| Prior Close | ||
|---|---|---|
| Asset | Level | Days Change |
| S&P 500 | 6,902.05 | +0.64% |
| FTSE 100 | 10,122.73 | +1.18% |
| UK Natural Gas | 3.52 | -2.63% |
| 2 Year Gilt | 3.70 | -1 bps |
| 10 Year Gilt | 4.49 | -2 bps |
| GBP/USD | 1.351 | +0.08% |
| GBP/EUR | 1.16 | +0.01% |
| GBP/JPY | 211.17 | -0.13% |
| Brent Oil | 61.76 | +1.66% |
| Gold ($) | 4,436.90 | +2.84% |
| Bitcoin ($) | 92,775.94 | -1.01% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Constr PMI | 39.40 | 42.50 | 09:30 |
| Halifax House Pr Index m/m | 0 | 0.20 | 07:00 |
| Halifax House Pr Index y/y | 0.70 | 1.10 | 07:00 |
ISM Manufacturing PMI contracted to 47.9, missing consensus of 48.3, highlighting US sector weakness that weighed on risk sentiment. Fed's Kashkari speech emphasized cautious rate cuts, tilting markets toward shallower easing in 2026. FTSE 100 rallied 1.18% to 10122.73, a larger-than-normal gain fueled by banking sector recoveries and stable gilt yields holding at 4.49%. Brent oil rose 1.66% to 61.76, driven by supply concerns from Venezuelan tensions, while gold climbed 2.84% to 4436.90 on safe-haven flows from geopolitical noise. Sterling edged up 0.08% against USD to 1.351, reflecting modest dollar weakness, with Bitcoin dipping 1.01% to 92775.94 amid crypto profit-taking.
S&P Global Construction PMI at 09:30, expected at 42.5 versus previous 39.4, may reveal sector improvement supporting UK growth forecasts. Halifax House Price Index m/m and y/y at 07:00, anticipated at 0.2% and 1.1%, could confirm housing stability amid broader economic data. No BoE speeches scheduled, keeping focus on data impacts for cut expectations.
UK housing prices stabilized at previous levels, reflecting resilient demand despite global energy pressures. Brexit impacts linger on export dynamics, with European trade flows influencing services sector recovery.
Xi's meetings with Irish leaders boosted China-EU ties, emphasizing multilateralism to counter US AI dominance in Gulf partnerships. US-Venezuela oil revival could benefit refiners but hurt shale producers, adding downward pressure on Brent prices amid ample global supply.
In the rate cutting cycle, recent US data misses support slower pace of easing to monitor inflation risks. Markets price fewer cuts in 2026, with MPC split favoring data dependence over aggressive reductions. Governor Bailey may stress economic resilience in upcoming comments, tilting neutral unless housing data surprises.