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Australia

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AEMO power demand, ABS weekly payroll jobs, air traffic

Australia Nowcast

updated 2026-08-31

Model estimates of not-yet-published official statistics, updated daily through each release cycle. Accuracy shown is each model’s own out-of-sample backtest.

GDP, quarterly nowcast for 2026Q2: +0.56% QoQ, 80% band +0.11 to +1.32. Backtest MAE 0.372% QoQ over 123 periods.

GDP, quarterly

2026Q2
+0.56% QoQ

80% band +0.11 … +1.32

pre-release readrelease ~2026-09-03beats benchmark

Backtest: MAE 0.372 · 98% of AR error · direction 93% · n=123

Staggered combination of an official-data block, a survey/indicator bridge and an autoregressive benchmark, re-weighted through the data release cycle. Backtests are walk-forward against the latest vintage; pandemic-window observations are excluded from estimation and shown separately. Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics, RBA, public high-frequency data.

Macro comparison charts are being generated.

All Australia High-Speed Indicators

Freshness F (7)

27 datasets tracked. 39 series with seasonal factors. Last 5 years shown.

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Smoothing
Sector

Electricity Demand (NEM)

Fresh · 2026-08-31Daily

National Electricity Market demand, MW per day (daily mean) — AEMO. Direct from the operator, no aggregator.

Indeed Job Postings

Fresh · 2026-08-21Weekly

Total Australian job postings, SA, Feb 2020 = 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab).

Coupons and Promo Codes

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*promo code, discount code, coupons, honey extension

Cheap Groceries and Discount Grocers

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*aldi, aldi catalogue, coles specials, woolworths specials

Buy Now Pay Later

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*afterpay, zip pay, humm, buy now pay later

Second-Hand Marketplaces

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*gumtree, facebook marketplace, marketplace, ebay

Job Search

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*seek, jobs near me, indeed, seek jobs

JobSeeker and Centrelink

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*jobseeker payment, centrelink, centrelink login, mygov

Redundancy and Layoffs

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*redundancy, redundancy pay, made redundant, layoffs

Resume and Applications

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*resume template, cv template, cover letter, resume builder

Gig and Part-Time Work

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*uber driver, doordash driver, part time jobs, menulog driver

Homes for Sale

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*realestate.com.au, houses for sale, domain, real estate

Rentals

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*rentals, houses for rent, rent.com.au, apartments for rent

Mortgage Rates

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*home loan rates, mortgage calculator, interest rates, refinance home loan

First-Home Buyer and Eviction

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*first home buyer, first home owner grant, eviction notice, rental arrears

Personal Loans

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*personal loan, loan, debt consolidation loan, car loan

Credit Score and Debt

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*credit score, credit score check, pay off debt, debt help

Savings and High-Interest Accounts

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*high interest savings account, best savings account, term deposit rates, ubank savings

Payday and Emergency Loans

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*payday loans, cash loans, fast cash, no credit check loans

Online Shopping and Tech Deals

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*jb hi-fi, kmart, amazon au, cheap laptop

Seasonal Sales

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Australia.

*black friday, click frenzy, boxing day sales, black friday deals

Port calls (all vessels)

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Australia.

Maritime imports (est. tons)

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Australia.

Maritime exports (est. tons)

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Australia.

Container ship calls

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Australia.

Tanker calls

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Australia.

Dry-bulk ship calls

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Australia.