ASEAN Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 08, 2026 robomacro.com

Rupiah Hits Record Low as JCI Falls 4.2%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
JCI5,594.77-4.20%
SET1,582.60-0.76%
KLCI1,693.43+0.60%
PSEi5,938.38+0.45%
STI5,049.96-0.35%
USD/IDR18,029.00+0.41%
USD/THB32.83-0.06%
USD/MYR4.05+0.87%
USD/PHP61.75+0.65%
USD/SGD1.29-0.18%
Brent Crude94.31+1.31%
Gold4,349.90+0.30%
Bitcoin63,421.36+0.29%
Indonesia 10Y Govt Yield--
Thailand 10Y Govt Yield--

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
USD/IDR 3MUSD/IDR 3M | Type: market_hloc | USD/IDR: 1.803e+04 (2026-06-08) | Range: 1.675e+04–1.803e+04 | Trend(6pt): 1.692e+04,1.698e+04,1.713e+04,1.75e+04,1.796e+04,1.803e+04

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Headline Unemployment Rate5-17:00
  • Indonesia's rupiah reaches record low of 18,029 per USD as forex reserves decline and capital outflows accelerate.
  • JCI drops 4.2% while SET falls 0.76%; KLCI rises 0.60% and PSEi gains 0.45%.
  • BI and finance ministry agree on measures to lift asset yields and stabilise the rupiah.

Yesterday's Recap

Indonesia dominated ASEAN moves as the rupiah fell to a historic low of 18,029 against the USD, driven by dwindling reserves and investor concerns over policy direction. JCI tumbled 4.2% to 5,594.77, reflecting broad selling pressure on Indonesian assets. Officials announced plans to boost yields on domestic instruments to attract inflows and support the currency.

Thailand saw milder weakness with SET declining 0.76% to 1,582.60 as markets priced steady BoT policy. Malaysia's KLCI advanced 0.60% to 1,693.43 while the ringgit weakened 0.87% to 4.05 per USD. Singapore's STI eased 0.35% and the Philippines' PSEi rose 0.45%, with USD/PHP climbing 0.65% to 61.75.

Brent crude rose 1.31% to 94.31, providing limited support to commodity-linked regional currencies.

The Day Ahead

The Philippines will release its headline unemployment rate at 17:00 ET, following the prior 5.0% print, with markets watching for signs of labour-market softening. No major data releases are scheduled for Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore or Vietnam. Traders will monitor BI's ongoing FX interventions and any further statements on rupiah stabilisation measures.

Regional equity flows may remain sensitive to USD strength and US data surprises.

Other Economic Notes

Indonesia's manufacturing sector faces margin pressure from the weaker rupiah, raising imported input costs for firms reliant on foreign components. Thailand's inflation remains supply-driven, limiting BoT room to ease policy despite subdued growth. Malaysia and the Philippines continue to see portfolio outflows as US yields stay elevated.

Vietnam maintains its position as a key beneficiary of supply-chain shifts from China, though FDI momentum has moderated. Singapore's financial centre shows resilience in trade-related services despite regional FX volatility.

Global Macro News

The ECB signalled it can tighten further even as euro-area growth slows, adding to global rate differentials. Bank of Canada is projected to hold rates amid sticky prices and uneven domestic demand. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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ASEAN Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 08, 2026 robomacro.com
JCI Equity Index 3M JCI Equity Index 3M | Type: market_hloc | JCI Index: 5595 (2026-06-05) | Range: 5595–7676 | Trend(5pt): 7337,7027,7542,6859,5595
Brent Crude 3M Brent Crude 3M | Type: market_hloc | Brent $/bbl: 94.31 (2026-06-08) | Range: 87.8–118.3 | Trend(5pt): 98.96,118.3,105.1,109.3,94.31
Gold 3M Gold 3M | Type: market_hloc | Gold $/oz: 4351 (2026-06-08) | Range: 4337–5230 | Trend(5pt): 5092,4648,4705,4556,4351

Global Macro News (continued)

Commodity prices, led by Brent at 94.31, provide partial offset for Indonesia and Malaysia. Global equity sentiment remains cautious on policy divergence between the Fed and other major central banks. Capital continues to favour US assets, widening outflows from higher-yielding but vulnerable ASEAN markets.

ASEAN Central Banks Watch

BI faces acute pressure to defend the rupiah at 18,029, with officials coordinating higher domestic yields and potential reserve deployment to stem outflows. BoT is expected to hold its policy rate as inflation stays supply-led rather than demand-driven. BNM maintains a neutral stance, monitoring ringgit weakness at 4.05 without immediate intervention signals.

BSP may still consider further hikes despite soft growth, given persistent inflation risks. MAS continues to manage the SGD NEER band as its primary tool, with the currency at 1.29 showing modest strength. SBV keeps a tight grip on the dong to preserve export competitiveness amid shifting FDI patterns.

Policy divergence remains wide, with BI most active on FX defence while others adopt a wait-and-see approach.

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