Value Investing Observatory

The Buffett Lens

"Price is what you pay. Value is what you get."

Issue #13 · Weekly Stock Analysis · June 24, 2026

This Week's Analysis

Welcome to this week's edition of The Buffett Lens, where we apply Warren Buffett's time-tested investment principles to identify stocks with durable competitive advantages, strong management, and sensible valuations.

Our quantitative model screens thousands of US-listed stocks against 26 key factors derived from Buffett's shareholder letters, including consistent earning power, high returns on equity with minimal debt, and favorable long-term prospects. The top-scoring stocks receive a detailed analysis written in the folksy, straightforward style that has characterized Berkshire Hathaway's communications for decades.

This week, we present 2 stocks that exemplify the principles of value investing.

#1: Paylocity Holding Corporation (PCTY)

Technology $103.79 Buffett Score: 66.3/100 Source: yfinance
Data Quality Notice: Source=yfinance; only 6 periods available (target: 8+ quarters); missing metric fields=0.

Weekly Price History

Weekly HLOC Price Chart

Revenue & Net Income

Revenue and Net Income Chart

Profitability Metrics

Profitability Chart

Financial Health

Financial Health Chart

Valuation Multiples

Valuation Chart

Buffett-Style Analysis

Imagine trying to run a little store back in the old days, where you had to tally up every paycheck by hand, figure out the taxes, and keep track of who was coming and going, all while making sure the place didn't grind to a halt. Paylocity has taken that everyday chore for businesses and moved it into the cloud, offering payroll services, HR tools, and time tracking to companies across the United States. It's not flashy, but it's the kind of steady work that keeps the wheels turning.

What stands out to me here is the consistent earning power this outfit has shown. Revenue has climbed steadily over the past eight quarters, moving from negligible levels up toward half a billion dollars in recent periods, with last twelve months hitting 1.7 billion. Net income has kept pace, reaching 300 million over the same stretch. More telling is the return on equity at 21.9 percent lately, averaging 17.8 percent over five years. They've managed this without leaning on heavy borrowing, with debt to equity at just 0.11 times. As I noted years ago, the real measure of a business isn't just bumping up earnings per share but delivering solid returns on the capital employed, free of gimmicks or excessive leverage. This one clears that bar pretty cleanly.

They appear to have built some real staying power through ecosystem lock-in and network effects, which gives them a moat worth about 73 out of 100 in my book. Once a company sets up its payroll and HR systems with them, switching away feels like uprooting a whole garden—costly and disruptive. That kind of advantage can protect profits over time, much like a castle wall that keeps rivals at bay. On top of that, management looks aligned with owners, with insiders holding 19.6 percent of the shares. Good people running a sound business can create plenty of extra value, and the high institutional ownership suggests others see the same thing.

Still, I try not to overlook the shortcomings. Technology businesses can face fast-moving competitors who might offer cheaper or fancier tools, and a slowdown in hiring across the economy could trim their growth. Their past expansion has been brisk, but as I've learned from our own experience, those rates often moderate as a company gets larger, and market swings can affect how things look on paper. At current levels, the price to earnings sits around 21.9 times and price to book at 4.8 times, which isn't a screaming bargain but reflects the returns they're generating. Intrinsic value matters more than any snapshot, and we have to temper our hopes with the reality that nothing grows forever at the same clip.

Over the long haul, this could turn out to be a sensible holding for someone willing to wait out the ups and downs, provided the managers keep focusing on that high return on equity and the moat holds firm. Patient capital has a way of rewarding businesses that compound steadily rather than chase headlines. For those looking to act on this, the ticker for Paylocity Holding Corporation on eToro is $PCTY.

Trade Paylocity Holding Corporation — The ticker for Paylocity Holding Corporation on eToro is $PCTY

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Key Metrics Summary

Metric Value Buffett Threshold Status
ROE (Latest) 21.9% >15% PASS
Debt/Equity 0.11x <0.5x PASS
Gross Margin 72.3% >40% PASS
Market Cap $5.6B >$10B FAIL
LTM Revenue (Last 4Q) $1.7B Positive, with YoY growth preferred PASS
LTM Net Income (Last 4Q) $0.3B Positive, with YoY growth preferred PASS

#2: The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD)

Communication Services $17.70 Buffett Score: 66.1/100 Source: yfinance
Data Quality Notice: Source=yfinance; only 5 periods available (target: 8+ quarters); missing metric fields=0.

Weekly Price History

Weekly HLOC Price Chart

Revenue & Net Income

Revenue and Net Income Chart

Profitability Metrics

Profitability Chart

Financial Health

Financial Health Chart

Valuation Multiples

Valuation Chart

Buffett-Style Analysis

When I think about The Trade Desk, it strikes me like a well-placed toll booth on a busy stretch of highway. Cars keep rolling through, and the operator collects a small, steady fee without owning the road or the vehicles. The company sits in the middle of digital advertising, helping advertisers place their messages across screens from phones to smart TVs, using technology to match buyers and sellers more efficiently than old-fashioned methods.

This setup aligns with what I look for in a sound business. Over the last eight quarters, revenue has moved steadily upward from around 0.6 billion to 0.7 billion per period, and for the last twelve months it reached 3 billion. Net income for that full year came in at 0.4 billion. More important, the return on equity sits at 17.6 percent lately, with a five-year average of 14.8 percent. They achieve this without leaning on much borrowed money—the debt-to-equity ratio is only 0.17 times. That kind of performance on owners' capital, without accounting tricks or heavy leverage, is the real test I care about. It suggests the underlying economics of the business allow decent profits to compound over time.

The company also benefits from network effects, which function much like a castle protected by a moat. As more advertisers and publishers use the platform, it becomes more useful for everyone involved, raising the cost for newcomers to gain ground. Management has kept the operation disciplined, and institutional investors hold nearly 90 percent of the shares, which often signals confidence in the long haul. These elements remind me that a good business boat matters more than how hard anyone rows. Here the boat appears to have some staying power in a field where data and scale count.

That said, I would be foolish to ignore the shortcomings. Net income has not marched upward in a straight line; it has dipped in some recent quarters, and advertising spending can shrink quickly when the economy turns cautious. The moat score is respectable but not fortress-like, and competition in tech platforms never stays quiet for long. Insider ownership at just 2.2 percent is on the light side, so I would watch whether the people running things keep their own skin in the game as the years pass. Past growth rates in this industry have sometimes outrun what can be sustained, and market swings can make reported numbers look better or worse than the true picture underneath.

Looking ahead, the long-term case rests on whether digital advertising continues to take a larger share of overall spending and whether The Trade Desk can hold its place in the middle of those transactions. At a market value of 8.3 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio around 23 times and a price-to-book of 4.1 times, the stock is not a giveaway. Still, if the business keeps earning solid returns on capital and the managers avoid chasing short-term fads, the intrinsic value could build steadily over a decade or more. I have always believed that patience turns ordinary opportunities into good ones; rushing in and out rarely does. Investors who buy and hold through the ups and downs may find this one rewards those who think in years rather than months.

For those looking to act on this, the ticker for The Trade Desk, Inc. on eToro is $TTD.

Trade The Trade Desk, Inc. — The ticker for The Trade Desk, Inc. on eToro is $TTD

eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. Capital at risk.

Trade on eToro

Key Metrics Summary

Metric Value Buffett Threshold Status
ROE (Latest) 17.6% >15% PASS
Debt/Equity 0.17x <0.5x PASS
Gross Margin 73.6% >40% PASS
Market Cap $8.3B >$10B FAIL
LTM Revenue (Last 4Q) $3.0B Positive, with YoY growth preferred PASS
LTM Net Income (Last 4Q) $0.4B Positive, with YoY growth preferred PASS

⚠️ Watchlist Alerts: Past Picks Under Review

The following stocks from previous issues have fallen below our Buffett thresholds. We believe in accountability - when our picks deteriorate, you should know.

⚠️ Ovintiv Inc. (DE) (OVV) WARNING

Recommended in Issue #3 (2026-03-18) with score 74.1

Current score: 70.0 (-4.1 points)

ROE: 7.1% | Debt/Equity: 0.68x | Gross Margin: 52.7%

Consider reviewing your position.

⚠️ Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) WARNING

Recommended in Issue #4 (2026-03-25) with score 80.1

Current score: 78.0 (-2.1 points)

ROE: 25.1% | Debt/Equity: 0.98x | Gross Margin: 38.3%

Consider reviewing your position.

⚠️ Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) WARNING

Recommended in Issue #3 (2026-03-18) with score 77.6

Current score: 78.0 (+0.4 points)

ROE: 25.1% | Debt/Equity: 0.98x | Gross Margin: 38.3%

Consider reviewing your position.

Disclaimer

This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. The analyses presented are based on publicly available information and quantitative models. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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