Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 16, 2026 robomacro.com

Andean Stocks Mixed, Peru Dives on PEN Slump

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile43.94+0.21%
MSCI Peru82.87-4.85%
USD/COP3,608.15+0.37%
USD/CLP885.38-0.10%
USD/PEN3.44+1.53%
Copper6.08+0.12%
Gold4,840.00+0.83%
Brent Crude95.64+0.75%
Bitcoin74,335.05-0.63%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Short-Term RateChile Short-Term Rate | Type: macro_line | Chile Rate: 4.5 (2026-02-01) | Range: 0.3–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.3,9.55,9.55,5.25,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Peruvian equities plunged amid PEN depreciation and global uncertainty, while Chilean stocks edged higher on copper gains.
  • Colombian peso weakened slightly with flat equities, as oil prices firmed but fiscal concerns persisted.
  • Commodities supported Andean exporters, with copper and gold up modestly despite broader FX pressures.

Yesterday's Recap

Andean markets showed mixed performance on April 15, with MSCI Peru dropping sharply by 4.85% to 82.87, driven by a 1.53% weakening of the PEN to 3.44 against the USD amid political noise and commodity volatility. In Chile, MSCI Chile rose 0.21% to 43.94, buoyed by a 0.12% increase in copper prices to 6.08, which offset a minor 0.10% appreciation of the CLP to 885.38 versus the USD. Colombian equities via MSCI Colombia held flat at 9.02 with a 0.00% change, as the COP depreciated 0.37% to 3,608.15 against the USD, tempered by a 0.75% rise in Brent crude to 95.64.

Gold prices climbed 0.83% to 4,840.00, providing some reserve support for Peru and Colombia, though Bitcoin fell 0.63% to 74,335.05, minimally impacting crypto-related hedges in Chile. No major data releases occurred across the bloc, but commodity moves highlighted Chile and Peru's export reliance, while Colombia faced ongoing pressure from fiscal deficit worries. Sovereign yields were stable, with Chile's short-term rate unchanged at 4.50%, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

The Day Ahead

The Andean calendar remains quiet on April 16, with no scheduled data releases or events for Colombia, Chile, or Peru, allowing markets to digest recent FX and commodity shifts. Investors will monitor global cues, particularly any updates on Middle East tensions that could influence oil and copper prices critical to the region. In Chile, attention may turn to potential lithium sector developments, given emerging battery supply chain talks.

Peru could see continued PEN volatility if political risks escalate, while Colombia's focus stays on fiscal reform progress. Overall, a light day positions Andean assets to track broader LatAm and commodity trends.

Other Economic Notes

Broader Andean themes center on commodity dependence, with copper's stability aiding Chile and Peru's fiscal balances amid global demand uncertainties. Inflation pressures remain elevated in Colombia due to persistent supply shocks, contrasting with Chile's cooling trajectory post-aggressive rate cuts. Political risks, including reform agendas in Peru and fiscal debates in Colombia, continue to weigh on investor confidence and sovereign spreads.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 16, 2026 robomacro.com
Global Oil Prices Impact Global Oil Prices Impact | Type: macro_line | Brent Crude: 123.3 (2026-04-13) | Range: 59.93–138.2 | Trend(5pt): 66.54,112.3,90.99,82.39,123.3
MSCI Peru ETF MSCI Peru ETF | Type: market_hloc | EPU: 82.87 (2026-04-15) | Range: 74.27–93.84 | Trend(5pt): 82.63,91.08,87.55,77.04,82.87
MSCI Chile ETF MSCI Chile ETF | Type: market_hloc | ECH: 43.94 (2026-04-15) | Range: 38.06–47.37 | Trend(5pt): 44.09,46.17,39.57,38.5,43.94
USD/PEN FX Pair USD/PEN FX Pair | Type: market_hloc | USD/PEN: 3.439 (2026-04-16) | Range: 3.261–3.495 | Trend(5pt): 3.358,3.287,3.362,3.383,3.439

Global Macro News

Global macro developments are impacting Andeans through commodity channels and USD strength, with copper erasing recent Middle East war losses as peace talks progress, benefiting Chile and Peru's mining sectors. The Fed's Beige Book highlighted conflict-related uncertainties over the US economy, potentially delaying rate cuts and pressuring Andean FX like the PEN and COP. China's Q1 foreign trade data reinforced its stabilizer role in the global economy, supporting demand for Andean exports such as copper and gold.

Bond market volatility in the UK and elsewhere is hurting economies by raising borrowing costs, indirectly affecting Andean sovereign yields. In Mexico, fintech and e-commerce are driving digital transformation, offering potential spillover lessons for Andean financial inclusion. Saudi Arabia's 2026 economy outlook emphasizes diversification, mirroring Chile's lithium push amid energy transitions.

The ECB deposit rate stands at 2.00% as of April 15, signaling steady Eurozone policy that could influence global liquidity flows to emerging markets like the Andeans. Eurozone unemployment at 6.70% as of January 2023 underscores labor market resilience, potentially boosting demand for Andean commodities.

Andean Central Banks Watch

Andean central banks maintained divergent stances, with BanRep in Colombia upholding a hawkish posture due to sticky inflation above target, focusing on credibility amid fiscal strains and no recent FX interventions. BCCh in Chile, the region's most aggressive cutter, held its short-term rate at 4.50% unchanged, reflecting progress in disinflation and reserve management to support the CLP. BCRP in Peru emphasized stability, with no policy shifts amid PEN depreciation, prioritizing inflation targeting and minimal reserve adjustments.

Divergences persist: Colombia's rates remain elevated to combat persistent price pressures, while Chile's cuts have eased monetary conditions faster, aiding growth; Peru's balanced approach minimizes FX volatility. Rate paths may converge if global commodity prices stabilize, but Colombia's hawkishness could prolong if oil volatility intensifies.

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