ASEAN Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 07, 2026 robomacro.com

Rupiah Slumps to Record Low as Officials Move

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
JCI5,594.77-4.20%
SET1,582.60-0.76%
KLCI1,693.43+0.60%
PSEi5,938.38+0.45%
STI5,049.96-0.35%
USD/IDR18,035.00+0.44%
USD/THB32.79+0.51%
USD/MYR4.03+0.34%
USD/PHP61.72+0.60%
USD/SGD1.29+0.45%
Brent Crude93.09-2.04%
Gold4,365.30-2.47%
Bitcoin61,739.24+1.43%
Indonesia 10Y Govt Yield--
Thailand 10Y Govt Yield--

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
USD/IDR Exchange RateUSD/IDR Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | USD per IDR: 1.804e+04 (2026-06-07) | Range: 1.675e+04–1.804e+04 | Trend(5pt): 1.686e+04,1.696e+04,1.713e+04,1.753e+04,1.804e+04

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Headline Unemployment Rate5-21:00
  • Indonesian rupiah weakens to record 18,035 versus USD amid capital outflow concerns, prompting coordinated BI-finance ministry measures to lift asset yields.
  • Regional equities mixed with JCI falling 4.20% while KLCI and PSEi post modest gains; Brent crude drops 2.04% to 93.09.
  • Philippines unemployment rate due tomorrow; Thailand inflation remains supply-driven, keeping BoT on hold.

Yesterday's Recap

Indonesian assets dominated moves as the rupiah slid to a fresh record low of 18,035 against the USD, up 0.44% on the day, driven by negative sentiment around policy shifts under the new administration. Officials from Bank Indonesia and the finance ministry agreed to boost yields on domestic assets to attract inflows and support the currency, while also pledging further stabilization steps including potential fund draws. JCI tumbled 4.20% to 5,594.77 on the broad risk-off tone.

Elsewhere, Thailand’s SET declined 0.76% to 1,582.60 and Singapore’s STI fell 0.35% to 5,049.96, while Malaysia’s KLCI rose 0.60% to 1,693.43 and the Philippines’ PSEi gained 0.45% to 5,938.38. USD/THB climbed 0.51% to 32.79 and USD/PHP rose 0.60% to 61.72. Gold fell 2.47% to 4,365.30 as Bitcoin advanced 1.43% to 61,739.24.

USD/MYR rose 0.34% to 4.03 and USD/SGD gained 0.45% to 1.29. Brent crude settled at 93.09 after a 2.04% decline.

The Day Ahead

Philippines will release its headline unemployment rate tomorrow evening, with the prior print at 5.0%. No other major data releases are scheduled across the six ASEAN economies. Markets will continue to monitor Indonesian authorities’ follow-through on rupiah-support measures announced yesterday.

Thailand’s supply-led inflation trajectory keeps focus on the BoT’s steady policy stance. Regional FX desks remain alert to any further IDR volatility after the record print.

Other Economic Notes

Indonesia’s commodity export base offers partial buffers, yet importer margins face acute pressure from sustained rupiah depreciation past 18,000. Supply-chain relocation momentum in Vietnam and Malaysia continues to support manufacturing FDI despite the regional risk-off mood. Singapore’s role as the financial hub amplifies transmission of USD strength into broader ASEAN funding costs.

Thailand’s tourism rebound provides an offset to soft domestic demand.

Global Macro News

Firmer US yields and persistent dollar strength weighed on EM currencies including ASEAN units. Bank of Canada signals point to a hold this week amid stagnant growth, limiting downside for commodity-linked ASEAN exports. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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ASEAN Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 07, 2026 robomacro.com
JCI Indonesia Equity Index JCI Indonesia Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Index Level: 5595 (2026-06-05) | Range: 5595–7711 | Trend(6pt): 7711,7048,7594,6969,5941,5595
Brent Crude Oil Price Brent Crude Oil Price | Type: market_hloc | USD per Barrel: 95.46 (2026-06-07) | Range: 87.8–118.3 | Trend(5pt): 98.96,118.3,105.1,109.3,95.46
KLCI Malaysia Equity Index KLCI Malaysia Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Index Level: 1693 (2026-06-05) | Range: 1673–1759 | Trend(6pt): 1713,1688,1702,1751,1673,1693

Global Macro News (continued)

ECB commentary on gradual tightening in a softening economy adds to global rate divergence pressures. Fed officials highlighted risks from potential easing of Wall Street rules, keeping volatility elevated for regional flows. Brent’s 2% drop reflects softer demand signals that could ease import bills for Thailand and Philippines.

Gold’s decline reduces safe-haven support for IDR-linked portfolios.

ASEAN Central Banks Watch

Bank Indonesia stepped up coordination with the finance ministry to raise domestic asset yields and draw inflows, while continuing verbal intervention to counter rupiah weakness; BI remains the most active defender among the six. Bank of Thailand is expected to hold its policy rate steady as inflation stays supply-driven rather than demand-led. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas may still deliver further hikes despite tepid growth, reflecting its tighter bias relative to peers.

Bank Negara Malaysia and State Bank of Vietnam have stayed on hold with no fresh signals. MAS continues to manage the SGD NEER band, allowing gradual appreciation to offset imported inflation without rate adjustments. Policy divergence persists, with Indonesia focused on FX stability and the Philippines retaining a hawkish tilt.

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