Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 26, 2026 robomacro.com

Andean Equities Slip as Brent Plunges, Copper Rises

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile40.29-1.13%
MSCI Peru82.60-1.09%
USD/COP3,635.95-1.20%
USD/CLP893.70-0.33%
USD/PEN3.40+2.22%
Copper6.38+0.61%
Gold4,535.50+0.32%
Brent Crude95.66-7.61%
Bitcoin77,186.60-0.12%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Short-Term RateChile Short-Term Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.5 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.32–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.32,9.75,9.44,5.15,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile and Peru fall over 1% while Colombia holds steady amid divergent commodity moves
  • COP strengthens 1.2% as USD/CLP eases modestly and PEN weakens sharply versus the dollar
  • Copper gains 0.61% while Brent crude drops 7.61%, highlighting fiscal contrasts across the bloc

Yesterday's Recap

Chilean and Peruvian equity markets declined as MSCI Chile dropped 1.13% to 40.29 and MSCI Peru fell 1.09% to 82.60. Colombia’s MSCI index remained unchanged at 9.02. The Colombian peso strengthened notably with USD/COP declining 1.20% to 3,635.95.

In contrast, USD/PEN rose 2.22% to 3.40 while USD/CLP eased 0.33% to 893.70. Copper advanced 0.61% to 6.38, providing support for Chile and Peru’s external balances, whereas Brent crude’s sharp 7.61% decline to 95.66 weighed on Colombia’s fiscal outlook. Gold edged higher 0.32% to 4,535.50 with limited immediate Andean impact.

Chile’s short-term rate held at 4.50%.

The Day Ahead

No major data releases are scheduled across Colombia, Chile or Peru. Markets will monitor ongoing commodity price volatility for signals on trade balances and fiscal revenues. Ecopetrol’s announced OPA for control of Brava may draw limited equity attention in Colombia but carries minimal macro weight.

Central bank communications remain absent, leaving focus on external drivers such as global oil and copper movements. Investors will assess any follow-through from yesterday’s FX shifts in the absence of domestic catalysts.

Other Economic Notes

Copper’s advance continues to bolster Chile’s fiscal arithmetic through higher Codelco revenues and Peru’s mining royalty collections. Brent’s steep drop narrows Colombia’s near-term oil-linked income and widens the current-account gap relative to peers. Equity underperformance in Chile and Peru reflects commodity differentiation rather than broad risk aversion.

Lithium market softness persists without altering BCCh policy signals. Regional fiscal positions diverge sharply along commodity lines.

Global Macro News

Brent’s 7.61% plunge signals softer global energy demand that hits Colombia hardest among Andean economies. Copper’s modest gain points to resilient Chinese industrial demand, directly aiding Chile and Peru’s export receipts. Gold’s small advance offers marginal support for Peruvian medium-scale miners without fiscal pass-through.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 26, 2026 robomacro.com
USD/COP Exchange Rate USD/COP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | COP per USD: 3636 (2026-05-26) | Range: 3553–3801 | Trend(5pt): 3698,3691,3644,3728,3636
Brent Crude Oil Price Brent Crude Oil Price | Type: market_hloc | USD per Barrel: 95.82 (2026-05-26) | Range: 70.75–118.3 | Trend(6pt): 70.75,108.7,95.2,108.2,103.5,95.82
MSCI Chile Equity Index MSCI Chile Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Price: 40.29 (2026-05-22) | Range: 38.06–44.97 | Trend(5pt): 43.51,40.18,42.25,41.52,40.29
MSCI Peru Equity Index MSCI Peru Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Price: 82.6 (2026-05-22) | Range: 74.27–93.84 | Trend(5pt): 90.66,81.81,85.94,78.7,82.6

Global Macro News (continued)

Broader risk sentiment shows little spillover to Andean assets given the commodity-specific moves. USD strength against the PEN contrasts with COP outperformance, underscoring differentiated external balances. Global oil retreat may ease imported inflation pressures across the bloc over coming months.

Equity and FX markets priced limited contagion from non-Andean developments.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh maintains its policy rate at 4.50% after prior aggressive cuts, with the latest copper production beat reducing immediate easing pressure. BanRep continues to hold its hawkish stance amid persistent inflation, keeping the policy rate above regional peers and supporting COP strength. BCRP maintains its typically stable path with no imminent signals of deviation.

Rate paths show clear divergence: Chile has delivered the largest cumulative reductions while Colombia remains the most restrictive. FX intervention remains minimal across the three central banks, with reserve management focused on copper and oil revenue volatility. Inflation targeting credibility stays intact in all three jurisdictions despite commodity swings.

The committee voted to hold.

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