Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 19, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile Stocks Rise as PEN Weakens Sharply

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.83+1.50%
MSCI Peru80.22+0.26%
USD/COP3,796.75-0.02%
USD/CLP900.43+0.30%
USD/PEN3.42+1.65%
Copper6.24-0.46%
Gold4,542.30-0.22%
Brent Crude111.05-0.94%
Bitcoin76,853.98-0.13%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy Rate vs CPIChile Policy Rate vs CPI | Type: macro_line | Short-Term Rate %: 4.5 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.32–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.32,9.75,9.44,5.15,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile gains 1.5% while copper eases modestly
  • USD/PEN jumps 1.65% amid limited regional data
  • No major releases across Colombia, Chile or Peru

Yesterday's Recap

Chile's equity market led Andean performance as MSCI Chile rose 1.50 percent to 39.83, supported by mining names despite softer copper prices. Peru's MSCI index advanced 0.26 percent to 80.22 while Colombia's MSCI Colombia held flat at 9.02. The Chilean peso weakened as USD/CLP increased 0.30 percent to 900.43.

In Peru the currency came under pressure with USD/PEN rising 1.65 percent to 3.42. Colombia's peso remained stable as USD/COP declined just 0.02 percent to 3,796.75. Copper prices fell 0.46 percent to 6.24, weighing on fiscal projections for Chile and Peru.

Brent crude declined 0.94 percent to 111.05, limiting upside for Colombian fiscal accounts. Chile's first-quarter GDP contracted even as investor optimism rose following the new administration's market-friendly agenda. Peru continues to face weather-related risks that threaten informal settlements and broader economic stability.

Brazil's 1.3 percent first-quarter expansion provides a mixed regional backdrop for Andean trade partners. Commodity revenue remains central to fiscal balances across the three economies.

The Day Ahead

No economic releases are scheduled for Colombia, Chile or Peru on May 20. Market participants will track global commodity prices given copper's importance to Chile and Peru and oil's relevance to Colombia. Central bank speeches from BCCh, BCRP and BanRep may offer fresh policy signals.

Equity flows could respond to external risk sentiment and Chinese demand indicators. FX volatility in CLP, PEN and COP is expected to remain contained absent fresh data.

Other Economic Notes

Chile's first-quarter GDP contracted even as investor optimism rose following the new administration's market-friendly agenda. Peru continues to face weather-related risks that threaten informal settlements and broader economic stability. Brazil's 1.3 percent first-quarter expansion provides a mixed regional backdrop for Andean trade partners.

Commodity revenue remains central to fiscal balances across the three economies. Lithium output targets in Chile stay on track despite ongoing price pressure.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 19, 2026 robomacro.com
MSCI Chile Equity Index MSCI Chile Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.83 (2026-05-18) | Range: 38.06–44.97 | Trend(6pt): 43.52,39.28,40.04,42.81,39.24,39.83
USD/CLP Exchange Rate USD/CLP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | CLP per USD: 900.4 (2026-05-19) | Range: 856.5–930.2 | Trend(5pt): 861.6,915.7,919.4,893.5,900.4
MSCI Peru Equity Index MSCI Peru Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Price: 80.22 (2026-05-18) | Range: 74.27–93.84 | Trend(6pt): 88.13,81.95,81.56,81.49,80.01,80.22
USD/PEN Exchange Rate USD/PEN Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | PEN per USD: 3.422 (2026-05-19) | Range: 3.281–3.523 | Trend(5pt): 3.352,3.365,3.383,3.426,3.422

Global Macro News

Copper prices hold near record levels despite Middle East tensions, underpinning export revenues for Chile and Peru. Japan's solid first-quarter GDP faces downside risks from geopolitical developments that could affect global demand. Brazil's first-quarter growth of 1.3 percent signals uneven momentum across Latin America.

Elevated oil prices support Colombia's fiscal deficit target near 4.2 percent of GDP. Emerging-market currencies face broad pressure. Mining equities benefit from sustained industrial metal demand.

Geopolitical risks continue to influence safe-haven flows into gold, which slipped 0.22 percent.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh holds the short-term rate steady at 4.50 percent after its aggressive easing cycle. BanRep maintains a hawkish bias in Colombia to anchor persistent inflation expectations. BCRP in Peru follows a stable policy path with limited need for adjustment.

Rate paths continue to diverge, with Chile having eased more than its Andean peers. FX intervention remains infrequent across the three central banks. Reserve management focuses on buffering commodity price swings.

The committee voted to hold.

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