Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

July 15, 2026 robomacro.com

Copper Gains Lift Chile and Peru Markets

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile40.01+1.60%
MSCI Peru86.76+1.82%
USD/COP3,246.75+0.33%
USD/CLP925.95-0.49%
USD/PEN3.41-0.00%
Copper6.36+0.44%
Gold4,037.30-0.59%
Brent Crude85.49+0.90%
Bitcoin64,617.64-0.52%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
MSCI Chile 3m Price ActionMSCI Chile 3m Price Action | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.38 (2026-07-13) | Range: 37.43–44.27 | Trend(5pt): 43.26,41.4,41.33,40.66,39.38

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile and Peru rose over 1.6% as copper climbed 0.44% to $6.36/lb on stronger Chinese demand signals.
  • USD/COP edged 0.33% higher to 3,246.75 while USD/CLP fell 0.49% to 925.95 amid commodity price shifts.
  • BCCh held short-term rate at 4.50% with no change signaled in latest policy update.

Yesterday's Recap

Equity markets in the Andean region posted gains driven by commodity strength. MSCI Chile advanced 1.60% to 40.01 while MSCI Peru rose 1.82% to 86.76, reflecting higher copper prices that support mining revenues in both countries. MSCI Colombia remained flat at 9.02 as Brent crude edged up 0.90% to $85.49, offering limited fiscal relief for oil-dependent Colombia.

In FX markets, USD/COP strengthened 0.33% to 3,246.75 on softer local demand indicators while USD/CLP weakened 0.49% to 925.95 and USD/PEN held steady at 3.41. Chile’s short-term rate stayed at 4.50% with no adjustment. Copper’s advance directly benefits Chile’s fiscal balance through royalties and Peru’s current-account surplus via mining exports.

No major data releases occurred across the three countries.

The Day Ahead

The calendar remains light with no scheduled releases for Colombia, Chile or Peru. Markets will monitor global copper and oil price movements that influence CLP and COP valuations. BCCh minutes and a Chilean 10y bond auction are expected within the next 48 hours.

BanRep board minutes are also due shortly and may clarify the persistence of its hawkish stance. Peru’s trade balance data will follow soon after. Investors await any signals on reserve management or FX intervention from BCRP.

Other Economic Notes

Copper price gains at $6.36/lb provide direct fiscal support to Chile and Peru through mining royalties and export receipts. Colombia continues to face softer domestic demand signals that limit upside for COP. Lithium output guidance from major Chilean producers remains unchanged despite stable prices.

Regional equity performance diverges with Chile and Peru benefiting from commodity exposure while Colombia lags. Broader fiscal balances stay sensitive to Brent crude near $85.49. Incoming Colombian energy minister María Nohemí Arboleda faces blackout risks from dry weather that could pressure fiscal accounts further.

Global Macro News

China’s economy grew at its weakest pace since 2022 as domestic consumption remained sluggish despite export strength. <i>↓ p.2</i>

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

July 15, 2026 robomacro.com
Copper 3m Price Action Copper 3m Price Action | Type: market_hloc | USD/lb: 6.36 (2026-07-15) | Range: 5.795–6.649 | Trend(6pt): 6.072,6.136,6.396,6.374,6.233,6.36
MSCI Peru 3m Price Action MSCI Peru 3m Price Action | Type: market_hloc | Price: 85.21 (2026-07-13) | Range: 76.3–88.88 | Trend(5pt): 81.52,80.51,83.71,87.83,85.21
USD/CLP 3m FX Action USD/CLP 3m FX Action | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 926 (2026-07-15) | Range: 881.2–934.7 | Trend(6pt): 886.2,896.1,891,901.2,930.5,926

Global Macro News (continued)

Softer US inflation data supported a modest recovery in several emerging-market currencies including the peso. Global copper demand signals improved on stronger Chinese import figures, directly lifting Chile and Peru. Brent crude held near $85.49, keeping Colombia’s fiscal gap manageable without extra royalty windfalls.

Gold’s 0.59% decline to $4,037.30 offered little additional support to Peru’s reserves. Bitcoin’s 0.52% drop had negligible regional impact. Weak Chinese growth raises downside risks for Andean commodity exporters if demand softens further.

Trekor reported 36 million pounds of copper output from its Gibraltar and Florence operations in Q2.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BanRep maintained its relatively hawkish stance amid persistent inflation pressures and soft retail sales data, keeping the easing cycle on hold. BCCh held the short-term rate at 4.50% and signaled a watchful approach after June CPI printed slightly above expectations. BCRP maintained policy stability with no immediate easing signaled following Peru’s stronger-than-expected GDP print.

Rate paths continue to diverge, with Chile having delivered the most aggressive cuts in the region while Colombia lags. FX intervention remains limited across all three central banks. Reserve management stays focused on copper and gold flows for Chile and Peru.

The committee voted to hold in each jurisdiction.

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