Mexico Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 13, 2026 robomacro.com

IPC Dips, Peso Strengthens

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
IPC Bolsa69,573.22-0.64%
USD/MXN17.29-0.46%
EUR/MXN20.33+0.12%
WTI Crude97.67+1.14%
Silver75.66-0.87%
Gold4,762.90+0.02%
Brent Crude98.02+2.96%
Bitcoin72,373.86+2.29%
Mexico Short-term Rate5.56%-1.24%
Mexico Long-term Rate8.74%-5.10%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Mexico vs US 10Y YieldsMexico vs US 10Y Yields | Type: macro_line | Mexico 10Y %: 8.74 (2026-02-01) | Range: 6.54–10.43 | Trend(5pt): 6.54,9.1,9.39,9.85,8.74 | US 10Y %: 4.29 (2026-04-09) | Range: 1.19–4.98 | Trend(6pt): 1.64,2.96,4.78,4.67,4.33,4.29

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Mexican equities softened with IPC Bolsa down 0.64% to 69,573.22 amid commodity swings.
  • Peso firmed against dollar, USD/MXN dropping 0.46% to 17.29; EUR/MXN up 0.12% to 20.33.
  • Bond yields fell notably, short-term rate at 5.56% (-1.24%), long-term at 8.74% (-5.10%).

Yesterday's Recap

Mexican markets ended mixed on April 12, as the IPC Bolsa index fell 0.64% to 69,573.22, weighed by global commodity fluctuations despite nearshoring support. The peso gained versus the dollar, with USD/MXN declining 0.46% to 17.29, aided by remittance strength and lower U.S. yields.

EUR/MXN increased slightly by 0.12% to 20.33, driven by euro gains from ECB cues. No significant data releases took place, shifting focus to external drivers like oil advances, with WTI Crude rising 1.14% to 97.67 and Brent Crude jumping 2.96% to 98.02. Precious metals varied, with gold up 0.02% to 4,762.90 and silver down 0.87% to 75.66.

Bond yields dropped, Mexico's short-term rate at 5.56% (-1.24%) and long-term at 8.74% (-5.10%), as markets eyed Banxico easing potential. Bitcoin advanced 2.29% to 72,373.86, contributing to selective risk appetite but failing to lift equities broadly.

The Day Ahead

April 13 features no planned Mexican economic releases or events, offering a subdued setting for absorbing global news. Traders may watch for impromptu Banxico statements or USMCA developments amid trade frictions. Broader Latin American data could sway peso moves.

Absent local drivers, U.S. yields and oil trends may spur volatility. Expect lighter trading unless geopolitical updates arise, with emphasis on upcoming inflation indicators.

Other Economic Notes

Nearshoring bolsters Mexican manufacturing through investments in electronics, aiding output amid global slowdown threats. Remittances provide peso stability and support consumption despite fiscal worries. Energy reforms draw investor caution, affecting Pemex debt and sentiment.

USMCA continuity offers trade reassurance, though tariff talks persist.

Global Macro News

Interest rate outlooks diverge globally, with Sweden's Riksbank eyeing potential hikes this year due to inflation, while India's RBI signals sustained low rates per Governor Malhotra. (cont...)

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Mexico Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

April 13, 2026 robomacro.com
Mexico Exports YoY Mexico Exports YoY | Type: macro_line | Exports % YoY: 5.822e+10 (2026-01-01) | Range: 4.05e+10–6.041e+10 | Trend(5pt): 4.076e+10,4.793e+10,5.034e+10,5.244e+10,5.822e+10
Mexico Unemployment Rate Mexico Unemployment Rate | Type: macro_line | Unemployment %: 2.613 (2026-01-01) | Range: 2.483–4.127 | Trend(5pt): 4.066,3.222,2.664,2.689,2.613
Brent Crude Oil Brent Crude Oil | Type: market_hloc | Brent USD: 97.79 (2026-04-13) | Range: 63.76–118.3 | Trend(6pt): 65.47,69.46,70.75,108.7,95.2,97.79
IPC Bolsa Index IPC Bolsa Index | Type: market_hloc | IPC Index: 6.96e+04 (2026-04-13) | Range: 6.413e+04–7.16e+04 | Trend(5pt): 6.634e+04,6.873e+04,7.114e+04,6.52e+04,6.96e+04

Global Macro News (continued)

Japan's BoJ may raise rates amid trade strains from oil surges, impacting yen and indirectly Mexican commodities. Philippine peso hit record lows despite U.S.-Iran ceasefire, underscoring EM currency risks that could echo in Mexico. Indian economy faces war-related threats post-RBI rate hold, highlighting inflation vulnerabilities.

Malaysian firms benefit from tariff shifts, signaling trade realignments challenging Mexico's nearshoring position. Hainan's free-trade push tests Chinese reforms, potentially reshaping Asian manufacturing and U.S.-Mexico ties. USMCA stability noted amid crypto and energy market shifts, with Trump's Gulf remarks adding to tariff rhetoric.

These factors amplify oil-inflation focus and policy impacts on Mexican markets.

Banxico Watch

Banxico held its key rate at 5.56% as of February 2026, adopting a data-driven inflation strategy amid core stickiness. Deputy comments stress monitoring geopolitical risks, such as oil spikes fueling imports. Guidance indicates a hold unless core CPI strays from 3% target, aligning with market stability bets.

Recent minutes reflect risk balance, avoiding near-term cuts despite growth softness. This supports peso durability but ties yields to global shifts. Policy seen as favorable for nearshoring, cautious on fiscal drifts.

Framework emphasizes inflation priority, suggesting tempered reactions to shocks.

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