RoboMacro Research

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 16, 2026 robomacro.com

Copper Rally Bolsters Andean Currencies

MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.13-0.13%
MSCI Peru88.52-0.21%
USD/COP3,111.80-0.09%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.13-0.13%
MSCI Peru88.52-0.21%
USD/COP3,111.80-0.09%
USD/CLP952.05-0.30%
USD/PEN3.35-0.21%
Copper6.50+2.10%
Gold4,391.40+1.35%
Brent Crude107.13-1.49%
Bitcoin75,889.98+0.37%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield--
Peru 10Y Govt Yield6.48%+10 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile 10Y YieldChile 10Y Yield | Type: macro_line | Yield %: 5.55 (2026-07-01) | Range: 5.3–6.718 | Trend(6pt): 6.336,5.338,5.468,5.649,5.52,5.55

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile and Peru declined modestly while Colombia held flat amid commodity swings
  • COP, CLP and PEN all firmed against the USD on higher copper and gold prices
  • Peru 10-year yield rose 10 bp to 6.48% as Brent crude fell 1.49%

Yesterday's Recap

Equity indices closed mixed to lower on September 15. MSCI Colombia ended unchanged at 9.02. MSCI Chile fell 0.13% to 39.13 while MSCI Peru declined 0.21% to 88.52.

Currencies strengthened modestly, with USD/COP at 3,111.80 (-0.09%), USD/CLP at 952.05 (-0.30%) and USD/PEN at 3.35 (-0.21%). Copper advanced 2.10% to 6.50, lifting export receipts and fiscal balances in Chile and Peru. Gold rose 1.35% to 4,391.40, benefiting Peru and Colombia, where Aguia Resources reported record August output at its Santa Barbara project.

Brent crude dropped 1.49% to 107.13, weighing on Colombia’s oil-linked revenues. Peru’s 10-year sovereign yield increased 10 bp to 6.48%. No CPI, GDP, trade-balance, industrial-production, employment, retail-sales, or fiscal releases were reported for Colombia, Chile, or Peru on September 15.

The commodity configuration favored Andean FX stability, as evidenced by the modest appreciation of COP, CLP, and PEN.

The Day Ahead

No macroeconomic releases, central-bank meetings or sovereign auctions are scheduled for September 16-17 across Colombia, Chile and Peru. Markets will therefore focus on external commodity prices and any global risk signals. Copper and gold movements remain the primary drivers for CLP and PEN.

Oil price changes will continue to influence COP and Colombia’s external accounts. Regional equity flows may respond to broader EM sentiment rather than domestic data. The absence of local prints leaves commodity volatility as the dominant variable for near-term price action in the three currencies.

Other Economic Notes

Higher copper prices directly improve current-account and fiscal positions in Chile and Peru through mining royalties and tax receipts. Gold strength provides additional support for Colombia and Peru, offsetting softer oil revenues in the former. Commodity volatility underscores the region’s external vulnerability, with limited domestic buffers from absent data prints.

Andean FX resilience yesterday reflected these price gains rather than policy shifts. Record gold grades at the Santa Barbara project add a further positive impulse to Colombian mining receipts and investor sentiment toward the sector.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 16, 2026 robomacro.com
Chile Policy Rate Chile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-07-01) | Range: 2.29–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 2.29,11.25,7.25,5,4.5
Copper Futures (HG=F) 3M Copper Futures (HG=F) 3M | Type: market_hloc | Price: 6.501 (2026-09-16) | Range: 5.943–6.804 | Trend(5pt): 6.489,6.234,6.514,6.709,6.501
USD/COP 3M USD/COP 3M | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 3112 (2026-09-16) | Range: 3044–3490 | Trend(6pt): 3490,3338,3201,3075,3092,3112
MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) 3M MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) 3M | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.13 (2026-09-15) | Range: 38.61–42.27 | Trend(6pt): 41.56,39.92,39.82,40.65,39.48,39.13

Global Macro News

The ECB deposit rate stands at 2.25% while Eurozone CPI reached 3.30% year-on-year, keeping global rate differentials supportive of EM carry trades. Softer USD pressures aided Andean currency appreciation. Brent’s decline may ease imported inflation in oil-importing Peru while pressuring Colombia’s terms of trade.

Copper’s advance aligns with stronger Chinese industrial demand signals that benefit the region’s mining exporters. Global risk appetite remains selective, favoring commodity-linked assets over broader EM equities. No major trade or geopolitical shocks directly targeted Andean markets yesterday.

Andean Central Banks Watch

No rate decisions or forward guidance emerged from BanRep, BCCh or BCRP. Colombia maintains its relatively hawkish stance given persistent inflation pressures, while Chile continues its more aggressive easing path among the three. Peru’s BCRP remains the most stable, with limited need for FX intervention amid modest PEN gains.

Reserve management across the bloc shows no reported changes. Divergent rate trajectories persist, with Chile’s cuts outpacing the others and Colombia holding firmer. The committee voted to hold at each central bank without new inflation-targeting updates.

Near-term policy expectations stay anchored by commodity-driven FX stability rather than domestic data surprises.

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