UST − Bund · US 10Y minus German 10Y. Missing either leg omits the series.UST − Bund | Latest: 1.19pp (2026-09-01) | Range: 1.058pp–2.349pp | Trend(5pt): 1.179,1.716,2.231,1.452,1.19G7 2s10s · 10Y−2Y. Inverted curves print below the zero line.G7 2s10s | US: 0.31pp, UK: 0.6pp, DE: 0.32pp, JP: 0.97pp, CA: 0.56pp, AU: 0.27pp, NZ: 1.03pp, CH: 0.3pp | Range: 0.27pp–1.03ppG7 10YG7 10Y | Latest (2026-10-22): US 4.96%; DE 3.47%; UK 5.242%; JP 3.05% | Range: 0.32%–5.29%Steepener z · Cross-sectional z of 10Y−2Y. Higher = long steepener vs peers.Steepener z | JP: 2.105σ, CA: 0.125σ, UK: -0.095σ, DE: -0.623σ, US: -0.667σ, AU: -0.843σ | Range: -0.843σ–2.105σ
10Y spread
Level
UST − Bund 10Y
1.600pp
Gilt − Bund 10Y
1.910pp
UST − JGB 10Y
2.160pp
10Y Gilt − UST
0.410pp
BTP − Bund 10Y
0.626pp
OAT − Bund 10Y
1.117pp
Levels in percentage points. A spread is omitted when either leg is missing — never filled with zero. Session changes are not shown: the history behind the chart is a multi-year downsample, not a daily series.
Treasury positioning · Leveraged-money 52-week z. Net long a Treasury future is long duration.Treasury positioning | ZT: 1.577σ, ZF: 0.9648σ, ZN: -0.07428σ, TN: 0.2869σ, ZB: 2.078σ, UB: -0.09181σ, FF: 1.795σ, SR3: -0.9168σ | Range: -0.9168σ–2.078σ
Contract
Name
Net
z 52w
Δz
Side
Week
ZT
2Y note
-1,285,548
+1.58σ
+0.23
long
extended its long
ZF
5Y note
-2,117,544
+0.96σ
-0.02
long
covered its long
ZN
10Y note
-2,107,224
-0.07σ
+0.67
short
covered its short
TN
Ultra 10Y
-318,477
+0.29σ
+0.24
long
extended its long
ZB
Bond
-162,757
+2.08σ
-0.12
long
covered its long
UB
Ultra bond
-804,808
-0.09σ
-0.87
short
extended its short
FF
Fed funds
376,169
+1.79σ
+1.39
long
extended its long
SR3
3M SOFR
-2,373,040
-0.92σ
-0.15
short
extended its short
CFTC TFF leveraged money, report 20 Oct 2026. Net long a Treasury future is long duration. Side and week are derived from the signed z and Δz — they are not typed.
Higher composite = bullish duration versus G7 peers. A country with too few live factors is omitted, not scored as zero.
Omitted from this issue
curve_IT_10y — makrognosis pair unavailable
curve_FR_10y — makrognosis pair unavailable
credit — credit returned no priced series
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US strip, G7 curve RV, Treasury positioning and the duration scorecard. On sessions where the 10-year moves 5 bp or more, the 20-session driver stack and 1 bp cubes. Free.