UK Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

February 04, 2026 robomacro.com

BoE Holds Steady Amid Data

Prior Close
Asset Level Days Change
S&P 500 6,976.44 +0.54%
FTSE 100 10,314.59 -0.26%
UK Natural Gas 3.24 -25.65%
2 Year Gilt 3.71 +0 bps
10 Year Gilt 4.53 +1 bps
GBP/USD 1.372 +0.15%
GBP/EUR 1.16 +0.06%
GBP/JPY 214.37 +0.51%
Brent Oil 66.30 -6.21%
Gold ($) 4,622.50 -1.94%
Bitcoin ($) 76,418.04 +1.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chart of the Day

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
S&P Global Constr PMI40.104209:30
BoE Rate Decision3.753.7512:00
BoE Policy Report--12:00
BoE MPC Vote Cut5-12:00
BoE MPC Vote Hike0-12:00
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged4-12:00
MPC Meeting Minutes--12:00
  • UK construction PMI beat expectations, signaling sector recovery as global trade tensions ease.
  • Brent oil slid on supply concerns, while natural gas plunged sharply amid winter storm disruptions.
  • BoE rate decision expected to hold at 3.75%, with markets pricing gradual cuts amid mixed inflation signals.

Yesterday's Recap

FTSE 100 edged down 0.26% to 10314.59, reflecting cautious trading amid US tech selloffs and AI competition fears.
Gilt yields remained stable, with 10-year notes up just 1bps to 4.53% as investors digested recent Fed nomination hawkishness.
Sterling firmed modestly, with GBP/USD up 0.15% to 1.372 and GBP/EUR gaining 0.06% on dollar weakness.
Commodities were mixed, with Brent oil down 6.21% to 66.30 amid Middle East tensions easing, while natural gas crashed 25.65% to 3.24, an unusually large decline driven by severe winter storms disrupting US supply and heating demand.

The Day Ahead

S&P Global Construction PMI at 9:30am is expected at 42, up from 40.1, offering insights into UK housing and infrastructure momentum.
BoE interest rate decision at 12:00pm likely holds at 3.75%, with MPC minutes providing clarity on future easing pace.
No major BoE speeches scheduled, but market focus shifts to upcoming US data for global risk sentiment cues.

Other Economic Notes

UK services growth remains robust, supporting wage pressures despite energy cost volatility.
Brexit trade deals show resilience, with UK exports to India poised for gains amid global diversification.
Housing market stabilizes as construction rebounds, easing inflation from shelter components.

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UK Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

February 04, 2026 robomacro.com
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Global Macro News (continued)

China’s rare earth exports hold steady under new trade pacts, easing supply chain fears for UK manufacturers reliant on EV components.
India’s US trade deal boosts global trade flows, indirectly benefiting UK firms through diversified supply routes and reduced tariff risks.

BoE Watch

In a cutting cycle, recent PMI beats support gradual rate reductions, but hawkish global cues favor slower pace.
Markets price 3 cuts by year-end, contingent on inflation cooling below 2%.
MPC minutes may reveal dissent, with Chair Bailey emphasizing data dependence over faster easing.

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