0.05461,-0.052108,-0.049973,-0.048331,-0.047249,-0.046752,-0.04672,-0.047148,-0.047984]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.424137,-2.186928,-1.445134,-0.879347,-0.443269,-0.367398,-0.176004,0.021829,0.203772,0.310793,0.365136,0.375293,0.350249,0.298921,0.229949,0.151403,0.069633,0.004498,-0.059992,-0.11704]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.252777,0.183137,0.134023,0.095285,0.062038,0.046343,0.027609,0.007613,-0.011656,-0.026236,-0.036225,-0.041947,-0.043885,-0.042637,-0.038875,-0.033296,-0.026546,-0.019979,-0.013241,-0.006747]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.445572,-0.804652,-1.087461,-1.301633,-1.453077,-1.572018,-1.655129,-1.700716,-1.709943,-1.690454,-1.650103,-1.596356,-1.535931,-1.474568,-1.41688,-1.366291,-1.325121,-1.293325,-1.271394,-1.259152]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.131589,-0.224959,-0.23742,-0.216361,-0.183337,-0.155995,-0.133987,-0.113189,-0.092484,-0.072393,-0.054341,-0.038904,-0.026196,-0.016114,-0.008431,-0.002836,0.000992,0.003771,0.005701,0.006818]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.144028,-0.172716,-0.150976,-0.113713,-0.07525,-0.048984,-0.028407,-0.010331,0.005863,0.018873,0.028176,0.033855,0.036312,0.036092,0.033778,0.029951,0.025157,0.020297,0.015462,0.010807]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.145757,-0.930722,-0.74129,-0.569917,-0.411884,-0.330004,-0.238711,-0.142296,-0.048211,0.026702,0.081672,0.1175,0.135982,0.139559,0.131082,0.113598,0.089944,0.066216,0.041072,0.01623]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.053414,0.075255,0.079453,0.073967,0.063328,0.053167,0.042853,0.032209,0.021477,0.011586,0.003125,-0.004821,-0.012098,-0.017783,-0.02152,-0.023233,-0.02304,-0.021413,-0.018622,-0.014976]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.11995,-0.208024,-0.27046,-0.312572,-0.338731,-0.353447,-0.359285,-0.358195,-0.351751,-0.34134,-0.328129,-0.313062,-0.29689,-0.280202,-0.263453,-0.246973,-0.231002,-0.215657,-0.201044,-0.187227]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.017101,0.029658,0.038559,0.044563,0.048292,0.05039,0.051223,0.051067,0.050149,0.048664,0.046781,0.044633,0.042327,0.039948,0.03756,0.03521,0.032933,0.030746,0.028663,0.026693]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.946389,-0.769335,-0.613058,-0.471537,-0.340967,-0.273276,-0.197832,-0.11816,-0.040407,0.021523,0.066985,0.096636,0.111959,0.114968,0.108016,0.093619,0.074121,0.054557,0.033818,0.013325]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.248311,-0.235123,-0.219362,-0.202698,-0.184894,-0.179625,-0.169844,-0.155855,-0.139144,-0.123344,-0.109274,-0.097337,-0.08769,-0.080328,-0.075083,-0.071612,-0.069608,-0.067995,-0.067113,-0.066706]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.075873,-0.143466,-0.179859,-0.186297,-0.170916,-0.146449,-0.118399,-0.08909,-0.05988,-0.032421,-0.008145,0.011986,0.027505,0.038368,0.044848,0.047449,0.046806,0.04384,0.039244,0.03359]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.066197,-0.114804,-0.14926,-0.172501,-0.186938,-0.195059,-0.198281,-0.19768,-0.194123,-0.188378,-0.181087,-0.172772,-0.163846,-0.154637,-0.145393,-0.136299,-0.127484,-0.119016,-0.110952,-0.103326]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.303494,-0.573864,-0.719437,-0.74519,-0.683665,-0.585797,-0.473596,-0.356359,-0.239519,-0.129682,-0.03258,0.047942,0.110021,0.153471,0.179392,0.189796,0.187226,0.175359,0.156975,0.134358]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.04353,-0.041033,-0.036282,-0.030316,-0.024136,-0.018466,-0.013612,-0.009692,-0.006748,-0.004777,-0.00372,-0.003472,-0.003894,-0.004833,-0.006133,-0.007649,-0.00925,-0.01083,-0.01231,-0.013637]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.075873,0.143466,0.179859,0.186297,0.170916,0.146449,0.118399,0.08909,0.05988,0.032421,0.008145,-0.011986,-0.027505,-0.038368,-0.044848,-0.047449,-0.046806,-0.04384,-0.039244,-0.03359]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.054833,1.039638,0.934145,0.771017,0.582648,0.394148,0.218572,0.063487,-0.066225,-0.167577,-0.240024,-0.285043,-0.305567,-0.30543,-0.288893,-0.260265,-0.223611,-0.182554,-0.139946,-0.098021]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.789444,0.696533,0.54855,0.373434,0.197787,0.040733,-0.090161,-0.192321,-0.265268,-0.309714,-0.327807,-0.322917,-0.299209,-0.261188,-0.213331,-0.159799,-0.104241,-0.049685,0.001713,0.048453]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.800887,0.748128,0.639497,0.500607,0.356054,0.223764,0.11122,0.021391,-0.044664,-0.087003,-0.107041,-0.107373,-0.091384,-0.062843,-0.025563,0.016872,0.061285,0.10502,0.146176,0.18342]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.783549,0.738597,0.653073,0.545696,0.434439,0.332396,0.245017,0.174454,0.121461,0.085981,0.066962,0.062496,0.070095,0.086993,0.110397,0.137678,0.166508,0.194941,0.221584,0.245459]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.192663,-0.242438,-0.244979,-0.225185,-0.193736,-0.167217,-0.13773,-0.103962,-0.066839,-0.029129,0.006976,0.040289,0.070066,0.095903,0.117669,0.135451,0.149445,0.160595,0.168946,0.17477]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.4702,0.438933,0.365509,0.274736,0.177841,0.110405,0.039567,-0.034354,-0.108815,-0.178027,-0.238335,-0.289939,-0.332774,-0.366967,-0.393021,-0.411985,-0.424546,-0.433044,-0.437076,-0.437263]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-1.9119,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.9395,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-2.9415,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_no","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"NO","name":"Norway"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.224184,-1.894493,-1.584472,-1.305622,-1.05894,-1.001626,-0.931958,-0.845886,-0.745277,-0.637522,-0.542834,-0.465739,-0.404679,-0.358003,-0.323804,-0.299787,-0.284184,-0.264325,-0.249778,-0.239431]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.970183,-2.48934,-2.017383,-1.608913,-1.270397,-1.067011,-0.909354,-0.776305,-0.657602,-0.549887,-0.458525,-0.384279,-0.32526,-0.279397,-0.24464,-0.218938,-0.200618,-0.183161,-0.169524,-0.159256]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.072644,-0.080069,-0.064036,-0.042436,-0.022303,-0.010825,-0.003446,0.001961,0.006189,0.009241,0.01088,0.011156,0.010318,0.008649,0.006423,0.003891,0.001248,-0.001054,-0.003122,-0.004972]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.234254,-0.417966,-0.538699,-0.602488,-0.620835,-0.621925,-0.610653,-0.589103,-0.558575,-0.520808,-0.479085,-0.436544,-0.395558,-0.357793,-0.324298,-0.295573,-0.271736,-0.251529,-0.234683,-0.220897]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.163034,1.554629,1.615991,1.542979,1.420518,1.351705,1.292181,1.224017,1.145054,1.065445,0.992595,0.929739,0.877839,0.836726,0.805478,0.78252,0.766316,0.751819,0.739546,0.729211]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.251973,-0.450573,-0.601764,-0.712395,-0.788893,-0.854991,-0.909973,-0.952663,-0.982141,-0.998354,-1.003524,-1.000235,-0.990726,-0.976909,-0.960367,-0.942331,-0.923766,-0.904154,-0.884106,-0.864079]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.464087,2.612289,3.366867,3.76555,3.88022,3.887029,3.816583,3.681895,3.491092,3.255052,2.994281,2.728399,2.472234,2.236208,2.026864,1.847329,1.698352,1.572054,1.46677,1.380605]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.829574,-4.056772,-3.344524,-2.715724,-2.169293,-2.04355,-1.893661,-1.710268,-1.497153,-1.270095,-1.072707,-0.914151,-0.790399,-0.697408,-0.63073,-0.585198,-0.556905,-0.518313,-0.490547,-0.471237]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.52949,-0.57003,-0.582886,-0.575434,-0.554691,-0.526531,-0.493515,-0.45772,-0.421029,-0.385174,-0.351514,-0.320964,-0.294008,-0.270791,-0.2512,-0.234945,-0.221623,-0.210777,-0.202064,-0.195144]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.42915,-0.427928,-0.417083,-0.399861,-0.379187,-0.357393,-0.335388,-0.313822,-0.293229,-0.27407,-0.256712,-0.241353,-0.228029,-0.216658,-0.20707,-0.199045,-0.192335,-0.186691,-0.181922,-0.177856]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.301742,-0.299573,-0.292736,-0.282803,-0.271198,-0.259057,-0.24681,-0.234766,-0.223184,-0.212288,-0.20226,-0.193199,-0.185126,-0.178005,-0.171754,-0.16627,-0.161433,-0.157122,-0.153249,-0.14973]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.409337,-0.68948,-0.865437,-0.960152,-0.99296,-1.008951,-1.008787,-0.992237,-0.959414,-0.911738,-0.854099,-0.791414,-0.727508,-0.665278,-0.606791,-0.553354,-0.505732,-0.462229,-0.423178,-0.388651]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.016325,-0.055447,-0.114729,-0.18862,-0.271257,-0.358623,-0.447981,-0.537173,-0.624331,-0.707804,-0.786299,-0.858934,-0.925208,-0.984939,-1.038199,-1.085251,-1.126483,-1.162288,-1.19306,-1.219208]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-11.069885,-8.596208,-6.795657,-5.319596,-4.117421,-3.721821,-3.185231,-2.676986,-2.194856,-1.753039,-1.408353,-1.146821,-0.949311,-0.804426,-0.701584,-0.630417,-0.584039,-0.516114,-0.474527,-0.444681]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.029349,-0.051043,-0.067593,-0.079922,-0.088827,-0.097871,-0.105966,-0.11294,-0.118665,-0.123132,-0.126655,-0.129508,-0.131896,-0.133987,-0.135914,-0.137772,-0.139632,-0.141345,-0.143007,-0.144649]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-4.10892,-3.037165,-2.316995,-1.726043,-1.246637,-1.266194,-1.133315,-0.976277,-0.801496,-0.625439,-0.493227,-0.399451,-0.334304,-0.292743,-0.26976,-0.260067,-0.260453,-0.239801,-0.232711,-0.229847]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.258414,0.124258,0.059395,0.02781,0.012541,0.026805,0.03568,0.041405,0.044612,0.044869,0.045074,0.045645,0.046181,0.046504,0.04654,0.046255,0.045715,0.043318,0.041118,0.039037]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.074063,0.132961,0.178185,0.211545,0.234802,0.254841,0.271441,0.284256,0.293025,0.297744,0.299079,0.297808,0.294608,0.290063,0.28466,0.278779,0.272724,0.266359,0.259874,0.253414]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.262483,-0.423718,-0.43905,-0.392544,-0.322477,-0.259266,-0.204055,-0.150659,-0.098522,-0.051396,-0.010502,0.023443,0.050246,0.070254,0.084139,0.092814,0.097201,0.09864,0.098132,0.096001]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.050851,-0.056048,-0.044825,-0.029705,-0.015612,-0.007578,-0.002412,0.001373,0.004332,0.006468,0.007616,0.007809,0.007223,0.006054,0.004496,0.002724,0.000873,-0.000738,-0.002185,-0.003481]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.333128,-1.13489,-0.948872,-0.781731,-0.633955,-0.599736,-0.558089,-0.506603,-0.446399,-0.381899,-0.325221,-0.279078,-0.242533,-0.214597,-0.194129,-0.179752,-0.170411,-0.158508,-0.149787,-0.14358]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.344748,0.569445,0.701149,0.763291,0.774768,0.775067,0.764507,0.742718,0.709692,0.66657,0.617395,0.566105,0.51561,0.467978,0.424572,0.386125,0.352948,0.323329,0.297379,0.275015]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.113019,-0.199373,-0.262694,-0.306815,-0.335246,-0.35292,-0.361913,-0.363757,-0.359725,-0.351136,-0.339218,-0.325006,-0.30935,-0.292942,-0.276325,-0.259892,-0.243931,-0.228551,-0.213881,-0.200004]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001476,0.002603,0.00343,0.004006,0.004377,0.004608,0.004725,0.004749,0.004697,0.004584,0.004429,0.004243,0.004039,0.003825,0.003608,0.003393,0.003185,0.002984,0.002792,0.002611]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.272233,-1.08365,-0.906318,-0.746816,-0.605714,-0.57293,-0.53308,-0.483847,-0.426298,-0.364663,-0.310501,-0.266403,-0.231476,-0.204777,-0.185216,-0.171478,-0.162553,-0.151194,-0.142873,-0.136955]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.703666,-0.748159,-0.710981,-0.644774,-0.571541,-0.546209,-0.520852,-0.490021,-0.453455,-0.415105,-0.380532,-0.351407,-0.327721,-0.309165,-0.295189,-0.285004,-0.277925,-0.270389,-0.264278,-0.259341]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.058563,-0.104492,-0.134675,-0.150622,-0.155209,-0.155481,-0.152663,-0.147276,-0.139644,-0.130202,-0.119771,-0.109136,-0.098889,-0.089448,-0.081075,-0.073893,-0.067934,-0.062882,-0.058671,-0.055224]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.142093,-0.250662,-0.330273,-0.385744,-0.421489,-0.443709,-0.455016,-0.457335,-0.452265,-0.441467,-0.426483,-0.408614,-0.388931,-0.368302,-0.34741,-0.326749,-0.306683,-0.287346,-0.268902,-0.251455]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.234254,-0.417966,-0.538699,-0.602488,-0.620835,-0.621925,-0.610653,-0.589103,-0.558575,-0.520808,-0.479085,-0.436544,-0.395558,-0.357793,-0.324298,-0.295573,-0.271736,-0.251529,-0.234683,-0.220897]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.141252,-0.13942,-0.136053,-0.131676,-0.126765,-0.121697,-0.116617,-0.111628,-0.106815,-0.102254,-0.098005,-0.094101,-0.090548,-0.087335,-0.084433,-0.081809,-0.079421,-0.07723,-0.075205,-0.073318]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.058563,0.104492,0.134675,0.150622,0.155209,0.155481,0.152663,0.147276,0.139644,0.130202,0.119771,0.109136,0.098889,0.089448,0.081075,0.073893,0.067934,0.062882,0.058671,0.055224]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.006032,1.083058,1.107483,1.093325,1.053913,1.000409,0.937678,0.869669,0.799955,0.731831,0.667877,0.609832,0.558616,0.514503,0.477281,0.446395,0.421085,0.400476,0.383921,0.370774]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.931175,1.925677,1.876875,1.799375,1.706341,1.608269,1.509247,1.412199,1.319531,1.233316,1.155205,1.086088,1.026132,0.974961,0.931816,0.895701,0.86551,0.840107,0.818649,0.800351]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[2.474286,2.456501,2.400434,2.318986,2.223825,2.124264,2.023838,1.925083,1.83011,1.740762,1.658529,1.584228,1.518034,1.459637,1.408384,1.36341,1.323747,1.288401,1.25664,1.227786]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[2.542544,2.50956,2.448955,2.370176,2.281768,2.190549,2.099108,2.009302,1.922675,1.840575,1.764088,1.693811,1.629867,1.572025,1.519802,1.47256,1.429584,1.390143,1.353693,1.319731]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.077483,-1.433573,-1.461176,-1.355309,-1.20218,-1.101768,-1.015047,-0.925068,-0.829759,-0.738505,-0.658127,-0.591328,-0.538486,-0.498794,-0.470758,-0.452471,-0.441963,-0.43403,-0.428789,-0.425721]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.358393,1.618188,1.553828,1.361197,1.127905,0.97406,0.834833,0.695192,0.554799,0.426068,0.317209,0.229252,0.161681,0.112927,0.080667,0.061909,0.054045,0.050322,0.051273,0.055956]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.2242,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.2563,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-4.8296,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}
{"record_id":"irf_v64_vix_80_ch","model":{"name":"global_macro","engine":"global_macro_v64","contract":"v6.4"},"question":"VIX 80","shock":{"id":"vix_80","spec":{"vix":80.0},"units":{"vix":"index_level"},"held_fixed":{"oil":80.0,"metals":0.0,"risk_premium":0.0,"housing":{},"fiscal":{},"tfp":{},"bank_equity":{},"equity":{},"sovereign_spread":{},"bilateral_tariffs":[]}},"country":{"iso2":"CH","name":"Switzerland"},"horizon":{"freq":"Q","n":20},"series":{"Y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-2.093311,-1.688036,-1.394238,-1.161038,-0.96492,-0.946451,-0.895778,-0.822528,-0.73381,-0.64341,-0.568554,-0.507387,-0.458071,-0.419221,-0.389114,-0.365095,-0.346051,-0.322291,-0.30215,-0.284925]},"C":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.114483,-2.601172,-2.096536,-1.671697,-1.328003,-1.136034,-0.983581,-0.850363,-0.728571,-0.619577,-0.530053,-0.45812,-0.401067,-0.356466,-0.321995,-0.295056,-0.274009,-0.252725,-0.234388,-0.218824]},"pi_cpi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.118519,-0.084301,-0.050934,-0.024575,-0.005221,0.000783,0.005833,0.010524,0.014639,0.017172,0.017938,0.017359,0.015831,0.01357,0.01085,0.00823,0.005764,0.003844,0.002121,0.000583]},"i":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.104098,-0.180354,-0.229664,-0.257082,-0.267808,-0.273447,-0.274427,-0.270839,-0.262935,-0.25166,-0.2385,-0.224628,-0.21091,-0.197981,-0.186257,-0.175848,-0.166773,-0.15859,-0.151247,-0.144684]},"RER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.447307,-0.376548,-0.293712,-0.208173,-0.124874,-0.075004,-0.022465,0.031593,0.085129,0.133055,0.173498,0.206726,0.233219,0.252997,0.266571,0.276318,0.282824,0.287829,0.290658,0.291659]},"P_H":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.249372,-0.436424,-0.578133,-0.684399,-0.761704,-0.832877,-0.894427,-0.944195,-0.980978,-1.005272,-1.019591,-1.026084,-1.026556,-1.022549,-1.015314,-1.00572,-0.994459,-0.981034,-0.965975,-0.949699]},"Q_B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.728689,1.262475,1.607647,1.799571,1.874658,1.91413,1.920987,1.895873,1.840545,1.761619,1.669499,1.572399,1.476368,1.38587,1.303796,1.230938,1.167412,1.110128,1.058726,1.012785]},"equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-8.344513,-6.706293,-5.521817,-4.585,-3.800071,-3.726266,-3.524414,-3.233138,-2.880829,-2.522361,-2.226305,-1.984994,-1.790912,-1.638399,-1.520506,-1.426609,-1.352266,-1.258849,-1.179707,-1.112047]},"y2":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.232215,-0.252069,-0.260983,-0.262087,-0.258031,-0.250918,-0.241485,-0.230464,-0.21859,-0.20657,-0.194936,-0.184029,-0.174036,-0.165026,-0.156976,-0.149805,-0.143401,-0.137646,-0.132469,-0.127794]},"y5":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.211387,-0.213123,-0.210785,-0.205746,-0.199123,-0.191769,-0.183955,-0.175926,-0.16792,-0.16016,-0.15282,-0.145998,-0.139735,-0.134024,-0.128831,-0.124096,-0.119758,-0.115752,-0.112036,-0.10857]},"y10":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.158353,-0.157687,-0.155061,-0.15115,-0.146502,-0.141536,-0.136381,-0.131154,-0.125972,-0.120942,-0.116151,-0.111647,-0.107448,-0.103552,-0.099941,-0.096585,-0.093452,-0.090509,-0.087737,-0.085113]},"N":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.538225,-0.843816,-1.000518,-1.059201,-1.052667,-1.042113,-1.020378,-0.984428,-0.933739,-0.871428,-0.804294,-0.737048,-0.672814,-0.613616,-0.560556,-0.513786,-0.473132,-0.435965,-0.402413,-0.372388]},"w":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.009556,-0.040346,-0.085539,-0.138979,-0.195873,-0.25339,-0.310368,-0.365768,-0.41861,-0.468053,-0.513577,-0.554976,-0.592281,-0.62569,-0.655525,-0.68217,-0.706003,-0.727343,-0.746439,-0.763523]},"I":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-10.898674,-8.298965,-6.742776,-5.478521,-4.434269,-4.128892,-3.607261,-3.101803,-2.618102,-2.190602,-1.861079,-1.597234,-1.387525,-1.223381,-1.095605,-0.992864,-0.911268,-0.813927,-0.74073,-0.679502]},"K":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.028493,-0.048701,-0.064987,-0.07811,-0.088599,-0.099679,-0.109884,-0.118981,-0.126823,-0.133478,-0.139265,-0.14437,-0.148949,-0.153135,-0.157032,-0.160701,-0.164198,-0.1674,-0.170393,-0.173209]},"Q":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-3.989072,-2.829096,-2.279978,-1.83729,-1.468431,-1.551143,-1.428736,-1.273649,-1.097768,-0.931733,-0.810135,-0.71474,-0.641054,-0.586011,-0.545575,-0.51378,-0.489513,-0.44827,-0.419053,-0.394222]},"G":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.418202,0.337005,0.278244,0.23166,0.192514,0.188877,0.178793,0.164196,0.146506,0.128477,0.113551,0.101356,0.091523,0.083776,0.077771,0.072979,0.069177,0.064429,0.060403,0.056959]},"B":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.139401,-0.240521,-0.313889,-0.365796,-0.400459,-0.431107,-0.455921,-0.473871,-0.484485,-0.488247,-0.486747,-0.481319,-0.473067,-0.462913,-0.451588,-0.439589,-0.427297,-0.414421,-0.401245,-0.387986]},"NX":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.210729,0.190866,0.171909,0.154687,0.139319,0.141032,0.140045,0.136577,0.131026,0.124482,0.118954,0.114393,0.110688,0.107638,0.105062,0.103015,0.101379,0.099094,0.097022,0.09511]},"pi":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.082963,-0.059011,-0.035654,-0.017202,-0.003655,0.000548,0.004083,0.007367,0.010247,0.012021,0.012556,0.012151,0.011081,0.009499,0.007595,0.005761,0.004035,0.002691,0.001485,0.000408]},"mc":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.254605,-1.011016,-0.834732,-0.69498,-0.577543,-0.566631,-0.53638,-0.492588,-0.439519,-0.385432,-0.340654,-0.304067,-0.274569,-0.251328,-0.233314,-0.218937,-0.20753,-0.193288,-0.18121,-0.170876]},"unemployment":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.324463,0.521216,0.63308,0.686425,0.698702,0.705662,0.703375,0.690192,0.665894,0.632444,0.594081,0.55391,0.514129,0.476282,0.441338,0.40966,0.381366,0.355048,0.330872,0.308861]},"credit_supply":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.133568,-0.229314,-0.297808,-0.345413,-0.376418,-0.396658,-0.407677,-0.410763,-0.407135,-0.398284,-0.385645,-0.370397,-0.353489,-0.335699,-0.317625,-0.299649,-0.282049,-0.264915,-0.248403,-0.232615]},"lending_spread":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[0.001089,0.00187,0.002429,0.002817,0.00307,0.003235,0.003325,0.00335,0.003321,0.003248,0.003145,0.003021,0.002883,0.002738,0.002591,0.002444,0.0023,0.002161,0.002026,0.001897]},"gdp_services":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-1.657902,-1.336925,-1.104236,-0.919542,-0.764216,-0.749589,-0.709456,-0.651442,-0.581178,-0.509581,-0.450295,-0.40185,-0.362792,-0.332023,-0.308178,-0.289156,-0.274072,-0.255254,-0.239303,-0.22566]},"gdp_manufacturing":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.270607,-0.186,-0.146481,-0.128038,-0.119547,-0.137324,-0.148098,-0.154448,-0.157386,-0.157899,-0.158851,-0.159773,-0.160386,-0.160436,-0.159784,-0.158678,-0.157162,-0.15391,-0.150559,-0.147101]},"r":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.026025,-0.045088,-0.057416,-0.06427,-0.066952,-0.068362,-0.068607,-0.06771,-0.065734,-0.062915,-0.059625,-0.056157,-0.052727,-0.049495,-0.046564,-0.043962,-0.041693,-0.039647,-0.037812,-0.036171]},"bank_equity":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.170512,-0.292742,-0.38018,-0.440953,-0.480534,-0.506372,-0.520439,-0.524378,-0.519746,-0.508448,-0.492313,-0.472847,-0.451263,-0.428552,-0.405479,-0.38253,-0.360062,-0.338189,-0.31711,-0.296956]},"vix":{"unit":"index_level","path":[80.0,68.947902,57.111602,47.853385,40.589813,35.11667,30.764435,27.290197,24.513422,22.330858,20.62534,19.297278,18.268668,17.537804,16.975994,16.538969,16.199191,15.934773,15.729155,15.569361]},"y3m":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.104098,-0.180354,-0.229664,-0.257082,-0.267808,-0.273447,-0.274427,-0.270839,-0.262935,-0.25166,-0.2385,-0.224628,-0.21091,-0.197981,-0.186257,-0.175848,-0.166773,-0.15859,-0.151247,-0.144684]},"y30":{"unit":"pp_dev","path":[-0.072935,-0.072124,-0.070676,-0.068815,-0.066724,-0.064542,-0.062312,-0.060072,-0.05786,-0.055713,-0.053659,-0.051712,-0.04988,-0.048162,-0.046549,-0.045034,-0.043603,-0.042248,-0.040959,-0.039731]},"Q_B_3m":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.026025,0.045088,0.057416,0.06427,0.066952,0.068362,0.068607,0.06771,0.065734,0.062915,0.059625,0.056157,0.052727,0.049495,0.046564,0.043962,0.041693,0.039647,0.037812,0.036171]},"Q_B_2y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.441208,0.478932,0.495867,0.497966,0.490258,0.476745,0.458821,0.437881,0.415321,0.392482,0.370378,0.349656,0.330669,0.313549,0.298255,0.284629,0.272462,0.261528,0.251691,0.242809]},"Q_B_5y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.951239,0.959053,0.948531,0.925855,0.896051,0.86296,0.827797,0.791667,0.75564,0.720719,0.687689,0.656992,0.628806,0.60311,0.579739,0.558434,0.538911,0.520883,0.50416,0.488566]},"Q_B_10y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.298496,1.293035,1.2715,1.239426,1.201313,1.160594,1.118322,1.075464,1.032966,0.991724,0.952437,0.915503,0.881074,0.84913,0.819517,0.791996,0.766304,0.742177,0.71944,0.697927]},"Q_B_30y":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[1.312827,1.298231,1.272165,1.238672,1.201036,1.161763,1.121616,1.081295,1.041486,1.002837,0.965855,0.930823,0.897849,0.86691,0.837889,0.810605,0.784863,0.760462,0.73727,0.71516]},"NEER":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[0.513528,0.459788,0.406854,0.356733,0.309385,0.296455,0.275823,0.24833,0.216003,0.184487,0.155957,0.130474,0.108072,0.089395,0.07455,0.061492,0.050161,0.039125,0.029538,0.021336]},"USD":{"unit":"pct_dev_from_baseline","path":[-0.251949,-0.312989,-0.355876,-0.389954,-0.417488,-0.452649,-0.479814,-0.497233,-0.505126,-0.506322,-0.501889,-0.493761,-0.482939,-0.470802,-0.45824,-0.444293,-0.429446,-0.413669,-0.397614,-0.381597]},"P_energy":{"unit":"USD/bbl (level)","path":[77.466835,76.708951,76.721019,77.048265,77.487584,77.80028,78.080283,78.36425,78.654955,78.928749,79.169089,79.36954,79.529287,79.650382,79.736722,79.793689,79.826505,79.848053,79.858588,79.85998]},"P_metals":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.530407,96.810704,96.83872,97.164946,97.591179,97.894392,98.166376,98.442226,98.721182,98.980919,99.208405,99.399181,99.553269,99.672785,99.761249,99.82351,99.864058,99.894041,99.913393,99.923559]},"P_food":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[97.331796,96.43853,96.348462,96.613228,97.026617,97.339991,97.638997,97.955338,98.285825,98.602975,98.887708,99.131058,99.330132,99.485545,99.600403,99.67989,99.729487,99.762773,99.781033,99.787033]},"P_gas":{"unit":"USD/mmBtu (level)","path":[3.83226,3.781841,3.781761,3.802518,3.830948,3.8512,3.869301,3.887695,3.906716,3.924874,3.940983,3.954551,3.965474,3.973855,3.979929,3.984036,3.986512,3.98823,3.989191,3.989512]},"P_copper":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.138976,97.601364,97.625037,97.870576,98.1895,98.417828,98.624233,98.834565,99.046893,99.244003,99.416887,99.562606,99.681295,99.774484,99.844676,99.895369,99.929764,99.955768,99.973319,99.983469]},"P_wheat":{"unit":"index (level)","path":[98.468109,98.016928,98.034373,98.243684,98.52149,98.728186,98.917418,99.109084,99.300681,99.477045,99.628675,99.752163,99.847421,99.916155,99.961282,99.986676,99.996151,99.997703,99.992295,99.981665]},"P_gold":{"unit":"USD/oz (level)","path":[5472.236223,4889.969489,4263.62599,3772.560929,3386.045122,3093.93727,2860.979928,2674.340662,2524.485021,2406.059343,2312.969787,2240.046072,2183.228144,2142.491067,2111.010148,2086.442974,2067.318126,2052.437627,2040.888208,2031.953396]}},"summary":{"GDP_peak_pct":-2.0933,"GDP_peak_quarter":1,"CPI_3yr_pp":-0.1993,"CPI_3yr_definition":"sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12","equity_peak_pct":-8.3445,"equity_peak_quarter":1},"qa_checks":{"json_matches_peaks":true,"complete_q1_q20":true,"no_nan":true,"rer_sign":"increase=real_depreciation","ok":true,"reasons":[]}}