RoboMacro Research

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 18, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile, Peru Stocks Rise as Copper Climbs

MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.60+1.67%
MSCI Peru90.60+1.49%
USD/COP3,160.95+0.92%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.60+1.67%
MSCI Peru90.60+1.49%
USD/COP3,160.95+0.92%
USD/CLP960.65+0.69%
USD/PEN3.37+0.49%
Copper6.66+1.06%
Gold4,425.70+0.59%
Brent Crude98.63-5.91%
Bitcoin78,051.96+2.16%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield12.66%+7 bp
Peru 10Y Govt Yield6.60%+1 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy RateChile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-07-01) | Range: 2.29–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 2.29,11.25,7.25,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile rose 1.67% and MSCI Peru gained 1.49% while MSCI Colombia stayed flat.
  • USD/COP climbed 0.92%, USD/CLP rose 0.69% and USD/PEN advanced 0.49% as Brent crude fell 5.91%.
  • Colombia 10Y yield increased 7 bp to 12.66% and Peru 10Y yield edged 1 bp higher to 6.60%.

Yesterday's Recap

No macroeconomic releases occurred in Colombia, Chile or Peru on 17 September. Equity markets showed divergence, with MSCI Chile and MSCI Peru posting solid gains while MSCI Colombia remained unchanged. All three Andean currencies depreciated against the dollar, led by the Colombian peso.

Copper advanced 1.06% to 6.66, supporting export revenues in Chile and Peru, whereas Brent crude’s sharp decline weighed on Colombia’s oil-linked fiscal receipts. Sovereign yields moved higher, with Colombia’s 10-year yield rising 7 bp to 12.66% and Peru’s 10-year yield increasing 1 bp to 6.60%. Gold’s modest 0.59% gain offered limited support to mining sectors across the region.

The absence of data left market participants focused on commodity price signals and external rate expectations. Copper’s advance aligns with signs of Chinese buying that lifted the metal after recent consolidation, directly benefiting the terms of trade for Chile and Peru.

The Day Ahead

The economic calendar remains empty across Colombia, Chile and Peru for the next three days. No CPI prints, GDP figures, trade balances or central-bank meetings are scheduled. Market attention will therefore stay on commodity price movements and any global risk signals.

Copper and oil volatility will continue to drive sentiment in Chile, Peru and Colombia respectively. FX traders will monitor USD strength and any shifts in external monetary policy expectations. Thin data flow raises the possibility of range-bound trading until the next batch of indicators appears.

Chile’s consideration of an ethanol-gasoline blend to ease fuel costs amid fiscal strains adds a domestic policy angle that could interact with sustained high copper prices to stabilize budget balances.

Other Economic Notes

Copper’s advance supports fiscal balances in Chile and Peru through higher royalty and tax collections. Sustained strength in the metal would ease pressure on Chile’s budget even as the government considers an ethanol-gasoline blend to reduce fuel costs. Brent’s steep drop raises downside risks for Colombia’s oil revenues and could widen the fiscal gap if prices remain low.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 18, 2026 robomacro.com
Copper Price (HG=F) Copper Price (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD/lb: 6.662 (2026-09-18) | Range: 5.943–6.804 | Trend(5pt): 6.374,6.33,6.703,6.587,6.662
USD/COP FX Rate USD/COP FX Rate | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 3161 (2026-09-18) | Range: 3044–3459 | Trend(6pt): 3459,3294,3134,3064,3122,3161
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.6 (2026-09-17) | Range: 38.61–42.27 | Trend(6pt): 40.66,39.38,39.81,42.27,39.13,39.6
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 90.6 (2026-09-17) | Range: 82.42–94.97 | Trend(6pt): 87.83,85.21,86.6,94.28,88.52,90.6

Other Economic Notes (continued)

Gold’s modest gain provides only marginal relief to mining exports in Peru and Colombia. Broader commodity trends therefore remain the dominant near-term driver for Andean external accounts and sovereign spreads. The ECB deposit rate at 2.50% and Eurozone CPI at 3.20% year-on-year in August keep external rate expectations in focus for emerging-market currencies.

Global Macro News

The ECB deposit rate stands at 2.50% while Eurozone CPI registered 3.20% year-on-year in August, keeping external rate expectations in focus for emerging-market currencies. A stronger dollar continues to pressure Andean exchange rates, amplifying the impact of local commodity moves. New Zealand’s GDP beat expectations and avoided contraction, illustrating resilience in commodity-linked economies that offers a loose parallel for Chile and Peru.

Poland’s industrial output rose but missed forecasts, highlighting uneven global manufacturing momentum that can affect demand for copper and other metals. Saudi non-oil activity picked up, signalling continued energy-market rebalancing that indirectly influences Brent prices relevant to Colombia. Copper’s rally on signs of Chinese buying provides direct support to Chile and Peru’s terms of trade.

Global risk appetite, reflected in Bitcoin’s 2.16% gain, has so far contained broader emerging-market outflows from the Andean region.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 18, 2026 robomacro.com

Continuation

Andean Central Banks Watch

BanRep maintains its relatively hawkish stance amid persistent Colombian inflation pressures, with the peso’s depreciation adding to imported-price risks. BCCh has delivered the region’s most aggressive easing cycle and continues to balance growth support against fiscal strains from lower fuel costs. BCRP remains the most stable of the three, focusing on reserve management and avoiding large FX interventions.

No rate decisions occurred yesterday, leaving the committee’s forward guidance unchanged across all three banks. Divergence in policy paths persists, with Colombia’s higher yields reflecting tighter conditions relative to Chile’s cutting bias and Peru’s steady approach. FX intervention remains limited, allowing market-driven depreciation to absorb commodity shocks.

Reserve levels in Peru provide a buffer that supports policy credibility even as external rates stay elevated.

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