Argentina Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 13, 2026 robomacro.com

Milei Bribery Scandal Hits Crypto Plans

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MERVAL2,998,770.00-0.03%
USD/ARS1,370.00-0.87%
YPF42.95+0.61%
MercadoLibre1,773.96-1.07%
Globant43.26-4.50%
Soybeans1,174.00-0.15%
Gold4,732.00-0.63%
Bitcoin70,960.55+0.29%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
WTI Crude Oil PriceWTI Crude Oil Price | Type: macro_line | USD per Barrel: 114 (2026-04-06) | Range: 55.44–123.6 | Trend(6pt): 63.15,106.8,88.81,72.44,101.9,114

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Milei's $5m bribery scandal threatens Argentina's crypto investments amid instability.
  • Congress relaxes glacier protections, paving way for $40bn mining investments despite water risks.
  • MERVAL edges down; USD/ARS falls amid safe-haven peso flows.

Yesterday's Recap

Argentine markets displayed mixed results yesterday, with the MERVAL index closing at 2,998,770.00, down 0.03% in cautious trading. The USD/ARS rate fell to 1,370.00, a change of -0.87%, reflecting peso strengthening from safe-haven demand. YPF shares gained 0.61% to 42.95, supported by energy sector sentiment despite environmental concerns.

MercadoLibre declined 1.07% to 1,773.96, while Globant fell 4.50% to 43.26, highlighting tech sector pressures. Soybeans prices slipped 0.15% to 1,174.00, adding strain to agricultural exports. Gold dropped 0.63% to 4,732.00, and Bitcoin rose 0.29% to 70,960.55.

No economic data releases occurred, but headlines on Milei's bribery scandal and glacier law reforms weighed on sentiment, leading to subdued equity performance.

The Day Ahead

No economic events are scheduled for today, so markets will monitor fallout from the Milei scandal and glacier law changes. Traders may watch for IMF insights on Argentina's reforms amid global warnings about Iran conflict impacts. Potential effects on Vaca Muerta from mining expansions could draw focus, alongside foreign direct investment prospects.

Peso movements might react to crypto-related uncertainties and parallel rate trends. Broader sentiment could be shaped by upcoming IMF-World Bank meetings, influencing emerging market flows including Argentina.

Other Economic Notes

Argentina's reform to ease glacier protections targets $40bn in mining investments by opening high-altitude areas, addressing fiscal pressures. Critics warn this risks contaminating water reserves vital for millions, intensified by climate change. The move aligns with Milei's deregulation efforts but sparks debate on environmental trade-offs, potentially affecting agriculture and urban water security long-term.

Global Macro News

The IMF has cautioned that the Iran conflict will inflict lasting economic damage, fueling inflation and supply chain disruptions. This backdrop challenges emerging markets like Argentina, where soybean and energy exports face volatility risks. (cont...)

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Argentina Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 13, 2026 robomacro.com
US 10-Year Yield US 10-Year Yield | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.29 (2026-04-09) | Range: 1.19–4.98 | Trend(6pt): 1.64,2.96,4.78,4.67,4.33,4.29
US Federal Funds Rate US Federal Funds Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 3.64 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.06–5.33 | Trend(5pt): 0.06,1.68,5.33,4.64,3.64
Gold Futures Gold Futures | Type: market_hloc | USD per Ounce: 4730 (2026-04-13) | Range: 4376–5318 | Trend(6pt): 4589,4920,5176,4601,4762,4730
USD/ARS Exchange Rate USD/ARS Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | ARS per USD: 1370 (2026-04-13) | Range: 1368–1467 | Trend(5pt): 1467,1445,1398,1395,1370

Global Macro News (continued)

Philippine peso hit record lows despite US-Iran ceasefire attempts, echoing potential vulnerabilities for Argentina's USD/ARS if tensions escalate. Kenya's IMF pivot underscores the need for multilateral backing, relevant to Argentina's program. Australian warnings on fuel costs and inflation highlight commodity pressures impacting Argentina's sectors.

Upcoming IMF-World Bank meetings will emphasize inflation and growth, with Chinese GDP and US bank earnings in view. These factors may constrain Argentina's financing access amid heightened global uncertainty.

BCRA Watch

The BCRA continues prioritizing reserve accumulation with no recent policy shifts, stressing crawling peg stability against external risks. Official communications underscore IMF compliance, including reserve building without detailed targets, as parallel gaps shrink. FX interventions seem minimal, with USD/ARS decline indicating eased pressures.

Capital controls remain to limit outflows, supporting Milei's austerity. This approach guards against inflation from global shocks, potentially aiding bond spreads if IMF approvals advance. Crypto scandal implications could test reserves if outflows rise, though current peso strength suggests resilience.

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