Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

July 22, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile, Peru Equities Advance on Metals Rally

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.43+1.62%
MSCI Peru87.13+3.09%
USD/COP3,220.00-1.11%
USD/CLP934.18+0.04%
USD/PEN3.40+2.35%
Copper6.51+0.05%
Gold4,122.50+1.26%
Brent Crude84.62-7.02%
Bitcoin65,963.51-0.81%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Short-Term RateChile Short-Term Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.5 (2026-06-01) | Range: 0.75–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.75,11.17,8.98,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Peru surges 3.09% and MSCI Chile rises 1.62% as copper holds near $6.51
  • COP strengthens 1.11% versus USD while PEN weakens 2.35% on mixed flows
  • Brent crude plunges 7.02% to $84.62, adding fiscal pressure on Colombia

Yesterday's Recap

Andean markets showed clear divergence on July 21 with Chile and Peru driving regional performance. MSCI Chile advanced 1.62% to 39.43 while MSCI Peru climbed 3.09% to 87.13, supported by steady copper at $6.51 per pound and gold rising 1.26% to $4,122.50. USD/COP fell 1.11% to 3,220.00, reflecting peso strength, whereas USD/PEN rose 2.35% to 3.40 amid softer local demand.

USD/CLP edged 0.04% higher to 934.18. Chile’s short-term rate remained at 4.50%. Heavy rainfall triggered a state of catastrophe declaration in Coquimbo and Huasco regions, though mining output data remained unaffected.

No macroeconomic releases occurred across Colombia, Chile or Peru, leaving price action driven purely by external commodity moves and limited local positioning. MSCI Colombia closed flat at 9.02.

The Day Ahead

The calendar shows no scheduled data releases or central bank events for July 22 across the three Andean economies. Traders will monitor ongoing copper and gold price stability for further equity and currency signals, particularly in Chile and Peru. Colombia faces continued downside risk to fiscal accounts from the sharp Brent decline.

Any follow-through on Chile’s flood-related infrastructure spending could surface in local media without immediate market impact. Focus remains on external drivers until next week’s potential inflation prints. Bitcoin’s modest decline to 65,963.51 offers little direct read-through for regional flows.

Other Economic Notes

Commodity price swings continue to dominate Andean fiscal and external balances. Copper’s modest gain supports Chile’s royalty receipts and Peru’s trade surplus, narrowing current-account gaps in both countries. Gold strength offers marginal relief for Peru’s medium-scale miners.

Brent’s steep drop widens Colombia’s external financing needs and reduces Ecopetrol dividend expectations. Lithium spot prices remain soft in Chile, limiting upside for SQM and Albemarle royalty contributions. Regional equity outperformance versus broader emerging markets highlights the direct transmission from metals to local indices.

<i>↓ p.2</i>

Page 1

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

July 22, 2026 robomacro.com
Copper Futures (HG=F) Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD/lb: 6.516 (2026-07-22) | Range: 5.795–6.649 | Trend(6pt): 6.12,6.635,6.511,6.141,6.299,6.516
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 87.13 (2026-07-21) | Range: 76.3–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 82.03,83.16,82.46,83.4,84.52,87.13
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.43 (2026-07-21) | Range: 37.43–42.14 | Trend(6pt): 42.12,39.78,39.38,39.53,38.8,39.43
Brent Crude (BZ=F) Brent Crude (BZ=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD/bbl: 84.62 (2026-07-22) | Range: 71.57–118 | Trend(6pt): 101.9,105.6,95.03,71.99,89.22,84.62

Other Economic Notes (continued)

Chile’s flood response may eventually lift construction data but carries no immediate fiscal offset visible in today’s moves.

Global Macro News

The ECB Deposit Rate stands at 2.25% with Eurozone CPI at 2.80% year-over-year and unemployment at 6.20%. These readings keep external financial conditions relatively supportive for commodity exporters. Tighter Chinese copper supply continues to underpin prices, benefiting Chile and Peru directly.

Oil weakness reflects softer global demand signals that weigh on Colombia’s terms of trade. Broader dollar movements remain contained, allowing selective strength in COP while PEN faces domestic-specific outflows. Asian demand recovery narratives support the region’s mining revenues without altering near-term inflation trajectories.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BanRep maintains its relatively hawkish stance amid persistent Colombian inflation pressures, limiting scope for near-term easing despite softer oil revenues. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive cuts, with the short-term rate now at 4.50%, reflecting faster progress toward target and improved copper-driven fiscal space. BCRP continues its stable policy path, holding rates steady as Peru’s activity data show gradual output-gap closure without urgent need for adjustment.

Rate-path divergences remain pronounced: Colombia prioritizes inflation credibility while Chile exploits commodity tailwinds for faster normalization. Peru’s reserve management stays conservative, avoiding active FX intervention. Lithium sector developments in Chile add a secondary consideration for BCCh’s medium-term growth assessment.

Sponsored by Arbitrage Search
Page 2