| Asset | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| MSCI Colombia | 9.02 | +0.00% |
| MSCI Chile | 38.40 | -1.64% |
| MSCI Peru | 76.71 | -2.86% |
| USD/COP | 3,679.09 | -0.54% |
| USD/CLP | 932.83 | +1.76% |
| USD/PEN | 3.48 | +0.67% |
| Copper | 5.46 | +0.26% |
| Gold | 4,437.90 | +1.43% |
| Brent Crude | 104.41 | -3.33% |
| Bitcoin | 66,642.61 | -3.12% |
| Colombia 10Y Govt Yield | - | - |
| Chile Short-term Rate | 4.50% | -3.02% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Brent Crude Price | Type: macro_line | Brent Price: 103.8 (2026-03-23) | Range: 59.93–133.2 | Trend(5pt): 64.06,122.2,97.1,72.12,103.8
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Andean markets saw declines on March 26, influenced by commodity movements and broader risk-off sentiment. MSCI Chile index dropped 1.64% to 38.40, impacted by a 1.76% rise in USD/CLP to 932.83, amid concerns over export reliance. MSCI Peru fell 2.86% to 76.71, affected by a 0.67% increase in USD/PEN to 3.48, despite gold's 1.43% rise to 4,437.90 and copper's 0.26% gain to 5.46.
MSCI Colombia remained unchanged at 9.02, bolstered by a 0.54% drop in USD/COP to 3,679.09, even as Brent crude declined 3.33% to 104.41. Chile's short-term rate decreased by 3.02% to 4.50%, indicating possible policy adjustments. Bitcoin fell 3.12% to 66,642.61, adding to volatility.
No significant economic data was released in the Andean region, with price action driven by external factors like commodity trends and global uncertainties. The session underscored Chile and Peru's exposure to mining fluctuations, contrasted by Colombia's currency support.
March 27 offers a sparse calendar for Andean countries, with no planned economic releases or events in Colombia, Chile, or Peru. Focus will likely shift to commodity markets, including copper and gold prices, which could affect export prospects for Chile and Peru. Traders may watch for any impromptu statements from central banks like BanRep, BCCh, or BCRP in response to FX movements.
Middle East developments could influence oil prices, impacting Colombia's fiscal position. Potential US data spillovers remain relevant due to trade linkages. The lack of local catalysts emphasizes Andean dependence on international macro trends.
Andean nations continue to hinge on commodity exports, leaving Chile and Peru susceptible to copper and gold price changes, as recent sessions demonstrate. Colombia's economy faces risks from oil price swings, though yesterday's COP appreciation offered some relief. Fiscal reforms are underway across the region, with Peru's political environment possibly affecting mining sector investments.
Chile's lithium initiatives provide diversification opportunities but contend with variable global demand for electric vehicles.
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Chile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Chile Short Rate: 4.5 (2026-01-01) | Range: 0.3–11.25 | Trend(6pt): 0.3,8.77,10.25,5.4,4.64,4.5
Peru Equity vs Gold | Type: market_hloc | MSCI Peru ETF: 76.71 (2026-03-26) | Range: 71.95–93.84 | Trend(5pt): 71.95,85.04,90.05,84.72,76.71 | Gold Futures: 4441 (2026-03-27) | Range: 4314–5318 | Trend(6pt): 4325,4832,5072,5065,4376,4441
Chile Equity vs Copper | Type: market_hloc | MSCI Chile ETF: 38.4 (2026-03-26) | Range: 38.06–47.37 | Trend(5pt): 40.07,45.2,45.35,38.97,38.4 | Copper Futures: 5.462 (2026-03-27) | Range: 5.343–6.175 | Trend(6pt): 5.49,5.729,5.949,5.753,5.446,5.462
Colombia vs Chile FX | Type: market_hloc | USD/COP: 3679 (2026-03-27) | Range: 3533–3801 | Trend(5pt): 3695,3675,3670,3788,3679 | USD/CLP: 932.7 (2026-03-27) | Range: 852.4–932.7 | Trend(5pt): 905.4,884.6,854.1,905.7,932.7
Markets worldwide face heightened US recession risks, with Wall Street noting underlying economic weaknesses and rising odds of downturns, according to reports from Forex Factory, Bitget, and others. Fed's Evans highlighted a flattened yield curve as a concern but stressed the US economy's solidity, which may support Andean export channels. Middle East escalations pose threats, as Germany's defence minister described a potential war on Iran as a catastrophe for the global economy, risking oil disruptions vital to Colombia.
A UAE minister claimed Iran aims to "give the global economy a heart attack" by threatening Strait of Hormuz closure, contributing to Brent volatility. In Asia, HSBC forecasts steady Malaysian growth in 2026, while Swedish analysis points to dark clouds over the world economy from Middle East conflicts, trade policy uncertainties, and competition affecting exports. Korea's Bank of Korea cautioned on inflation and growth risks from Middle East issues, and the Ministry of Economy and Finance announced a 5 trillion won bond buyback for stabilization.
Europe's ECB deposit rate is at 2.00% as of March 26, with Eurozone unemployment at 6.70% per latest FRED data, reflecting a measured stance amid global headwinds. These factors heighten Andean vulnerabilities to energy and commodity shifts.
Andean central banks exhibit differing approaches to inflation and growth challenges. Colombia's BanRep sustains a hawkish tone to anchor inflation expectations, with ongoing FX monitoring but no recent rate adjustments. Chile's BCCh has pursued easing, evidenced by the short-term rate's drop to 4.50%, to bolster activity amid export pressures.
Peru's BCRP prioritizes stability through FX interventions, avoiding major policy changes. These stances reflect unique domestic conditions, with Colombia's restraint differing from Chile's accommodation, potentially diverging further if global slowdowns intensify. Reserve building remains a focus to mitigate commodity shocks, especially for Chile amid copper and lithium trends.