Argentina Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 10, 2026 robomacro.com

Argentina Greenlights Glacier Mining

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MERVAL2,999,608.00-0.38%
USD/ARS1,381.00-0.43%
YPF42.69-1.82%
MercadoLibre1,793.21+0.98%
Globant45.30-1.11%
Soybeans1,171.75+0.56%
Gold4,761.90-0.63%
Bitcoin71,679.34-0.12%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Soybean Prices USD/MTSoybean Prices USD/MT | Type: macro_line | Soybean Price: 7.17 (2026-02-01) | Range: -29.07–86.52 | Trend(6pt): 86.52,9.059,-9.376,-26.06,1.426,7.17

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Congress passes Milei's glacier bill, easing mining in Andes despite protests, boosting sector prospects.
  • World Bank praises Argentina as LatAm growth outlier amid regional stagnation, crediting fiscal reforms.
  • Markets edge lower with MERVAL down 0.38% and USD/ARS off 0.43%, as global tensions curb sentiment.

Yesterday's Recap

Argentine markets ended modestly lower on April 9, with the MERVAL index slipping 0.38% to 2,999,608 amid low volumes and no key data. The USD/ARS official rate declined 0.43% to 1,381, indicating stable BCRA oversight and parallel market calm. YPF shares fell 1.82% to 42.69, hit by commodity swings, while MercadoLibre rose 0.98% to 1,793.21 on e-commerce strength.

Globant dropped 1.11% to 45.30, mirroring tech softness. Soybeans gained 0.56% to 1,171.75, aiding agro exports, but gold dipped 0.63% to 4,761.90 and Bitcoin eased 0.12% to 71,679.34. Legislative focus centered on the glacier bill approval, which modestly supported mining stocks despite environmental outcry.

The Day Ahead

April 10 offers a sparse calendar with no planned economic releases or events in Argentina, giving markets time to absorb legislative shifts and international headlines. Eyes may be on possible unscheduled BCRA notes on reserves or FX moves, though unconfirmed. Parallel peso trends could reflect mining bill unrest.

Sentiment may hinge on global commodity shifts, especially soybeans and gold. Absent catalysts, expect subdued volatility unless surprise policy news surfaces.

Other Economic Notes

Milei's fiscal reforms earn World Bank acclaim as Argentina stands out positively in stagnant LatAm, contrasting Brazil's woes. Mining gains traction with the glacier bill enabling provincial projects in icy Andes zones. Aldebaran Resources reports robust drill results at Altar copper-gold project in San Juan, including 936m at 0.66% CuEq, signaling export potential.

Fortuna Mining announces Q1 output of 72,872 gold equivalent ounces, underscoring sector vitality. These developments align with efforts to bolster revenues and IMF ties amid ongoing deregulation.

Global Macro News

IMF flags lasting economic damage from Iran conflict, predicting slower global growth and elevated energy costs that could strain Argentina's commodity exports. US faces inflation surge and stagflation risks, potentially curbing EM inflows. (cont...)

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Argentina Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 10, 2026 robomacro.com
MERVAL Equity Index MERVAL Equity Index | Type: market_hloc | MERVAL Index: 3e+06 (2026-04-09) | Range: 2.571e+06–3.244e+06 | Trend(5pt): 3.089e+06,3.2e+06,2.812e+06,2.663e+06,3e+06
USD/ARS Currency Pair USD/ARS Currency Pair | Type: market_hloc | USD/ARS Rate: 1381 (2026-04-10) | Range: 1368–1467 | Trend(5pt): 1465,1452,1380,1394,1381
Gold Commodity Futures Gold Commodity Futures | Type: market_hloc | Gold Price: 4764 (2026-04-10) | Range: 4376–5318 | Trend(6pt): 4604,4904,5206,4890,4792,4764
Soybeans Commodity Futures Soybeans Commodity Futures | Type: market_hloc | Soybeans Price: 1171 (2026-04-10) | Range: 1023–1213 | Trend(6pt): 1033,1066,1148,1162,1165,1171

Global Macro News (continued)

Mideast war leads IMF to trim growth outlooks, highlighting supply issues that may raise Argentina's import bills. Brazil's role in LatAm slowdown emphasizes Argentina's reform edge. Peru's 35-candidate presidential race injects regional uncertainty, possibly denting confidence in Argentine assets.

These elements amplify risks for peso and BCRA reserves.

BCRA Watch

BCRA upholds the 2% monthly crawling peg to steady inflation views, with no signs of shifts despite external pressures. Milei reaffirms fiscal surplus pledge, backing BCRA's reserve goals under IMF terms, though no interventions noted yesterday. Controls persist to limit parallel volatility, with blue dollar steady on soy flows.

BCRA tracks IMF nods to reserve gains, targeting further funds via austerity. This stance eases hike odds, aiding peso, but mining protests might spur minor FX tweaks if pressures mount.

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