RoboMacro Research

Nordics Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

August 24, 2026 robomacro.com

Riksbank Holds Rate, Nordic Equities Advance

OMX Stockholm 303,292.34+1.04%
Oslo Bors2,093.58+0.85%
OMX Copenhagen 251,906.85+0.86%
OMX Helsinki 256,408.70+1.14%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
OMX Stockholm 303,292.34+1.04%
Oslo Bors2,093.58+0.85%
OMX Copenhagen 251,906.85+0.86%
OMX Helsinki 256,408.70+1.14%
USD/SEK9.47-0.04%
USD/NOK9.31-0.40%
EUR/SEK11.06-0.11%
EUR/NOK10.87-0.47%
Brent Crude93.20-1.26%
Gold4,695.40+1.54%
Bitcoin77,093.72+0.01%
Sweden 10Y Govt Yield2.78%+1.31%
Norway 10Y Govt Yield4.20%-2.94%

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
Sweden 10Y YieldSweden 10Y Yield | Type: macro_line | Percent: 2.781 (2026-06-01) | Range: 0.138–3.024 | Trend(6pt): 0.2696,2.01,2.231,2.602,2.745,2.781

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Riksbank holds key rate at 1.75% and keeps tightening option open amid krona pressure.
  • Nordic equities post solid gains with OMX Stockholm 30 up 1.04% and OMX Helsinki 25 rising 1.14%.
  • Brent crude falls 1.26% to $93.20 while Sweden 10Y yield climbs to 2.78%.

Yesterday's Recap

Nordic equity markets advanced across the board on 23 August with the OMX Stockholm 30 rising 1.04% to 3,292.34, Oslo Bors gaining 0.85% to 2,093.58, OMX Copenhagen 25 adding 0.86% to 1,906.85 and OMX Helsinki 25 climbing 1.14% to 6,408.70. The Riksbank held its policy rate at 1.75% as expected after completing its easing cycle and signalled that the tightening option remains open given persistent krona weakness. USD/SEK eased 0.04% to 9.47 while EUR/SEK fell 0.11% to 11.06; USD/NOK declined 0.40% to 9.31.

Sweden 10Y government yields rose 1.31% to 2.78% whereas Norway 10Y yields dropped 2.94% to 4.20%. No major data releases occurred in Sweden, Norway, Denmark or Finland. Brent crude declined 1.26% to $93.20, weighing on NOK support despite the currency’s modest gain.

Gold rose 1.54% to $4,695.40, reflecting safe-haven flows, while Bitcoin was little changed at $77,093.72.

The Day Ahead

The Nordic calendar remains quiet with no scheduled releases from Sweden, Norway, Denmark or Finland on 25 August. Markets will monitor any follow-up commentary from Riksbank members after the hold decision. Global factors including US inflation prints and minutes from major central banks may influence Nordic FX and yields.

Oil price movements will continue to shape NOK dynamics given Norway’s exposure. Equity flows may stay supported by the recent regional outperformance versus broader Europe. Currency pairs such as EUR/SEK at 11.06 and USD/NOK at 9.31 will be watched for any renewed pressure that could prompt further Riksbank signals on tightening.

Other Economic Notes

Sweden’s July CPI YoY registered 0.18% while Norway’s July CPI YoY stood at 2.98%, both underscoring divergent inflation trajectories that support policy divergence between the Riksbank and Norges Bank. Export-oriented manufacturing in Sweden and Denmark remains sensitive to euro-area demand and global trade conditions. Finland’s eurozone membership ties its financing costs directly to ECB decisions.

Norway’s oil revenue outlook benefits from Brent levels near $93 even after the daily decline, supporting the government’s fiscal position via the oil fund. Sweden 10Y yields at 2.78% and Norway 10Y yields at 4.20% illustrate differing rate environments across the region.

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Nordics Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

August 24, 2026 robomacro.com
Norway 10Y Yield Norway 10Y Yield | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.203 (2026-06-01) | Range: 1.42–4.33 | Trend(6pt): 1.42,3.123,3.58,4.017,4.33,4.203
Norway Policy Rate Norway Policy Rate | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.25 (2026-06-01) | Range: 0.06–4.5 | Trend(6pt): 0.06,2.47,4.5,4.5,4.194,4.25
Denmark 10Y Yield Denmark 10Y Yield | Type: macro_line | Percent: 2.807 (2026-06-01) | Range: -0.082–3.133 | Trend(6pt): -0.013,2.378,2.403,2.454,2.88,2.807
OMX Stockholm 30 OMX Stockholm 30 | Type: market_hloc | Index: 3292 (2026-08-21) | Range: 3054–3327 | Trend(6pt): 3116,3114,3205,3219,3258,3292

Global Macro News

Brent crude’s 1.26% drop to $93.20 reflects softening near-term demand signals that could ease imported inflation pressures across import-dependent Nordic economies. Gold’s 1.54% rise to $4,695.40 highlights ongoing safe-haven demand that may cap upside in Nordic yields. Broader equity resilience in the region contrasts with mixed global risk sentiment driven by US policy uncertainty.

Currency moves remain modest with USD/SEK and EUR/SEK both slightly lower, limiting imported inflation risks for Sweden. Oil price volatility continues to transmit directly to Norwegian fiscal and currency dynamics. Global central bank minutes expected this week may reinforce expectations of divergent paths between the ECB and the Federal Reserve, affecting Nordic rate differentials.

Nordic Central Banks Watch

The Riksbank held its key rate at 1.75% and reiterated that the option to tighten remains open while the krona stays under pressure, marking a pause after the prior easing cycle. Norges Bank faces no immediate decision but retains scope to keep policy restrictive given Norway’s 2.98% July CPI YoY and resilient mainland GDP. Danmarks Nationalbank continues to shadow ECB policy to defend the EUR/DKK peg with no independent rate move expected.

Bank of Finland operates under the ECB framework where any future adjustments will transmit directly to Finnish financing conditions. Policy divergence persists as Sweden pauses while Norway maintains a tighter bias supported by oil revenues. No FX intervention was reported from Denmark.

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