Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 23, 2026 robomacro.com

Andean Stocks Up, Commodities Dip

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile42.78+0.38%
MSCI Peru83.38+1.66%
USD/COP3,558.20-0.73%
USD/CLP887.75-0.47%
USD/PEN3.44+0.22%
Copper6.04-1.33%
Gold4,714.20-0.39%
Brent Crude97.37-4.45%
Bitcoin77,500.79-0.90%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Brent Crude PriceBrent Crude Price | Type: macro_line | USD per Barrel: 103.4 (2026-04-20) | Range: 59.93–138.2 | Trend(5pt): 65.5,106.8,91.88,80.57,103.4

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Andean equities advanced with Peru leading gains on gold support, despite copper and oil declines pressuring Chile and Colombia.
  • FX moves mixed: Colombian and Chilean pesos strengthened, Peruvian sol weakened slightly amid commodity volatility.
  • Quiet calendar shifts focus to global shocks, mining updates, and central bank stability.

Yesterday's Recap

Andean markets displayed resilience in equities amid commodity pressures, with MSCI Peru climbing 1.66% to 83.38, supported by gold's minor 0.39% drop to 4,714.20 reflecting safe-haven flows. MSCI Chile gained 0.38% to 42.78, mitigating copper's 1.33% decline to 6.04, which challenges Chile's export-heavy economy. MSCI Colombia stayed unchanged at 9.02 with 0.00% shift, aided by the peso's strength as USD/COP decreased 0.73% to 3,558.20.

Chile's peso firmed with USD/CLP down 0.47% to 887.75, while Peru's sol softened as USD/PEN increased 0.22% to 3.44. Brent crude's steep 4.45% fall to 97.37 strained Colombia's oil industry, likely curbing fiscal income. Chile's short-term rate held at 4.50% with no adjustment, indicating policy continuity.

Key mining news included progress on Chile's Sobek copper-gold project, with completed exploration including two drill holes at the 46 South Target, and Peru-linked Pecoy Copper's magnetotelluric survey for targeting optimization, underscoring sector activity despite price swings. Bitcoin dipped 0.90% to 77,500.79, with limited regional effects.

The Day Ahead

No economic data releases are slated for Andean nations, directing attention to commodity price trajectories, especially copper and oil impacting Chile, Peru, and Colombia. Markets may monitor FX dynamics, with potential interventions from Peru's BCRP if sol weakness intensifies. Regional LatAm developments, like Mexico's retail promotions and tourism surges involving Peru and Colombia, could shape trade outlooks.

Geopolitical factors, including reports of UAE-backed support in Colombia and Middle East tensions affecting energy, may heighten risk perceptions. A Colombia conference on reducing fossil fuels highlights environmental shifts potentially influencing oil-dependent sectors. With a sparse calendar, Andean assets could track US and global movements, including any ECB signals on liquidity.

Other Economic Notes

Andean economies remain tied to commodities, exposing Chile and Peru to copper volatility from global demand dips, such as weaker Chinese signals. Colombia's oil reliance faces headwinds from Brent's drop, risking wider fiscal gaps if sustained below key thresholds. Diversification efforts, like Chile's lithium potential, offer buffers but contend with EV sector uncertainties.

(cont...)

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 23, 2026 robomacro.com
Chile Short-Term Rate Chile Short-Term Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-02-01) | Range: 0.3–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.3,9.55,9.55,5.25,4.5
Copper Futures Copper Futures | Type: market_hloc | Price: 6.037 (2026-04-23) | Range: 5.343–6.175 | Trend(6pt): 5.911,5.793,5.8,5.476,6.002,6.037
MSCI Peru ETF MSCI Peru ETF | Type: market_hloc | Price: 83.38 (2026-04-22) | Range: 74.27–93.84 | Trend(6pt): 88.38,86.67,83.97,76.15,82.02,83.38
MSCI Chile ETF MSCI Chile ETF | Type: market_hloc | Price: 42.78 (2026-04-22) | Range: 38.06–47.37 | Trend(6pt): 46.4,43.81,39.73,38.28,42.62,42.78

Other Economic Notes (continued)

Peru's gold production provides some offset, while regional tourism growth, including record US arrivals to Peru and Colombia, supports non-commodity revenues. Broader challenges include geopolitical risks, with reports of external involvement in Colombia adding uncertainty to stability.

Global Macro News

Commodity downturns are straining Andean exporters, with copper retreating from highs amid Middle East uncertainties and stalled peace efforts, directly affecting Chile and Peru's mining outputs. Brent's slide, driven by supply abundance and tensions, mirrors pressures on Colombia's energy sector and parallels Bangladesh's economy grappling with global energy shocks and inflation risks. South Korea's GDP boost from chip demand contrasts Andean commodity reliance, emphasizing diversification imperatives.

India's April activity surge alongside inflation concerns echoes Andean inflation battles, where commodity swings test monetary policies. Philippine peso depreciation from oil shocks highlights similar FX vulnerabilities in the Andes, amplified by regional currency fluctuations. UAE-linked reports on Colombian mercenaries introduce geopolitical overlays that could unsettle FX and investment.

Global mining updates, such as Morocco's Lalla Aziza copper results, Australia's Queensland surveys, and Chile's Sobek advancements, signal competitive pressures on Andean projects. Mexico's inclusion in US tourism booms with Peru and Colombia points to positive non-resource flows. The ECB's deposit rate at 2.00% indicates tighter liquidity, potentially bolstering USD strength and challenging Andean currencies further.

Andean Central Banks Watch

Andean central banks exhibited steady approaches amid varied inflation cues, with Colombia's BanRep maintaining a firm stance to address above-target inflation, aided by COP gains. Chile's BCCh kept its short-term rate unchanged at 4.50%, balancing disinflation gains against copper-related external vulnerabilities. Peru's BCRP showed composure in handling sol depreciation without prompt action, leveraging strong reserves.

Policy differences endure: Colombia's caution contrasts Chile's prior easing, possibly drawing carry interest. The banks emphasize inflation control reliability, with no interventions reported despite market turbulence. BanRep stresses fiscal prudence for reserve strength, BCCh monitors lithium to cushion exposures, and BCRP's measured strategy bolsters Peru's macro resilience relative to neighbors.

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