| Prior Close | ||
|---|---|---|
| Asset | Level | Days Change |
| S&P 500 | 6,946.60 | -0.09% |
| Nasdaq | 23,515.39 | -0.06% |
| Spot VIX | 20.17 | +27.18% |
| 2 Year Bond Yield | 3.60 | -0 bps |
| 10 Year Bond Yield | 4.29 | +7 bps |
| EUR/USD | 1.1666 | +0.17% |
| USD/JPY | 158.24 | +0.07% |
| GBP/USD | 1.344 | +0.10% |
| WTI Oil | 59.19 | 0.00% |
| Gold | 4,727.68 | +1.07% |
| Bitcoin | 90,995.28 | -1.69% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADP Employment Change Weekly | 11,750 | - | 08:15 |
| API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 5.3m | - | 16:30 |
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.18 | - | 07:00 |
| Pending Home Sales Month-over-Month | 3.30 | -2.60 | 10:00 |
| Pending Home Sales Year-over-Year | 2.60 | - | 10:00 |
ADP employment change rose to 11,750, surpassing consensus and signaling persistent labor market strength despite ongoing rate cuts.
API weekly crude oil stocks showed a draw of 5.27 million barrels, aligning with expectations and stabilizing oil prices around $59 per barrel.
Markets traded calmly, with the S&P 500 dipping 0.1% to 6946.60 and Nasdaq down 0.1% to 23515.39, while VIX edged up to 20.17 reflecting mild volatility.
Bond yields rose modestly, with the 2-year up to 3.60% and 10-year to 4.29%, amid Fed chair uncertainty.
The USD firmed against the euro at 1.1666 and yen at 158.24, while gold climbed to 4727.68 and Bitcoin held at 90995.28.
No major Fed speeches yesterday, but prior comments reinforced data-dependent easing. (cont...)
MBA 30-year mortgage rate at 7:00am is expected to show stability, influencing housing market sentiment.
Pending home sales data at 10:00am may reveal m/m changes at 3.3% and y/y at 2.6%, providing insights into real estate demand.
No major Fed speeches scheduled, but market focus remains on potential tariff implementations and their economic ripple effects.
Rising inequality, with billionaires' wealth surging, underscores long-term social risks amid corporate labor shifts toward shareholder priorities.
Geopolitical tensions in Syria, with government advances, signal potential economic recovery but heighten regional instability.
In the rate-cutting cycle, resilient ADP data supports fewer cuts in 2025, tilting hawkish on pace amid labor strength.
Powell may emphasize data dependence, favoring slower easing over faster reductions as inflation cools.
Markets pricing fewer cuts reflect confidence in economic stability, though global tariffs introduce downside risks.