Greater China Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 02, 2026 robomacro.com

Equities Rally as Yuan Hits Four-Year Peak

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
Shanghai Composite4,075.10+0.43%
CSI 3004,914.56+1.45%
Hang Seng25,398.18+0.86%
TAIEX45,337.91+1.35%
USD/CNY6.76-0.02%
USD/HKD7.84-0.01%
Copper6.67+2.23%
Brent Crude96.23+1.32%
Gold4,517.00+0.93%
Bitcoin66,275.07-7.07%
China 2Y Govt Yield--
China 10Y Govt Yield--

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
China Exports ValueChina Exports Value | Type: macro_line | USD bn: 1.195 (2026-03-01) | Range: -13.41–39.86 | Trend(5pt): 20.5,4.577,1.416,5.768,1.195

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
RatingDog Services PMI52.6052.3017:45
  • China equities rose with CSI 300 up 1.45% to 4,914.56 on policy-easing bets.
  • Yuan strengthened to highest level versus trade-partner basket since 2022.
  • RatingDog Services PMI due today with consensus at 52.3 after 52.6 print.

Yesterday's Recap

Mainland China markets posted solid gains on June 1 with the Shanghai Composite closing at 4,075.10, up 0.43%, and the CSI 300 advancing 1.45% to 4,914.56 amid fresh signals of credit support from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 0.86% to 25,398.18 while Taiwan’s TAIEX gained 1.35% to 45,337.91, supported by semiconductor names. The USD/CNY rate eased 0.02% to 6.76, reflecting the yuan’s broad strength against a basket of currencies that reached its highest level since 2022.

Copper, a key China demand proxy, jumped 2.23% to 6.67 while Brent crude added 1.32% to 96.23. No major data releases occurred in Greater China on June 1, leaving market moves driven by ongoing PBoC liquidity operations and State Council property measures. Cross-strait and Hong Kong-specific developments remained quiet.

The Day Ahead

China’s RatingDog Services PMI for May is scheduled for release at 17:45 ET with consensus at 52.3 versus the prior 52.6 reading. The print will provide an early read on service-sector momentum ahead of official June data. No rate decisions or high-impact releases are slated for Hong Kong or Taiwan.

Markets will also monitor any follow-up comments from the PBoC on credit expansion. Equity and currency traders will watch for further yuan fixing signals after yesterday’s 6.8167 USD/CNY reference rate.

Other Economic Notes

China’s private manufacturing gauge slowed in May, aligning with official PMI trends and underscoring softening export demand. The State Council expanded refinancing support for property developers on the official white list, though analysts view the step as incremental. OECD reports highlighted China’s outsized role in industrial subsidies that are reshaping global trade flows.

Hong Kong regulators tightened cross-border capital supervision, with HSBC Research noting increased scrutiny on banking channels.

Global Macro News

The US dollar held steady as investors awaited further central-bank signals and developments in the Middle East. Australia raised its minimum wage 4.75% amid reaccelerating inflation, adding to global cost pressures. Brazil’s engagement with BRICS and China continues to shape Latin American trade dynamics.

<i>↓ p.2</i>

Page 1

Greater China Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

June 02, 2026 robomacro.com
China Imports Value China Imports Value | Type: macro_line | USD bn: 25.09 (2026-03-01) | Range: -21.14–31.26 | Trend(5pt): 31.26,-0.05262,-0.1375,-14.68,25.09
CSI 300 Index (3mo) CSI 300 Index (3mo) | Type: market_hloc | Index: 4844 (2026-06-01) | Range: 4418–4998 | Trend(6pt): 4729,4418,4701,4872,4892,4844
USD/CNY Exchange Rate (3mo) USD/CNY Exchange Rate (3mo) | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 6.765 (2026-06-02) | Range: 6.765–6.956 | Trend(6pt): 6.882,6.892,6.818,6.801,6.766,6.765
TAIEX Index (3mo) TAIEX Index (3mo) | Type: market_hloc | Index: 4.534e+04 (2026-06-01) | Range: 3.172e+04–4.534e+04 | Trend(6pt): 3.51e+04,3.272e+04,3.672e+04,4.193e+04,4.364e+04,4.534e+04

Global Macro News (continued)

Japan launched an anti-dumping probe into steel imports from China, South Korea and Taiwan. Copper and crude strength reflected China-centric demand optimism amid broader commodity volatility.

Greater China Central Banks Watch

The PBoC set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8167 and continued to urge banks to expand credit amid slowing growth, keeping expectations for a possible LPR adjustment alive. Liquidity operations remained accommodative with no RRR change signaled. The HKMA maintained the USD/HKD peg near 7.84 with the aggregate balance staying above HK$400 billion and no immediate stress evident.

Hong Kong regulators, alongside the SFC, intensified cross-border capital oversight, prompting HSBC Research to favor domestic banks over certain exchange operators. Taiwan’s CBC kept policy on hold with no new FX intervention reported; semiconductor export data due next week will influence any future rate outlook.

Sponsored by Arbitrage Search
Page 2