Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 24, 2026 robomacro.com

Copper Drop Hits Chile, Peru; COP Gains

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile40.99-0.05%
MSCI Peru88.75-0.15%
USD/COP3,413.16-0.88%
USD/CLP913.39+0.82%
USD/PEN3.39+0.24%
Copper6.06-1.27%
Gold4,066.20-1.54%
Brent Crude75.63-1.88%
Bitcoin62,269.66-0.64%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy RateChile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.54–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.54,10.75,9,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile and Peru edge lower as copper falls 1.27% to $6.06/lb
  • Colombian peso gains 0.88% to 3,413.16 per dollar on political stability hopes
  • No major economic releases reported across Colombia, Chile or Peru yesterday

Yesterday's Recap

Andean equity markets posted modest declines, with MSCI Chile falling 0.05% to 40.99 and MSCI Peru slipping 0.15% to 88.75 amid weaker copper prices. MSCI Colombia held steady at 9.02. The Colombian peso outperformed regional peers, strengthening 0.88% as USD/COP dropped to 3,413.16, while USD/CLP rose 0.82% to 913.39 and USD/PEN gained 0.24% to 3.39.

Preliminary election results pointing to Abelardo de la Espriella as Colombia’s next president, backed by U.S. support, supported local assets. Brent crude declined 1.88% to $75.63/bbl, limiting fiscal upside for Colombia’s energy sector, while gold fell 1.54% to $4,066.20/oz.

Chile’s short-term rate remained unchanged at 4.50%. Overall regional moves reflected commodity sensitivity rather than domestic data surprises.

The Day Ahead

Markets face a quiet session with no major Andean data releases scheduled. Investors will monitor global copper and oil price action for direction on Chile and Colombia. Colombian 10-year TES yields may see limited movement absent fresh supply.

Peru’s sol could remain range-bound near 3.39 per dollar given stable fundamentals. Broader sentiment will hinge on U.S. dollar strength and any China demand signals affecting mining revenues.

Other Economic Notes

Copper’s 1.27% decline trims near-term fiscal revenue projections for both Chile and Peru through lower royalties. Colombia’s external accounts benefit from peso strength, narrowing the current-account gap. Regional equity underperformance versus global benchmarks highlights ongoing commodity beta.

Lithium price stability continues to support Chile’s longer-term export outlook despite flat volumes at major producers.

Global Macro News

Global commodity markets weighed on Andean currencies and equities as risk sentiment softened. A stronger U.S. dollar pressured emerging-market flows, with the peso’s outperformance standing out.

Brent’s 1.88% drop reduced Colombia’s oil-linked fiscal buffer. Copper weakness signals softer Chinese industrial demand, directly hitting Chile’s terms of trade. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 24, 2026 robomacro.com
MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.85 (2026-06-23) | Range: 37.43–44.27 | Trend(6pt): 37.9,43.26,41.4,41.33,40.66,39.85
Copper Futures (HG=F) Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD/lb: 6.057 (2026-06-24) | Range: 5.423–6.649 | Trend(5pt): 5.423,6.067,6.249,6.649,6.057
MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 84.37 (2026-06-23) | Range: 74.91–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 75.79,81.52,80.51,83.71,87.83,84.37
USD/COP Exchange Rate USD/COP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | COP per USD: 3413 (2026-06-24) | Range: 3413–3798 | Trend(6pt): 3710,3595,3725,3651,3445,3413

Global Macro News (continued)

Gold’s decline offered little safe-haven support to regional assets. Bitcoin’s 0.64% fall to $62,269.66 reflected broader risk-off flows. Third-country trade gains from U.S.-China tensions remain uneven for Andean exporters.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BanRep maintains its relatively hawkish stance amid persistent Colombian inflation, keeping policy rates elevated versus regional peers. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive easing cycle, with the short-term rate steady at 4.50% and further cuts likely if inflation undershoots. BCRP continues its neutral, data-dependent approach, supported by Peru’s solid external position and low inflation volatility.

Rate-path divergences persist, with Colombia’s terminal rate expected above Chile’s. FX intervention remains limited across the three central banks, focused on reserve accumulation rather than targeting specific levels. Sovereign spreads showed modest tightening in Chile and Colombia on the day.

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