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Canada

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IESO power demand, weekly rail carloads, Statistics Canada real-time tables

Canada Nowcast

updated 2026-08-31

Model estimates of not-yet-published official statistics, updated daily through each release cycle. Accuracy shown is each model’s own out-of-sample backtest.

GDP, monthly nowcast for 2026-07: +0.25% MoM, 80% band -0.13 to +0.58. Backtest MAE 0.223% MoM over 198 periods.

GDP, monthly

2026-07
+0.25% MoM

80% band -0.13 … +0.58

pre-release readrelease ~2026-09-29beats benchmark

Backtest: MAE 0.223 · 95% of AR error · direction 72% · n=198

Unemployment rate nowcast for 2026-08: -0.01pp change, 80% band -0.20 to +0.20. Backtest MAE 0.12pp change over 362 periods.

Unemployment rate

2026-08
-0.01pp change→ 6.4% rate

80% band -0.20 … +0.20

pre-release readrelease ~2026-09-10beats benchmark

Backtest: MAE 0.12 · 100% of AR error · direction 41% · n=362

Staggered combination of an official-data block, a survey/indicator bridge and an autoregressive benchmark, re-weighted through the data release cycle. Backtests are walk-forward against the latest vintage; pandemic-window observations are excluded from estimation and shown separately. Sources: Statistics Canada, public high-frequency data.

Macro comparison charts are being generated.

All Canada High-Speed Indicators

Freshness F (11)

28 datasets tracked. 39 series with seasonal factors. Last 5 years shown.

View
Smoothing
Sector

Truck Border Crossings

Stale · 2026-07-31Daily

Daily count of trucks entering Canada at land borders (CBSA) — a direct road-freight/trade activity signal. Free, Statistics Canada.

International Air Arrivals

Stale · 2026-07-31Daily

Daily international travellers arriving by air via CBSA kiosks — an inbound-tourism/aviation activity signal. Free, Statistics Canada.

Electricity Demand (Ontario)

Fresh · 2026-08-30Daily

Ontario grid demand, MW per day (daily mean) — IESO. Direct from the operator; Ontario ≈ 38% of Canada.

Indeed Job Postings

Fresh · 2026-08-21Weekly

Total Canadian job postings, SA, Feb 2020 = 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab).

Coupons and Promo Codes

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*promo code, coupons canada, code promo, honey extension

Cheap Groceries and Discount Grocers

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*no frills, freshco, maxi, super c

Buy Now Pay Later

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*afterpay, klarna, sezzle, buy now pay later

Second-Hand Marketplaces

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*kijiji, facebook marketplace, marketplace, varagesale

Job Search

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*indeed, jobs near me, job bank, emploi

Employment Insurance Benefits

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*ei application, employment insurance, assurance emploi, service canada ei

Layoffs and Severance

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*layoffs, severance pay, got laid off, layoffs 2026

Resume and Applications

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*resume template, resume builder, cover letter, faire un cv

Gig and Part-Time Work

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*uber driver, skip the dishes driver, part time jobs near me, doordash driver

Homes for Sale

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*realtor.ca, houses for sale, centris, remax

Apartments for Rent

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*apartments for rent, rentals.ca, appartement a louer, kijiji rentals

Mortgage Rates

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*mortgage rates, mortgage calculator, taux hypothecaire, ratehub

First-Time Buyer and Eviction

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*first time home buyer, fhsa, eviction notice, ltb

Personal Loans

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*personal loan, loan, pret personnel, debt consolidation loan

Credit Score and Debt

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*credit score, borrowell, credit karma, pay off debt

Savings and High-Interest Accounts

Weekly

Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, Canada.

*high interest savings account, eq bank, tangerine savings, gic rates

Port calls (all vessels)

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Canada.

Maritime imports (est. tons)

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Canada.

Maritime exports (est. tons)

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Canada.

Container ship calls

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Canada.

Tanker calls

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Canada.

Dry-bulk ship calls

Stale · 2026-08-21Daily

IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Canada.