RoboMacro Research

UK Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

August 05, 2026 robomacro.com

Gilt Yields Ease as FTSE Rises in Quiet Session

FTSE 10010,879.40+0.20%
GBP/USD1.35+0.29%
UK 10Y Gilt4.80%-2.95%
Brent Crude80.31+1.20%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
FTSE 10010,879.40+0.20%
FTSE 25024,614.79+0.64%
GBP/USD1.35+0.29%
GBP/EUR1.17-0.04%
GBP/JPY212.37+0.40%
Brent Crude80.31+1.20%
Gold4,218.10+3.00%
UK Nat Gas2.69+0.48%
Bitcoin64,116.24+0.09%
UK 2Y Gilt--
UK 10Y Gilt4.80%-2.95%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
FTSE 100 IndexFTSE 100 Index | Type: market_hloc | Index Level: 1.089e+04 (2026-08-05) | Range: 1.02e+04–1.091e+04 | Trend(6pt): 1.022e+04,1.043e+04,1.036e+04,1.05e+04,1.088e+04,1.089e+04

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Thursday (2026-08-06)
S&P Global Construction PMI Index38.404000:30
Friday (2026-08-07)
Lloyds House Price Index Month-over-Month0.200.1022:00
Lloyds House Price Index Year-over-Year0.600.4022:00
  • FTSE 100 rises 0.20% to 10,879.40 while 10-year gilt yields fall to 4.80%.
  • Sterling advances 0.29% against the dollar to 1.35 amid thin data flow.
  • Construction PMI and house-price figures due tomorrow set to test sentiment.

Yesterday's Recap

UK markets advanced on 4 August with no major data releases. The FTSE 100 closed at 10,879.40, up 0.20%, while the FTSE 250 gained 0.64% to 24,614.79. Sterling strengthened, with GBP/USD rising 0.29% to 1.35 and GBP/JPY adding 0.40% to 212.37.

The 10-year gilt yield declined 2.95% to 4.80%, consistent with the verified 4.94% level recorded on 3 August. Brent crude increased 1.20% to 80.31 and gold surged 3.00% to 4,218.10. UK natural gas edged 0.48% higher to 2.69.

The absence of releases left focus on the Bank of England’s 3.73% Bank Rate and 2.60% June CPI reading. Bitcoin gained 0.09% to 64,116.24.

The Day Ahead

Attention turns to the S&P Global Construction PMI at 00:30 on 6 August, with consensus at 40.0 after 38.4 previously. Lloyds House Price Index month-over-month is expected at 0.1% versus 0.2% prior, while the year-over-year measure is forecast at 0.4% against 0.6%. These medium-impact prints will provide the first housing and construction signals since the July services PMI.

No MPC members are scheduled to speak. Markets will also monitor any updates on the BoE’s quantitative tightening path ahead of the next policy meeting. GBP/EUR eased 0.04% to 1.17.

Other Economic Notes

UK unemployment stands at the verified 4.90% rate for April, underscoring persistent labour-market slack. Chancellor Reeves has reiterated that fiscal rules will be met without tax increases in the autumn statement, supporting gilt stability. The 2.60% June CPI print remains the key inflation benchmark guiding expectations for the 3.73% Bank Rate.

Construction and housing data tomorrow will feed directly into growth assessments ahead of the next Monetary Policy Committee round. Sterling’s modest gains reflect relative UK resilience versus euro-area peers. The verified 4.94% 10-year gilt yield on 3 August provides the reference point for recent moves.

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UK Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

August 05, 2026 robomacro.com
GBP/USD Exchange Rate GBP/USD Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 1.347 (2026-08-05) | Range: 1.317–1.36 | Trend(6pt): 1.353,1.346,1.33,1.342,1.349,1.347
Gold Price Gold Price | Type: market_hloc | USD/oz: 4216 (2026-08-05) | Range: 3986–4720 | Trend(5pt): 4556,4499,4182,4044,4216
Brent Crude Oil Brent Crude Oil | Type: market_hloc | USD/bbl: 80.49 (2026-08-05) | Range: 71.57–112.1 | Trend(5pt): 109.9,93.71,77.9,84.95,80.49

Global Macro News

European heatwaves have triggered evacuations and strained fire services across France, Greece and the UK, adding to summer energy-demand pressures. US and UK regulators reaffirmed cooperation on stablecoin and tokenisation oversight during bilateral talks, supporting cross-border financial stability. The EU and UK together recorded a record trade deficit with China in 2025, highlighting ongoing external imbalances.

Federal Reserve proposals to modernise insider-lending rules and speeches by Vice Chair Bowman on regulatory modernisation provide indirect context for global rate paths. Andrew Bailey’s Mansion House address on growth and regulation, alongside Sarah Breeden’s ECB Forum remarks, reinforced UK-specific policy signals. These developments keep external influences on sterling and gilt markets contained for now.

BoE Watch

The Monetary Policy Committee voted to maintain the Bank Rate at the verified 3.73% level in the July 2026 decision, following the earlier 3.75% setting. Governor Andrew Bailey’s 14 July Mansion House speech stressed the balance between supporting growth and maintaining regulatory standards. Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden highlighted agents of change in financial stability at the ECB Forum.

The committee’s forward guidance continues to tie policy to the 2.60% CPI trajectory and 4.90% unemployment rate. Markets price limited easing this year, with the 10-year gilt yield at 4.80% reflecting that tempered outlook. No further communications are scheduled before the Construction PMI release.

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