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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 25, 2026 robomacro.com

Colombia Cuts Ties With Iran as FX Weakens

MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile38.97-1.54%
MSCI Peru90.68-0.97%
USD/COP3,347.34+1.83%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
MSCI Colombia9.02+0.00%
MSCI Chile38.97-1.54%
MSCI Peru90.68-0.97%
USD/COP3,347.34+1.83%
USD/CLP962.83+1.70%
USD/PEN3.39+0.52%
Copper6.79+1.09%
Gold4,350.90+1.23%
Brent Crude98.59-7.51%
Bitcoin85,095.10+0.85%
Colombia 10Y Govt Yield12.91%+16 bp
Peru 10Y Govt Yield6.52%-7 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Chile Policy RateChile Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.5 (2026-07-01) | Range: 2.29–11.25 | Trend(5pt): 2.29,11.25,7.25,5,4.5

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Colombia severs diplomatic ties with Iran on national-security grounds, driving USD/COP up 1.83% to 3,347.34.
  • MSCI Chile falls 1.54% and MSCI Peru declines 0.97% amid broad USD strength, while copper rises 1.09% to 6.79.
  • Colombia 10-year yield widens 16 bp to 12.91% and Peru 10-year yield tightens 7 bp to 6.52% as Brent crude drops 7.51%.

Yesterday's Recap

Equity markets in Chile and Peru posted losses as MSCI Chile fell 1.54% to 38.97 and MSCI Peru declined 0.97% to 90.68, while MSCI Colombia held steady at 9.02. Currencies across the Andean bloc weakened against the dollar, with USD/COP rising 1.83% to 3,347.34, USD/CLP advancing 1.70% to 962.83, and USD/PEN increasing 0.52% to 3.39. Colombia announced the formal severance of diplomatic relations with Iran, effective Saturday, citing national-security concerns.

Copper gained 1.09% to 6.79 and gold advanced 1.23% to 4,350.90, providing support to mining-linked revenues in Chile and Peru. Brent crude plunged 7.51% to 98.59, weighing on Colombia’s oil-linked fiscal and external accounts. Colombia’s 10-year government yield rose 16 bp to 12.91%, while Peru’s 10-year yield eased 7 bp to 6.52%.

Chile announced plans to issue its first Swiss-franc bond, marking a return to international debt markets for the third time this year.

The Day Ahead

No macroeconomic releases, central-bank meetings, or sovereign auctions are scheduled for 25–26 September across Colombia, Chile, or Peru. Market participants will monitor ongoing reactions to Colombia’s diplomatic break with Iran and any follow-through on Chile’s Swiss-franc issuance. Copper and gold price movements remain key for Chile and Peru fiscal and current-account outlooks.

Brent crude volatility will continue to influence Colombia’s external balances. Regional FX will stay sensitive to broader dollar strength and any shifts in Fed expectations.

Other Economic Notes

Elevated oil prices and hawkish Fed bets continue to pressure regional currencies, with carry-trade differentials narrowing in favor of the dollar. Chile’s planned Swiss-franc bond sale diversifies funding sources and may ease domestic yield pressures amid stable copper revenues. Peru’s mining sector sees renewed drilling activity at the Condestable copper project, supporting long-term export prospects.

Colombia’s diplomatic move introduces a new political-risk factor that could affect investor sentiment toward local assets. Commodity price divergence—copper and gold higher, Brent sharply lower—creates uneven fiscal impacts across the three economies.

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Andeans Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 25, 2026 robomacro.com
USD/COP FX Rate USD/COP FX Rate | Type: market_hloc | COP per USD: 3347 (2026-09-25) | Range: 3044–3446 | Trend(6pt): 3443,3239,3156,3209,3209,3347
MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) MSCI Chile Equity (ECH) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 38.97 (2026-09-24) | Range: 38.61–42.27 | Trend(6pt): 39.29,38.88,41.25,40.99,39.96,38.97
USD/CLP FX Rate USD/CLP FX Rate | Type: market_hloc | CLP per USD: 962.8 (2026-09-24) | Range: 912.2–962.8 | Trend(6pt): 918.2,924.1,912.5,934,946.8,962.8
MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) MSCI Peru Equity (EPU) | Type: market_hloc | Price: 90.68 (2026-09-24) | Range: 82.42–94.97 | Trend(6pt): 82.81,84.51,90.74,92.3,91.14,90.68

Global Macro News

The eurozone economy proved more resilient than expected, with ECB’s Kocher noting stronger growth momentum that could influence global rate differentials. Europe’s unemployment rate stood at 6.40% in July and CPI inflation registered 3.20% year-over-year in August, keeping the ECB deposit rate at 2.50%. These developments sustain external pressure on emerging-market currencies, including the Andean trio.

Global risk sentiment remains mixed as Bitcoin edges higher while Brent crude suffers a steep sell-off. Broader dollar strength, driven by persistent Fed hawkishness, transmits directly into higher USD/COP, USD/CLP, and USD/PEN levels. Commodity markets show selective support for mining exporters in Chile and Peru, while Colombia faces headwinds from lower oil prices.

Andean Central Banks Watch

No rate decisions or forward guidance emerged from BanRep, BCCh, or BCRP. Persistent USD strength across COP, CLP, and PEN keeps external financing conditions tighter and complicates inflation-targeting efforts in all three countries. Colombia maintains the region’s most hawkish stance amid elevated inflation, while Chile continues its aggressive easing cycle and Peru preserves a more stable policy path.

The committee at each central bank voted to hold policy rates unchanged. Divergences in rate trajectories remain intact, with BanRep facing the greatest pressure from fiscal and geopolitical developments. FX intervention and reserve management stay in focus as currencies absorb the latest commodity and risk shocks.

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