UK Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

January 29, 2026 robomacro.com

Oil Surges on Iran Tensions

Prior Close
Asset Level Days Change
S&P 500 6,978.60 +0.41%
FTSE 100 10,154.43 -0.52%
UK Natural Gas 6.95 +2.26%
2 Year Gilt 3.75 +0 bps
10 Year Gilt 4.55 +1 bps
GBP/USD 1.384 +0.28%
GBP/EUR 1.15 -0.06%
GBP/JPY 211.08 -0.42%
Brent Oil 67.57 +3.02%
Gold ($) 5,079.90 0.00%
Bitcoin ($) 88,101.90 -1.19%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chart of the Day

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Nationwide Housing Prices m/m-0.40-07:00
Nationwide Housing Prices y/y0.60-07:00
BoE Consumer Credit2.1m1.7m09:30
Mortgage Approvals64,53064,80009:30
Mortgage Lending Level4.5m4.5m09:30
  • Brent crude climbed 3% to $67.57 amid escalating US-Iran nuclear standoff, raising global supply concerns.
  • UK housing data looms, with Nationwide prices expected to show mixed trends in a slowing market.
  • BoE faces mounting pressure for rate cuts as inflation cools, though data dependency remains key.

Yesterday's Recap

FTSE 100 dipped 0.52% to 10154.43, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of US Fed decisions.
Gilt yields edged up, with 10-year rising 1bps to 4.55%, as investors digested stable inflation readings.
Sterling traded narrowly, gaining 0.28% to 1.384 against USD, while weakening 0.06% versus EUR.
Brent oil surged 3.02% to $67.57, driven by Trump's warnings of potential strikes on Iran.
Natural gas rose 2.26% to 6.95, benefiting from energy sector volatility.

The Day Ahead

Nationwide housing prices release at 07:00, consensus -0.4% m/m, may reveal cooling demand in the property sector.
BoE consumer credit at 09:30, expected at $1.7B versus $2.1B prior, could signal borrowing trends.
Mortgage approvals at 09:30, forecasted at 64,800, will gauge lending activity.
Mortgage lending level at 09:30, projected at $4.5B, may influence broader economic sentiment.

Other Economic Notes

UK Prime Minister Starmer's China visit aims to deepen trade ties amid domestic growth challenges.
India's FTA with the EU advances manufacturing and mobility, potentially boosting global supply chains.
Vietnam expands semiconductor capabilities, enhancing regional tech value chains.

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UK Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

January 29, 2026 robomacro.com
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Global Macro News (continued)

Iran's nuclear talks remain stalled despite Trump's threats, pushing Brent oil to four-month peaks.
Asian markets traded lower, pressured by Middle East tensions and mixed US cues.
China's PMI signals contraction, weighing on commodity demand and global trade flows.

BoE Watch

In the rate-cutting cycle, stable UK data leans toward faster cuts to support growth.
Recent economic beats favor more reductions in 2025, tilting dovish on pace.
Governor Bailey may stress data dependence, with markets pricing cautious easing.
MPC voting remains split, underscoring gradual shifts over abrupt changes.

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