| Asset | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| MSCI Colombia | 9.02 | +0.00% |
| MSCI Chile | 39.70 | -0.25% |
| MSCI Peru | 83.50 | +1.26% |
| USD/COP | 3,414.13 | -0.85% |
| USD/CLP | 922.45 | +0.07% |
| USD/PEN | 3.41 | -0.12% |
| Copper | 6.14 | -0.82% |
| Gold | 4,030.00 | +0.18% |
| Brent Crude | 72.35 | -0.78% |
| Bitcoin | 58,616.00 | +0.10% |
| Colombia 10Y Govt Yield | - | - |
| Chile Short-term Rate | 4.50% | +0.00% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Copper Futures (HG=F) 3M | Type: market_hloc | Copper Price: 6.141 (2026-07-01) | Range: 5.544–6.649 | Trend(6pt): 5.624,6.076,6.568,6.264,6.097,6.141
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Andean markets closed mixed on June 30 with no local data releases. MSCI Peru climbed 1.26% to 83.50 as gold held near 4,030, bolstering mining export revenues. MSCI Colombia stayed flat at 9.02 while USD/COP fell 0.85% to 3,414.13, reflecting steady Brent crude near 72.35.
MSCI Chile declined 0.25% to 39.70 as copper dropped 0.82% to 6.14, weighing on fiscal projections. USD/CLP edged 0.07% higher to 922.45 and USD/PEN slipped 0.12% to 3.41. Chile’s short-term rate held at 4.50%.
No inflation or activity prints emerged from Colombia, Chile or Peru, leaving commodity prices as the dominant driver. Regional equities showed limited correlation to broader risk assets amid thin local news flow.
The July 1-2 calendar remains empty of scheduled releases across the three economies. Traders will monitor global copper and gold flows for spillovers into Chile and Peru fiscal accounts. Colombia faces no immediate bond auctions or BanRep signals.
Peru’s BCRP may issue routine reserve updates while Chile tracks lithium price trends. Attention stays on external commodity benchmarks rather than domestic prints. Fiscal balances across the bloc stay sensitive to commodity volatility without fresh policy offsets.
Copper weakness trims near-term royalty income for Chile and Peru, though levels above 6.00 still support mining investment. Colombia’s oil-linked revenues remain stable near current Brent prices. Peru’s May trade surplus beat reinforced BCRP’s comfortable external position and reduced pressure for further FX intervention.
Colombia’s May fiscal deficit widened, keeping BanRep on hold. Chile reported no major releases. Regional equities show limited correlation to broader risk assets amid thin local news flow.
Fiscal balances across the bloc stay sensitive to commodity volatility without fresh policy offsets. Gold strength aided Peru’s FX reserves but offered limited relief to Colombia’s oil-linked COP.
The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.25%, signaling steady euro-area policy that reduces pressure on emerging-market carry trades. Eurozone unemployment stood at 6.70%, supporting a soft-landing narrative that aids risk sentiment toward Andean assets. <i>↓ p.2</i>
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MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) 3M | Type: market_hloc | EPU Price: 83.5 (2026-06-30) | Range: 76.3–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 81.32,80.1,82.53,77.28,82.46,83.5
USD/COP 3M Movement | Type: market_hloc | USD/COP Rate: 3414 (2026-07-01) | Range: 3414–3798 | Trend(6pt): 3682,3573,3788,3604,3443,3414
Brent crude near 72.35 limits upside for Colombia’s external accounts while gold at 4,030 provides a buffer for Peru reserves. Copper’s 0.82% decline raises caution for Chile’s 2026 budget assumptions. Bitcoin’s modest 0.10% gain offers negligible portfolio impact for regional investors.
Broader G7 growth differentials continue to favor selective flows into higher-yielding Andean currencies. Copper weakness trims near-term royalty income for Chile and Peru.
BanRep maintains its hawkish hold amid persistent inflation, keeping the policy rate elevated relative to peers and supporting COP stability. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive cuts, with the short-term rate steady at 4.50% and further easing likely if copper revenues weaken. BCRP stays on hold in a stable inflation-targeting framework, using reserve management to smooth PEN moves without active intervention.
Rate-path divergences remain clear: Colombia prioritizes credibility, Chile accelerates normalization, and Peru preserves optionality. No meetings are scheduled this week, leaving FX intervention and reserve accumulation as the main tools under watch.