GCC Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 26, 2026 robomacro.com

GCC Equities Rise as Brent Crude Falls

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
Saudi Aramco27.90+0.00%
MSCI Saudi38.80+0.41%
MSCI UAE19.12+1.11%
DFM General5,757.48+1.71%
MSCI Qatar18.97+1.88%
MSCI Kuwait38.26+1.57%
Brent Crude95.37-7.89%
WTI Crude92.35-4.40%
Gold4,502.00-0.42%
USD/SAR3.75+2.09%
USD/AED3.67+0.02%
USD/KWD0.31-0.06%
Bitcoin75,735.58-2.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
US Industrial Production YoYUS Industrial Production YoY | Type: macro_line | YoY %: 1.353 (2026-04-01) | Range: -1.558–8.958 | Trend(6pt): 8.958,1.052,-0.7743,-0.2741,0.9907,1.353

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI UAE and Qatar indices led regional gains with advances above 1.1% while Brent crude fell sharply to $95.37.
  • Saudi non-oil activity remained resilient as Aramco completed its Petronas refinery exit and leisure initiatives advanced.
  • UAE aviation and energy firms advanced diversification steps with ENOC signing a cleaner jet-fuel supply agreement.

Yesterday's Recap

GCC equity markets posted broad gains on 25 May. MSCI UAE rose 1.11% and DFM General Index climbed 1.71% as real-estate and banking names attracted flows. MSCI Qatar added 1.88% while MSCI Kuwait gained 1.57%.

Saudi Aramco closed unchanged at 27.90 after the company exited its Malaysian refinery venture with Petronas. Brent crude dropped 7.89% to 95.37 and WTI fell 4.40%, pressuring energy-linked revenues across the region. News flow highlighted Saudi Arabia’s resilient economy on both oil and non-oil fronts, with the General Entertainment Authority launching the Qatif Calendar 2026 to boost tourism and hospitality.

UAE authorities released Eid Al Adha prayer timings and confirmed free parking windows in Dubai during the holiday period.

The Day Ahead

No major data releases are scheduled for 27 May across the six GCC economies. Markets will monitor ongoing Hajj logistics in Saudi Arabia and Eid-related consumption patterns in the UAE. Regional investors will also track tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz following recent reports of additional Abu Dhabi and Qatari cargoes clearing the waterway.

Any updates on US-Iran talks currently hosted in Qatar could influence near-term risk sentiment. Sovereign wealth fund flows into renewables and hydrogen projects remain on the watch list.

Other Economic Notes

Saudi Arabia continues to advance Vision 2030 non-oil diversification with leisure-economy initiatives gaining traction. UAE energy-transition spending, including ENOC’s cleaner-fuel supply deal, supports long-term aviation decarbonisation targets. Broader GCC fiscal balances remain sensitive to the recent sharp move lower in Brent, which could widen projected 2026 deficits if prices stay below $100.

Healthcare-travel demand across UAE, Saudi Arabia and Oman shows uneven recovery.

Global Macro News

US-Iran negotiations in Doha intensified with senior Iranian officials discussing frozen assets and potential pathways to ease sanctions. Donald Trump publicly urged Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Pakistan to join an expanded Abraham Accords framework tied to any Iran deal. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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GCC Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

May 26, 2026 robomacro.com
Fed Funds Effective Rate Fed Funds Effective Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 3.64 (2026-04-01) | Range: 0.08–5.33 | Trend(5pt): 0.08,2.33,5.33,4.48,3.64
Brent Crude Oil Price (3y) Brent Crude Oil Price (3y) | Type: macro_line | USD per barrel: 116.7 (2026-05-18) | Range: 59.93–138.2 | Trend(5pt): 69.36,99.49,82.42,76.46,116.7
US CPI YoY US CPI YoY | Type: macro_line | YoY %: 3.947 (2026-04-01) | Range: 2.325–8.979 | Trend(6pt): 5.296,8.223,3.251,2.871,3.32,3.947
Brent Crude 3-Month Brent Crude 3-Month | Type: market_hloc | USD per barrel: 95.18 (2026-05-26) | Range: 70.75–118.3 | Trend(6pt): 70.75,108.7,95.2,108.2,103.5,95.18

Global Macro News (continued)

Germany and Canada moved closer to a major LNG supply agreement from Canada’s Ksi Lisims project to bolster European energy security. Additional LNG tankers exited Hormuz bound for Pakistan and China, underscoring sustained Asian demand for Gulf molecules. Cheniere and Golar LNG names saw upward price-target revisions on stronger global liquefaction utilisation.

Regional CDS spreads stayed contained.

GCC Central Banks Watch

All six GCC central banks maintained policy rates unchanged, preserving alignment with the Federal Reserve’s current stance. SAMA, CBUAE, QCB, CBO and CBB kept benchmark rates steady, supporting the USD pegs at USD/SAR 3.75 and USD/AED 3.67. Kuwait’s dinar peg to a currency basket showed minor softening with USD/KWD at 0.31.

Interbank rates remained stable, with SAIBOR and EIBOR showing no material widening. FX reserve adequacy across the region continues to be viewed as comfortable, providing ample buffers against oil-price volatility. No divergences in monetary stance have emerged among the six members.

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