Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

March 12, 2026 robomacro.com

Peru Stocks Dive, Copper Gains

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile40.64-0.10%
MSCI Peru84.67-2.53%
USD/COP3,698.98-0.27%
USD/CLP896.61+0.89%
USD/PEN3.42-0.34%
Copper5.89+0.71%
Gold5,187.00+0.38%
Brent Crude92.97+1.08%
Bitcoin70,461.25+0.37%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.64%-2.32%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Peru Equity vs CopperPeru Equity vs Copper | Type: market_hloc | EPU Price: 84.67 (2026-03-11) | Range: 68.97–93.84 | Trend(5pt): 69.02,76.71,92.07,88.13,84.67 | Copper Price: 5.883 (2026-03-12) | Range: 5.284–6.175 | Trend(5pt): 5.284,6.01,5.892,5.73,5.883

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Peruvian equities slumped amid global risk-off, while copper prices rose modestly.
  • Chilean peso weakened on commodity volatility; Colombian assets held steady.
  • Broader Latin American geopolitics spotlighted U.S.-China rivalry in region.

Yesterday's Recap

Andean markets displayed mixed performances on March 11, with Peru facing the sharpest declines amid broader emerging market pressures. The MSCI Peru index fell 2.53% to 84.67, driven by mining sector woes despite a 0.38% uptick in gold prices to 5,187.00, as investors fretted over potential strikes and export disruptions. In Chile, the MSCI Chile index dipped 0.10% to 40.64, pressured by a 0.89% weakening of the CLP to 896.61 against the USD, though copper prices advanced 0.71% to 5.89, offering some offset from export gains.

Colombian assets showed resilience, with the MSCI Colombia index unchanged at 9.02 and the COP strengthening 0.27% to 3,698.98 versus the USD, buoyed by a 1.08% rise in Brent crude to 92.97. The PEN also firmed 0.34% to 3.42 against the greenback, reflecting Peru's relative FX stability despite equity losses. Overall, commodity dynamics dominated, with oil supporting Colombia while metals volatility hit Chile and Peru harder.

Bitcoin's 0.37% gain to 70,461.25 had minimal regional impact, though Chile's short-term rate dropped 2.32% to 4.64%, signaling easing liquidity conditions.

The Day Ahead

The Andean calendar remains light on March 12, with no major data releases or events scheduled across Colombia, Chile, or Peru, allowing markets to digest recent commodity shifts and global cues. Investors will monitor any spillover from U.S. economic indicators, which could influence dollar strength and thus Andean FX pairs like USD/CLP.

In Chile, attention may turn to lithium sector updates, given its emerging role in exports amid global EV demand. Peru could see focus on mining policy developments, potentially affecting gold and copper trades. Colombia's oil-dependent economy might track Brent movements closely in the absence of local data.

Overall, a quiet day positions Andean assets for external-driven volatility.

Other Economic Notes

Andean economies continue to grapple with commodity price fluctuations, where Chile and Peru's reliance on copper and gold exposes them to global demand swings, particularly from China. Colombia's fiscal balances benefit from elevated oil prices, but persistent inflation challenges BanRep's policy space. Political risks, including regional summits, could amplify FX and sovereign spread movements across the bloc.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

March 12, 2026 robomacro.com
USD/CLP Exchange Rate USD/CLP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | USD/CLP Rate: 897.1 (2026-03-12) | Range: 852.4–917.4 | Trend(6pt): 913.8,903.5,864.6,862.3,914.8,897.1
Gold Prices Gold Prices | Type: market_hloc | Gold Price: 5187 (2026-03-12) | Range: 4300–5318 | Trend(5pt): 4300,4482,5302,4976,5187
USD/COP vs USD/CLP USD/COP vs USD/CLP | Type: market_hloc | USD/COP: 3699 (2026-03-12) | Range: 3533–3864 | Trend(6pt): 3802,3748,3681,3656,3762,3699 | USD/CLP: 897.1 (2026-03-12) | Range: 852.4–917.4 | Trend(6pt): 913.8,903.5,864.6,862.3,914.8,897.1
Copper vs Gold Copper vs Gold | Type: market_hloc | Copper: 5.883 (2026-03-12) | Range: 5.284–6.175 | Trend(5pt): 5.284,6.01,5.892,5.73,5.883 | Gold: 5187 (2026-03-12) | Range: 4300–5318 | Trend(5pt): 4300,4482,5302,4976,5187

Global Macro News

Global markets navigated U.S. inflation concerns and a strengthening dollar, pressuring emerging assets and indirectly weighing on Andean commodities. The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.00% as of March 11, signaling steady Eurozone policy amid 6.70% unemployment, which could influence global rate expectations and capital flows to Latin America.

In broader Latin American news, U.S. President Trump convened a 'Shield of Americas' summit in Miami with 12 rightwing leaders, aiming to counter Chinese economic influence but notably excluding Colombia, Brazil, and Mexico, highlighting ideological divides. This omission underscores potential fractures in U.S.

regional strategy, as experts criticize the 'theatrical' approach for failing to engage key players. China's longstanding ties in Latin America, built over years, face renewed U.S. pushback, which could affect Andean trade dynamics given Peru and Chile's copper exports to Beijing.

El Salvador's mass arrest policy drew scrutiny for possible crimes against humanity, including torture, indirectly raising human rights concerns in the region. Bitcoin's stability amid these tensions offers little direct relief to Andean miners but reflects crypto's growing role in global finance. Overall, these developments heighten geopolitical risks for Andean FX and equities.

Andean Central Banks Watch

Andean central banks maintained divergent stances amid varying inflation pressures, with BanRep in Colombia upholding its hawkish posture to combat persistent price rises, recently holding rates steady to preserve inflation targeting credibility. BCCh in Chile continued as the region's most aggressive rate cutter, reflecting easing inflation and growth support needs, with potential for further reductions if commodity weakness persists. BCRP in Peru emphasized stability, intervening sparingly in FX markets to manage PEN volatility while building reserves, diverging from Chile's bolder path.

Colombia's approach contrasts with Chile's, as BanRep avoids aggressive cuts due to fiscal deficits and oil dependency. Across the bloc, FX interventions remain a tool, particularly for Peru to counter gold price swings. Rate paths may widen if global dollar strength intensifies, testing reserve management strategies.

No immediate decisions are slated, but inflation data will guide future moves.

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