| Asset | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| MSCI Colombia | 9.02 | +0.00% |
| MSCI Chile | 39.07 | -1.96% |
| MSCI Peru | 84.53 | -2.50% |
| USD/COP | 3,227.30 | -0.13% |
| USD/CLP | 924.48 | -0.06% |
| USD/PEN | 3.39 | +2.15% |
| Copper | 6.21 | -1.35% |
| Gold | 3,994.50 | +0.22% |
| Brent Crude | 85.96 | +2.05% |
| Bitcoin | 63,044.88 | -1.17% |
| Colombia 10Y Govt Yield | - | - |
| Chile Short-term Rate | 4.50% | +0.00% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Chile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-06-01) | Range: 0.75–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.75,11.17,8.98,5,4.5
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Andean equity markets closed lower on Thursday. MSCI Chile declined 1.96% to 39.07 and MSCI Peru fell 2.50% to 84.53, tracking copper’s 1.35% drop to 6.21. MSCI Colombia remained flat at 9.02.
The Chilean peso was little changed with USD/CLP easing 0.06% to 924.48. In contrast, the Peruvian sol weakened sharply as USD/PEN rose 2.15% to 3.39. Brent crude’s 2.05% advance to 85.96 offered modest support to Colombia’s fiscal outlook while gold edged 0.22% higher to 3,994.50.
Bitcoin’s 1.17% decline weighed on broader risk sentiment across the region. BHP’s full-year production report and warning of lower copper output next year added to negative sentiment for the metal.
No major economic releases are scheduled for the Andean bloc on Friday. Markets will monitor copper and oil price action for signals on Chile’s and Peru’s export revenues and Colombia’s fiscal inflows. Traders will also watch USD/COP, USD/CLP and USD/PEN for any follow-through moves after Thursday’s PEN depreciation.
Chile’s 4.50% short-term rate remains the anchor for local funding costs. Attention may shift early next week to Peru’s upcoming trade balance print and Chile’s industrial production data. Global copper and oil moves will continue to dominate regional price action given the absence of local indicators.
Copper remains the dominant driver for Chile and Peru fiscal and external accounts. A sustained price decline would pressure Codelco dividends and Peruvian mining tax receipts. Brent’s advance above 85 supports Colombia’s royalty collections but remains below levels needed to close the 2026 budget gap.
Lithium price softness continues to constrain Chilean tax intake from SQM and Albemarle. Regional equity and currency moves remain tightly linked to global commodity trends rather than domestic demand indicators. BHP’s output warning reinforces downside risks for copper-linked revenues in both Chile and Peru.
Global commodity markets showed divergent moves that directly affect Andean terms of trade. Copper’s decline weighed on Chile and Peru while Brent’s gain offered Colombia limited relief. <i>↓ p.2</i>
Subscribe to Andeans Macro Daily and get each new issue delivered to your inbox.
Already a member? Visit robomacro.com to log in and manage subscriptions, or use Forgot Password to set a password.
USD/PEN Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | PEN per USD: 3.39 (2026-07-17) | Range: 3.311–3.523 | Trend(6pt): 3.372,3.38,3.331,3.321,3.319,3.39
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 84.53 (2026-07-16) | Range: 76.3–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 83.79,81.98,84.49,84.37,86.7,84.53
Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD/lb: 6.209 (2026-07-17) | Range: 5.795–6.649 | Trend(6pt): 6.103,6.249,6.524,6.141,6.293,6.209
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.07 (2026-07-16) | Range: 37.43–44.27 | Trend(6pt): 44.27,40.99,40.41,39.85,39.85,39.07
Chinese demand signals remain the key swing factor for base metals. US tariff developments on Brazilian imports have raised broader Latin American trade uncertainty. Eurozone CPI at 2.80% and unemployment at 6.20% point to a steady ECB policy path that keeps external financing conditions stable for Andean issuers.
Gold’s modest gain provided minor support to reserve management across the region. Mining equipment makers also fell on slower orders tied to softer precious-metals prices.
BanRep maintains its relatively hawkish stance given persistent inflation pressures in Colombia. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive easing cycle and held the short-term rate at 4.50% on Thursday. BCRP continues to signal a stable policy path supported by Peru’s comfortable inflation outlook and external surplus.
Rate paths are diverging, with Chile further along the cutting cycle than Colombia while Peru remains on hold. FX intervention remains limited across the three central banks, with reserve management focused on copper and oil revenue volatility. The committee voted to hold in Chile.