RoboMacro Research

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 22, 2026 robomacro.com

Copper Rally Lifts Chile, Peru Markets

MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.96+1.29%
MSCI Peru91.14+0.43%
USD/COP3,194.53+0.58%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile39.96+1.29%
MSCI Peru91.14+0.43%
USD/COP3,194.53+0.58%
USD/CLP943.60-1.70%
USD/PEN3.38+3.32%
Copper6.84+2.28%
Gold4,348.00-0.82%
Brent Crude98.63-1.70%
Bitcoin86,010.02-0.68%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield12.91%+16 bp
Peru 10Y Govt Yield6.59%-1 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy RateChile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Rate %: 4.5 (2026-07-01) | Range: 2.29–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 2.29,11.25,7.25,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile rose 1.29% to 39.96 as copper climbed 2.28% to 6.84
  • Colombia 10Y yield jumped 16 bp to 12.91%; Peru 10Y eased 1 bp to 6.59
  • Wildfire triggers public calamity declaration in Colombia near Villa de Leyva

Yesterday's Recap

Equity markets in the Andean region showed clear divergence on 21 September. MSCI Chile posted the strongest gain at 1.29% to 39.96, supported by the 2.28% advance in copper to 6.84. MSCI Peru rose 0.43% to 91.14 while MSCI Colombia remained flat at 9.02.

FX moves were mixed, with USD/CLP falling 1.70% to 943.60 on peso strength, USD/COP rising 0.58% to 3,194.53, and USD/PEN surging 3.32% to 3.38. Colombia’s 10-year government yield increased 16 bp to 12.91% as of 18 September while Peru’s 10-year yield declined 1 bp to 6.59% as of 17 September. Brent crude fell 1.70% to 98.63, narrowing Colombia’s oil-related fiscal buffers.

Colombia declared a public calamity after wildfires threatened Villa de Leyva and other areas amid dry conditions, with nearly 20 active fires reported. Gold fell 0.82% to 4,348.00 and Bitcoin slipped 0.68% to 86,010.02, while the absence of any CPI, GDP or trade data releases left commodity prices as the dominant driver for regional asset prices.

The Day Ahead

No economic data releases, central-bank meetings or sovereign debt auctions are scheduled for Colombia, Chile or Peru on 22-23 September. Markets will continue to track global commodity prices, especially copper and oil, for direction. Any updates on firefighting costs or reconstruction in Colombia could surface through official channels.

Investors will also monitor external drivers such as US data prints and Fed signals that influence regional risk sentiment. The quiet domestic calendar leaves room for commodity and FX volatility to dominate price action, with Chile and Peru positioned to benefit from sustained copper strength through higher mining royalties and export revenues while Colombia faces narrower oil-related fiscal space if Brent remains lower.

Other Economic Notes

The Inter-American Development Bank estimates that AI adoption could expand the Latin American and Caribbean economy by 5.1%, though wage pressures may emerge in lower-skill sectors. Copper’s advance provides direct fiscal and external-account support to Chile and Peru through higher mining revenues and royalties. Lower Brent prices reduce expected oil income for Colombia and could widen fiscal gaps if sustained.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 22, 2026 robomacro.com
Copper Futures Copper Futures | Type: market_hloc | Price: 6.84 (2026-09-22) | Range: 5.943–6.84 | Trend(5pt): 6.357,6.293,6.687,6.562,6.84
MSCI Chile Equity MSCI Chile Equity | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.96 (2026-09-21) | Range: 38.61–42.27 | Trend(5pt): 40.82,39.85,41.32,40.99,39.96
USD/CLP Exchange Rate USD/CLP Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | Rate: 943.6 (2026-09-22) | Range: 901.2–960.1 | Trend(6pt): 901.2,930.5,914.5,919.2,960.1,943.6
MSCI Peru Equity MSCI Peru Equity | Type: market_hloc | Price: 91.14 (2026-09-21) | Range: 82.42–94.97 | Trend(5pt): 87.61,86.7,89.44,92.3,91.14

Other Economic Notes (continued)

The absence of fresh inflation or growth prints leaves commodity prices as the primary near-term macro driver for the bloc, with MSCI Chile’s outperformance illustrating the transmission from metal prices to equity valuations and currency strength in copper-exporting economies.

Global Macro News

Solid US economic data reinforced views that the economy is running hot ahead of the next Fed decision. The Bundesbank noted that the German economy temporarily lost momentum but should regain speed toward year-end. New Zealand’s central bank chief highlighted risks to both growth and inflation in that economy.

Fuel-price hikes in Bangladesh are expected to deepen inflation and raise costs across multiple sectors. Broader optimism around US-China relations supported global equities and lifted copper prices. These external factors influence Andean FX and commodity-linked assets through risk appetite and terms-of-trade channels, with Chile’s peso strength yesterday consistent with the copper rally and Colombia’s higher yields reflecting ongoing sensitivity to oil-price weakness.

Andean Central Banks Watch

BanRep maintains the most hawkish stance in the region due to persistent inflation pressures, while BCCh has delivered the most aggressive rate cuts and BCRP has followed the most stable path. No rate decisions or policy statements were issued by any of the three central banks on 21 September. Colombia’s higher 10-year yields reflect ongoing inflation concerns that keep BanRep cautious on easing.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 22, 2026 robomacro.com

Continuation

Andean Central Banks Watch (continued)

Chile benefits from copper-driven peso strength, which could support BCCh’s inflation-targeting credibility. Peru’s stable policy framework and modest yield moves underscore BCRP’s focus on reserve management and limited FX intervention. Divergences in rate paths are expected to persist given differing inflation trajectories and commodity exposures across the three economies.

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