Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 26, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile, Peru Equities Drop Despite Copper Rally

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.35-1.25%
MSCI Peru82.93-1.71%
USD/COP3,432.15-0.31%
USD/CLP920.11+0.21%
USD/PEN3.41-0.35%
Copper6.18+1.85%
Gold4,066.70+0.90%
Brent Crude73.17-2.78%
Bitcoin59,336.45-0.65%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy RateChile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.54–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.54,10.75,9,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile fell 1.25% and MSCI Peru declined 1.71% as local equities faced selling pressure.
  • Copper rose 1.85% to 6.18 while Brent crude dropped 2.78% to 73.17, widening commodity divergence.
  • USD/CLP gained 0.21% while USD/COP eased 0.31% and USD/PEN fell 0.35%, reflecting mixed FX flows.

Yesterday's Recap

Andean equity markets closed lower on June 25. MSCI Chile dropped 1.25% to 39.35 amid broad regional equity weakness. MSCI Peru fell 1.71% to 82.93 despite firmer copper prices.

MSCI Colombia held steady at 9.02. Copper advanced 1.85% to 6.18, lifting mining-related revenues for Chile and Peru. USD/CLP rose 0.21% to 920.11 while USD/COP eased 0.31% to 3,432.15 and USD/PEN declined 0.35% to 3.41.

Gold climbed 0.90% to 4,066.70 and Brent crude fell 2.78% to 73.17, trimming Colombia’s oil-linked fiscal buffer. Chile’s short-term rate remained at 4.50%. No economic events were recorded in the region on June 25.

The Day Ahead

No major data releases are scheduled for June 26 across Colombia, Chile or Peru. Markets will track copper and oil price action for valuation cues. Chile’s mining sector remains sensitive to further copper gains that support fiscal revenue.

Peru’s trade balance will benefit from sustained metal prices. Colombia’s fiscal outlook stays tied to Brent levels near 73. Traders will monitor any BanRep or BCCh comments for policy hints.

ECB Deposit Rate stands at 2.25%.

Other Economic Notes

Copper strength at 6.18 bolsters Chile’s and Peru’s external accounts and FX reserve accumulation. Brent at 73.17 leaves Colombia’s fiscal position neutral with limited upside to COP. Gold at 4,066.70 offers modest support to Peru’s central bank reserves.

Regional equity underperformance contrasts with commodity gains, highlighting valuation compression in Chile and Peru. Lithium output trends in Chile continue to draw limited price reaction given elevated inventories. Eurozone Unemployment registered 6.70%.

Global Macro News

The IMF noted solid US growth and endorsed steady Fed rates, supporting a firmer dollar tone that weighed on some EM currencies. Chinese copper buyers signaled tolerance for higher prices under potential tariffs, underpinning the red metal. Korea’s household debt-to-GDP ratio exceeded the major-economy average, highlighting global leverage risks.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 26, 2026 robomacro.com
MSCI Peru Equity 3M MSCI Peru Equity 3M | Type: market_hloc | Price: 82.81 (2026-06-25) | Range: 74.91–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 75.46,83.79,81.98,84.49,84.37,82.81
MSCI Chile Equity 3M MSCI Chile Equity 3M | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.29 (2026-06-25) | Range: 37.43–44.27 | Trend(6pt): 37.8,44.27,40.99,40.41,39.85,39.29
USD/CLP 3M USD/CLP 3M | Type: market_hloc | FX Rate: 920.1 (2026-06-26) | Range: 881.2–930.2 | Trend(6pt): 916.7,886.1,892.2,891.9,913.5,920.1
Copper vs Gold Copper vs Gold | Type: market_hloc | Copper: 6.19 (2026-06-26) | Range: 5.446–6.649 | Trend(5pt): 5.446,6.036,6.485,6.511,6.19 | Gold: 4065 (2026-06-26) | Range: 3990–4858 | Trend(5pt): 4376,4807,4678,4476,4065

Global Macro News (continued)

UAE non-oil growth reached 6.8%, illustrating divergent EM performance. Broader mining stocks faced volatility from tech and dollar moves, indirectly affecting Andean producers. Egypt maintained its position as Africa’s second-largest economy, underscoring stable EM commodity demand.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh held the short-term rate at 4.50% with no change signaled. The committee continues gradual easing after prior aggressive cuts while monitoring inflation convergence. BanRep maintained its relatively hawkish stance given persistent Colombian inflation, keeping policy rates above regional peers.

BCRP kept its benchmark steady, preserving policy stability and supporting PEN resilience. Rate paths remain divergent: Chile leads the easing cycle, Colombia lags, and Peru stays on hold. FX intervention remains minimal across the three banks as reserves benefit from commodity inflows.

The committee voted to hold.

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