US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)
December 31, 2025
robomacro.com
Mixed Data Amid Cuts
| Prior Close | ||
|---|---|---|
| Asset | Level | Days Change |
| S&P 500 | 6,899.20 | -0.14% |
| Nasdaq | 23,419.08 | -0.24% |
| Spot VIX | 14.80 | +3.28% |
| 2 Year Bond Yield | 3.46 | -0 bps |
| 10 Year Bond Yield | 4.12 | -1 bps |
| EUR/USD | 1.1741 | -0.03% |
| USD/JPY | 156.65 | +0.12% |
| GBP/USD | 1.345 | -0.10% |
| WTI Oil | 58.08 | +2.36% |
| Gold | 4,310.40 | -0.65% |
| Bitcoin | 88,818.78 | +0.48% |
Prior Economic Events
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Year-over-Year | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Chicago PMI | 36.30 | 39.50 | 43.50 |
| Dallas Fed Services Index | -2.30 | - | -3.30 |
| Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | -2.50 | - | 0.10 |
| FOMC Meeting Minutes | - | - | - |
| API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.4m | - | 1.7m |
Today's Economic Events
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.31 | - | 07:00 |
| Weekly Jobless Claims | 214,000 | 220,000 | 08:30 |
| EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventory | 405,000 | -2m | 10:30 |
| EIA Weekly Gasoline Inventory | 2.9m | 2m | 10:30 |
- S&P/Case-Shiller home prices rose 1.3% YoY, beating expectations and signaling housing resilience.
- Today's jobless claims data may reveal labor market trends, with consensus at 220,000.
- Fed Watch leans toward fewer cuts in 2025 as economic data supports steady easing.
Yesterday's Recap
S&P/Case-Shiller home prices increased 1.3% year-over-year, surpassing the 1.1% consensus and reflecting housing market stability.
Chicago PMI climbed to 43.5, beating expectations of 39.5 and indicating manufacturing improvement despite global pressures.
Dallas Fed Services index fell to -3.3, missing consensus and highlighting service sector softness.
API weekly crude oil stocks rose 1.7 million barrels, below expectations, with markets trading calmly and VIX at 14.80.
Equities edged lower, with S&P 500 at 6899.20 and Nasdaq at 23419.08, while bond yields held steady at 4.12% for 10-year Treasuries.
FX showed EUR/USD at 1.1741 and USD/JPY at 156.65, with WTI oil at 58.08 and gold at 4310.40. (cont...)
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