RoboMacro Research

US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 23, 2026 robomacro.com

Yields Rise as Data Calendar Stays Quiet

S&P 5007,758.65-0.08%
US 10Y Treasury5.01%+7 bp
WTI Crude89.97-4.88%
Gold4,351.20-0.58%

Market Snapshot

AssetLevelChange
S&P 5007,758.65-0.08%
Nasdaq 10030,597.17+0.38%
Dow Jones51,737.16-0.60%
Russell 20002,886.42+0.38%
USD/JPY157.83+0.29%
EUR/USD1.14-0.39%
GBP/USD1.33-0.59%
Gold4,351.20-0.58%
WTI Crude89.97-4.88%
Bitcoin85,935.62-0.27%
US 2Y Treasury4.74%+7 bp
US 10Y Treasury5.01%+7 bp

Prior Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Actual
No events available
10-Year Treasury Yield10-Year Treasury Yield | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.96 (2026-09-21) | Range: 1.35–5.01 | Trend(6pt): 1.47,3.75,4.22,4.34,5.01,4.96

Today's Economic Events

Data Prior Cons Time
No events available
  • Equities mixed as Nasdaq 100 gains 0.38% while Dow falls 0.60%
  • 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields each climb 7 bp to 4.74% and 5.01%
  • WTI crude drops 4.88% to $89.97 with no US data releases

Yesterday's Recap

Equity markets closed mixed on September 22. The S&P 500 edged down 0.08% to 7,758.65 while the Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.38% to 30,597.17. The Dow Jones declined 0.60% to 51,737.16 and the Russell 2000 rose 0.38% to 2,886.42.

Treasury yields increased across the curve with the 2-year yield rising 7 bp to 4.74% and the 10-year yield also adding 7 bp to 5.01%. WTI crude fell sharply by 4.88% to $89.97 and gold slipped 0.58% to $4,351.20. The USD/JPY pair advanced 0.29% to 157.83 while EUR/USD declined 0.39% to 1.14.

No economic data releases occurred.

The Day Ahead

No US economic releases or Federal Reserve events are scheduled for September 23. Markets will monitor any updates on the pending Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger following the settlement of state lawsuits.

Traders will also track oil price movements after the sharp decline. Equity futures point to a muted open with attention on Treasury yield direction. Broader sentiment remains shaped by the absence of fresh inflation or growth figures.

Other Economic Notes

US GDP growth registered 1.50% QoQ SAAR and 2.10% YoY in the latest reading. Retail sales expanded 6.01% YoY while the unemployment rate stood at 4.10%. CPI inflation held at 3.40% YoY.

These figures underscore a moderate growth environment with contained but persistent price pressures. The Fed funds rate remains at 3.88%. Market participants continue to assess how sticky inflation interacts with the ongoing AI-driven expansion.

Global Macro News

Oil prices declined further on speculation of progress in US-Iran talks. The yen showed limited hawkish signals, keeping USD/JPY near 157.60 and highlighting policy divergence with the Federal Reserve. New Zealand’s central bank flagged risks to households and housing from its inflation fight.

UK foreign currency reserves data drew limited immediate market reaction. Global equities advanced in London as oil weakness supported sentiment. The strength of the US dollar continued to weigh on gold prices.

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US Macro Daily(Beta Mode)

September 23, 2026 robomacro.com
2-Year Treasury Yield 2-Year Treasury Yield | Type: macro_line | Percent: 4.76 (2026-09-21) | Range: 0.27–5.19 | Trend(5pt): 0.29,4.31,4.59,3.84,4.76
CPI YoY CPI YoY | Type: macro_line | YoY % Change: 3.713 (2026-08-01) | Range: 2.325–8.979 | Trend(6pt): 6.235,6.405,3.157,2.325,3.54,3.713
Nonfarm Payrolls Nonfarm Payrolls | Type: macro_line | Thousands: 0.3805 (2026-08-01) | Range: 0.07327–5.192 | Trend(6pt): 4.29,3.021,1.401,0.6062,0.2612,0.3805
WTI Crude Oil WTI Crude Oil | Type: market_hloc | USD per Barrel: 89.85 (2026-09-23) | Range: 68.55–105.8 | Trend(5pt): 73.21,78.95,78.18,85.76,89.85

Global Macro News (continued)

Broader emerging-market mining developments in Africa held little direct bearing on US asset prices.

Fed Watch

Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that the US economy is firming and that inflation risks outweigh employment risks. Markets continue to price a higher-rate era amid sticky inflation and faster growth. The 7 bp rise in both 2-year and 10-year yields occurred without new data, reflecting steady policy expectations.

With the Fed funds rate at 3.88%, forward guidance remains focused on the balance between persistent price pressures and solid activity. No fresh dot-plot or quantitative-tightening signals emerged. Investors await any additional commentary on whether inflation at 3.40% will delay easing.

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