Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

July 01, 2026 robomacro.com

Peru Stocks Advance as COP Strengthens

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.70-0.25%
MSCI Peru83.50+1.26%
USD/COP3,414.13-0.85%
USD/CLP922.45+0.07%
USD/PEN3.41-0.12%
Copper6.14-0.82%
Gold4,030.00+0.18%
Brent Crude72.35-0.78%
Bitcoin58,616.00+0.10%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Copper Futures (HG=F) 3MCopper Futures (HG=F) 3M | Type: market_hloc | Copper Price: 6.141 (2026-07-01) | Range: 5.544–6.649 | Trend(6pt): 5.624,6.076,6.568,6.264,6.097,6.141

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Peru rises 1.26% to 83.50 while COP gains 0.85% to 3,414.13
  • Copper slips 0.82% to 6.14, pressuring Chile equities down 0.25%
  • Gold edges up 0.18% to 4,030, supporting Peru trade balance

Yesterday's Recap

Andean markets closed mixed on June 30 with no local data releases. MSCI Peru climbed 1.26% to 83.50 as gold held near 4,030, bolstering mining export revenues. MSCI Colombia stayed flat at 9.02 while USD/COP fell 0.85% to 3,414.13, reflecting steady Brent crude near 72.35.

MSCI Chile declined 0.25% to 39.70 as copper dropped 0.82% to 6.14, weighing on fiscal projections. USD/CLP edged 0.07% higher to 922.45 and USD/PEN slipped 0.12% to 3.41. Chile’s short-term rate held at 4.50%.

No inflation or activity prints emerged from Colombia, Chile or Peru, leaving commodity prices as the dominant driver. Regional equities showed limited correlation to broader risk assets amid thin local news flow.

The Day Ahead

The July 1-2 calendar remains empty of scheduled releases across the three economies. Traders will monitor global copper and gold flows for spillovers into Chile and Peru fiscal accounts. Colombia faces no immediate bond auctions or BanRep signals.

Peru’s BCRP may issue routine reserve updates while Chile tracks lithium price trends. Attention stays on external commodity benchmarks rather than domestic prints. Fiscal balances across the bloc stay sensitive to commodity volatility without fresh policy offsets.

Other Economic Notes

Copper weakness trims near-term royalty income for Chile and Peru, though levels above 6.00 still support mining investment. Colombia’s oil-linked revenues remain stable near current Brent prices. Peru’s May trade surplus beat reinforced BCRP’s comfortable external position and reduced pressure for further FX intervention.

Colombia’s May fiscal deficit widened, keeping BanRep on hold. Chile reported no major releases. Regional equities show limited correlation to broader risk assets amid thin local news flow.

Fiscal balances across the bloc stay sensitive to commodity volatility without fresh policy offsets. Gold strength aided Peru’s FX reserves but offered limited relief to Colombia’s oil-linked COP.

Global Macro News

The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.25%, signaling steady euro-area policy that reduces pressure on emerging-market carry trades. Eurozone unemployment stood at 6.70%, supporting a soft-landing narrative that aids risk sentiment toward Andean assets. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

July 01, 2026 robomacro.com
MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) 3M MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) 3M | Type: market_hloc | EPU Price: 83.5 (2026-06-30) | Range: 76.3–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 81.32,80.1,82.53,77.28,82.46,83.5
USD/COP 3M Movement USD/COP 3M Movement | Type: market_hloc | USD/COP Rate: 3414 (2026-07-01) | Range: 3414–3798 | Trend(6pt): 3682,3573,3788,3604,3443,3414

Global Macro News (continued)

Brent crude near 72.35 limits upside for Colombia’s external accounts while gold at 4,030 provides a buffer for Peru reserves. Copper’s 0.82% decline raises caution for Chile’s 2026 budget assumptions. Bitcoin’s modest 0.10% gain offers negligible portfolio impact for regional investors.

Broader G7 growth differentials continue to favor selective flows into higher-yielding Andean currencies. Copper weakness trims near-term royalty income for Chile and Peru.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BanRep maintains its hawkish hold amid persistent inflation, keeping the policy rate elevated relative to peers and supporting COP stability. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive cuts, with the short-term rate steady at 4.50% and further easing likely if copper revenues weaken. BCRP stays on hold in a stable inflation-targeting framework, using reserve management to smooth PEN moves without active intervention.

Rate-path divergences remain clear: Colombia prioritizes credibility, Chile accelerates normalization, and Peru preserves optionality. No meetings are scheduled this week, leaving FX intervention and reserve accumulation as the main tools under watch.

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