RoboMacro Research

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

August 25, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile Equities Rally as CLP Strengthens on Copper

MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile42.27+2.00%
MSCI Peru94.28+0.30%
USD/COP3,055.10+0.36%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile42.27+2.00%
MSCI Peru94.28+0.30%
USD/COP3,055.10+0.36%
USD/CLP911.58-1.04%
USD/PEN3.35+1.93%
Copper6.64+0.60%
Gold4,696.30+1.20%
Brent Crude88.27-4.23%
Bitcoin79,214.35+0.32%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Long-Term YieldChile Long-Term Yield | Type: macro_line | Chile 10Y Yield %: 5.52 (2026-06-01) | Range: 5.225–6.718 | Trend(6pt): 5.225,5.736,5.53,5.792,5.57,5.52

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile rose 2.00% while CLP gained 1.04% against USD on higher copper prices.
  • Brent crude fell 4.23%, pressuring Colombia’s external accounts and COP which weakened 0.36%.
  • Peru’s PEN depreciated 1.93% despite modest MSCI Peru gains and elevated gold prices.

Yesterday's Recap

Chilean equities advanced sharply as long-dated swaps reached 18-month highs, reflecting investor confidence in growth prospects despite recent weak data. Copper prices climbed 0.60% to $6.64 per pound, supporting the CLP which appreciated to 911.58 per USD. In Peru, the PEN weakened to 3.35 per USD even as gold rose 1.20% to $4,696.30, limiting MSCI Peru gains to 0.30%.

Colombia saw MSCI Colombia hold steady at 9.02 while the COP eased to 3,055.10 amid Brent’s 4.23% drop to $88.27, highlighting oil-price sensitivity. No major data releases occurred across the Andean bloc, leaving commodity and FX moves as the dominant drivers. Chile’s short-term rate remained at 4.50% with no policy shift signaled.

Flooding at a major Congolese mine added supply risks that further supported copper, while Australian mining stocks also rose on the same global demand signals.

The Day Ahead

Markets enter a data-light session with no scheduled releases in Colombia, Chile or Peru. Attention will center on global commodity flows, particularly copper and oil, given their direct impact on CLP and COP valuations. Copper’s recent strength may sustain CLP momentum if Chinese demand indicators hold, while Brent’s decline could keep Colombian assets under pressure.

Peru’s PEN faces continued volatility from gold price swings and any shifts in regional risk sentiment. Investors will also monitor Chile’s long-term swap curve for further signals of growth expectations. Broader equity flows into MSCI Chile and Peru ETFs remain key to sustaining yesterday’s gains.

Zijin Mining noted its full-year copper target faces pressure from the Congo disruption, reinforcing the price support already visible in the 0.60% advance.

Other Economic Notes

Andean economies continue to diverge along commodity lines, with Chile and Peru benefiting from industrial metals strength while Colombia contends with softer energy prices. Elevated gold levels provide a partial buffer for Peru but have not offset PEN depreciation. Fiscal balances across the region remain sensitive to mining royalties and oil revenues, with any sustained Brent weakness likely to widen Colombia’s external gap.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

August 25, 2026 robomacro.com
Chile Short-Term Policy Rate Chile Short-Term Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Chile Policy Rate %: 4.5 (2026-06-01) | Range: 1.5–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 1.5,11.25,8.25,5,4.5
Copper Futures (HG=F) Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | Copper Price: 6.639 (2026-08-25) | Range: 5.943–6.703 | Trend(5pt): 6.361,6.482,6.233,6.619,6.639
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | ECH Price: 42.27 (2026-08-24) | Range: 37.43–42.27 | Trend(6pt): 40.83,41.56,39.92,39.82,40.65,42.27
Brent Crude (BZ=F) Brent Crude (BZ=F) | Type: market_hloc | Brent Price: 88.27 (2026-08-25) | Range: 71.57–100.7 | Trend(5pt): 99.58,79.55,83.3,79.36,88.27

Other Economic Notes (continued)

Lithium developments in Chile add a longer-term structural theme but have yet to influence daily market pricing. MSCI Chile’s 2.00% gain to 42.27 underscores the market’s willingness to price in better growth even as short-term data remain soft.

Global Macro News

Eurozone CPI held at 2.90% year-over-year through July while unemployment stood at 6.30% in June, keeping the ECB deposit rate at 2.25%. These steady readings reduce the likelihood of near-term ECB tightening and support a softer dollar environment that can aid commodity currencies. Copper supply risks from flooding at a major Congolese mine add upward pressure on prices, benefiting Chile and Peru.

Brent’s sharp decline reflects ample global supply and weaker demand signals, weighing on Colombia’s terms of trade. Broader risk appetite remains supported by mining sector gains in Australia and elsewhere, indirectly lifting Andean equity flows. The Philippine peso closed at 61.73 against the dollar, illustrating parallel EM currency moves tied to commodity and risk sentiment.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh maintains its short-term rate at 4.50% and continues to be the region’s most aggressive cutter in prior cycles, with long-dated swaps now pricing in firmer growth. BanRep retains a relatively hawkish bias given persistent inflation pressures, leaving the policy rate path higher than peers and supporting COP stability only when oil prices cooperate. BCRP remains the most stable, focusing on reserve management and avoiding large interventions despite PEN volatility.

Rate-path divergences are widening, with Chile’s market-implied easing cycle appearing more advanced than Colombia’s. FX intervention remains limited across all three banks, with reserve levels providing adequate buffers. Copper and gold price trends will likely dictate whether BCRP or BCCh adjust forward guidance first.

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