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Korea Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

November 10, 2026 robomacro.com

KOSPI Plunges 6% as AI Selloff Hits Semis

KOSPI5,059.69-6.02%
KOSDAQ644.27-5.03%
USD/KRW1,340.42-1.17%
Samsung188,700.00-6.35%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
KOSPI5,059.69-6.02%
KOSDAQ644.27-5.03%
USD/KRW1,340.42-1.17%
Samsung188,700.00-6.35%
SK Hynix1,132,000.00-10.44%
Brent Crude92.91-5.50%
Gold4,149.30+1.83%
Bitcoin74,781.36+0.26%
Korea 3Y Govt Yield3.64%+3 bp
Korea 10Y Govt Yield3.85%-4 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
BoK Policy RateBoK Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Policy Rate (%): 3 (2026-10-22) | Range: 1–3.5 | Trend(5pt): 1,3.5,3.5,2.5,3

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
Tuesday (2026-11-10)
Headline Unemployment Rate2.60-18:00
  • KOSPI tumbled 6.02% to 5,059.69 and KOSDAQ fell 5.03% as a global AI-stock selloff hammered Samsung (-6.35%) and SK Hynix (-10.44%), with trading briefly halted.
  • The won strengthened 1.17% to 1,340.42 on dollar sales and risk-taking flows, even as the 3-year yield rose 3 bp to 3.64% and the 10-year eased 4 bp to 3.85%.
  • The BoK weighs a November hike with the KOSPI plunge as a final variable; October CPI stayed above target and household debt topped 2 quadrillion won.

Yesterday's Recap

Korean equities suffered a sharp risk-off session, with the KOSPI dropping 6.02% to 5,059.69 and the KOSDAQ falling 5.03% to 644.27, prompting the exchange to halt trading as the AI-driven selloff accelerated. Samsung Electronics slid 6.35% to 188,700 and SK Hynix plunged 10.44% to 1,132,000, bearing the brunt of semiconductor weakness tied to Nvidia-related concerns. Despite the equity rout, the won strengthened 1.17% to 1,340.42 against the dollar on dollar sales and improved risk-taking sentiment, with BofA recommending buying won dips.

Rates moved in opposite directions: the 3-year yield rose 3 bp to 3.64% while the 10-year eased 4 bp to 3.85%, steepening pressure on the curve. Brent crude fell 5.50% to 92.91, while gold rose 1.83% to 4,149.30 as a safe-haven bid emerged. Authorities exempted the credit-loan collateral ratio rule for three months as the KOSPI broke 5,000, a targeted stabilization measure.

The Day Ahead

The calendar is light, with the headline unemployment rate for South Korea scheduled for release on Tuesday, November 10 at 18:00 ET, following a prior reading of 2.6%. No consensus figure is available, so the print will be watched for signs of labor-market resilience amid the equity turmoil. Markets will also digest the prior session's dramatic semiconductor selloff and any follow-through in Samsung and SK Hynix shares.

With the BoK's November 26 meeting approaching, incoming data will feed directly into the hike-versus-hold debate. Traders will monitor won volatility and bond-curve moves for spillovers from the equity correction.

Other Economic Notes

Household debt has risen past 2 quadrillion won, with both young and old borrowers struggling to stay afloat, underscoring financial-stability risks that complicate the BoK's tightening path. October CPI remained above target, keeping inflation concerns alive even as growth-facing asset markets wobble. Korea's national debt is approaching 250 million won per child, a fiscal burden that frames longer-term spending debates.

↓ p.2

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Korea Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

November 10, 2026 robomacro.com
KOSDAQ Index KOSDAQ Index | Type: macro_line | KOSDAQ Index: -28.27 (2026-11-06) | Range: -33.92–62.59 | Trend(6pt): 17.48,-29.01,5.063,-6.807,-22.84,-28.27
KOSPI Index KOSPI Index | Type: macro_line | KOSPI Index: 25.66 (2026-11-06) | Range: -30.65–226.1 | Trend(5pt): 19.46,-21.72,5.503,10.58,25.66
USD/KRW Spot Rate USD/KRW Spot Rate | Type: macro_line | USD/KRW Spot Rate: 1346 (2026-11-09) | Range: 1311–1745 | Trend(6pt): 1363,1341,1464,1574,1340,1346
KOSPI Index KOSPI Index | Type: market_hloc | KOSPI: 5060 (2026-11-06) | Range: 5060–7081 | Trend(5pt): 6300,6836,7018,5768,5060

Other Economic Notes (continued)

The government's three-month exemption of the credit-loan collateral ratio rule signals a willingness to support leveraged retail positions during equity stress. Meanwhile, Poland and South Korea agreed an AI development partnership, and BMW added Samsung SDI and LG Energy Solution as battery suppliers, supporting the export-oriented tech and auto supply chain.

Global Macro News

A broad AI-stock selloff hit Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan markets hard, with doubts around Nvidia's leadership driving the risk-off tone across Asian tech. Seoul said Nvidia issues would not affect contracted GPU supplies, offering some reassurance to Korean chipmakers' order books. The German press framed the affair around Nvidia chief Huang as a drag on Samsung and SK Hynix sentiment.

Brent crude's 5.50% drop to 92.91 eased imported inflation pressure for Korea, a net positive for the trade balance. Gold's 1.83% rise to 4,149.30 reflected defensive positioning globally. BofA's recommendation to buy won and Taiwan dollar dips suggests external investors see the currency weakness as overdone, a supportive signal for KRW stability.

BoK Watch

The Bank of Korea held its base rate at 3.00% at the October 22 decision, and the next meeting is set for November 26, where the committee is weighing a rate hike with the KOSPI plunge emerging as a final variable. October CPI remained above target, keeping the inflation case for tightening intact, while household debt above 2 quadrillion won reinforces financial-stability caution. ↓ p.3

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Korea Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

November 10, 2026 robomacro.com

Continuation

BoK Watch (continued)

Citibank Korea argues that if semiconductors falter, a November hike would end the cycle, with rate cuts to 2.50% by 2028 — a view that markets may increasingly price. The equity rout and trading halt add a growth-risk dimension that could temper the committee's appetite for near-term tightening. With the 3-year yield at 3.64% and the 10-year at 3.85%, the curve is pricing a cautious, data-dependent BoK rather than an aggressive hiking path.

Markets should treat the November 26 decision as genuinely live, with the semiconductor cycle and won dynamics the swing factors.

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