GCC Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 07, 2026 robomacro.com

Gulf Strikes Hit Energy, Oil Plunges

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
Saudi Aramco27.40+1.56%
MSCI Saudi39.75+2.47%
MSCI UAE18.65+4.54%
DFM General5,448.07-1.14%
MSCI Qatar18.60+2.22%
MSCI Kuwait36.14+1.57%
Brent Crude95.25-13.23%
WTI Crude96.23-14.39%
Gold4,836.20+3.85%
USD/SAR3.75+0.01%
USD/AED3.67-0.03%
USD/KWD0.31+0.00%
Bitcoin71,319.74+3.57%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Brent and WTI Oil PricesBrent and WTI Oil Prices | Type: macro_line | Brent $/bbl: 121.9 (2026-03-30) | Range: 59.93–133.2 | Trend(6pt): 61.89,108.5,89.83,74.58,121.5,121.9 | WTI $/bbl: 104.7 (2026-03-30) | Range: 55.44–123.6 | Trend(6pt): 59.29,101.5,93.67,70.38,101.3,104.7

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Iranian attacks disrupt UAE, Kuwait facilities and 17% of Qatar LNG amid Hormuz tensions.
  • Saudi hikes Asian oil premiums to records despite Brent's 13.23% drop.
  • GCC stocks mostly rise, led by UAE and Saudi, on diversification efforts.

Yesterday's Recap

Geopolitical risks intensified as Saudi Arabia intercepted seven missiles, with debris near energy sites, while Qatar reported four wounded, including a child, from missile fragments. UAE handled a drone incident near a telecom building in Fujairah. Despite tensions, Saudi Aramco climbed 1.56% to 27.40, lifting MSCI Saudi by 2.47%.

MSCI UAE jumped 4.54% on news of Dh6 billion highway and mass transit plans linking Dubai, Sharjah, and Ajman, though DFM General fell 1.14%. MSCI Qatar rose 2.22% amid LNG disruptions, with two tankers attempting Hormuz passage and force majeure declared on some exports. MSCI Kuwait gained 1.57% despite strikes on local plants.

Brent crude plunged 13.23% to 95.25 and WTI fell 14.39% to 96.23 on supply fears, while gold surged 3.85% to 4,836.20 as a safe haven. Bitcoin advanced 3.57% to 71,319.74. Saudi non-oil progress included SME financing emphasis and Saudization of 69 administrative roles.

First Kazakh halal products arrived in Saudi Arabia, boosting ties.

The Day Ahead

No scheduled economic releases in the GCC, giving markets time to assess Iranian strikes and Hormuz disruptions. Watch for updates on Saudi oil export redirections, as per IMF, to support revenues. UAE infrastructure reviews could lift construction and transport stocks.

Qatar's LNG force majeure may influence global energy prices, alongside Italian PM Meloni's visit highlighting Gulf ties. Potential security statements from Oman or Bahrain could arise, though unlisted. Oil volatility remains critical for GCC fiscal health, with focus on any tanker movements through Hormuz.

Other Economic Notes

Saudi Arabia advances non-oil diversification via core SME financing and Saudization expansions to 69 administrative professions, aligning with Vision 2030 to cut oil reliance. UAE's Dh6 billion plans for highways and mass transit between Dubai, Sharjah, and Ajman aim to enhance connectivity, trade, and tourism. GCC-wide, halal trade grows with Kazakh products entering Saudi markets, strengthening food security.

Saudi film sector expands through AlUla initiatives, diversifying entertainment. Pakistan's repayment of matured UAE loan deposits bolsters bilateral financial links.

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GCC Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 07, 2026 robomacro.com
Fed Funds Rate GCC Proxy Fed Funds Rate GCC Proxy | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 3.64 (2026-03-01) | Range: 0.06–5.33 | Trend(5pt): 0.06,1.68,5.33,4.64,3.64
Aramco vs Brent Oil Aramco vs Brent Oil | Type: market_hloc | Aramco Price: 27.52 (2026-04-07) | Range: 23.28–27.6 | Trend(6pt): 23.28,24.94,25.28,26.78,27.54,27.52 | Brent $/bbl: 95.5 (2026-04-07) | Range: 59.96–118.3 | Trend(6pt): 59.96,70.71,71.76,103.1,109.8,95.5
MSCI Qatar Index MSCI Qatar Index | Type: market_hloc | MSCI Qatar: 18.52 (2026-04-07) | Range: 18.16–20.12 | Trend(5pt): 19.28,19.71,19.92,18.74,18.52
MSCI UAE vs Gold MSCI UAE vs Gold | Type: market_hloc | MSCI UAE: 18.41 (2026-04-07) | Range: 17.45–22.23 | Trend(5pt): 19.65,20.49,21.96,17.9,18.41 | Gold $/oz: 4833 (2026-04-07) | Range: 4376–5318 | Trend(6pt): 4449,5318,5059,5052,4657,4833

Global Macro News

Middle East conflicts disrupt energy, with Iranian strikes damaging UAE and Kuwaiti plants, prompting Qatar's force majeure on 17% of LNG and two tankers testing Hormuz exit. Saudi succeeded in redirecting oil exports, per IMF, and raised main grade prices to Asia at record premiums. Oil prices mixed: Brent dipped sharply but some reports note climbs due to Hormuz shutdown ahead of deadlines.

China isn't importing US LNG but remains active in markets, potentially aiding GCC via redirected flows. Italian PM Meloni stressed Gulf's role in Italy's security and economy during Qatar visit. Pakistan repays UAE loan deposits, enhancing ties.

Gold rose as safe haven amid volatility, while Bitcoin gained. USD pegs stable: USD/SAR at 3.75 (+0.01%), USD/AED at 3.67 (-0.03%), USD/KWD at 0.31 (+0.00%).

GCC Central Banks Watch

GCC central banks align closely with the Federal Reserve due to USD pegs, maintaining stability amid disruptions. Saudi Arabia's SAMA keeps rates steady with SAIBOR around 6% and USD/SAR at 3.75, backed by strong reserves. UAE's CBUAE holds EIBOR in line, with USD/AED at 3.67 and reserves over 100% of import cover.

Qatar's QCB monitors LNG impacts but sustains reserves above 12 months of imports, mirroring Fed policy. Kuwait's CBK manages its basket peg, with USD/KWD flat at 0.31 and interbank rates at 4.5%. Oman's CBO and Bahrain's CBB uphold pegs with reserves covering 6-8 months of imports, focusing on oil volatility without changes.

No policy shifts; all prioritize reserve strength against risks.

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