RoboMacro Research

Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 23, 2026 robomacro.com

Chile Equities Advance on Copper; PEN Weakens

MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile40.42+1.15%
MSCI Peru91.76+0.68%
USD/COP3,203.39-0.00%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile40.42+1.15%
MSCI Peru91.76+0.68%
USD/COP3,203.39-0.00%
USD/CLP951.22+0.40%
USD/PEN3.37+2.95%
Copper6.82+0.90%
Gold4,351.40-0.57%
Brent Crude95.85-3.43%
Bitcoin85,535.96-0.74%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield12.91%+16 bp
Peru 10Y Govt Yield6.59%-1 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Short-term RateChile Short-term Rate | Type: macro_line | %: 4.5 (2026-07-01) | Range: 2.29–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 2.29,11.25,7.25,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • MSCI Chile rose 1.15% while Peru equities gained 0.68% on copper strength; Colombia markets stayed flat.
  • USD/PEN surged 2.95% amid broad USD moves, with CLP up 0.40% and COP unchanged.
  • No economic data releases occurred across Colombia, Chile or Peru, leaving external factors dominant.

Yesterday's Recap

Equity markets in the Andean region posted mixed but generally positive results on September 22. MSCI Chile climbed 1.15% to 40.42, supported by a 0.90% advance in copper prices to 6.82. MSCI Peru rose 0.68% to 91.76, while MSCI Colombia remained unchanged at 9.02.

Currency markets diverged sharply, with USD/PEN jumping 2.95% to 3.37, USD/CLP increasing 0.40% to 951.22 and USD/COP holding steady at 3,203.39. Sovereign yields reflected limited domestic drivers, as Colombia’s 10-year yield rose 16 bp to 12.91% while Peru’s 10-year yield eased 1 bp to 6.59%. Brent crude’s 3.43% decline to 95.85 offered little support for Colombian fiscal revenues, and gold’s 0.57% drop to 4,351.40 provided minimal offset for mining sectors in Peru and Colombia.

With zero data releases reported, market moves stemmed primarily from commodity price shifts and external USD pressure.

The Day Ahead

The economic calendar remains empty for September 23-24 across Colombia, Chile and Peru, with no CPI prints, GDP figures, trade balances or central-bank meetings scheduled. Market participants will therefore focus on external commodity prices and any Fed-related signals that could influence regional FX. Copper’s recent gain should continue to underpin sentiment toward Chilean and Peruvian assets.

Oil price weakness may keep Colombian yields under modest pressure. Absent domestic catalysts, trading volumes in Andean currencies and equities could stay subdued.

Other Economic Notes

Copper’s advance supports improved export receipts and royalty income for Chile and Peru, though no new production data emerged to quantify the impact. Colombia faces headwinds from softer Brent prices that reduce near-term oil-related fiscal inflows. Peru’s sharp PEN depreciation raises imported inflation risks without offsetting domestic releases to clarify the trend.

Regional equity performance remains tightly linked to commodity cycles rather than local policy surprises. Broader USD strength continues to transmit external volatility into Andean FX markets.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 23, 2026 robomacro.com
USD/PEN Exchange Rate USD/PEN Exchange Rate | Type: market_hloc | PEN per USD: 3.369 (2026-09-23) | Range: 3.25–3.42 | Trend(6pt): 3.379,3.39,3.383,3.349,3.268,3.369
Copper Futures (HG=F) Copper Futures (HG=F) | Type: market_hloc | USD/lb: 6.82 (2026-09-23) | Range: 5.943–6.82 | Trend(5pt): 6.141,6.296,6.57,6.594,6.82
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 39.96 (2026-09-21) | Range: 38.61–42.27 | Trend(6pt): 39.85,39.85,40.97,41.3,39.6,39.96
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 91.14 (2026-09-21) | Range: 82.42–94.97 | Trend(6pt): 84.37,86.7,89.9,94.29,90.6,91.14

Global Macro News

The ECB Deposit Rate stands at 2.50% while Eurozone CPI reached 3.20% year-over-year and unemployment held at 6.40%. These figures underscore persistent external inflation pressures that can reinforce USD strength and affect Andean carry trades. Copper’s 0.90% gain provides a direct positive channel for Chile and Peru’s current-account balances.

Brent’s decline reduces Colombia’s oil export earnings and may widen fiscal gaps. Gold’s modest retreat offers little relief for mining revenues in Peru and Colombia. Bitcoin’s 0.74% drop adds no meaningful diversification signal for regional portfolios.

Overall, global commodity and USD moves dominate the near-term outlook for Andean assets given the empty domestic calendar.

Andean Central Banks Watch

No rate decisions or forward guidance emerged from BanRep, BCCh or BCRP on September 22. Colombia maintains its relatively hawkish stance amid persistent inflation pressures, with the 10-year yield rising 16 bp. Chile has pursued the most aggressive easing path in the region, benefiting from copper strength that supports growth without immediate policy reversal.

Peru’s central bank remains the most stable, though the sharp PEN move may test its inflation-targeting credibility. Divergences in rate paths persist, with external USD strength now the primary driver of policy expectations across the three banks. FX intervention or reserve management signals stayed absent, leaving markets to price in continued external influences.

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