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🦅 Hawk/Dove Monitor

GDP-weighted index — pick a country on top — live

GDP-weighted mean
+0.29
GDP-weighted median
+0.27
Dove leader
BI -0.25
Hawk leader
NORGES +0.51
GDP-weighted 2y (13 banks)
5.14%
GDP-weighted index · dropdown adds one bank · sienna is the 2-year
Country
188w · US · 2026-10-19
3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%3M2Y5Y10Y30YTenor (years)Yield (%)2023-102024-072025-042026-012026-102023-10-232023-10-272023-11-022023-11-082023-11-142023-11-202023-11-272023-12-012023-12-072023-12-132023-12-192023-12-262024-01-022024-01-082024-01-122024-01-192024-01-252024-01-312024-02-062024-02-122024-02-162024-02-232024-02-292024-03-062024-03-122024-03-182024-03-222024-03-282024-04-042024-04-102024-04-162024-04-222024-04-262024-05-022024-05-082024-05-142024-05-202024-05-242024-05-312024-06-062024-06-122024-06-182024-06-252024-07-012024-07-082024-07-122024-07-182024-07-242024-07-302024-08-052024-08-092024-08-152024-08-212024-08-272024-09-032024-09-092024-09-132024-09-192024-09-252024-10-012024-10-072024-10-112024-10-182024-10-242024-10-302024-11-052024-11-122024-11-182024-11-222024-11-292024-12-052024-12-112024-12-172024-12-232024-12-302025-01-062025-01-102025-01-162025-01-232025-01-292025-02-042025-02-102025-02-142025-02-212025-02-272025-03-052025-03-112025-03-172025-03-212025-03-272025-04-022025-04-082025-04-142025-04-212025-04-252025-05-012025-05-072025-05-132025-05-192025-05-232025-05-302025-06-052025-06-112025-06-172025-06-242025-06-302025-07-072025-07-112025-07-172025-07-232025-07-292025-08-042025-08-082025-08-142025-08-202025-08-262025-09-022025-09-082025-09-122025-09-182025-09-242025-09-302025-10-062025-10-102025-10-172025-10-232025-10-292025-11-042025-11-102025-11-172025-11-212025-11-282025-12-042025-12-102025-12-162025-12-222025-12-292026-01-052026-01-092026-01-152026-01-222026-01-282026-02-032026-02-092026-02-132026-02-202026-02-262026-03-042026-03-102026-03-162026-03-202026-03-262026-04-012026-04-072026-04-132026-04-172026-04-232026-04-292026-05-052026-05-112026-05-152026-05-212026-05-282026-06-032026-06-092026-06-152026-06-222026-06-262026-07-022026-07-092026-07-152026-07-212026-07-272026-07-312026-08-062026-08-122026-08-182026-08-242026-08-282026-09-032026-09-102026-09-162026-09-222026-09-282026-10-022026-10-082026-10-152026-10-19188 weekly curves · FRED / FinanceFlowAPI
Each line = one week's curve · older curves fade back · source: FinanceFlowAPI
Accounting identity, not identified shock shares · click through to toggle factors
EUR-1.88σShort
GBP-1.26σShort
JPY+1.06σLong
CAD-1.33σShort
AUD+0.51σMildly Long
NZD+0.22σMildly Long
EUR
-68.0K contracts
-1.88σ
Short
Latest: 2026-10-13Z-history above
GBP
+10.3K contracts
-1.26σ
Short
Latest: 2026-10-13Z-history above
JPY
-33.7K contracts
+1.06σ
Long
Latest: 2026-10-13Z-history above
CAD
-88.1K contracts
-1.33σ
Short
Latest: 2026-10-13Z-history above
AUD
+50.6K contracts
+0.51σ
Mildly Long
Latest: 2026-10-13Z-history above
NZD
-11.6K contracts
+0.22σ
Mildly Long
Latest: 2026-10-13Z-history above
Net leveraged money · Z-score vs 2Y · CFTC TFF weekly
1/10 · Hawk/Dove Monitor
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