Bubble Stocks
September 2, 2026 · KO is the only LPPL bubble that is also turning down
LPPL is a regime filter, not a crash timer. It asks whether price looks super-exponential with log-periodic oscillation, then the checkboxes veto: liquidity, valuation/extension, and trend/break. A name is not a trade because it fitted. Critical time tc is a process window, not an execution stamp.
Book pulse
Fail-closed QC: most liquid names do not qualify. A quiet tape is the usual state. Today 1 of 50 mega-caps cleared a positive-bubble gate.
Largest bubbles
Ranked by confidence × acceleration × oscillation QC. Positive bubble only.
| # | Name | Conf | tc | Val | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KO | 0.50 | 2.8d | PASS | FAIL |
Stocks turning down
Positive-bubble names whose structure has broken, or which are already down 2% or more over five sessions. LPPL late, tape rolling — still not a standalone short.
| # | Name | Conf | 5d | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KO | 0.50 | -3.7% | FAIL |
Washouts
Negative-bubble / capitulation candidates. Inverse of the melt-up filter.
None cleared the gate on this pass. That is a null, not a weak list.
How to read the filters
LPPL + confidence — shrinking-window Filimonov–Sornette fit. Bounds on m, ω, oscillation count and damping. Below the confidence floor there is no regime.
Liquidity — tradability gate. Illiquid acceleration is not a bubble you can fade.
Valuation / extension — statistical stretch versus the 200-day MA in ATR units, not a DCF.
Trend / break — confirmed swing break. This is the execution checkbox. Without it, LPPL is a watchlist flag.
Positioning — off until short-interest / COT coverage exists. Missing data fails closed or stays unchecked.
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