US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

December 22, 2025 robomacro.com

Markets Steady on Fed Cuts

Prior Close
Asset Level Days Change
S&P 500 6,834.90 +0.88%
Nasdaq 23,307.62 +1.31%
Spot VIX 15.01 +0.67%
2 Year Bond Yield 3.50 +1 bps
10 Year Bond Yield 4.17 +3 bps
EUR/USD 1.1710 -0.10%
USD/JPY 157.69 +1.34%
GBP/USD 1.337 -0.03%
WTI Oil 56.15 +0.38%
Gold 4,410.10 +1.55%
Bitcoin 88,158.80 +0.07%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chart of the Day

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Chicago Fed National Activity Index-0.12-08:30
Ny Fed Bill Purchases 4 To 12 Months--09:20
Durable Goods Orders Month-over-Month0.50-1.5008:30
GDP Growth Quarter-over-Quarter Second Estimate3.803.2008:30
Corporate Profits Quarter-over-Quarter Prel0.20-08:30
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp Month-over-Month0.600.3008:30
GDP Price Index Quarter-over-Quarter 2nd Est2.10-08:30
Industrial Production Month-over-Month0.100.1009:15
Industrial Production Month-over-Month--09:15
Cb Consumer Confidence88.70-10:00
  • US Q3 GDP revision and durable goods data eyed for growth signals amid easing inflation.
  • Fed's recent rate cuts support market calm, with VIX below 16.
  • Global slowdown in UK and EU tensions add context for risk appetite.

Friday's Recap

Equities ended mixed, with the S&P 500 at 6834.90, Nasdaq at 23307.62, and VIX at 15.01 indicating low volatility.
Bond yields ticked up, with the 10-year at 4.17% and 2-year at 3.50%, as inflation data fueled cautious rate cut expectations.
FX saw the USD at 1.1710 against EUR and 157.69 against JPY, steady amid geopolitical tensions.
Commodities included WTI oil at 56.15, gold at 4410.10, and Bitcoin at 88158.80, with gold hitting records on safe-haven demand.

The Day Ahead

Today's data includes Q3 GDP at 08:30am, expected at 3.2% vs prior 3.8%, alongside durable goods orders and industrial production for manufacturing insights.
NY Fed Bill Purchases at 09:20am and consumer confidence at 10:00am will gauge spending trends.
No Fed speeches scheduled, but markets watch for rate cut implications.

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US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

December 22, 2025 robomacro.com
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Other Economic Notes

US housing sales edged up in November, supporting consumer resilience despite tariff pressures.
Global UK GDP slowed to 0.1% in Q3, signaling broader growth challenges.

Fed Watch

The Fed remains in an easing cycle, with recent cuts targeting inflation cooling, but data suggests slower pace ahead.
Powell's stance emphasizes data dependence, favoring fewer cuts if inflation stalls.
Markets price potential pauses, with hawkish data tilting toward neutrality.
Upcoming meetings may clarify 2025 trajectory amid fiscal tensions.

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