| Asset | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| MSCI Colombia | 9.02 | +0.00% |
| MSCI Chile | 40.08 | -1.09% |
| MSCI Peru | 87.49 | -1.91% |
| USD/COP | 3,093.50 | -1.26% |
| USD/CLP | 927.14 | +1.35% |
| USD/PEN | 3.37 | +2.08% |
| Copper | 6.42 | -0.89% |
| Gold | 4,426.30 | +1.38% |
| Brent Crude | 91.91 | +0.98% |
| Bitcoin | 64,457.65 | -0.34% |
| Colombia 10Y Govt Yield | - | - |
| Chile Short-term Rate | 4.50% | +0.00% |
| Data | Prior | Cons | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Chile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.5 (2026-06-01) | Range: 1.5–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 1.5,11.25,8.25,5,4.5
| Data | Prior | Cons | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| No events available | |||
Andean equity markets closed lower as MSCI Chile declined 1.09% to 40.08 and MSCI Peru fell 1.91% to 87.49, reflecting copper price weakness. MSCI Colombia held flat at 9.02 amid limited local catalysts. The Chilean peso weakened as USD/CLP rose 1.35% to 927.14, while the Peruvian sol depreciated sharply with USD/PEN climbing 2.08% to 3.37.
In contrast, the Colombian peso strengthened as USD/COP fell 1.26% to 3,093.50. Copper prices slipped 0.89% to 6.42, weighing on fiscal and external accounts for Chile and Peru. Gold rose 1.38% to 4,426.30 and Brent crude gained 0.98% to 91.91, providing marginal support to Colombia’s oil-linked revenues.
Chile’s short-term rate remained unchanged at 4.50%. No economic events were recorded across the region on August 18.
The Andean calendar remains quiet with no major data releases scheduled for the next three days. Markets will monitor global copper demand signals tied to China’s property sector for implications on Chile and Peru fiscal balances. Colombia’s oil revenue outlook stays supported by Brent near 92, above the 2026 budget assumption.
FX volatility may persist as investors assess divergent peso, sol and peso movements. Central bank communications from BanRep, BCCh and BCRP could provide directional cues ahead of September meetings. Regional equity flows may stay sensitive to commodity price swings and any fresh China stimulus headlines.
Copper’s retreat narrows royalty inflows for Chile while Peru’s mining exports, representing 60% copper-linked, face slower Q3 GDP momentum if prices stay below 6.50.
Chile’s mining sector faces ongoing pressure from the copper price retreat, which narrows royalty inflows and widens the current-account gap. Peru’s copper-linked exports risk slower Q3 GDP momentum if prices remain below 6.50. Colombia’s fiscal position benefits from stable oil prices near 92 but faces headwinds from softer retail sales trends.
Lithium developments in Chile continue to attract investor attention as a long-term diversification theme beyond copper. <i>↓ p.2</i>
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MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 40.08 (2026-08-18) | Range: 37.43–41.56 | Trend(6pt): 38.77,38.55,39.13,38.61,40.32,40.08
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 87.49 (2026-08-18) | Range: 76.91–90.74 | Trend(6pt): 78.02,79.87,84.13,85.5,88.69,87.49
Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD per lb: 6.424 (2026-08-19) | Range: 5.943–6.703 | Trend(5pt): 6.165,6.259,6.172,6.273,6.424
USD/COP FX Rate | Type: market_hloc | COP per USD: 3094 (2026-08-19) | Range: 3094–3798 | Trend(6pt): 3798,3575,3387,3213,3133,3094
Broader commodity strength in gold offers limited FX support to Peru and Colombia without offsetting copper weakness. Economic damage from Colombia’s recent earthquake is estimated at up to 9.5 billion dollars, adding fiscal strain.
Global copper prices face downside risks from China’s property slump, with forecasts highlighting potential tests of 6.00 support levels. Stronger gold prices at 4,426 reflect safe-haven demand that marginally aids Andean reserve management. Brent crude above 91 supports Colombia’s external accounts while adding to imported inflation pressures across the region.
Eurozone CPI at 2.90% and unemployment at 6.30% keep ECB policy on hold at a 2.25% deposit rate, limiting external capital flow volatility for Andean assets. China stimulus expectations could lift copper demand and stabilize Chile and Peru FX later in the quarter. Broader emerging-market sentiment stays tied to commodity cycles rather than G10 rate paths.
BanRep maintains its hawkish stance due to persistent inflation, keeping the committee on hold without any signaled rate path changes. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive cuts and now holds the short-term rate at 4.50%, with further easing likely if inflation moderates toward target. BCRP continues its stable policy approach, focusing on reserve management and avoiding FX intervention amid PEN depreciation.
Rate path divergences remain clear, with Colombia prioritizing inflation credibility while Chile accelerates easing and Peru stays neutral. Copper price weakness may prompt BCCh to emphasize growth risks at upcoming meetings. BanRep’s credibility focus limits any near-term pivot despite softer Colombian data prints.