Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 25, 2026 robomacro.com

Copper Rally Lifts Chile; Peru Equities Slide

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.87+0.04%
MSCI Peru83.24-1.34%
USD/COP3,426.31-0.08%
USD/CLP919.04+0.61%
USD/PEN3.42+3.01%
Copper6.09+2.39%
Gold3,998.80+0.21%
Brent Crude72.89-1.15%
Bitcoin61,266.39+0.44%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Short-Term Policy RateChile Short-Term Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | %: 4.5 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.54–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.54,10.75,9,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile edges up 0.04% as copper jumps 2.39% to $6.09/lb.
  • USD/PEN surges 3.01% while USD/CLP rises 0.61% on mixed commodity flows.
  • Colombia’s right-wing victory reduces political risk premium for COP.

Yesterday's Recap

MSCI Peru fell 1.34% to 83.24 amid broad regional equity weakness despite higher copper prices. USD/COP eased 0.08% to 3,426.31 as markets digested Abelardo de la Espriella’s razor-thin election win and the concession by leftist Iván Cepeda. Chile’s short-term rate held at 4.50% with no change signaled.

Brent crude slipped 1.15% to $72.89, offering limited fiscal relief for Colombia. Gold rose modestly to $3,998.80, providing minor support to Peruvian and Colombian mining output. Overall Andean FX showed CLP and PEN under pressure while COP proved more resilient on the political outcome.

MSCI Colombia was flat at 9.02. Bitcoin added 0.44% to 61,266.39 with negligible regional impact. No economic releases occurred across the three markets.

The Day Ahead

Markets enter a data-light session with no major Andean releases scheduled. Focus remains on follow-through in copper after the sharp advance and any early signals from incoming Colombian policymakers. Chile’s mining sector will monitor Codelco production updates for fiscal revenue implications.

Peru’s trade balance trajectory may draw attention given recent PEN volatility. Traders will also watch for any BanRep or BCRP commentary on reserve management. Brent near $73 keeps Colombian fiscal sensitivity elevated while copper strength supports Chile and Peru external accounts.

Other Economic Notes

Elevated copper prices continue to underpin Chile’s external accounts and fiscal copper receipts. Peru’s mining export volumes remain a key swing factor for the trade surplus and PEN stability. Colombia’s fiscal outlook stays sensitive to Brent levels near $73 despite the political shift.

Regional equity performance diverged sharply, highlighting commodity differentiation across the three economies. Chile short-term rate stability at 4.50% leaves room for later easing if inflation moderates further.

Global Macro News

Stronger copper readings reflect ongoing Chinese demand signals that benefit Chile and Peru disproportionately. Brent weakness caps upside for Colombian fiscal balances and Ecopetrol dividends. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 25, 2026 robomacro.com
Copper vs Gold Copper vs Gold | Type: market_hloc | Copper: 6.085 (2026-06-25) | Range: 5.446–6.649 | Trend(5pt): 5.529,6.103,6.413,6.481,6.085 | Gold: 4000 (2026-06-25) | Range: 3990–4858 | Trend(5pt): 4550,4858,4719,4437,4000
USD/COP Exchange Rate USD/COP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 3429 (2026-06-25) | Range: 3429–3798 | Trend(6pt): 3703,3615,3738,3679,3443,3429
MSCI Chile Equity Index MSCI Chile Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.35 (2026-06-24) | Range: 37.43–44.27 | Trend(6pt): 38.43,43.63,41.27,41.33,40.82,39.35
MSCI Peru Equity Index MSCI Peru Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | Price: 82.93 (2026-06-24) | Range: 74.91–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 77.69,83.28,80.51,84.38,87.61,82.93

Global Macro News (continued)

Gold’s modest gain offers peripheral support to formal and informal mining sectors in Peru and Colombia. Broader dollar strength weighed on PEN and CLP, while COP benefited from reduced political uncertainty. Global risk sentiment stayed constructive for commodity-linked assets but left Peruvian equities lagging.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh kept the policy rate at 4.50% and retains scope for further easing if inflation continues to surprise lower. BanRep maintained its relatively hawkish stance amid still-elevated inflation readings and will likely hold rates steady near term. BCRP maintained its stable policy path with limited pressure to adjust given balanced inflation and growth outcomes.

Rate paths continue to diverge, with Chile the most advanced in the easing cycle while Colombia lags. FX intervention remains a secondary tool for all three central banks, with reserve levels currently comfortable.

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