US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

February 06, 2026 robomacro.com

Labor Weakness Cools Cuts

Prior Close
Asset Level Days Change
S&P 500 6,805.20 -1.27%
Nasdaq 22,540.59 -1.59%
Spot VIX 20.18 -7.30%
2 Year Bond Yield 3.49 +3 bps
10 Year Bond Yield 4.20 +2 bps
EUR/USD 1.1786 +0.04%
USD/JPY 156.61 -0.28%
GBP/USD 1.370 +0.18%
WTI Oil 65.14 +3.05%
Gold 4,885.37 +2.23%
Bitcoin 65,311.70 +4.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
Weekly Jobless Claims209,000212,000231,000
JOLTs Job Openings6.9m7.2m6.5m
Speech by Fed's Bostic---
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet6590m-6610m
Chart of the Day

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel56.405510:00
Speech by Fed's Jefferson--12:00
  • Weekly jobless claims rose to 231k, beating expectations and signaling labor market strain.
  • JOLTs job openings fell to 6.54M, missing consensus and highlighting hiring challenges.
  • Fed balance sheet expanded to $6.61T, reflecting ongoing liquidity support amid economic uncertainty.

Yesterday's Recap

Weekly jobless claims surged to 231k, surpassing consensus of 212k and indicating persistent labor market fragility.
JOLTs job openings declined to 6.54M, below the expected 7.20M, underscoring reduced hiring demand.
Fed Governor Bostic's speech emphasized data dependence without signaling shifts, maintaining neutral tone.
Equities dipped modestly with S&P 500 at 6805.20 and Nasdaq at 22540.59, as VIX rose to 20.18 reflecting heightened volatility.
Bond yields steadied with 2-year at 3.49% and 10-year at 4.20%, while EUR/USD fell to 1.1786 and USD/JPY rose to 156.61.
Commodities weakened, with WTI oil at 65.14, gold at 4885.37, and bitcoin at 65311.70 amid risk-off sentiment.

The Day Ahead

Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary reading due at 10am, expected at 55, will gauge consumer confidence post-labor data.
Fed Governor Jefferson speaks at 12pm, likely reiterating inflation vigilance and data-driven policy.
Markets will monitor for insights into rate cut timing amid softening economic signals.

Page 1

US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

February 06, 2026 robomacro.com
Chart 1
Chart 2
Chart 3
Chart 4

Other Economic Notes

India's RBI held rates at 5.25%, buoyed by trade deals easing external pressures and supporting growth forecasts.
Tech sector sell-off intensified due to AI fears, prompting rotation to cyclical "old economy" stocks.
Global gold reserves debates in Lebanon highlight safe-haven demand amid economic instability.

Fed Watch

In the rate-cutting cycle, softer labor data like higher claims and lower openings leans hawkish, favoring fewer cuts to avoid overheating risks.
Bostic's neutral stance supports gradual pace, but persistent weakness may delay further easing.
Markets pricing slower cuts in 2025, contingent on upcoming data confirming labor stabilization.

Sponsored by Arbitrage Search
Page 2