| Asset | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| MSCI Colombia | 9.02 | +0.00% |
| MSCI Chile | 38.62 | -2.33% |
| MSCI Peru | 85.68 | -2.81% |
| USD/COP | 3,196.95 | -0.58% |
| USD/CLP | 945.13 | +0.98% |
| USD/PEN | 3.40 | +0.07% |
| Copper | 6.35 | +0.77% |
| Gold | 4,063.10 | +0.41% |
| Brent Crude | 92.10 | -8.53% |
| Bitcoin | 64,980.00 | -0.10% |
| Colombia 10Y Govt Yield | - | - |
| Chile Short-term Rate | 4.50% | +0.00% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Chile Policy Rate vs Copper | Type: macro_line | Chile Rate %: 4.5 (2026-06-01) | Range: 0.75–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 0.75,11.17,8.98,5,4.5
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Andean equity markets closed lower on July 23 with Chile and Peru indices posting the largest declines. MSCI Chile fell 2.33% to 38.62 while MSCI Peru dropped 2.81% to 85.68; MSCI Colombia remained unchanged at 9.02. Copper rose 0.77% to $6.35 per pound, providing some support to mining revenues, yet equity selling persisted amid broader risk-off flows.
The CLP weakened 0.98% to 945.13 per USD while COP strengthened 0.58% to 3,196.95 and PEN edged 0.07% weaker to 3.40. Chile’s Congress approved nearly all of President José Antonio Kast’s tax and economic reform measures on July 21, a development viewed as positive for fiscal credibility. Brent crude plunged 8.53% to $92.10, limiting upside for Colombia’s oil-linked revenues.
Gold advanced 0.41% to $4,063.10, offering modest current-account relief for Peru’s mining sector.
Markets face a quiet calendar with no scheduled data releases across Colombia, Chile or Peru on July 24. Attention will center on follow-through from Chile’s tax reform passage and any updates from Codelco on production volumes. Copper and gold price action will continue to drive CLP and PEN sentiment given the heavy weighting of mining exports.
Colombia’s fiscal execution report may draw scrutiny for signs of spending discipline ahead of BanRep’s next policy meeting. Regional investors will also monitor external drivers including ECB signals and U.S. Treasury yields for spillover effects on local curves.
Lithium price stability near recent levels could provide additional color on Chilean producer margins.
Copper’s advance to $6.35 per pound improves projected 2026 fiscal balances for Chile and Peru through higher royalty collections and stronger current-account positions. Chile’s lithium sector continues to benefit from steady pricing near $12,800 per tonne, supporting margins at SQM and Albemarle. Colombia’s oil revenue outlook faces pressure from the sharp Brent decline, though Ecopetrol royalty flows remain aligned with budget assumptions for now.
Mining investment interest from Australian juniors remains elevated as copper-gold discoveries in South America attract capital despite infrastructure challenges. <i>↓ p.2</i>
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MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 38.62 (2026-07-23) | Range: 37.43–42.14 | Trend(6pt): 42.14,38.63,37.43,39.7,39.54,38.62
USD/CLP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | CLP per USD: 945.1 (2026-07-24) | Range: 885.3–945.1 | Trend(6pt): 894.5,897.7,922.9,921.6,935.9,945.1
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 85.68 (2026-07-23) | Range: 76.3–88.88 | Trend(6pt): 80.17,78.71,76.91,83.5,88.16,85.68
Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | $ per lb: 6.359 (2026-07-24) | Range: 5.795–6.649 | Trend(6pt): 6.023,6.252,6.33,6.193,6.451,6.359
Political risk in Chile has eased following the reform vote, narrowing sovereign spread differentials versus regional peers.
Eurozone CPI held at 2.80% year-on-year through June while unemployment stood at 6.20% in May, keeping the ECB on a measured path with the deposit rate at 2.25%. Persistent global inflation concerns and Middle East tensions continue to weigh on risk assets and commodity volatility. U.S.
dollar strength against most emerging-market currencies has been tempered by selective commodity gains, limiting broader pressure on Andean FX. AI-related growth worries have surfaced in global commentary but have yet to alter commodity demand forecasts materially. Supply-chain bottlenecks remain a recurring theme across energy and metals markets, supporting selective price resilience.
Central-bank divergence between the ECB and the Federal Reserve continues to influence carry-trade flows into higher-yielding Andean bonds. Mining equities globally have outperformed broader indices on record copper prices, providing a supportive backdrop for Chilean and Peruvian producers.
BanRep maintains its relatively hawkish stance in the region given Colombia’s still-elevated inflation trajectory, keeping policy rates on hold while monitoring fiscal execution. BCCh has delivered the most aggressive easing cycle among the three central banks and will watch incoming activity data for signs that further cuts can be paused. BCRP continues to deliver the most stable policy path in the Andean bloc, with limited pressure to adjust rates amid balanced inflation and growth outcomes.
FX intervention remains a tool of last resort for all three banks, with reserve levels providing comfortable buffers against short-term volatility. Divergence in rate paths persists: Colombia’s higher-for-longer bias contrasts with Chile’s front-loaded cuts and Peru’s steady hand. Any acceleration in copper-driven fiscal inflows could ease external-balance concerns and reduce the need for reserve drawdowns at BCCh and BCRP.