| Asset | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Euro Stoxx 50 | 5,827.76 | -0.57% |
| DAX | 23,950.57 | -2.07% |
| CAC 40 | 7,952.55 | -1.60% |
| EUR/USD | 1.16 | -0.34% |
| EUR/GBP | 0.87 | +0.21% |
| EUR/JPY | 184.74 | +0.02% |
| Gold | 4,546.60 | -0.20% |
| Brent Crude | 111.19 | +1.77% |
| Bitcoin | 76,998.18 | -1.45% |
| German 2Y Bund | - | - |
| German 10Y Bund | 3.00% | +2.97% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
German 10Y Bund Yield | Type: macro_line | Yield %: 2.996 (2026-04-01) | Range: -0.5386–2.996 | Trend(6pt): -0.2886,1.034,2.823,2.179,2.745,2.996
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Balance | 4,944m | 5,200m | 04:00 |
| Trade Balance | -3,300m | - | 04:00 |
| Producer Price Index Year-over-Year | -0.20 | - | 02:00 |
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | 47.60 | - | 03:15 |
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52.80 | 52 | 03:15 |
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash | 46.50 | 46.60 | 03:15 |
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | 51.40 | 51 | 03:30 |
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | 48.40 | 48.50 | 03:30 |
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash | 46.90 | 47 | 03:30 |
| GFK Consumer Confidence Index | -33.30 | -33.80 | 02:00 |
Eurozone markets closed lower on May 17 with limited volatility. Euro Stoxx 50 ended at 5,827.76, down 0.57%, while the DAX posted a sharp 2.07% decline to 23,950.57 and the CAC 40 fell 1.60% to 7,952.55. EUR/USD slipped 0.34% to 1.16 as the euro weakened against the dollar.
German 10-year Bund yields rose to 3.00%, up nearly 3% on the day. Bundesbank commentary noted Germany could return to growth in Q4 if U.S. tariff pressures continue to ease.
Separate reports highlighted Germany's shift from labour shortages to hiring freezes, with unemployment exceeding 3 million for the first time in 15 years.
Italy releases its April trade balance at 04:00 ET today, with consensus pointing to a €5.2 billion surplus. Spain follows with its own trade data on May 19. German producer prices and French S&P Global flash PMIs are scheduled for May 21, including manufacturing and services readings.
German GfK consumer confidence and Ifo business climate surveys land on May 22 and will provide fresh gauges of domestic demand. No ECB speeches or policy announcements are listed for the immediate session.
Eurozone growth remains uneven across member states, with Germany showing tentative stabilisation signals while France and Italy post mixed production and sales prints. Inflation trends continue to moderate gradually, supporting expectations for steady policy. Broader fiscal discussions in Brussels centre on advancing Capital Markets Union rules to improve cross-border financing.
Labour market cooling in Germany adds to concerns over domestic consumption resilience through the second half of 2026. Eurozone unemployment stood at 6.70% in the latest available reading.
Global factors weighed on euro-area assets, including persistent stagflation worries that keep both the ECB and Bank of England on hold. U.S. tariff developments continue to influence German export forecasts and Bundesbank projections.
Oil prices rose, with Brent crude up 1.77% to 111.19, adding to imported inflation risks. <i>↓ p.2</i>
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German Ifo Business Climate | Type: macro_line | Business Climate Index: -18 (2026-04-01) | Range: -28–-0.8 | Trend(6pt): -1.7,-23.5,-15.2,-10.2,-11.2,-18
Euro Area Industrial Production | Type: macro_line | Production Index YoY: 3.911 (2026-03-01) | Range: -3.835–19.33 | Trend(6pt): 13.46,-0.8528,12,3.282,5.077,3.911
DAX Index Performance | Type: market_hloc | Index Level: 2.395e+04 (2026-05-15) | Range: 2.23e+04–2.529e+04 | Trend(6pt): 2.48e+04,2.341e+04,2.256e+04,2.419e+04,2.446e+04,2.395e+04
Euro Stoxx 50 Index | Type: market_hloc | Index Level: 5828 (2026-05-15) | Range: 5501–6173 | Trend(5pt): 5979,5685,5542,5906,5828
Chinese-Taiwan tensions and UK political uncertainty create external volatility that spills into EUR crosses. Gold and Bitcoin both eased modestly, reflecting a cautious risk tone across major markets.
The ECB maintained its deposit rate at 2.00% following the May 15 decision, with the committee voting to hold amid still-elevated core inflation. Governing Council member Stournaras stated that any modest rate adjustment would limit economic damage while preserving credibility. Markets now price limited further easing through year-end.
No changes were announced to PEPP reinvestments or TPI parameters. Recent staff projections continue to emphasise gradual disinflation, keeping forward guidance focused on data dependence rather than pre-commitment to cuts.