Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 29, 2026 robomacro.com

Gold Lifts Peru While Oil Hits Colombia

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile41.98+0.05%
MSCI Peru85.09+0.48%
USD/COP3,638.62+0.08%
USD/CLP889.84-0.47%
USD/PEN3.40+1.76%
Copper6.39-0.06%
Gold4,545.00+1.02%
Brent Crude91.40-2.47%
Bitcoin73,226.84-0.42%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy Rate vs CopperChile Policy Rate vs Copper | Type: macro_line | Policy Rate %: 4.5 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.32–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.32,9.75,9.44,5.15,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Peru gains 0.48% while USD/PEN rises 1.76% to 3.40
  • Brent crude falls 2.47% to 91.40, weighing on Colombia fiscal outlook
  • Chile short-term rate holds at 4.50% as BCCh maintains easing path

Yesterday's Recap

Andean equity markets posted modest gains on May 28. MSCI Peru climbed 0.48% to 85.09 while MSCI Chile edged 0.05% higher to 41.98 and MSCI Colombia was unchanged at 9.02. USD/PEN jumped 1.76% to 3.40 and USD/COP rose 0.08% to 3,638.62, but USD/CLP fell 0.47% to 889.84.

Copper slipped 0.06% to 6.39 while gold rose 1.02% to 4,545.00 and Brent crude dropped 2.47% to 91.40, trimming Colombia’s export revenues. Armed clashes in Colombia killed at least 52 fighters in a cocaine-producing region. Mineros S.A.

began phase two of share repurchases on the Colombian exchange while Codelco’s new chair signaled a profitability focus over volume growth. Brazil’s economy grew 1.1% in the first quarter on strong consumption.

The Day Ahead

No major economic releases are scheduled across Colombia, Chile or Peru on May 29. Traders will monitor copper and gold price action given their direct impact on fiscal and current-account balances in Chile and Peru. Colombia’s sovereign bond auction on June 4 remains the next visible event.

Regional central banks stay in focus ahead of BCCh minutes on May 30. Quiet calendars leave commodity and FX moves as primary market drivers.

Other Economic Notes

Andean economies remain tightly linked to commodity cycles. Copper price stability supports Chile’s fiscal forecasts while gold strength aids Peru’s mining exports. Oil weakness directly widens Colombia’s fiscal gap and reduces BanRep’s FX intervention capacity.

Lithium developments in Chile continue to draw investor attention as production guidance stays unchanged. External demand shocks transmit quickly through trade and fiscal channels in all three countries. Peru’s April trade surplus reached $1.85 billion, exceeding expectations on higher copper volumes.

Chile’s April CPI came in at 0.28% month-on-month, softer than consensus and reinforcing scope for further policy easing.

Global Macro News

Brazil’s economy expanded 1.1% in the first quarter, beating expectations on strong consumption. The ECB Deposit Rate sits at 2.00%, providing a stable external benchmark for Andean funding costs. Eurozone unemployment holds at 6.70%, signaling contained global labor-market pressure.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 29, 2026 robomacro.com
Brent Crude 3M Brent Crude 3M | Type: market_hloc | USD/bbl: 91.4 (2026-05-29) | Range: 77.74–118.3 | Trend(6pt): 77.74,99.94,94.79,109.9,94.29,91.4
Copper vs Gold Copper vs Gold | Type: market_hloc | Copper: 6.391 (2026-05-29) | Range: 5.343–6.635 | Trend(6pt): 5.894,5.439,6.07,5.943,6.305,6.391 | Gold: 4544 (2026-05-29) | Range: 4376–5294 | Trend(6pt): 5294,4404,4825,4556,4448,4544
USD/PEN 3M USD/PEN 3M | Type: market_hloc | FX Rate: 3.396 (2026-05-29) | Range: 3.282–3.523 | Trend(5pt): 3.282,3.471,3.387,3.462,3.396
MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) 3M MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) 3M | Type: market_hloc | Price: 85.09 (2026-05-28) | Range: 74.27–93.38 | Trend(6pt): 93.38,76.95,87.09,78.56,84.68,85.09

Global Macro News (continued)

Copper and gold price movements reflect broader industrial demand and safe-haven flows that affect Chile and Peru directly. Brent crude weakness adds downside risk to Colombia’s external accounts. Regional policymakers watch these global signals for inflation and FX implications.

Codelco’s strategic shift toward profitability over volume may influence global copper supply dynamics.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh holds the short-term rate at 4.50% after aggressive prior cuts, preserving room for further easing if inflation stays soft. BanRep maintains a relatively hawkish stance amid persistent inflation pressures and limited fiscal space. BCRP continues its stable policy path with limited intervention in the FX market.

Rate paths diverge as Chile leads regional easing while Colombia lags and Peru stays neutral. FX reserve management remains a priority for all three banks given volatile commodity revenues. The committee voted to hold in recent decisions.

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