RoboMacro Research

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 11, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile, Peru CBs Hold Rates as Equities Slide

4.50 Central Bank Interest4.25 Central Bank Interest
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.69-2.58%
MSCI Peru90.78-2.58%
USD/COP3,092.52-0.55%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.69-2.58%
MSCI Peru90.78-2.58%
USD/COP3,092.52-0.55%
USD/CLP937.62+1.23%
USD/PEN3.35+0.04%
Copper6.53+0.96%
Gold4,379.20+0.34%
Brent Crude103.76-3.60%
Bitcoin76,780.74+0.28%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Chile Short-term Rate4.50%+0.00%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
Central Bank Interest Rate Decision4.504.504.50
Central Bank Interest Rate Decision4.254.254.25
Chile Policy Rate (BCCh)Chile Policy Rate (BCCh) | Type: macro_line | Policy Rate %: 4.5 (2026-06-01) | Range: 2.29–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 2.29,11.25,7.25,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • BCCh and BCRP hold policy rates at 4.50% and 4.25% respectively
  • MSCI Chile and Peru both fall 2.58% while USD/CLP rises 1.23%
  • Copper gains 0.96% to 6.53 supporting Chile and Peru export revenues

Yesterday's Recap

Chile’s central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.50%, matching consensus and the prior level, while Peru’s central bank also held its rate at 4.25% in line with expectations. Equity markets reacted negatively, with MSCI Chile declining 2.58% to 39.69 and MSCI Peru falling 2.58% to 90.78. The Chilean peso weakened as USD/CLP climbed 1.23% to 937.62, whereas the Colombian peso strengthened with USD/COP easing 0.55% to 3,092.52.

Copper advanced 0.96% to 6.53, bolstering fiscal and current-account prospects for Chile and Peru through higher mining receipts. Brent crude dropped 3.60% to 103.76, adding pressure on Colombia’s oil-linked revenues. Gold rose modestly 0.34% to 4,379.20, offering limited support to Peru.

No CPI, GDP or employment data were released across the three Andean economies. MSCI Colombia was unchanged at 9.02.

The Day Ahead

No macroeconomic releases, central-bank meetings or sovereign debt auctions are scheduled for Colombia, Chile or Peru on September 11 or 12. Market participants will therefore focus on external drivers, particularly copper and oil price movements that directly affect Chile, Peru and Colombia. Any shifts in global risk sentiment could influence local equity indices and FX rates given the absence of domestic catalysts.

Central banks are expected to maintain steady communication until the next policy meetings. Investors will monitor incoming U.S. data for indirect effects on regional funding costs and commodity demand.

Other Economic Notes

Chile’s decision to allow pension funds to participate in repo transactions for the first time should improve liquidity management in the local debt market and support secondary-market activity. Copper’s advance at record levels continues to underpin fiscal balances in Chile and Peru, although any reversal in prices would quickly pressure royalty income and external accounts. Colombia remains more exposed to Brent crude swings, with the recent sharp decline in oil prices weighing on export receipts and FX reserves.

Broader commodity volatility highlights the region’s structural reliance on mining and energy exports, leaving limited room for policy error. Lithium developments in Chile remain a longer-term theme but have yet to generate near-term fiscal flows.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 11, 2026 robomacro.com
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.69 (2026-09-10) | Range: 38.61–42.27 | Trend(6pt): 40.32,39.66,39.24,40.52,41.08,39.69
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 90.78 (2026-09-10) | Range: 82.42–94.97 | Trend(6pt): 84.35,85.28,85.47,89.19,93.3,90.78
Copper Futures (HG=F) Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD per lb: 6.527 (2026-09-11) | Range: 5.943–6.804 | Trend(5pt): 6.259,6.172,6.273,6.46,6.527
USD/CLP Exchange Rate USD/CLP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | CLP per USD: 937.6 (2026-09-11) | Range: 885.3–946 | Trend(6pt): 915.2,924.7,946,914.8,924.4,937.6

Global Macro News

Copper’s 0.96% gain reflects sustained industrial demand that benefits Chile and Peru disproportionately through mining export earnings. Brent’s 3.60% drop tightens Colombia’s fiscal space and could widen the current-account gap if the decline persists. Gold’s modest increase provides marginal support for Peru’s reserves but offers little offset to weaker oil prices elsewhere in the region.

The absence of fresh U.S. or European data leaves global risk appetite as the dominant driver for Andean assets in the near term. Eurozone CPI at 3.30% and unemployment at 6.40% signal contained external inflation pressures that reduce the likelihood of aggressive global monetary tightening.

Any further strength in the dollar would likely widen CLP and PEN depreciation pressures while testing Colombia’s relative stability. Commodity-linked flows remain the primary transmission channel from global markets to Andean FX and equity performance.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BCCh held the Chilean policy rate at 4.50% and BCRP kept Peru’s rate at 4.25%, both matching consensus and leaving forward guidance unchanged. BanRep took no action, preserving Colombia’s relatively hawkish stance amid still-elevated inflation. Chile has maintained its position as the region’s most aggressive cutter to date, yet the latest hold signals a pause in the easing cycle.

Peru continues to exhibit the most stable policy path, with limited deviation from prior guidance. The committee decisions in both Chile and Peru were reached without published vote splits. ↓ p.3

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 11, 2026 robomacro.com

Continuation

Andean Central Banks Watch (continued)

Divergences in rate trajectories remain evident, with Colombia’s higher inflation tolerance contrasting the more accommodative settings in Chile and Peru. FX intervention and reserve management stayed on hold across all three central banks, reflecting contained immediate pressures following the decisions.

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